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Texas State vs UT Arlington Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 72-80
39-32 33-48
Position#207
Record8-4
FormWWWLW
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game67.1
vs
Position#277
Record6-7
FormWLWWL
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game74.3
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Texas State v UT Arlington
29 Dec 2024
TEXA72
UT A80
29 Jan 2022
TEXA58
UT A53
13 Feb 2021
TEXA79
UT A68
25 Jan 2020
TEXA62
UT A64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Texas State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UT Arlington winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Texas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
TCU
#210
L
71-76
71
76
-5
A13/11
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#208
L
60-72
60
72
-12
A16/11
NCAA
Bradley
#30
L
68-82
68
82
-14
H21/11
NCAA
Princeton
#99
W
83-80
83
80
+3
A23/11
NCAA
Ohio
#205
W
74-65
74
65
+9
H25/11
NCAA
Texas Southern
#223
W
72-59
72
59
+13
A01/12
NCAA
Arlington Baptist Patriots
#621
W
97-49
97
49
+48
H05/12
NCAA
Rice
#281
W
75-66
75
66
+9
H08/12
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#162
L
80-89
80
89
-9
A14/12
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#201
W
83-61
83
61
+22
H21/12
NCAA
1H
2H
37-35
34-41
25-32
35-40
24-44
44-38
41-43
42-37
35-31
39-34
28-28
44-31
50-29
47-20
35-31
40-35
40-43
40-46
42-33
41-28
146.2Avg total
76.3Scored
69.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)77.467.1144.5+10.367%
Season at home (7)80.461.3141.7+19.186%
Season away (5)73.275.2148.4-2.040%
Last 10 (10)76.369.9146.2+6.460%
Last 5 (5)81.464.8146.2+16.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)66.873.5140.2-6.838%
vs Similar ◀ (14)70.768.5139.2+2.264%
vs Weaker (8)82.264.2146.5+18.075%
This opponent (UT Arlington) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UT ArlingtonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas College
#446
W
95-69
95
69
+26
H16/11
NCAA
Missouri State
#334
L
68-78
68
78
-10
A20/11
NCAA
Murray State
#214
L
66-79
66
79
-13
A26/11
NCAA
Austin Peay
#275
W
68-58
68
58
+10
A27/11
NCAA
Rhode Island
#137
L
78-83
78
83
-5
H28/11
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#346
W
84-70
84
70
+14
A03/12
NCAA
Arkansas State
#54
L
79-83
79
83
-4
A13/12
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#346
W
77-68
77
68
+9
H14/12
NCAA
Evansville
#319
W
80-54
80
54
+26
H19/12
NCAA
Liberty
#19
L
56-79
56
79
-23
A21/12
NCAA
1H
2H
50-27
45-42
37-34
31-44
30-44
36-35
30-32
38-26
41-44
37-39
34-30
50-40
39-35
40-48
45-30
32-38
44-24
36-30
22-39
34-40
147.2Avg total
75.1Scored
72.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)77.974.3152.2+3.646%
Season at home (6)82.870.2153.0+12.767%
Season away (7)73.777.9151.6-4.129%
Last 10 (10)75.172.1147.2+3.050%
Last 5 (5)75.270.8146.0+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)69.482.0151.4-12.60%
vs Similar ◀ (13)78.073.0151.0+5.054%
vs Weaker (11)83.669.5153.2+14.191%
This opponent (Texas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +0.8+0.81st half: +3.3+3.32nd half2nd half: +5.6+5.62nd half: -0.3-0.3
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +0.8+0.81st half: +3.3+3.32nd half2nd half: +5.6+5.62nd half: -0.3-0.3
Texas StateUT Arlington
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Texas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
TCU
#210
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A13/11
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#208
L
25-32
25
32
-7
A16/11
NCAA
Bradley
#30
L
24-44
24
44
-20
H21/11
NCAA
Princeton
#99
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A23/11
NCAA
Ohio
#205
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H25/11
NCAA
Texas Southern
#223
D
28-28
28
28
+0
A01/12
NCAA
Arlington Baptist Patriots
#621
W
50-29
50
29
+21
H05/12
NCAA
Rice
#281
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H08/12
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#162
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A14/12
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#201
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H21/12
NCAA
70.6Avg total
35.7Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.432.766.1+0.653%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.131.766.8+3.469%-
Last 30 away (14)31.433.965.4-2.536%-
Last 10 (10)35.734.970.6+0.850%-
Last 5 (5)39.032.871.8+6.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)29.036.165.1-7.125%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)32.632.264.9+0.457%-
vs Weaker (8)39.030.269.2+8.875%-
This opponent (UT Arlington) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UT ArlingtonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas College
#446
W
50-27
50
27
+23
H16/11
NCAA
Missouri State
#334
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A20/11
NCAA
Murray State
#214
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A26/11
NCAA
Austin Peay
#275
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A27/11
NCAA
Rhode Island
#137
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H28/11
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#346
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A03/12
NCAA
Arkansas State
#54
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A13/12
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#346
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H14/12
NCAA
Evansville
#319
W
44-24
44
24
+20
H19/12
NCAA
Liberty
#19
L
22-39
22
39
-17
A21/12
NCAA
71.1Avg total
37.2Scored
33.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.033.071.0+5.063%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.132.072.1+8.171%-
Last 30 away (16)36.233.970.1+2.256%-
Last 10 (10)37.233.971.1+3.360%-
Last 5 (5)36.831.668.4+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)33.038.271.2-5.240%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)37.133.270.2+3.962%-
vs Weaker (11)40.331.171.4+9.273%-
This opponent (Texas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Texas State wins
2
UT Arlington wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/24HGeorgia Southern83-61
14/12/24AFlorida Atlantic80-89
08/12/24HRice75-66
05/12/24HArlington Baptist Patriots97-49
01/12/24ATexas Southern72-59
25/11/24HOhio74-65
23/11/24APrinceton83-80
21/11/24HBradley68-82
16/11/24AAbilene Christian60-72
13/11/24ATCU71-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/24ALiberty56-79
19/12/24HEvansville80-54
14/12/24HLouisiana Monroe77-68
13/12/24AArkansas State79-83
03/12/24ALouisiana Monroe84-70
28/11/24HRhode Island78-83
27/11/24AAustin Peay68-58
26/11/24AMurray State66-79
20/11/24AMissouri State68-78
16/11/24HTexas College95-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Texas State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW67%
HomeLWWWW86%
AwayLLWWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %67%86%40%
Points / game77.480.473.2
Allowed / game67.161.375.2
Point differential+10.3+19.1-2.0
Avg total144.5141.7148.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%57%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
UT Arlington
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL46%
HomeLWLWW67%
AwayLWWLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %46%67%29%
Points / game77.982.873.7
Allowed / game74.370.277.9
Point differential+3.6+12.7-4.1
Avg total152.2153.0151.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arkansas State1310377%80.771.5+9.2
2 Texas State128467%77.467.1+10.3
3 Troy128467%75.466.4+9.0
4 South Alabama128467%72.364.5+7.8
5 Coastal Carolina137654%69.268.1+1.2
6 Georgia Southern137654%74.478.9-4.5
7 Appalachian State126650%70.065.0+5.0
8 Marshall147750%76.072.3+3.7
9 James Madison126650%72.869.9+2.9
10 Southern Miss125742%71.576.7-5.2
11 Old Dominion135838%69.975.0-5.1
12 Georgia State134931%71.379.1-7.8
13 Louisiana Monroe1441029%72.872.4+0.4
14 Louisiana Lafayette1331023%65.675.8-10.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Western Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Valley State148657%76.369.2+7.1
2 Southern Utah148657%77.073.0+4.0
3 Abilene Christian148657%74.672.2+2.4
4 California Baptist137654%77.276.0+1.2
5 UT Arlington136746%77.974.3+3.6
6 Utah Tech1441029%71.676.6-5.0
7 Tarleton1441029%64.473.7-9.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Texas State393372
UT Arlington324880
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