PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Texas vs Arkansas Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 23 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 23:00
Scheduled
Position#2
Record3-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game100.0
Allowed / game57.0
vs
Position#110
Record3-1
FormLWLWW
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game67.8
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Texas v Arkansas
23 Jan 2027
TEXA v ARKA
upcoming
05 Feb 2025
TEXA70
ARKA78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Texas win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Arkansas win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TexasUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas
#36
L
85-105
85
105
-20
A05/03
NCAA
Oklahoma
#154
L
85-88 OT
85
88
-3
H08/03
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
L
66-76
66
76
-10
H11/03
NCAA
NC State
#128
W
68-66
68
66
+2
A18/03
NCAA
Brigham Young
#76
W
79-71
79
71
+8
A19/03
NCAA
Gonzaga
#9
W
74-68
74
68
+6
A21/03
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
77-79
77
79
-2
A26/03
NCAA
Chicago State
#267
W
109-59
109
59
+50
H03/11
NCAA
Gardner Webb
#330
W
98-50
98
50
+48
H06/11
NCAA
Grambling St.
#248
W
93-62
93
62
+31
H10/11
NCAA
1H
2H
34-56
51-49
40-36
37-41
30-41
36-35
30-29
38-37
46-37
33-34
35-33
39-35
35-39
42-40
56-30
53-29
54-20
44-30
55-27
38-35
155.8Avg total
83.4Scored
72.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)100.057.0157.0+43.0100%
Season at home (3)100.057.0157.0+43.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)83.472.4155.8+11.060%
Last 5 (5)90.263.6153.8+26.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)73.073.2146.2-0.240%
vs Similar (15)80.580.0160.5+0.553%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)91.168.4159.5+22.780%
This opponent (Arkansas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArkansasUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma
#154
W
82-79
82
79
+3
H14/03
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
W
93-90 OT
93
90
+3
H14/03
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
W
86-75
86
75
+11
H15/03
NCAA
Hawaii
#44
W
97-78
97
78
+19
H19/03
NCAA
High Point
#10
W
94-88
94
88
+6
H22/03
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
88-109
88
109
-21
A27/03
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#472
W
106-61
106
61
+45
H04/11
NCAA
Virginia
#42
L
72-91
72
91
-19
A08/11
NCAA
Robert Morris
#405
W
76-53
76
53
+23
H12/11
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#191
W
79-66
79
66
+13
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
37-39
45-40
37-36
42-43
41-39
45-36
54-36
43-42
43-42
51-46
43-54
45-55
47-28
59-33
27-46
45-45
39-30
37-23
43-27
36-39
166.3Avg total
87.3Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)83.267.8151.0+15.575%
Season at home (3)87.060.0147.0+27.0100%
Season away (1)72.091.0163.0-19.00%
Last 10 (10)87.379.0166.3+8.380%
Last 5 (5)84.276.0160.2+8.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)83.298.6181.8-15.420%
vs Similar (12)89.881.8171.6+8.175%
vs Weaker (13)91.376.2167.5+15.292%
This opponent (Texas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.7+6.71st half: +3.4+3.42nd half2nd half: +4.6+4.62nd half: +4.6+4.6
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.7+6.71st half: +3.4+3.42nd half2nd half: +4.6+4.62nd half: +4.6+4.6
TexasArkansas
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TexasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas
#36
L
34-56
34
56
-22
A05/03
NCAA
Oklahoma
#154
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H08/03
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H11/03
NCAA
NC State
#128
W
30-29
30
29
+1
A18/03
NCAA
Brigham Young
#76
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A19/03
NCAA
Gonzaga
#9
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A21/03
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A26/03
NCAA
Chicago State
#267
W
56-30
56
30
+26
H03/11
NCAA
Gardner Webb
#330
W
54-20
54
20
+34
H06/11
NCAA
Grambling St.
#248
W
55-27
55
27
+28
H10/11
NCAA
76.3Avg total
41.5Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.935.574.4+3.460%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.632.674.1+9.075%-
Last 30 away (14)35.938.874.6-2.943%-
Last 10 (10)41.534.876.3+6.770%-
Last 5 (5)47.029.876.8+17.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)37.037.674.6-0.660%-
vs Similar (15)36.337.573.9-1.247%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)43.731.375.0+12.480%-
This opponent (Arkansas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArkansasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma
#154
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H14/03
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H14/03
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H15/03
NCAA
Hawaii
#44
W
54-36
54
36
+18
H19/03
NCAA
High Point
#10
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H22/03
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
43-54
43
54
-11
A27/03
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#472
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H04/11
NCAA
Virginia
#42
L
27-46
27
46
-19
A08/11
NCAA
Robert Morris
#405
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H12/11
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#191
W
43-27
43
27
+16
H14/11
NCAA
78.8Avg total
41.1Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.538.179.7+3.467%-
Last 30 at home (19)42.635.678.2+6.979%-
Last 30 away (11)39.742.582.2-2.745%-
Last 10 (10)41.137.778.8+3.470%-
Last 5 (5)39.837.076.8+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)37.648.886.4-11.220%-
vs Similar (12)43.238.081.2+5.267%-
vs Weaker (13)41.534.275.6+7.385%-
This opponent (Texas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Texas wins
3
Arkansas wins
DateGameScore
05/03/26Arkansas v Texas105-85
27/02/25Arkansas v Texas86-81 OT
06/02/25Texas v Arkansas70-78
Texaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/26HGrambling St.93-62
06/11/26HGardner Webb98-50
03/11/26HChicago State109-59
26/03/26APurdue77-79
21/03/26AGonzaga74-68
19/03/26ABrigham Young79-71
18/03/26ANC State68-66
11/03/26HOle Miss66-76
08/03/26HOklahoma85-88 OT
05/03/26AArkansas85-105
Arkansaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HCentral Arkansas79-66
12/11/26HRobert Morris76-53
08/11/26AVirginia72-91
04/11/26HArkansas-Pine Bluff106-61
27/03/26AArizona88-109
22/03/26HHigh Point94-88
19/03/26HHawaii97-78
15/03/26HVanderbilt86-75
14/03/26HOle Miss93-90 OT
14/03/26HOklahoma82-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Texas
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game100.0100.0-
Allowed / game57.057.0-
Point differential+43.0+43.0-
Avg total157.0157.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Arkansas
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWW75%
HomeWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%100%0%
Points / game83.287.072.0
Allowed / game67.860.091.0
Point differential+15.5+27.0-19.0
Avg total151.0147.0163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Texas330100%100.057.0+43.0
2 Ole Miss330100%94.056.3+37.7
3 Texas A&M440100%99.267.2+32.0
4 LSU440100%90.859.5+31.2
5 Vanderbilt440100%90.260.2+30.0
6 South Carolina440100%78.856.5+22.2
7 Alabama440100%97.076.0+21.0
8 Florida440100%82.262.5+19.8
9 Tennessee330100%81.061.3+19.7
10 Georgia440100%81.870.2+11.5
11 Mississippi St.43175%87.267.5+19.8
12 Arkansas43175%83.267.8+15.5
13 Oklahoma43175%75.863.8+12.0
14 Kentucky43175%80.275.8+4.5
15 Missouri32167%97.066.0+31.0
16 Auburn32167%78.764.0+14.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.