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Thailand vs South Korea Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 20 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 12:00
Final 90-91
23-24 20-31 19-17 28-19
Position#12
Record8-3
FormLWLLW
Points / game86.4
Allowed / game75.5
vs
Position#8
Record2-2
FormWLWWL
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game80.8
EuropeAsia Cup· Nimibutr Arena
Other2023
Meetings · Thailand v South Korea
20 Feb 2025
THAI90
SOUT91
19 Jun 2021
THAI53
SOUT120
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Thailand winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
South Korea winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ThailandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThailand
Date
Competition
Indonesia
#4
L
69-87
69
87
-18
no box
A14/05
Southeast Asian Games
Cambodia
#2
L
66-76
66
76
-10
no box
A15/05
Southeast Asian Games
Indonesia
#4
W
83-69
83
69
+14
no box
H16/05
Southeast Asian Games
Jordan
#3
L
63-97
63
97
-34
no box
A26/09
Asian Games
Philippines
#1
L
72-87
72
87
-15
no box
H28/09
Asian Games
Bahrain
#9
L
62-76
62
76
-14
no box
A30/09
Asian Games
Indonesia
#29
W
73-56
73
56
+17
71avg 66
H22/02
Asia Cup
South Korea
#8
L
62-96
62
96
-34
43avg 66
A25/02
Asia Cup
Australia
#1
L
48-101
48
101
-53
33avg 66
H21/11
Asia Cup
Indonesia
#29
W
112-71
112
71
+41
117avg 66
A24/11
Asia Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-12
16-15
15-27
16-33
21-25
14-15
13-19
18-17
21-14
14-10
25-17
23-28
18-28
9-14
17-31
19-24
22-20
13-21
15-27
22-19
12-17
22-14
14-20
14-25
17-8
18-17
25-10
13-21
15-28
16-27
11-17
20-24
22-20
9-30
9-23
8-28
26-21
32-21
36-18
18-11
152.6Avg total
71.0Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)86.475.5161.9+10.873%
Season at home (6)85.778.5164.2+7.267%
Season away (5)87.272.0159.2+15.280%
Last 10 (10)71.081.6152.6-10.630%
Last 5 (5)71.480.0151.4-8.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)64.492.3156.6-27.90%
vs Similar (3)97.779.3177.0+18.3100%
vs Weaker (16)92.263.7155.9+28.675%
This opponent (South Korea) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South KoreaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKorea
Date
Competition
Qatar
#11
W
76-64
76
64
+12
no box
A28/09
Asian Games
Japan
#8
L
77-83
77
83
-6
no box
A30/09
Asian Games
Bahrain
#9
W
88-73
88
73
+15
no box
H02/10
Asian Games
China
#2
L
70-84
70
84
-14
no box
A03/10
Asian Games
Iran
#4
L
82-89
82
89
-7
no box
A04/10
Asian Games
Japan
#8
W
74-55
74
55
+19
no box
H06/10
Asian Games
Australia
#1
L
71-85
71
85
-14
55avg 79
A22/02
Asia Cup
Thailand
#12
W
96-62
96
62
+34
108avg 79
H25/02
Asia Cup
Indonesia
#29
W
86-78
86
78
+8
89avg 79
H21/11
Asia Cup
Australia
#1
L
75-98
75
98
-23
64avg 79
H24/11
Asia Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-13
21-16
24-18
9-17
17-23
20-20
16-18
24-22
24-20
31-16
20-15
13-22
12-20
17-30
15-16
26-18
20-21
28-19
15-26
19-23
19-18
22-7
18-18
15-12
15-14
25-22
17-17
14-32
28-15
27-16
17-11
24-20
19-15
21-25
18-23
28-15
19-19
13-35
26-17
17-27
156.6Avg total
79.5Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)82.080.8162.8+1.250%
Season at home (3)85.779.3165.0+6.367%
Season away (1)71.085.0156.0-14.00%
Last 10 (10)79.577.1156.6+2.450%
Last 5 (5)80.475.6156.0+4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)71.691.3162.9-19.70%
vs Similar (6)81.779.2160.8+2.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)90.770.4161.1+20.393%
This opponent (Thailand) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -5.9-5.9Q4: -1.9-1.9
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -5.9-5.9Q4: -1.9-1.9
ThailandSouth Korea
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ThailandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indonesia
#4
W
38-27
38
27
+11
A14/05
Southeast Asian Games
Cambodia
#2
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A15/05
Southeast Asian Games
Indonesia
#4
W
35-24
35
24
+11
H16/05
Southeast Asian Games
Jordan
#3
L
27-42
27
42
-15
A26/09
Asian Games
Philippines
#1
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H28/09
Asian Games
Bahrain
#9
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A30/09
Asian Games
Indonesia
#29
W
35-25
35
25
+10
H22/02
Asia Cup
South Korea
#8
L
31-55
31
55
-24
A25/02
Asia Cup
Australia
#1
L
31-50
31
50
-19
H21/11
Asia Cup
Indonesia
#29
W
58-42
58
42
+16
A24/11
Asia Cup
73.6Avg total
35.9Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.136.877.9+4.350%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.737.578.2+3.347%-
Last 30 away (15)41.536.177.6+5.353%-
Last 10 (10)35.937.773.6-1.850%-
Last 5 (5)37.840.678.4-2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)32.047.379.3-15.39%-
vs Similar (3)49.741.391.0+8.367%-
vs Weaker (16)45.828.874.5+17.075%-
This opponent (South Korea) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South KoreaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Qatar
#11
W
43-29
43
29
+14
A28/09
Asian Games
Japan
#8
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A30/09
Asian Games
Bahrain
#9
W
55-36
55
36
+19
H02/10
Asian Games
China
#2
L
29-50
29
50
-21
A03/10
Asian Games
Iran
#4
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A04/10
Asian Games
Japan
#8
W
41-25
41
25
+16
H06/10
Asian Games
Australia
#1
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A22/02
Asia Cup
Thailand
#12
W
55-31
55
31
+24
H25/02
Asia Cup
Indonesia
#29
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H21/11
Asia Cup
Australia
#1
L
32-54
32
54
-22
H24/11
Asia Cup
80.4Avg total
42.0Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.138.680.7+3.450%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.938.981.8+4.153%-
Last 30 away (15)41.238.479.6+2.847%-
Last 10 (10)42.038.480.4+3.660%-
Last 5 (5)41.637.278.8+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)34.945.280.1-10.320%-
vs Similar (6)42.838.881.7+4.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)46.933.980.7+13.071%-
This opponent (Thailand) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Thailandtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Thailand: 85.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.3 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.919.0
50.1%
49.3%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.711.4
33.0%
32.7%34.3
🏀 Free throws17.012.9
75.8%
70.1%12.9
They take 72.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
South Koreatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

South Korea: 81.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.5 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.522.8
51.1%
49.3%45.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.58.2
30.0%
32.7%24.8
🏀 Free throws14.211.2
78.9%
70.1%11.2
They take 72.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 9/4 games with a box score before 20 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Thailand
WLLWLLLWLL
South Korea
LWWLWLLWLW
#12
League position
#8
+14.9
Net rating
+2.8
104.0
Offensive rating
100.6
89.1
Defensive rating
97.8
49.8%
Effective FG%
48.8%
47.8%
Opp. effective FG%
46.8%
17.1%
Turnover %
18.2%
29.3%
Off. rebound %
28.6%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.20
33.0%
3-point %
30.0%
62.0%
Assist %
75.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence104.0 · 100.6Defence89.1 · 97.8Shooting49.8% · 48.8%3-point %33.0% · 30.0%Ball care17.1% · 18.2%Off. rebounds29.3% · 28.6%Free throws0.23 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Thailand   ■ South Korea
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Thailand wins
4
South Korea wins
DateGameScore
25/02/24South Korea v Thailand96-62
19/06/21Thailand v South Korea53-120
23/02/20South Korea v Thailand93-86
22/08/18South Korea v Thailand117-77
Thailandlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/11/24AIndonesia112-71
21/11/24HAustralia48-101
25/02/24ASouth Korea62-96
22/02/24HIndonesia73-56
30/09/23ABahrain62-76
28/09/23HPhilippines72-87
26/09/23AJordan63-97
16/05/23HIndonesia83-69
15/05/23ACambodia66-76
14/05/23AIndonesia69-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/11/24HAustralia75-98
21/11/24HIndonesia86-78
25/02/24HThailand96-62
22/02/24AAustralia71-85
06/10/23HJapan74-55
04/10/23AIran82-89
03/10/23AChina70-84
02/10/23HBahrain88-73
30/09/23AJapan77-83
28/09/23AQatar76-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Thailand
Asia Cup 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW73%
HomeWLWWL67%
AwayWWWLW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %73%67%80%
Points / game86.485.787.2
Allowed / game75.578.572.0
Point differential+10.8+7.2+15.2
Avg total161.9164.2159.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%50%80%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
South Korea
Asia Cup 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWL50%
HomeWWL67%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %50%67%0%
Points / game82.085.771.0
Allowed / game80.879.385.0
Point differential+1.2+6.3-14.0
Avg total162.8165.0156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Australia550100%99.860.6+39.2
2 Lebanon440100%92.270.5+21.8
3 Jordan440100%78.063.8+14.2
4 China54180%88.857.6+31.2
5 Philippines54180%94.070.2+23.8
6 New Zealand54180%87.865.2+22.6
7 Japan54180%77.476.4+1.0
8 Iran43175%64.851.2+13.5
9 Saudi Arabia43175%66.865.2+1.5
10 Thailand118373%86.475.5+10.8
11 Guam106460%70.573.5-3.0
12 Iraq95456%74.072.8+1.2
13 Qatar95456%67.066.3+0.7
14 South Korea42250%82.080.8+1.2
15 Mongolia126650%76.878.3-1.6
16 Kazakhstan42250%51.256.5-5.2
17 Bahrain42250%71.579.8-8.2
18 United Arab Emirates94544%70.271.4-1.2
19 Malaysia73443%74.075.7-1.7
20 Kuwait52340%73.270.2+3.0
21 Chinese Taipei52340%72.483.0-10.6
22 Palestine93633%69.971.9-2.0
23 Vietnam41325%68.070.8-2.8
24 Syria41325%72.878.8-6.0
25 India41325%61.071.8-10.8
26 Hong Kong102820%63.981.2-17.3
27 Oman5050%57.674.8-17.2
28 Singapore5050%57.476.4-19.0
29 Indonesia5050%62.897.2-34.4
30 Tahiti4040%52.889.8-37.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Thailand2320192890
South Korea2431171991
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