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Thorl vs Breidablik Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 17 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 120-104
32-25 29-25 32-17 27-37
Position#4
Record4-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game85.3
Thorl 🏆
Iceland
vs
Position#11
Record0-6
FormLLLLL
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game100.7
IcelandPremier leagueRound 7· Icelandic Glacial hollin
Other2023-24
Meetings · Thorl v Breidablik
17 Nov 2023
THOR120
BREI104
06 Oct 2022
THOR100
BREI111
18 Feb 2022
THOR136
BREI116
07 Feb 2019
THOR132
BREI93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Thorl winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Breidablik winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ThorlIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThorl
Date
Competition
Valur
#2
W
92-83
92
83
+9
no box
H24/04
Premier league
Valur
#2
L
65-91
65
91
-26
no box
A27/04
Premier league
Valur
#2
L
94-103
94
103
-9
no box
H30/04
Premier league
Valur
#2
L
95-102
95
102
-7
no box
A02/05
Premier league
Valur
#1
L
81-96
81
96
-15
66avg 78
H06/10
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
W
84-80
84
80
+4
74avg 78
A12/10
Premier league
Haukar
#10
W
84-81
84
81
+3
84avg 78
H19/10
Premier league
Hottur
#8
W
84-83
84
83
+1
73avg 78
A26/10
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
W
84-79
84
79
+5
75avg 78
H02/11
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
L
90-93
90
93
-3
96avg 78
A09/11
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-28
28-23
18-13
18-19
12-20
18-21
13-22
22-28
27-22
15-37
27-24
25-20
21-22
23-32
16-24
35-24
25-15
20-29
23-33
13-19
22-17
19-22
19-20
24-21
20-20
17-22
27-16
20-23
24-22
20-15
29-25
11-21
24-17
23-23
19-19
18-20
15-21
19-24
30-23
26-25
174.4Avg total
85.3Scored
89.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)84.585.3169.8-0.867%
Season at home (3)83.085.3168.3-2.367%
Season away (3)86.085.3171.3+0.767%
Last 10 (10)85.389.1174.4-3.850%
Last 5 (5)85.283.2168.4+2.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)85.594.5180.0-9.00%
vs Similar (19)91.088.9179.9+2.158%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)103.787.7191.3+16.089%
This opponent (Breidablik) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BreidablikIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreidablik
Date
Competition
Stjarnan
#8
L
97-112
97
112
-15
no box
A09/03
Premier league
Grindavik
#7
L
103-112
103
112
-9
no box
H17/03
Premier league
Hottur
#9
L
85-98
85
98
-13
no box
H23/03
Premier league
Haukar
#4
L
97-105
97
105
-8
no box
A30/03
Premier league
Haukar
#10
L
83-127
83
127
-44
73avg 70
H05/10
Premier league
Hottur
#8
L
73-80
73
80
-7
no box
A12/10
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
L
71-91
71
91
-20
60avg 70
H19/10
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
L
85-115
85
115
-30
77avg 70
A26/10
Premier league
Tindastoll
#9
L
77-92
77
92
-15
63avg 70
H02/11
Premier league
Njardvik
#5
L
93-99
93
99
-6
77avg 70
H10/11
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-37
31-23
20-26
29-26
15-32
28-24
36-32
24-24
22-15
24-21
19-30
20-32
27-34
19-31
27-18
24-22
24-37
21-25
15-32
23-33
17-24
16-14
21-15
19-27
20-32
15-12
18-26
18-21
25-26
19-33
18-28
23-28
16-26
23-21
13-24
25-21
21-24
26-22
17-23
29-30
189.5Avg total
86.4Scored
103.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)80.3100.7181.0-20.30%
Season at home (4)81.0102.2183.2-21.20%
Season away (2)79.097.5176.5-18.50%
Last 10 (10)86.4103.1189.5-16.70%
Last 5 (5)79.895.4175.2-15.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)89.1101.9191.0-12.819%
vs Similar (7)103.4100.7204.1+2.743%
vs Weaker (2)122.5122.5245.0+0.050%
This opponent (Thorl) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -8.3-8.3Q2Q2: -4.6-4.6Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -5.0-5.0Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -3.0-3.0
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -8.3-8.3Q2Q2: -4.6-4.6Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -5.0-5.0Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -3.0-3.0
ThorlBreidablik
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ThorlLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valur
#2
W
56-51
56
51
+5
H24/04
Premier league
Valur
#2
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A27/04
Premier league
Valur
#2
L
42-59
42
59
-17
H30/04
Premier league
Valur
#2
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A02/05
Premier league
Valur
#1
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H06/10
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A12/10
Premier league
Haukar
#10
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H19/10
Premier league
Hottur
#8
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A26/10
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H02/11
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A09/11
Premier league
87.2Avg total
42.0Scored
45.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.343.388.6+2.060%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.641.086.6+4.677%-
Last 30 away (17)45.145.190.2+0.147%-
Last 10 (10)42.045.287.2-3.250%-
Last 5 (5)40.640.681.2+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)39.544.584.0-5.050%-
vs Similar (19)43.943.787.6+0.358%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)49.642.291.8+7.367%-
This opponent (Breidablik) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BreidablikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stjarnan
#8
L
48-60
48
60
-12
A09/03
Premier league
Grindavik
#7
L
43-56
43
56
-13
H17/03
Premier league
Hottur
#9
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H23/03
Premier league
Haukar
#4
L
46-65
46
65
-19
A30/03
Premier league
Haukar
#10
L
45-62
45
62
-17
H05/10
Premier league
Hottur
#8
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A12/10
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H19/10
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
L
44-59
44
59
-15
A26/10
Premier league
Tindastoll
#9
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H02/11
Premier league
Njardvik
#5
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H10/11
Premier league
93.9Avg total
42.6Scored
51.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.452.499.8-5.033%-
Last 30 at home (16)47.750.197.8-2.444%-
Last 30 away (14)47.055.0102.0-8.021%-
Last 10 (10)42.651.393.9-8.720%-
Last 5 (5)39.646.886.4-7.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)45.052.597.5-7.429%-
vs Similar (7)50.951.7102.6-0.943%-
vs Weaker (2)59.554.0113.5+5.550%-
This opponent (Thorl) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Thorltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Thorl: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.3 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.5 points a game
46%
38%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.819.7
53.4%
51.2%39.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.710.3
32.6%
34.2%31.0
🏀 Free throws18.213.5
74.3%
74.4%13.5
They take 68.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Breidabliktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breidablik: 81.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.5 points a game
46%
38%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.020.0
55.6%
51.2%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.49.0
26.2%
34.2%27.0
🏀 Free throws19.414.4
74.2%
74.4%14.4
They take 70.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/5 games with a box score before 17 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Thorl
LWWWWLLLLW
Breidablik
LLLLLLLLLL
#4
League position
#11
-1.5
Net rating
-25.4
107.4
Offensive rating
94.9
108.9
Defensive rating
120.4
51.3%
Effective FG%
47.6%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
55.4%
16.9%
Turnover %
20.8%
29.2%
Off. rebound %
24.1%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.28
32.6%
3-point %
26.2%
65.0%
Assist %
54.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence107.4 · 94.9Defence108.9 · 120.4Shooting51.3% · 47.6%3-point %32.6% · 26.2%Ball care16.9% · 20.8%Off. rebounds29.2% · 24.1%Free throws0.27 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 0%
■ Thorl   ■ Breidablik
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Thorl wins
1
Breidablik wins
DateGameScore
06/01/23Breidablik v Thorl113-137
06/10/22Thorl v Breidablik100-111
18/02/22Thorl v Breidablik136-116
11/11/21Breidablik v Thorl102-104
07/02/19Thorl v Breidablik132-93
15/11/18Breidablik v Thorl107-110
Thorllast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/23AGrindavik90-93
02/11/23HAlftanes84-79
26/10/23AHottur84-83
19/10/23HHaukar84-81
12/10/23AStjarnan84-80
06/10/23HValur81-96
02/05/23AValur95-102
30/04/23HValur94-103
27/04/23AValur65-91
24/04/23HValur92-83
Breidabliklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/23HNjardvik93-99
02/11/23HTindastoll77-92
26/10/23AGrindavik85-115
19/10/23HAlftanes71-91
12/10/23AHottur73-80
05/10/23HHaukar83-127
30/03/23AHaukar97-105
23/03/23HHottur85-98
17/03/23HGrindavik103-112
09/03/23AStjarnan97-112

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Thorl
Premier league 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL67%
HomeLWW67%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game84.583.086.0
Allowed / game85.385.385.3
Point differential-0.8-2.3+0.7
Avg total169.8168.3171.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Breidablik
Premier league 2023-24
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLLL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game80.381.079.0
Allowed / game100.7102.297.5
Point differential-20.3-21.2-18.5
Avg total181.0183.2176.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Valur64267%95.086.2+8.8
2 Alftanes64267%82.877.0+5.8
3 Njardvik64267%92.887.2+5.7
4 Tindastoll64267%87.782.3+5.3
5 Stjarnan64267%85.881.8+4.0
6 Hottur64267%88.388.0+0.3
7 Thorl64267%84.585.3-0.8
8 Grindavik63350%94.293.0+1.2
9 Keflavik63350%88.591.7-3.2
10 Haukar62433%100.394.7+5.7
11 Hamar6060%86.599.0-12.5
12 Breidablik6060%80.3100.7-20.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Thorl32293227120
Breidablik25251737104
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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