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Alftanes vs Thorl Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 13 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 108-96
21-11 33-32 26-19 28-34
Position#6
Record10-10
FormWWWWL
Points / game90.5
Allowed / game91.8
vs
Position#9
Record9-11
FormWLLWL
Points / game91.4
Allowed / game94.9
IcelandPremier leagueRound 21· Ungmennafélag Álftaness
Other2024-25
Meetings · Alftanes v Thorl
09 Jan 2026
ALFT97
THOR75
13 Mar 2025
ALFT108
THOR96
01 Feb 2024
ALFT94
THOR104
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alftanes winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Thorl winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlftanesIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlftanes
Date
Competition
Keflavik
#10
W
89-87
89
87
+2
80avg 80
A02/01
Premier league
Njardvik
#3
L
75-81
75
81
-6
60avg 80
H09/01
Premier league
Valur
#5
L
81-87
81
87
-6
66avg 80
A16/01
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
L
88-100
88
100
-12
76avg 80
H19/01
Icelandic Cup
KR Basket
#8
W
111-100
111
100
+11
109avg 80
H23/01
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
W
94-75
94
75
+19
84avg 80
A30/01
Premier league
Haukar
#12
W
107-90
107
90
+17
101avg 80
H06/02
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
W
94-92
94
92
+2
87avg 80
A12/02
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
W
102-89
102
89
+13
104avg 80
H28/02
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
L
76-116
76
116
-40
68avg 80
A07/03
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-23
21-20
30-20
16-24
20-17
20-19
16-20
19-25
23-25
23-21
18-17
17-24
24-27
22-26
17-28
25-19
36-30
18-22
27-16
30-32
23-14
26-19
20-28
25-14
23-22
27-29
27-22
30-17
30-20
24-26
16-18
24-28
27-13
20-34
29-27
26-15
19-24
20-33
21-34
16-25
183.4Avg total
91.7Scored
91.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)90.591.8182.4-1.350%
Season at home (10)94.593.5188.0+1.050%
Season away (10)86.690.2176.8-3.650%
Last 10 (10)91.791.7183.4+0.060%
Last 5 (5)94.692.4187.0+2.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)85.094.6179.6-9.633%
vs Similar ◀ (16)87.987.2175.1+0.650%
vs Weaker (4)96.289.8186.0+6.575%
This opponent (Thorl) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ThorlIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThorl
Date
Competition
Keflavik
#10
L
86-105
86
105
-19
80avg 87
A19/12
Premier league
Njardvik
#3
L
104-106
104
106
-2
89avg 87
A02/01
Premier league
Valur
#5
W
94-69
94
69
+25
98avg 87
H10/01
Premier league
KR Basket
#8
L
99-102
99
102
-3
99avg 87
A16/01
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
L
94-95
94
95
-1
93avg 87
H24/01
Premier league
Haukar
#12
W
100-99
100
99
+1
95avg 87
A02/02
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
L
95-104
95
104
-9
84avg 87
H06/02
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
96-109
96
109
-13
96avg 87
A13/02
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
W
94-91 OT
94
91
+3
95avg 87
H28/02
Premier league
Hottur
#11
L
95-103
95
103
-8
88avg 87
A06/03
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-31
19-30
19-20
17-24
23-25
30-28
26-35
25-18
23-10
24-17
26-17
21-25
30-24
21-25
20-33
28-20
24-32
27-16
24-28
19-19
25-37
33-15
21-20
21-27
23-21
14-29
33-24
25-30
15-34
30-28
28-18
23-29
23-26
18-18
19-23
18-11
28-30
30-32
26-13
11-28
194.0Avg total
95.7Scored
98.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)91.494.9186.3-3.545%
Season at home (10)91.789.0180.7+2.760%
Season away (10)91.1100.8191.9-9.730%
Last 10 (10)95.798.3194.0-2.630%
Last 5 (5)96.0101.2197.2-5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)90.198.1188.2-8.040%
vs Similar ◀ (16)93.693.8187.4-0.244%
vs Weaker (3)95.392.0187.3+3.3100%
This opponent (Alftanes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -2.3-2.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -2.3-2.3
AlftanesThorl
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlftanesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keflavik
#10
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A02/01
Premier league
Njardvik
#3
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H09/01
Premier league
Valur
#5
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A16/01
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
L
46-53
46
53
-7
H19/01
Icelandic Cup
KR Basket
#8
W
54-52
54
52
+2
H23/01
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
W
49-33
49
33
+16
A30/01
Premier league
Haukar
#12
L
50-51
50
51
-1
H06/02
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
W
54-46
54
46
+8
A12/02
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H28/02
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
L
39-57
39
57
-18
A07/03
Premier league
93.2Avg total
46.8Scored
46.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.745.190.7+0.650%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.544.890.3+0.653%-
Last 30 away (13)45.945.491.3+0.546%-
Last 10 (10)46.846.493.2+0.440%-
Last 5 (5)47.846.894.6+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)46.648.394.9-1.844%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)43.044.487.4-1.444%-
vs Weaker (4)51.244.896.0+6.575%-
This opponent (Thorl) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ThorlLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keflavik
#10
L
50-61
50
61
-11
A19/12
Premier league
Njardvik
#3
D
53-53
53
53
+0
A02/01
Premier league
Valur
#5
W
47-27
47
27
+20
H10/01
Premier league
KR Basket
#8
W
51-49
51
49
+2
A16/01
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
W
51-48
51
48
+3
H24/01
Premier league
Haukar
#12
W
58-52
58
52
+6
A02/02
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
L
37-50
37
50
-13
H06/02
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
45-62
45
62
-17
A13/02
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H28/02
Premier league
Hottur
#11
L
58-62
58
62
-4
A06/03
Premier league
99.9Avg total
49.1Scored
50.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.449.395.7-2.837%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.145.992.1+0.247%-
Last 30 away (15)46.752.699.3-5.927%-
Last 10 (10)49.150.899.9-1.740%-
Last 5 (5)47.854.0101.8-6.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)44.049.093.0-5.030%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)46.649.696.1-3.038%-
vs Weaker (3)53.347.0100.3+6.367%-
This opponent (Alftanes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alftanestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alftanes: 90.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 91.2 points a game
47%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.424.8
54.6%
53.7%49.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.98.1
38.8%
34.4%24.3
🏀 Free throws25.616.8
65.6%
75.6%16.8
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Thorltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Thorl: 94.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 91.2 points a game
47%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.521.9
61.7%
53.7%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.712.0
35.6%
34.4%36.0
🏀 Free throws18.414.7
79.9%
75.6%14.7
They take 69.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alftanes
LWWWWWLLLW
Thorl
LWLLWLLWLL
#6
League position
#9
+0.0
Net rating
-3.6
112.5
Offensive rating
114.5
112.5
Defensive rating
118.1
55.7%
Effective FG%
57.7%
55.0%
Opp. effective FG%
55.4%
15.5%
Turnover %
16.7%
27.7%
Off. rebound %
23.9%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.27
38.8%
3-point %
35.6%
55.3%
Assist %
62.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence112.5 · 114.5Defence112.5 · 118.1Shooting55.7% · 57.7%3-point %38.8% · 35.6%Ball care15.5% · 16.7%Off. rebounds27.7% · 23.9%Free throws0.39 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Alftanes   ■ Thorl
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Alftanes wins
3
Thorl wins
DateGameScore
13/12/24Thorl v Alftanes89-78
01/02/24Alftanes v Thorl94-104
02/11/23Thorl v Alftanes84-79
Alftaneslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/25AStjarnan76-116
28/02/25HTindastoll102-89
12/02/25AGrindavik94-92
06/02/25HHaukar107-90
30/01/25AIR Reykjavik94-75
23/01/25HKR Basket111-100
19/01/25HStjarnan88-100
16/01/25AValur81-87
09/01/25HNjardvik75-81
02/01/25AKeflavik89-87
Thorllast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/25AHottur95-103
28/02/25HStjarnan94-91 OT
13/02/25ATindastoll96-109
06/02/25HGrindavik95-104
02/02/25AHaukar100-99
24/01/25HIR Reykjavik94-95
16/01/25AKR Basket99-102
10/01/25HValur94-69
02/01/25ANjardvik104-106
19/12/24AKeflavik86-105

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alftanes
Premier league 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL50%
HomeLLWWW50%
AwayWLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game90.594.586.6
Allowed / game91.893.590.2
Point differential-1.3+1.0-3.6
Avg total182.4188.0176.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%30%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)33% (3)100% (3)
Overtime %10%20%0%
Thorl
Premier league 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL45%
HomeWWLLW60%
AwayLLWLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %45%60%30%
Points / game91.491.791.1
Allowed / game94.989.0100.8
Point differential-3.5+2.7-9.7
Avg total186.3180.7191.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%30%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)60% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %10%10%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Stjarnan2015575%98.286.5+11.7
2 Tindastoll2015575%97.887.8+10.0
3 Njardvik2013765%94.290.6+3.6
4 Valur2012860%88.586.4+2.1
5 Grindavik2011955%94.991.7+3.2
6 Alftanes20101050%90.591.8-1.3
7 KR Basket2091145%92.994.5-1.6
8 Thorl2091145%91.494.9-3.5
9 IR Reykjavik2091145%88.593.3-4.8
10 Keflavik2081240%96.096.0+0.0
11 Hottur2051525%85.193.1-8.0
12 Haukar2041620%86.097.6-11.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alftanes21332628108
Thorl1132193496
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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