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FMP Beograd vs Mornar Bar Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 04 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 87-72
19-10 18-15 26-25 24-22
Position#11
Record12-13
FormWLWLL
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game85.3
vs
Position#17
Record2-23
FormLLLLW
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game93.7
EuropeABA LeagueRound 26· Belgrade
Domestic2024
Meetings · FMP Beograd v Mornar Bar
04 Apr 2025
FBE87
MBA72
06 Apr 2024
FBE111
MBA94
15 Apr 2023
FBE101
MBA76
17 Oct 2021
FBE83
MBA81
05 Apr 2021
FBE94
MBA92
08 Dec 2018
FBE82
MBA84
05 Jan 2018
FBE79
MBA84
15 Jan 2017
FBE92
MBA85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FMP Beograd winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mornar Bar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FMP BeogradLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBeograd
Date
Competition
Borac Mozzart
#13
L
72-92
72
92
-20
61avg 78
A25/01
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#8
W
89-88
89
88
+1
80avg 78
H01/02
ABA League
Cibona
#16
W
86-85
86
85
+1
80avg 78
A07/02
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#5
W
71-70
71
70
+1
64avg 78
A12/02
Korac cup
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
63-84
63
84
-21
55avg 78
A14/02
Korac cup
Studentski Centar
#12
W
78-55
78
55
+23
67avg 78
H02/03
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
65-90
65
90
-25
50avg 78
A10/03
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#15
W
98-89
98
89
+9
99avg 78
H16/03
ABA League
Zadar
#10
L
71-99
71
99
-28
50avg 78
A21/03
ABA League
Dubai
#4
L
61-84
61
84
-23
53avg 78
A29/03
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-24
13-21
21-26
21-21
21-17
23-25
19-23
26-23
29-16
20-25
19-20
18-24
15-20
17-20
21-17
18-13
16-22
18-19
21-22
8-21
15-15
17-21
27-14
19-5
21-26
15-18
12-23
17-23
29-19
19-22
23-25
27-23
22-27
13-24
16-25
20-23
15-23
11-16
20-21
15-24
159.0Avg total
75.4Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)78.985.3164.2-6.448%
Season at home (12)82.981.0163.9+1.975%
Season away (13)75.289.3164.5-14.123%
Last 10 (10)75.483.6159.0-8.250%
Last 5 (5)74.683.4158.0-8.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)73.488.9162.4-15.516%
vs Similar (7)86.483.1169.6+3.371%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)85.381.7167.0+3.7100%
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mornar BarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBar
Date
Competition
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
L
72-114
72
114
-42
59avg 65
A26/01
ABA League
Mega Basket
#9
L
83-113
83
113
-30
68avg 65
H01/02
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
L
71-90
71
90
-19
60avg 65
A08/02
ABA League
Podgorica
#5
W
82-81
82
81
+1
73avg 65
H12/02
Montenegrin Cup
Buducnost
#1
L
78-86
78
86
-8
67avg 65
A13/02
Montenegrin Cup
Spartak Subotica
#8
L
66-76
66
76
-10
56avg 65
H28/02
ABA League
Cibona
#16
L
64-82
64
82
-18
48avg 65
A07/03
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#12
L
74-94
74
94
-20
64avg 65
H15/03
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
84-89
84
89
-5
80avg 65
A23/03
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#15
W
78-70
78
70
+8
74avg 65
H30/03
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-38
15-25
22-22
17-29
16-26
19-33
20-29
28-25
15-26
25-21
15-21
16-22
16-22
28-17
16-21
22-21
19-18
11-23
20-23
28-22
22-14
14-20
20-17
10-25
9-22
16-11
18-19
21-30
29-24
14-17
17-28
14-25
18-26
18-14
18-20
30-29
22-16
23-20
13-18
20-16
164.7Avg total
75.2Scored
89.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)75.093.7168.7-18.68%
Season at home (12)74.591.9166.4-17.417%
Season away (13)75.595.3170.8-19.80%
Last 10 (10)75.289.5164.7-14.320%
Last 5 (5)73.282.2155.4-9.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)76.094.7170.7-18.77%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -4.8-4.8Q2Q2: -4.5-4.5Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: -3.9-3.9Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -3.8-3.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -4.8-4.8Q2Q2: -4.5-4.5Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: -3.9-3.9Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -3.8-3.8
FMP BeogradMornar Bar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FMP BeogradLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Borac Mozzart
#13
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A25/01
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#8
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H01/02
ABA League
Cibona
#16
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A07/02
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#5
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A12/02
Korac cup
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A14/02
Korac cup
Studentski Centar
#12
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H02/03
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A10/03
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#15
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H16/03
ABA League
Zadar
#10
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A21/03
ABA League
Dubai
#4
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A29/03
ABA League
78.6Avg total
36.6Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.543.381.8-4.830%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.043.384.3-2.338%-
Last 30 away (17)36.543.379.8-6.824%-
Last 10 (10)36.642.078.6-5.430%-
Last 5 (5)35.442.277.6-6.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)36.345.081.3-8.711%-
vs Similar (7)42.339.381.6+3.071%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)45.343.088.3+2.367%-
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mornar BarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
L
33-63
33
63
-30
A26/01
ABA League
Mega Basket
#9
L
35-59
35
59
-24
H01/02
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A08/02
ABA League
Podgorica
#5
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H12/02
Montenegrin Cup
Buducnost
#1
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A13/02
Montenegrin Cup
Spartak Subotica
#8
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H28/02
ABA League
Cibona
#16
L
25-33
25
33
-8
A07/03
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#12
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H15/03
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A23/03
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#15
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H30/03
ABA League
80.0Avg total
36.7Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.646.783.3-10.123%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.944.982.9-7.036%-
Last 30 away (16)35.448.283.6-12.812%-
Last 10 (10)36.743.380.0-6.640%-
Last 5 (5)37.036.873.8+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)36.346.983.3-10.621%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
FMP Beogradtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FMP Beograd: 74.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.118.3
45.6%
54.0%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.87.1
31.1%
35.7%21.3
🏀 Free throws21.316.1
75.6%
75.6%16.1
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mornar Bartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mornar Bar: 73.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.617.0
50.6%
54.0%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.68.5
34.6%
35.7%25.5
🏀 Free throws19.113.5
70.7%
75.6%13.5
They take 58.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
FMP Beograd
LLWLWLWWWL
Mornar Bar
WLLLLLWLLL
#11
League position
#17
-12.2
Net rating
-28.1
97.8
Offensive rating
98.6
109.9
Defensive rating
126.7
46.0%
Effective FG%
51.1%
53.7%
Opp. effective FG%
60.8%
18.0%
Turnover %
21.2%
28.8%
Off. rebound %
25.5%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.33
31.1%
3-point %
34.6%
54.7%
Assist %
59.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence97.8 · 98.6Defence109.9 · 126.7Shooting46.0% · 51.1%3-point %31.1% · 34.6%Ball care18.0% · 21.2%Off. rebounds28.8% · 25.5%Free throws0.34 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ FMP Beograd   ■ Mornar Bar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
FMP Beograd wins
3
Mornar Bar wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/25ADubai61-84
21/03/25AZadar71-99
16/03/25HKK Krka Novo mesto98-89
10/03/25APartizan65-90
02/03/25HStudentski Centar78-55
14/02/25ACrvena zvezda63-84
12/02/25ASpartak Subotica71-70
07/02/25ACibona86-85
01/02/25HSpartak Subotica89-88
25/01/25ABorac Mozzart72-92
Mornar Barlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/03/25HKK Krka Novo mesto78-70
23/03/25APartizan84-89
15/03/25HStudentski Centar74-94
07/03/25ACibona64-82
28/02/25HSpartak Subotica66-76
13/02/25ABuducnost78-86
12/02/25HPodgorica82-81
08/02/25ABorac Mozzart71-90
01/02/25HMega Basket83-113
26/01/25ACedevita Olimpija72-114

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FMP Beograd
ABA League 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL48%
HomeLWWWW75%
AwayLWLLL23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %48%75%23%
Points / game78.982.975.2
Allowed / game85.381.089.3
Point differential-6.4+1.9-14.1
Avg total164.2163.9164.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won78% (9)80% (5)75% (4)
Overtime %8%8%8%
Mornar Bar
ABA League 2024
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW8%
HomeLLLLW17%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %8%17%0%
Points / game75.074.575.5
Allowed / game93.791.995.3
Point differential-18.6-17.4-19.8
Avg total168.7166.4170.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %8%8%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Partizan2522388%91.573.6+17.8
2 Buducnost2522388%90.476.2+14.2
3 Dubai2520580%87.877.6+10.2
4 Crvena zvezda2519676%88.378.4+9.9
5 Cedevita Olimpija2516964%83.678.7+4.9
6 Igokea2516964%85.486.0-0.6
7 Spartak Subotica25131252%83.682.3+1.3
8 Zadar25121348%76.675.1+1.4
9 Mega Basket25121348%82.081.4+0.6
10 FMP Beograd25121348%78.985.3-6.4
11 Studentski Centar25101540%84.886.5-1.7
12 Split2581732%76.682.9-6.3
13 Borac Mozzart2581732%75.183.6-8.6
14 KK Krka Novo mesto2542116%81.488.2-6.8
15 Cibona2542116%76.387.8-11.5
16 Mornar Bar252238%75.093.7-18.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
FMP Beograd1918262487
Mornar Bar1015252272
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