Tivat vs Mornar Bar Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 03 May 2018

Tip-off: 17:05

Final 60-66

14-18 14-14 18-19 14-15

Position#6

Record12-9

FormLLWLL

Points / game83.0

Allowed / game75.4

Tivat

Mornar Bar 🏆

Position#1

Record3-2

FormWWLWL

Points / game89.4

Allowed / game79.4

Prva A LigaRound 6

Other2017-18

Meetings · Tivat v Mornar Bar

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tivat winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Mornar Bar winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Tivat

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Lovcen Cetinje

71-78

-7

H17/03

Prva A Liga

Vrsac

67-91

-24

A21/03

ABA League 2

Ibar Rozaje

75-61

+14

A24/03

Prva A Liga

Zrinjski Mostar

84-72

+12

H28/03

ABA League 2

Primorje

#11

87-70

+17

A31/03

Prva A Liga

Mornar Bar

82-105

105

-23

A18/04

Prva A Liga

Sutjeska

61-75

-14

A21/04

Prva A Liga

Ulcinj

70-65

H24/04

Prva A Liga

Buducnost

56-82

-26

A27/04

Prva A Liga

Lovcen Cetinje

76-82

-6

H30/04

Prva A Liga

24-19

23-25

14-9

10-25

15-22

17-32

20-21

15-16

19-16

26-14

14-18

16-13

27-18

14-21

18-22

25-11

22-17

15-20

20-17

30-16

25-27

22-28

19-22

16-28

11-17

22-23

19-9

9-26

22-17

20-17

13-19

15-12

8-18

13-25

14-14

21-25

23-27

17-21

16-17

20-17

151.0Avg total

72.9Scored

78.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (21)	83.0	75.4	158.3	+7.6	57%
Season at home (10)	87.2	72.5	159.7	+14.7	70%
Season away (11)	79.1	78.0	157.1	+1.1	45%
Last 10 (10)	72.9	78.1	151.0	-5.2	40%
Last 5 (5)	69.0	81.8	150.8	-12.8	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	72.7	85.9	158.6	-13.2	11%
vs Similar (13)	77.5	79.8	157.3	-2.4	38%
vs Weaker (8)	93.8	64.9	158.6	+28.9	100%

This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Mornar Bar Montenegro

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Crvena zvezda

63-91

-28

A18/03

ABA League

Donar Groningen

73-67

H21/03

FIBA Europe Cup

Crvena zvezda

88-84

H25/03

ABA League

Donar Groningen

74-101

101

-27

A28/03

FIBA Europe Cup

Crvena zvezda

69-88

-19

A02/04

ABA League

Tivat

105-82

105

+23

H18/04

Prva A Liga

Ulcinj

80-72

A21/04

Prva A Liga

Buducnost

83-85

-2

H24/04

Prva A Liga

Lovcen Cetinje

100-77

100

+23

A27/04

Prva A Liga

Sutjeska

79-81

-2

H30/04

Prva A Liga

14-22

8-19

27-23

14-27

18-10

19-30

15-12

21-15

30-21

18-24

21-19

19-20

20-25

14-27

20-18

20-31

19-26

18-26

19-16

13-20

27-25

28-22

22-19

28-16

23-19

19-24

18-13

20-16

20-24

17-21

24-14

22-26

17-22

27-25

37-15

19-15

22-20

19-23

15-12

23-26

164.2Avg total

81.4Scored

82.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	89.4	79.4	168.8	+10.0	60%
Season at home (3)	89.0	82.7	171.7	+6.3	33%
Season away (2)	90.0	74.5	164.5	+15.5	100%
Last 10 (10)	81.4	82.8	164.2	-1.4	50%
Last 5 (5)	89.4	79.4	168.8	+10.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	75.8	83.8	159.6	-7.9	50%
vs Similar (9)	89.7	84.1	173.8	+5.6	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	87.2	75.8	163.0	+11.4	78%

This opponent (Tivat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

TivatMornar Bar

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.7	19.9	38.6	-1.2	52%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	21.8	18.9	40.7	+2.8	75%	-
Last 30 away (17)	16.5	20.5	37.1	-4.0	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	19.8	39.4	-0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	21.2	39.0	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	15.8	21.6	37.3	-5.8	22%	-
vs Similar (13)	18.9	20.8	39.8	-1.9	46%	-
vs Weaker (7)	22.0	15.9	37.9	+6.1	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	21.4	42.0	-0.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.8	19.7	42.5	+3.1	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.4	23.1	41.5	-4.7	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	21.4	42.4	-0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	22.0	43.8	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	20.9	21.5	42.4	-0.6	50%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.7	22.4	42.1	-2.8	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	21.1	20.2	41.3	+0.9	56%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.9	19.9	39.8	+0.0	41%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	20.6	19.8	40.4	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.4	19.9	39.4	-0.5	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	22.6	41.5	-3.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	22.8	41.6	-4.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	17.0	24.2	41.2	-7.2	0%	-
vs Similar (13)	20.4	19.6	40.0	+0.8	46%	-
vs Weaker (7)	22.7	14.9	37.6	+7.9	86%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	22.1	42.4	-1.8	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	23.9	44.0	-3.7	20%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.5	20.3	40.8	+0.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	24.1	42.8	-5.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	23.0	45.0	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	16.8	24.2	41.0	-7.5	8%	-
vs Similar (9)	23.2	20.9	44.1	+2.3	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	22.1	20.4	42.6	+1.7	33%	-

TivatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Lovcen Cetinje

47-44

H17/03

Prva A Liga

Vrsac

32-54

-22

A21/03

ABA League 2

Ibar Rozaje

45-30

+15

A24/03

Prva A Liga

Zrinjski Mostar

41-39

H28/03

ABA League 2

Primorje

#11

37-37

A31/03

Prva A Liga

Mornar Bar

47-55

-8

A18/04

Prva A Liga

Sutjeska

33-40

-7

A21/04

Prva A Liga

Ulcinj

42-34

H24/04

Prva A Liga

Buducnost

21-43

-22

A27/04

Prva A Liga

Lovcen Cetinje

40-48

-8

H30/04

Prva A Liga

80.9Avg total

38.5Scored

42.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	38.6	39.8	78.3	-1.2	41%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	42.3	38.8	81.1	+3.6	67%	-
Last 30 away (17)	35.9	40.5	76.4	-4.5	24%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.5	42.4	80.9	-3.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.6	44.0	80.6	-7.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	32.8	45.8	78.6	-13.0	0%	-
vs Similar (13)	39.3	40.5	79.8	-1.2	46%	-
vs Weaker (7)	44.7	30.7	75.4	+14.0	86%	-

This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Mornar BarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Crvena zvezda

22-41

-19

A18/03

ABA League

Donar Groningen

37-40

-3

H21/03

FIBA Europe Cup

Crvena zvezda

48-45

H25/03

ABA League

Donar Groningen

34-52

-18

A28/03

FIBA Europe Cup

Crvena zvezda

37-52

-15

A02/04

ABA League

Tivat

55-47

H18/04

Prva A Liga

Ulcinj

42-43

-1

A21/04

Prva A Liga

Buducnost

37-45

-8

H24/04

Prva A Liga

Lovcen Cetinje

44-47

-3

A27/04

Prva A Liga

Sutjeska

41-43

-2

H30/04

Prva A Liga

85.2Avg total

39.7Scored

45.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.9	43.5	84.4	-2.6	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.9	43.5	86.5	-0.6	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.9	43.5	82.3	-4.6	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.7	45.5	85.2	-5.8	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.8	45.0	88.8	-1.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	37.7	45.8	83.4	-8.1	17%	-
vs Similar (9)	42.9	43.3	86.2	-0.4	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	43.2	40.7	83.9	+2.6	44%	-

This opponent (Tivat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.6	18.5	39.1	+2.1	48%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	21.3	17.2	38.6	+4.1	58%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.1	19.4	39.5	+0.8	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.7	16.8	33.5	-0.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	16.2	32.4	+0.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	21.6	18.1	39.7	+3.4	33%	-
vs Similar (13)	19.1	19.5	38.5	-0.4	46%	-
vs Weaker (7)	22.3	17.1	39.4	+5.1	71%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	18.0	39.2	+3.1	73%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.3	16.5	37.7	+4.8	93%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.1	19.6	40.7	+1.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	16.1	37.9	+5.7	100%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	14.6	37.8	+8.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	18.9	18.2	37.1	+0.8	75%	-
vs Similar (9)	22.4	18.4	40.9	+4.0	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	22.9	17.4	40.3	+5.4	78%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.4	19.3	38.8	+0.1	52%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	19.8	17.9	37.7	+1.8	58%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.2	20.3	39.5	-1.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.7	18.9	36.6	-1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	21.6	37.8	-5.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	18.3	22.0	40.3	-3.7	22%	-
vs Similar (13)	18.3	19.1	37.4	-0.8	62%	-
vs Weaker (7)	23.0	16.3	39.3	+6.7	71%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	19.1	40.1	+1.8	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.9	18.4	40.3	+3.5	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	19.9	39.8	+0.1	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	21.2	41.1	-1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	19.8	42.2	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	19.2	19.8	39.1	-0.6	58%	-
vs Similar (9)	23.0	19.7	42.7	+3.3	78%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	21.1	17.7	38.8	+3.4	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	40.1	37.8	77.9	+2.3	52%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	41.1	35.2	76.2	+5.9	75%	-
Last 30 away (17)	39.4	39.6	79.0	-0.3	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.4	35.7	70.1	-1.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.4	37.8	70.2	-5.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	39.9	40.1	80.0	-0.2	44%	-
vs Similar (13)	37.4	38.5	75.9	-1.2	46%	-
vs Weaker (7)	45.3	33.4	78.7	+11.9	71%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.1	37.2	79.3	+4.9	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.2	34.9	78.1	+8.3	87%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.0	39.5	80.5	+1.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.7	37.3	79.0	+4.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.6	34.4	80.0	+11.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	38.2	38.0	76.2	+0.2	50%	-
vs Similar (9)	45.4	38.1	83.6	+7.3	78%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	44.0	35.1	79.1	+8.9	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Tivattheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Mornar Bartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mornar Bar: 86.3 points a game scored

🏀🏀47%

🏀🏀🏀33%

🏀21%

🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 47% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 33% of the points

🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 21% of the points

League average for comparison: 87.9 points a game

53%

30%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.9	20.2	56.3%	58.8%	40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.0	9.4	36.2%	31.5%	28.2
🏀 Free throws	24.1	17.7	73.4%	69.7%	17.7

They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.7	21.0	51.6%	58.8%	42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.0	8.7	37.8%	31.5%	26.1
🏀 Free throws	18.8	13.8	73.4%	69.7%	13.8

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.7	19.1	52.0%	58.8%	38.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.1	8.7	36.0%	31.5%	26.0
🏀 Free throws	22.0	15.4	69.9%	69.7%	15.4

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.8	21.2	53.2%	58.8%	42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	21.2	7.6	36.1%	31.5%	22.9
🏀 Free throws	20.9	14.9	71.4%	69.7%	14.9

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Tivat wins

Mornar Bar wins

Date	Game	Score
18/04/18	Mornar Bar v Tivat	105-82
19/04/17	Tivat v Mornar Bar	63-91
15/04/17	Mornar Bar v Tivat	70-65
15/03/16	Mornar Bar v Tivat	93-67
16/02/16	Tivat v Mornar Bar	56-47

Tivatlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
30/04/18	H	Lovcen Cetinje	76-82
27/04/18	A	Buducnost	56-82
24/04/18	H	Ulcinj	70-65
21/04/18	A	Sutjeska	61-75
18/04/18	A	Mornar Bar	82-105
31/03/18	A	Primorje	87-70
28/03/18	H	Zrinjski Mostar	84-72
24/03/18	A	Ibar Rozaje	75-61
21/03/18	A	Vrsac	67-91
17/03/18	H	Lovcen Cetinje	71-78

Mornar Barlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
30/04/18	H	Sutjeska	79-81
27/04/18	A	Lovcen Cetinje	100-77
24/04/18	H	Buducnost	83-85
21/04/18	A	Ulcinj	80-72
18/04/18	H	Tivat	105-82
02/04/18	A	Crvena zvezda	69-88
28/03/18	A	Donar Groningen	74-101
25/03/18	H	Crvena zvezda	88-84
21/03/18	H	Donar Groningen	73-67
18/03/18	A	Crvena zvezda	63-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tivat

Prva A Liga 2017-18

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLL	57%
Home	WLLWL	70%
Away	WWLLL	45%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	21	10	11
Win %	57%	70%	45%
Points / game	83.0	87.2	79.1
Allowed / game	75.4	72.5	78.0
Point differential	+7.6	+14.7	+1.1
Avg total	158.3	159.7	157.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	43%	50%	36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (6)	100% (2)	25% (4)
Overtime %	5%	0%	9%

Mornar Bar

Prva A Liga 2017-18

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWL	60%
Home	WLL	33%
Away	WW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	3	2
Win %	60%	33%	100%
Points / game	89.4	89.0	90.0
Allowed / game	79.4	82.7	74.5
Point differential	+10.0	+6.3	+15.5
Avg total	168.8	171.7	164.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	40%	33%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (2)	0% (2)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Buducnost	6	6	0	100%	85.3	69.3	+16.0
2	Lovcen Cetinje	22	17	5	77%	83.5	74.4	+9.1
3	Sutjeska	22	15	7	68%	82.5	71.3	+11.2
4	Ulcinj	22	14	8	64%	84.9	76.8	+8.1
5	Mornar Bar	5	3	2	60%	89.4	79.4	+10.0
6	Tivat	21	12	9	57%	83.0	75.4	+7.6
7	Strsljen	2	1	1	50%	86.5	87.5	-1.0
8	Ibar Rozaje	16	7	9	44%	76.5	76.6	-0.1
9	Danilovgrad	16	5	11	31%	68.9	76.2	-7.4
10	Jedinstvo	16	5	11	31%	77.7	87.9	-10.2
11	Primorje	16	3	13	19%	69.6	93.1	-23.6
12	Studentski Centar	18	3	15	17%	70.3	85.3	-14.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Tivat	14	14	18	14	60
Mornar Bar	18	14	19	15	66

← all games of the day

Tivat vs Mornar Bar Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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