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Tobol Kostanay vs Astana 2 Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 20 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 12:00
Final 76-97
24-25 21-28 18-20 13-24
Position#2
Record23-6
FormWWWWL
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game75.6
vs
Position#3
Record13-16
FormLWWWW
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game78.6
KazakhstanNational LeagueNational League - Semi-finals· SEC Kostanay
Other2024-25
Meetings · Tobol Kostanay v Astana 2
20 Apr 2025
TOBO76
ASTA97
19 Apr 2025
TOBO70
ASTA93
25 Jan 2025
TOBO112
ASTA73
24 Jan 2025
TOBO114
ASTA70
24 Dec 2023
TOBO79
ASTA66
23 Dec 2023
TOBO95
ASTA88
22 Nov 2016
TOBO78
ASTA47
12 Nov 2015
TOBO103
ASTA32
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tobol Kostanay winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Astana 2 winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Tobol KostanayKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKostanay
Date
Competition
Almaty
#4
L
72-88
72
88
-16
68avg 88
A02/03
National League
Atyrau
#5
W
84-75
84
75
+9
96avg 88
A08/03
National League
Atyrau
#5
L
79-108
79
108
-29
71avg 88
A09/03
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
W
83-69
83
69
+14
87avg 88
H16/03
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
84-85
84
85
-1
91avg 88
H17/03
National League
Almaty
#4
W
92-81
92
81
+11
95avg 88
H24/03
National League
Almaty
#4
W
20-0
20
0
+20
no box
H25/03
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
104-78
104
78
+26
115avg 88
H04/04
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
105-91
105
91
+14
113avg 88
A05/04
National League
Astana 2
#3
L
70-93
70
93
-23
62avg 88
H19/04
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-24
8-28
20-22
22-14
24-15
19-21
17-21
24-18
15-28
22-29
26-30
16-21
21-20
14-18
20-11
28-20
26-31
15-15
30-22
13-17
26-17
20-19
25-30
21-15
–
–
–
–
31-20
26-15
26-20
21-23
33-26
20-31
23-11
29-23
14-26
17-23
21-24
18-20
156.1Avg total
79.3Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)85.575.6161.0+9.979%
Season at home (16)85.173.6158.7+11.675%
Season away (13)85.978.0163.9+7.985%
Last 10 (10)79.376.8156.1+2.560%
Last 5 (5)78.268.6146.8+9.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)80.076.0156.0+4.033%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)85.675.4161.1+10.281%
This opponent (Astana 2) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Astana 2KazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
73-112
73
112
-39
68avg 69
A25/01
National League
Atyrau
#5
W
69-60
69
60
+9
66avg 69
H02/02
National League
Atyrau
#5
W
79-60
79
60
+19
73avg 69
H03/02
National League
Atyrau
#5
L
64-95
64
95
-31
64avg 69
A01/03
National League
Atyrau
#5
L
79-90
79
90
-11
82avg 69
A02/03
National League
Pavlodar
#8
L
66-70 OT
66
70
-4
56avg 69
H11/03
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
82-68
82
68
+14
81avg 69
H12/03
National League
Atyrau
#5
W
77-55
77
55
+22
85avg 69
A14/04
National League
Atyrau
#5
W
100-66
100
66
+34
106avg 69
H15/04
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
W
93-70
93
70
+23
97avg 69
A19/04
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-23
21-40
16-31
20-18
21-17
19-19
13-13
16-11
20-9
16-12
21-16
22-23
10-35
21-14
15-21
18-25
31-23
16-26
18-27
14-14
18-10
16-25
8-15
21-13
20-15
25-15
22-21
15-17
18-17
19-11
22-14
18-13
22-20
23-25
28-13
27-8
26-14
23-17
24-21
20-18
152.8Avg total
78.2Scored
74.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)76.278.6154.8-2.345%
Season at home (13)81.871.9153.7+9.862%
Season away (16)71.883.9155.7-12.231%
Last 10 (10)78.274.6152.8+3.660%
Last 5 (5)83.665.8149.4+17.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)72.487.6160.0-15.122%
vs Similar (15)78.175.9154.1+2.247%
vs Weaker (6)76.272.7148.8+3.567%
This opponent (Tobol Kostanay) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -4.2-4.2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +3.1+3.1
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -4.2-4.2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +3.1+3.1
Tobol KostanayAstana 2
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Tobol KostanayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Almaty
#4
L
30-52
30
52
-22
A02/03
National League
Atyrau
#5
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A08/03
National League
Atyrau
#5
L
37-57
37
57
-20
A09/03
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H16/03
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H17/03
National League
Almaty
#4
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H24/03
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
57-35
57
35
+22
H04/04
National League
Pavlodar
#8
L
53-57
53
57
-4
A05/04
National League
Astana 2
#3
L
31-49
31
49
-18
H19/04
National League
86.6Avg total
41.4Scored
45.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)44.440.584.9+3.962%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.539.583.9+5.067%-
Last 30 away (14)44.341.685.9+2.757%-
Last 10 (9)41.445.186.6-3.733%-
Last 5 (5)45.644.690.2+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)36.742.078.7-5.30%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)45.340.385.6+5.069%-
This opponent (Astana 2) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Astana 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
37-63
37
63
-26
A25/01
National League
Atyrau
#5
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H02/02
National League
Atyrau
#5
W
36-21
36
21
+15
H03/02
National League
Atyrau
#5
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A01/03
National League
Atyrau
#5
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A02/03
National League
Pavlodar
#8
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H11/03
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H12/03
National League
Atyrau
#5
W
37-28
37
28
+9
A14/04
National League
Atyrau
#5
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H15/04
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
W
49-31
49
31
+18
A19/04
National League
78.8Avg total
40.1Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.039.977.9-1.933%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.437.378.7+4.143%-
Last 30 away (16)35.142.277.2-7.125%-
Last 10 (10)40.138.778.8+1.450%-
Last 5 (5)42.033.875.8+8.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)37.044.281.2-7.222%-
vs Similar (15)38.539.778.2-1.133%-
vs Weaker (6)38.334.072.3+4.350%-
This opponent (Tobol Kostanay) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Tobol Kostanay wins
3
Astana 2 wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/04/25HAstana 270-93
05/04/25APavlodar105-91
04/04/25HPavlodar104-78
25/03/25HAlmaty20-0
24/03/25HAlmaty92-81
17/03/25HIrbis Almaty84-85
16/03/25HIrbis Almaty83-69
09/03/25AAtyrau79-108
08/03/25AAtyrau84-75
02/03/25AAlmaty72-88
Astana 2last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/04/25ATobol Kostanay93-70
15/04/25HAtyrau100-66
14/04/25AAtyrau77-55
12/03/25HPavlodar82-68
11/03/25HPavlodar66-70 OT
02/03/25AAtyrau79-90
01/03/25AAtyrau64-95
03/02/25HAtyrau79-60
02/02/25HAtyrau69-60
25/01/25ATobol Kostanay73-112

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tobol Kostanay
National League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL79%
HomeLWWWL75%
AwayWLWLW85%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291613
Win %79%75%85%
Points / game85.585.185.9
Allowed / game75.673.678.0
Point differential+9.9+11.6+7.9
Avg total161.0158.7163.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%56%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)60% (5)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Astana 2
National League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW45%
HomeWWLWW62%
AwayLLLWW31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291316
Win %45%62%31%
Points / game76.281.871.8
Allowed / game78.671.983.9
Point differential-2.3+9.8-12.2
Avg total154.8153.7155.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%46%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)25% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %3%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Irbis Almaty2621581%81.771.4+10.3
2 Tobol Kostanay2923679%85.575.6+9.9
3 Almaty31171455%75.473.3+2.1
4 Atyrau28141450%78.577.2+1.3
5 Kaspiy Aktau29131645%74.175.7-1.6
6 Astana 229131645%76.278.6-2.3
7 Aktobe1631319%67.575.6-8.1
8 Pavlodar2842414%71.886.6-14.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tobol Kostanay2421181376
Astana 22528202497
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