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Murcia vs Tofas Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 14 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 115-89
31-21 23-23 31-22 30-23
Position#2
Record1-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game62.5
Murcia 🏆
vs
Position#34
Record1-1
FormLLLLL
Points / game92.0
Allowed / game95.0
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 3· Palacio de Deportes de Murcia
European cup2023
Meetings · Murcia v Tofas
14 Nov 2023
MUR115
TOF89
04 Oct 2022
MUR75
TOF72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Murcia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tofas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MurciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMurcia
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#8
W
88-76
88
76
+12
79avg 68
H27/09
ACB
Tenerife
#5
W
80-68
80
68
+12
74avg 68
H30/09
ACB
Bilbao
#13
L
68-77
68
77
-9
53avg 68
A08/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
92-106
92
106
-14
88avg 68
A15/10
ACB
Tortona
#8
L
74-78
74
78
-4
60avg 68
A18/10
Champions League
Gran Canaria
#7
W
95-69
95
69
+26
70avg 68
H21/10
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
L
76-82
76
82
-6
63avg 68
A28/10
ACB
Igokea
#49
W
72-47
72
47
+25
70avg 68
H01/11
Champions League
Manresa
#9
W
87-74
87
74
+13
80avg 68
H05/11
ACB
Palencia
#18
W
76-66
76
66
+10
68avg 68
A11/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-13
20-11
23-24
27-28
19-17
10-20
26-20
25-11
10-12
14-28
22-13
22-24
22-15
15-27
25-39
30-25
25-22
17-19
16-14
16-23
20-19
27-19
22-25
26-6
11-15
17-23
28-11
20-33
19-11
16-8
23-19
14-9
23-16
22-22
31-24
11-12
21-20
19-18
19-18
17-10
155.1Avg total
80.8Scored
74.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)73.062.5135.5+10.550%
Season at home (1)72.047.0119.0+25.0100%
Season away (1)74.078.0152.0-4.00%
Last 10 (10)80.874.3155.1+6.560%
Last 5 (5)81.267.6148.8+13.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)82.191.8173.9-9.638%
vs Similar (13)83.875.6159.5+8.277%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)77.575.4152.9+2.150%
This opponent (Tofas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TofasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTofas
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#3
L
87-98
87
98
-11
no box
H31/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Samsunspor
#16
W
104-91
104
91
+13
103avg 75
H30/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#3
L
54-69
54
69
-15
48avg 75
A08/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Merkezefendi
#14
W
97-93
97
93
+4
90avg 75
A13/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Igokea
#49
W
104-102 OT
104
102
+2
98avg 75
A18/10
Champions League
Manisa
#6
L
77-89
77
89
-12
69avg 75
H22/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#7
L
100-107 OT
100
107
-7
no box
A28/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tortona
#8
L
80-88
80
88
-8
75avg 75
H31/10
Champions League
Fenerbahce
#1
L
86-95
86
95
-9
83avg 75
H05/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#2
L
75-85
75
85
-10
66avg 75
A11/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-26
25-23
22-21
27-28
23-25
14-24
31-21
36-21
17-15
10-13
6-22
21-19
33-27
26-21
15-24
23-21
28-16
15-19
18-22
30-34
20-22
22-18
14-26
21-23
24-23
28-12
23-34
18-24
16-21
31-22
13-25
20-20
19-30
23-23
28-21
16-21
21-21
18-26
19-26
17-12
178.1Avg total
86.4Scored
91.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)92.095.0187.0-3.050%
Season at home (1)80.088.0168.0-8.00%
Season away (1)104.0102.0206.0+2.0100%
Last 10 (10)86.491.7178.1-5.330%
Last 5 (5)83.692.8176.4-9.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)78.985.8164.6-6.925%
vs Similar (15)85.288.3173.5-3.127%
vs Weaker (7)90.985.9176.7+5.086%
This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: -5.3-5.3Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: +0.6+0.6
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: -5.3-5.3Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: +0.6+0.6
MurciaTofas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#8
W
38-24
38
24
+14
H27/09
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
29-37
29
37
-8
H30/09
ACB
Bilbao
#13
L
24-40
24
40
-16
A08/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A15/10
ACB
Tortona
#8
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A18/10
Champions League
Gran Canaria
#7
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H21/10
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A28/10
ACB
Igokea
#49
W
35-19
35
19
+16
H01/11
Champions League
Manresa
#9
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H05/11
ACB
Palencia
#18
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A11/11
ACB
72.0Avg total
36.5Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.937.474.3-0.553%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.033.972.9+5.171%-
Last 30 away (16)35.040.475.4-5.438%-
Last 10 (10)36.535.572.0+1.060%-
Last 5 (5)39.034.273.2+4.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)37.842.480.1-4.625%-
vs Similar (13)38.334.172.4+4.285%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)33.637.471.0-3.838%-
This opponent (Tofas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TofasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#3
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H31/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Samsunspor
#16
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H30/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#3
L
27-28
27
28
-1
A08/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Merkezefendi
#14
W
59-48
59
48
+11
A13/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Igokea
#49
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A18/10
Champions League
Manisa
#6
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H22/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#7
W
52-35
52
35
+17
A28/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tortona
#8
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H31/10
Champions League
Fenerbahce
#1
L
42-53
42
53
-11
H05/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#2
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A11/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
85.3Avg total
42.6Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.741.483.1+0.347%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.342.385.6+1.160%-
Last 30 away (15)40.140.580.7-0.433%-
Last 10 (10)42.642.785.3-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)44.443.688.0+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)38.842.981.6-4.125%-
vs Similar (15)45.142.187.2+2.960%-
vs Weaker (7)38.038.176.1-0.143%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.123.6
53.5%
51.4%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.86.9
27.8%
34.9%20.7
🏀 Free throws16.212.1
74.7%
74.5%12.1
They take 68.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tofastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tofas: 82.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.719.7
55.2%
51.4%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.39.2
35.0%
34.9%27.6
🏀 Free throws22.115.1
68.3%
74.5%15.1
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Murcia
WWWLWLLLWW
Tofas
LLLLLWWLWL
#2
League position
#34
+8.6
Net rating
-5.8
105.8
Offensive rating
111.3
97.2
Defensive rating
117.1
49.3%
Effective FG%
54.0%
47.4%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
16.5%
Turnover %
16.7%
34.9%
Off. rebound %
28.7%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.36
27.8%
3-point %
35.0%
57.0%
Assist %
64.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence105.8 · 111.3Defence97.2 · 117.1Shooting49.3% · 54.0%3-point %27.8% · 35.0%Ball care16.5% · 16.7%Off. rebounds34.9% · 28.7%Free throws0.24 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Murcia   ■ Tofas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Murcia wins
0
Tofas wins
DateGameScore
21/12/22Tofas v Murcia77-87
04/10/22Murcia v Tofas75-72
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/23APalencia76-66
05/11/23HManresa87-74
01/11/23HIgokea72-47
28/10/23ABasquet Girona76-82
21/10/23HGran Canaria95-69
18/10/23ATortona74-78
15/10/23AReal Madrid92-106
08/10/23ABilbao68-77
30/09/23HTenerife80-68
27/09/23HBaskonia88-76
Tofaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/23AAnadolu Efes75-85
05/11/23HFenerbahce86-95
31/10/23HTortona80-88
28/10/23APetkim Spor100-107 OT
22/10/23HManisa77-89
18/10/23AIgokea104-102 OT
13/10/23AMerkezefendi97-93
08/10/23ABesiktas54-69
30/09/23HSamsunspor104-91
31/05/23HFenerbahce87-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murcia
Champions League 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game73.072.074.0
Allowed / game62.547.078.0
Point differential+10.5+25.0-4.0
Avg total135.5119.0152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Tofas
Champions League 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game92.080.0104.0
Allowed / game95.088.0102.0
Point differential-3.0-8.0+2.0
Avg total187.0168.0206.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %50%0%100%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Dijon330100%93.076.7+16.3
2 Unicaja330100%83.772.0+11.7
3 Hapoel Jerusalem220100%91.581.0+10.5
4 Karsiyaka220100%89.580.0+9.5
5 AEK Athens330100%84.378.3+6.0
6 Tortona220100%83.077.0+6.0
7 Strasbourg550100%82.076.2+5.8
8 Hapoel Holon110100%75.074.0+1.0
9 Cholet65183%82.079.5+2.5
10 Promitheas32167%91.076.7+14.3
11 Benfica64267%88.374.7+13.7
12 Obradoiro CAB32167%80.768.0+12.7
13 Tenerife32167%85.072.7+12.3
14 Bonn32167%83.773.0+10.7
15 Brindisi32167%74.772.3+2.3
16 Norrkoping32167%77.776.3+1.3
17 Darussafaka32167%84.083.3+0.7
18 Nes Ziona21150%83.067.5+15.5
19 Murcia21150%73.062.5+10.5
20 Bakken Bears21150%85.578.5+7.0
21 Breogan21150%69.567.0+2.5
22 Legia21150%68.066.5+1.5
23 Den Bosch21150%79.581.0-1.5
24 Fribourg Olympic21150%58.060.5-2.5
25 Tofas21150%92.095.0-3.0
26 Varese21150%80.583.5-3.0
27 PAOK21150%80.085.5-5.5
28 AEK Larnaca21150%66.576.5-10.0
29 Rytas31233%86.076.0+10.0
30 Galatasaray31233%90.388.3+2.0
31 Le Mans31233%77.777.3+0.3
32 Sassari31233%84.385.0-0.7
33 Szczecin31233%82.784.3-1.7
34 Szombathely31233%76.379.0-2.7
35 Ludwigsburg31233%80.083.7-3.7
36 Peristeri31233%73.082.3-9.3
37 FMP Beograd1010%71.073.0-2.0
38 Oldenburg2020%83.085.0-2.0
39 CSM Oradea1010%74.077.0-3.0
40 Antwerp Giants1010%72.076.0-4.0
41 BC Kalev/Cramo1010%78.082.0-4.0
42 Jonava1010%78.083.0-5.0
43 Caledonia Gladiators1010%51.057.0-6.0
44 Levice1010%66.074.0-8.0
45 VEF Riga3030%67.778.0-10.3
46 Gottingen1010%84.096.0-12.0
47 Igokea2020%74.588.0-13.5
48 Oostende2020%72.587.5-15.0
49 Bursaspor2020%60.579.5-19.0
50 Peja1010%79.0103.0-24.0
51 Mornar Bar1010%56.090.0-34.0
52 Karhu Basket1010%56.092.0-36.0
53 Opava3030%65.3106.0-40.7
54 TSU1010%62.0122.0-60.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 54 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Murcia31233130115
Tofas2123222389
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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