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Tortona vs Tofas Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 29 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 91-85 (OT)
23-25 18-19 21-17 19-20 10-4
Position#8
Record3-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game85.7
Allowed / game79.3
Tortona 🏆
vs
Position#34
Record1-2
FormLLLWW
Points / game91.0
Allowed / game101.7
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 4· PalaFerraris
European cup2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tortona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tofas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TortonaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTortona
Date
Competition
Varese
#12
W
80-78
80
78
+2
72avg 73
A15/10
Lega A
Murcia
#2
W
78-74
78
74
+4
70avg 73
H18/10
Champions League
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
75-79
75
79
-4
70avg 73
H22/10
Lega A
Sassari
#8
W
94-74
94
74
+20
97avg 73
A28/10
Lega A
Tofas
#34
W
88-80
88
80
+8
88avg 73
A31/10
Champions League
Brescia
#3
L
59-87
59
87
-28
45avg 73
H05/11
Lega A
Pesaro
#16
L
92-96
92
96
-4
86avg 73
A12/11
Lega A
Igokea
#49
W
91-84
91
84
+7
86avg 73
H15/11
Champions League
Reggiana
#5
W
90-77
90
77
+13
83avg 73
A19/11
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
83-80 OT
83
80
+3
no box
H26/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-23
17-17
20-18
19-20
22-25
19-17
14-16
23-16
19-22
12-19
24-13
20-25
22-20
27-12
31-19
14-23
21-16
22-31
25-13
20-20
11-18
20-24
14-23
14-22
29-20
16-28
27-16
20-32
30-21
16-16
26-16
19-31
24-25
13-16
28-17
25-19
24-19
19-19
22-18
6-15
163.9Avg total
83.0Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)85.779.3165.0+6.3100%
Season at home (2)84.579.0163.5+5.5100%
Season away (1)88.080.0168.0+8.0100%
Last 10 (10)83.080.9163.9+2.170%
Last 5 (5)83.084.8167.8-1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)72.685.4158.0-12.914%
vs Similar ◀ (16)79.779.1158.8+0.669%
vs Weaker (6)78.780.2158.8-1.550%
This opponent (Tofas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TofasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTofas
Date
Competition
Merkezefendi
#14
W
97-93
97
93
+4
90avg 76
A13/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Igokea
#49
W
104-102 OT
104
102
+2
98avg 76
A18/10
Champions League
Manisa
#6
L
77-89
77
89
-12
69avg 76
H22/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#7
L
100-107 OT
100
107
-7
no box
A28/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tortona
#8
L
80-88
80
88
-8
75avg 76
H31/10
Champions League
Fenerbahce
#1
L
86-95
86
95
-9
83avg 76
H05/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#2
L
75-85
75
85
-10
66avg 76
A11/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Murcia
#2
L
89-115
89
115
-26
79avg 76
A14/11
Champions League
Turk Telekom
#9
W
79-62
79
62
+17
76avg 76
H18/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#13
W
82-76
82
76
+6
78avg 76
A26/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-27
26-21
15-24
23-21
28-16
15-19
18-22
30-34
20-22
22-18
14-26
21-23
24-23
28-12
23-34
18-24
16-21
31-22
13-25
20-20
19-30
23-23
28-21
16-21
21-21
18-26
19-26
17-12
21-31
23-23
22-31
23-30
19-12
27-18
19-15
14-17
19-18
13-17
23-19
27-22
178.1Avg total
86.9Scored
91.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)91.0101.7192.7-10.733%
Season at home (1)80.088.0168.0-8.00%
Season away (2)96.5108.5205.0-12.050%
Last 10 (10)86.991.2178.1-4.340%
Last 5 (5)82.286.6168.8-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)80.089.0169.0-9.022%
vs Similar ◀ (14)86.187.2173.3-1.143%
vs Weaker (7)90.985.9176.7+5.086%
This opponent (Tortona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +6.2+6.2Q3: -4.9-4.9Q4Q4: -4.3-4.3Q4: -1.5-1.5
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +6.2+6.2Q3: -4.9-4.9Q4Q4: -4.3-4.3Q4: -1.5-1.5
TortonaTofas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TortonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#12
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A15/10
Lega A
Murcia
#2
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H18/10
Champions League
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H22/10
Lega A
Sassari
#8
W
49-32
49
32
+17
A28/10
Lega A
Tofas
#34
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A31/10
Champions League
Brescia
#3
L
31-42
31
42
-11
H05/11
Lega A
Pesaro
#16
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A12/11
Lega A
Igokea
#49
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H15/11
Champions League
Reggiana
#5
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A19/11
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H26/11
Lega A
81.5Avg total
40.7Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.440.579.9-1.140%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.439.080.4+2.450%-
Last 30 away (16)37.641.879.4-4.231%-
Last 10 (10)40.740.881.5-0.140%-
Last 5 (5)40.441.281.6-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)38.343.681.9-5.329%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)40.438.979.3+1.450%-
vs Weaker (6)40.240.380.5-0.233%-
This opponent (Tofas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TofasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Merkezefendi
#14
W
59-48
59
48
+11
A13/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Igokea
#49
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A18/10
Champions League
Manisa
#6
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H22/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#7
W
52-35
52
35
+17
A28/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tortona
#8
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H31/10
Champions League
Fenerbahce
#1
L
42-53
42
53
-11
H05/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#2
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A11/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Murcia
#2
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A14/11
Champions League
Turk Telekom
#9
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H18/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#13
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A26/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
86.6Avg total
44.6Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.741.583.3+0.240%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.641.785.4+1.957%-
Last 30 away (16)40.141.481.4-1.325%-
Last 10 (10)44.642.086.6+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)40.643.884.4-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)39.344.183.4-4.822%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)45.141.686.7+3.650%-
vs Weaker (7)38.038.176.1-0.143%-
This opponent (Tortona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tortonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tortona: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.020.9
51.0%
51.4%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.77.5
33.0%
34.9%22.5
🏀 Free throws21.716.5
76.0%
74.5%16.5
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tofastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tofas: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.819.6
54.7%
51.4%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.28.7
32.0%
34.9%26.1
🏀 Free throws21.616.0
74.1%
74.5%16.0
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tortona
WWWLLWWLWW
Tofas
WWLLLLLLWW
#8
League position
#34
+2.9
Net rating
-7.4
109.7
Offensive rating
109.1
106.8
Defensive rating
116.5
50.5%
Effective FG%
51.8%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
53.4%
15.4%
Turnover %
18.2%
29.9%
Off. rebound %
31.8%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.34
33.0%
3-point %
32.0%
64.4%
Assist %
63.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence109.7 · 109.1Defence106.8 · 116.5Shooting50.5% · 51.8%3-point %33.0% · 32.0%Ball care15.4% · 18.2%Off. rebounds29.9% · 31.8%Free throws0.34 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Tortona   ■ Tofas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Tortona wins
0
Tofas wins
DateGameScore
31/10/23Tofas v Tortona80-88
Tortonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/11/23HTrento83-80 OT
19/11/23AReggiana90-77
15/11/23HIgokea91-84
12/11/23APesaro92-96
05/11/23HBrescia59-87
31/10/23ATofas88-80
28/10/23ASassari94-74
22/10/23HOlimpia Milano75-79
18/10/23HMurcia78-74
15/10/23AVarese80-78
Tofaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/11/23ADarussafaka82-76
18/11/23HTurk Telekom79-62
14/11/23AMurcia89-115
11/11/23AAnadolu Efes75-85
05/11/23HFenerbahce86-95
31/10/23HTortona80-88
28/10/23APetkim Spor100-107 OT
22/10/23HManisa77-89
18/10/23AIgokea104-102 OT
13/10/23AMerkezefendi97-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tortona
Champions League 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game85.784.588.0
Allowed / game79.379.080.0
Point differential+6.3+5.5+8.0
Avg total165.0163.5168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Tofas
Champions League 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeL0%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%0%50%
Points / game91.080.096.5
Allowed / game101.788.0108.5
Point differential-10.7-8.0-12.0
Avg total192.7168.0205.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %33%0%50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Dijon440100%94.573.5+21.0
2 AEK Athens440100%84.874.8+10.0
3 Tortona330100%85.779.3+6.3
4 Strasbourg76186%80.376.1+4.1
5 Murcia43175%85.069.2+15.8
6 Tenerife43175%81.870.2+11.5
7 Unicaja43175%82.275.2+7.0
8 Karsiyaka43175%82.878.0+4.8
9 Hapoel Holon43175%81.077.2+3.8
10 PAOK43175%78.880.5-1.8
11 Cholet75271%79.378.1+1.1
12 Obradoiro CAB32167%80.768.0+12.7
13 Hapoel Jerusalem32167%86.780.3+6.3
14 Brindisi32167%74.772.3+2.3
15 Norrkoping32167%77.776.3+1.3
16 Benfica74357%86.374.9+11.4
17 Nes Ziona21150%83.067.5+15.5
18 Promitheas42250%87.076.8+10.2
19 Rytas42250%83.875.8+8.0
20 Bakken Bears21150%85.578.5+7.0
21 Bonn42250%83.277.8+5.5
22 Breogan42250%75.072.5+2.5
23 Le Mans42250%79.577.5+2.0
24 Legia21150%68.066.5+1.5
25 Ludwigsburg42250%84.282.8+1.5
26 Den Bosch21150%79.581.0-1.5
27 Darussafaka42250%78.880.5-1.8
28 Fribourg Olympic21150%58.060.5-2.5
29 Varese21150%80.583.5-3.0
30 Peristeri42250%77.283.5-6.2
31 AEK Larnaca21150%66.576.5-10.0
32 Galatasaray31233%90.388.3+2.0
33 Tofas31233%91.0101.7-10.7
34 Oldenburg41325%82.580.5+2.0
35 Szombathely41325%79.081.8-2.8
36 Sassari41325%83.288.0-4.8
37 VEF Riga41325%68.274.2-6.0
38 Szczecin41325%78.084.8-6.8
39 Oostende41325%74.284.8-10.5
40 Bursaspor41325%71.883.5-11.8
41 FMP Beograd1010%71.073.0-2.0
42 CSM Oradea1010%74.077.0-3.0
43 Antwerp Giants1010%72.076.0-4.0
44 BC Kalev/Cramo1010%78.082.0-4.0
45 Jonava1010%78.083.0-5.0
46 Caledonia Gladiators1010%51.057.0-6.0
47 Levice1010%66.074.0-8.0
48 Gottingen1010%84.096.0-12.0
49 Igokea4040%74.086.5-12.5
50 Peja1010%79.0103.0-24.0
51 Mornar Bar1010%56.090.0-34.0
52 Karhu Basket1010%56.092.0-36.0
53 Opava4040%65.0104.2-39.2
54 TSU1010%62.0122.0-60.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 54 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Tortona231821191091
Tofas25191720485
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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