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Alba Berlin vs Chemnitz Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 May 2026
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 82-84
20-27 19-25 26-16 17-16
Position#3
Record23-9
FormWWWWL
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game78.1
vs
Position#11
Record14-17
FormLLWWL
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game85.3
GermanyBBLRound 32· Uber Arena
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Alba Berlin v Chemnitz
18 Sep 2026
ABE89
CHE82
03 May 2026
ABE82
CHE84
20 Oct 2024
ABE78
CHE81
06 Jun 2024
ABE97
CHE84
31 May 2024
ABE86
CHE64
28 May 2024
ABE82
CHE95
31 Dec 2023
ABE101
CHE90
11 Mar 2023
ABE101
CHE91
19 Feb 2022
ABE91
CHE81
05 Dec 2021
ABE83
CHE62
07 Feb 2021
ABE83
CHE65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alba Berlin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Chemnitz winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alba BerlinGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Rostock
#8
W
89-85
89
85
+4
80avg 81
H20/03
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#17
W
94-73
94
73
+21
91avg 81
A29/03
BBL
Unicaja
#2
L
69-72
69
72
-3
62avg 81
A01/04
Champions League
Oldenburg
#10
L
79-81
79
81
-2
76avg 81
H05/04
BBL
Unicaja
#2
L
85-88 OT
85
88
-3
79avg 81
H08/04
Champions League
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
101-77
101
77
+24
92avg 81
A11/04
BBL
Bonn
#4
W
91-75
91
75
+16
85avg 81
H20/04
BBL
Ulm
#6
W
89-77
89
77
+12
83avg 81
A22/04
BBL
Frankfurt
#15
W
87-61
87
61
+26
82avg 81
A26/04
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
79-85
79
85
-6
80avg 81
A01/05
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-29
25-27
29-18
21-11
18-21
28-17
15-14
33-21
22-24
7-10
20-22
20-16
20-12
21-25
21-23
17-21
15-13
21-21
13-26
25-14
22-16
26-24
29-19
24-18
32-18
20-16
22-17
17-24
23-5
25-34
21-26
20-12
19-18
14-17
28-10
26-16
23-22
14-20
19-14
23-29
163.7Avg total
86.3Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)86.078.1164.1+7.972%
Season at home (15)84.175.7159.8+8.373%
Season away (17)87.880.2167.9+7.671%
Last 10 (10)86.377.4163.7+8.960%
Last 5 (5)89.475.0164.4+14.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)77.781.7159.3-4.00%
vs Similar (5)88.486.4174.8+2.060%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)85.976.7162.5+9.277%
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChemnitzGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChemnitz
Date
Competition
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
65-73
65
73
-8
60avg 76
A11/03
Eurocup
Rostock
#8
W
78-73
78
73
+5
68avg 76
A15/03
BBL
Vechta
#7
L
78-80
78
80
-2
66avg 76
A21/03
BBL
Oldenburg
#10
W
95-85
95
85
+10
97avg 76
H28/03
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
79-87
79
87
-8
56avg 76
A01/04
BBL
Bonn
#4
L
75-76
75
76
-1
67avg 76
H04/04
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
77-91
77
91
-14
70avg 76
A12/04
BBL
Ulm
#6
W
79-66
79
66
+13
74avg 76
H15/04
BBL
Jena
#16
W
76-73
76
73
+3
64avg 76
H18/04
BBL
Bamberg
#2
L
62-89
62
89
-27
53avg 76
H27/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-16
24-20
7-18
19-19
14-20
19-17
19-18
26-18
20-21
22-24
22-16
14-19
19-19
34-16
26-30
16-20
24-23
16-24
15-24
24-16
17-14
25-16
13-20
20-26
28-26
17-20
13-19
19-26
20-14
21-20
16-13
22-19
29-20
22-19
8-22
17-12
20-27
20-16
10-25
12-21
155.7Avg total
76.4Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)83.285.3168.5-2.145%
Season at home (16)85.383.4168.8+1.962%
Season away (15)80.987.3168.3-6.427%
Last 10 (10)76.479.3155.7-2.940%
Last 5 (5)73.879.0152.8-5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)77.984.6162.5-6.738%
vs Similar (12)83.384.1167.4-0.850%
vs Weaker (5)82.881.2164.0+1.680%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: -5.6-5.6Q4Q4: +4.4+4.4Q4: -0.7-0.7
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: -5.6-5.6Q4Q4: +4.4+4.4Q4: -0.7-0.7
Alba BerlinChemnitz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rostock
#8
L
39-56
39
56
-17
H20/03
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#17
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A29/03
BBL
Unicaja
#2
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A01/04
Champions League
Oldenburg
#10
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H05/04
BBL
Unicaja
#2
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H08/04
Champions League
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A11/04
BBL
Bonn
#4
W
52-34
52
34
+18
H20/04
BBL
Ulm
#6
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A22/04
BBL
Frankfurt
#15
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A26/04
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A01/05
BBL
79.8Avg total
40.9Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.540.381.7+1.250%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.939.680.5+1.250%-
Last 30 away (16)42.040.882.8+1.250%-
Last 10 (10)40.938.979.8+2.060%-
Last 5 (5)43.638.081.6+5.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)34.036.770.7-2.733%-
vs Similar (5)47.044.491.4+2.680%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)41.239.881.0+1.445%-
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A11/03
Eurocup
Rostock
#8
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A15/03
BBL
Vechta
#7
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A21/03
BBL
Oldenburg
#10
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H28/03
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A01/04
BBL
Bonn
#4
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H04/04
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A12/04
BBL
Ulm
#6
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H15/04
BBL
Jena
#16
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H18/04
BBL
Bamberg
#2
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H27/04
BBL
81.8Avg total
42.6Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.541.183.6+1.453%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.039.382.3+3.771%-
Last 30 away (16)42.042.784.7-0.738%-
Last 10 (10)42.639.281.8+3.450%-
Last 5 (5)43.838.482.2+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)41.242.283.5-1.054%-
vs Similar (12)43.640.784.2+2.958%-
vs Weaker (5)43.039.282.2+3.840%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 86.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.421.8
56.8%
53.8%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.38.2
30.0%
34.0%24.6
🏀 Free throws23.618.1
76.7%
73.5%18.1
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Chemnitztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chemnitz: 73.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.816.7
54.2%
53.8%33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.79.0
31.4%
34.0%27.0
🏀 Free throws18.913.0
68.8%
73.5%13.0
They take 59.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alba Berlin
LWWWWLLLWW
Chemnitz
LWWLLLWLWL
#3
League position
#11
+10.5
Net rating
-2.8
96.4
Offensive rating
85.2
85.9
Defensive rating
88.0
51.9%
Effective FG%
50.8%
48.9%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
15.8%
Turnover %
17.1%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.32
30.0%
3-point %
31.4%
62.7%
Assist %
60.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence96.4 · 85.2Defence85.9 · 88.0Shooting51.9% · 50.8%3-point %30.0% · 31.4%Ball care15.8% · 17.1%Free throws0.36 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Alba Berlin   ■ Chemnitz
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Alba Berlin wins
3
Chemnitz wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/05/26ABayern79-85
26/04/26AFrankfurt87-61
22/04/26AUlm89-77
20/04/26HBonn91-75
11/04/26ALudwigsburg101-77
08/04/26HUnicaja85-88 OT
05/04/26HOldenburg79-81
01/04/26AUnicaja69-72
29/03/26ABasketball Braunschweig94-73
20/03/26HRostock89-85
Chemnitzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/04/26HBamberg62-89
18/04/26HJena76-73
15/04/26HUlm79-66
12/04/26ABayern77-91
04/04/26HBonn75-76
01/04/26ALudwigsburg79-87
28/03/26HOldenburg95-85
21/03/26AVechta78-80
15/03/26ARostock78-73
11/03/26ACedevita Olimpija65-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alba Berlin
BBL 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL72%
HomeLWWLW73%
AwayWWWWL71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321517
Win %72%73%71%
Points / game86.084.187.8
Allowed / game78.175.780.2
Point differential+7.9+8.3+7.6
Avg total164.1159.8167.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%27%53%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)57% (7)33% (3)
Overtime %3%7%0%
Chemnitz
BBL 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL45%
HomeWLWWL62%
AwayLWLLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %45%62%27%
Points / game83.285.380.9
Allowed / game85.383.487.3
Point differential-2.1+1.9-6.4
Avg total168.5168.8168.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%38%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won58% (12)67% (6)50% (6)
Overtime %6%6%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern3126584%88.074.1+13.9
2 Alba Berlin3223972%86.078.1+7.9
3 Bamberg31211068%89.382.0+7.4
4 Bonn32201262%83.479.8+3.6
5 Wurzburg32181456%81.781.1+0.6
6 Ulm33181555%82.278.8+3.4
7 Ludwigsburg32171553%83.383.9-0.7
8 Vechta31161552%90.288.4+1.8
9 Trier32161650%91.093.5-2.5
10 Rostock32151747%83.082.7+0.3
11 Oldenburg32151747%83.384.5-1.2
12 Chemnitz31141745%83.285.3-2.1
13 Hamburg31131842%86.087.9-1.9
14 Syntainics MBC31131842%85.187.1-2.0
15 Frankfurt32122038%81.485.6-4.2
16 Jena32112134%81.689.4-7.8
17 Basketball Braunschweig3292328%82.390.2-7.9
18 Heidelberg3182326%78.386.6-8.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alba Berlin2019261782
Chemnitz2725161684
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