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Strasbourg vs Tofas Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 19 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 78-65
30-16 21-16 12-18 15-15
Position#11
Record8-6
FormLLWWW
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game81.6
vs
Position#34
Record6-8
FormLLLLL
Points / game85.4
Allowed / game82.9
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 6· Rhénus Sport
European cup2023
Meetings · Strasbourg v Tofas
19 Mar 2024
STR78
TOF65
12 Oct 2022
STR94
TOF89
26 Oct 2021
STR74
TOF76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Strasbourg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tofas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

StrasbourgLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStrasbourg
Date
Competition
Le Portel
#8
L
77-96
77
96
-19
87avg 81
A03/02
LNB
Unicaja
#1
L
70-79
70
79
-9
62avg 81
H06/02
Champions League
Cholet
#6
W
79-76
79
76
+3
92avg 81
H10/02
LNB
Cholet
#45
W
87-77
87
77
+10
86avg 81
H13/02
French Cup
Roanne
#17
W
97-82
97
82
+15
113avg 81
H02/03
LNB
Unicaja
#1
L
62-91
62
91
-29
55avg 81
A05/03
Champions League
Nancy
#11
L
75-79
75
79
-4
91avg 81
A10/03
LNB
Cholet
#14
W
96-84
96
84
+12
104avg 81
H13/03
Champions League
Nancy
#7
W
102-88
102
88
+14
101avg 81
H16/03
French Cup
Monaco
#14
W
93-89
93
89
+4
92avg 81
H17/03
French Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-19
25-16
8-32
22-29
21-20
13-20
16-19
20-20
15-24
28-11
15-17
21-24
18-21
27-24
13-22
29-10
21-22
23-24
25-19
28-17
11-17
17-30
17-24
17-20
19-22
17-25
21-21
18-11
25-17
17-21
23-22
31-24
25-27
27-18
20-25
30-18
29-18
19-19
30-23
15-29
167.9Avg total
83.8Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)80.281.6161.8-1.457%
Season at home (8)82.075.4157.4+6.688%
Season away (6)77.889.8167.7-12.017%
Last 10 (10)83.884.1167.9-0.360%
Last 5 (5)85.686.2171.8-0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)75.783.8159.5-8.233%
vs Similar ◀ (19)80.480.7161.1-0.453%
vs Weaker (4)84.074.5158.5+9.575%
This opponent (Tofas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TofasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTofas
Date
Competition
Merkezefendi
#14
W
98-77
98
77
+21
101avg 81
H28/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Strasbourg
#11
W
93-71
93
71
+22
100avg 81
H31/01
Champions League
Manisa
#6
L
89-91
89
91
-2
84avg 81
A04/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cholet
#14
W
84-71
84
71
+13
83avg 81
H07/02
Champions League
Petkim Spor
#7
W
84-71
84
71
+13
88avg 81
H11/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#1
L
77-109
77
109
-32
70avg 81
A03/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cholet
#14
L
74-77
74
77
-3
66avg 81
A06/03
Champions League
Anadolu Efes
#2
L
93-95
93
95
-2
92avg 81
H10/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Unicaja
#1
L
76-80
76
80
-4
70avg 81
H13/03
Champions League
Turk Telekom
#9
L
83-87
83
87
-4
82avg 81
A16/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-23
28-17
25-20
26-17
29-15
24-20
19-15
21-21
17-23
19-19
22-16
31-33
19-17
23-14
18-16
24-24
21-28
24-10
21-16
18-17
13-30
15-32
23-25
26-22
7-13
20-21
17-23
30-20
17-23
23-28
31-16
22-28
28-23
17-20
23-18
8-19
15-25
21-20
30-22
17-20
168.0Avg total
85.1Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)85.482.9168.3+2.443%
Season at home (7)84.979.0163.9+5.943%
Season away (7)85.986.9172.7-1.043%
Last 10 (10)85.182.9168.0+2.240%
Last 5 (5)80.689.6170.2-9.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)79.394.1173.4-14.80%
vs Similar ◀ (14)84.980.3165.1+4.657%
vs Weaker (6)92.276.0168.2+16.267%
This opponent (Strasbourg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +0.2+0.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +0.2+0.2
StrasbourgTofas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
StrasbourgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Le Portel
#8
W
47-35
47
35
+12
A03/02
LNB
Unicaja
#1
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H06/02
Champions League
Cholet
#6
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H10/02
LNB
Cholet
#45
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H13/02
French Cup
Roanne
#17
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H02/03
LNB
Unicaja
#1
L
28-47
28
47
-19
A05/03
Champions League
Nancy
#11
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A10/03
LNB
Cholet
#14
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H13/03
Champions League
Nancy
#7
W
52-45
52
45
+7
H16/03
French Cup
Monaco
#14
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H17/03
French Cup
83.4Avg total
41.9Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.740.278.9-1.637%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.338.679.9+2.653%-
Last 30 away (13)35.242.377.5-7.115%-
Last 10 (10)41.941.583.4+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)41.242.884.0-1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)37.241.778.8-4.517%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)39.239.478.5-0.253%-
vs Weaker (4)37.041.078.0-4.00%-
This opponent (Tofas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TofasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Merkezefendi
#14
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H28/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Strasbourg
#11
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H31/01
Champions League
Manisa
#6
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A04/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cholet
#14
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H07/02
Champions League
Petkim Spor
#7
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H11/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#1
L
28-62
28
62
-34
A03/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cholet
#14
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A06/03
Champions League
Anadolu Efes
#2
L
40-51
40
51
-11
H10/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Unicaja
#1
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H13/03
Champions League
Turk Telekom
#9
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A16/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
82.0Avg total
39.9Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.142.083.1-0.947%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.040.785.7+4.373%-
Last 30 away (15)37.243.480.6-6.220%-
Last 10 (10)39.942.182.0-2.250%-
Last 5 (5)35.247.082.2-11.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)38.948.887.7-9.910%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)41.139.981.0+1.357%-
vs Weaker (6)44.735.880.5+8.883%-
This opponent (Strasbourg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Strasbourgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Strasbourg: 83.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.418.6
52.5%
51.4%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.010.5
45.7%
34.9%31.5
🏀 Free throws19.814.5
73.2%
74.5%14.5
They take 58.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tofastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tofas: 84.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.320.4
57.8%
51.4%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.98.9
35.7%
34.9%26.7
🏀 Free throws22.416.8
75.0%
74.5%16.8
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Strasbourg
WWWLLWWWLL
Tofas
LLLLLWWLWW
#11
League position
#34
+0.4
Net rating
+3.6
113.4
Offensive rating
116.5
113.0
Defensive rating
112.9
58.8%
Effective FG%
56.1%
54.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
20.1%
Turnover %
17.3%
26.3%
Off. rebound %
32.1%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.37
45.7%
3-point %
35.7%
73.9%
Assist %
75.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence113.4 · 116.5Defence113.0 · 112.9Shooting58.8% · 56.1%3-point %45.7% · 35.7%Ball care20.1% · 17.3%Off. rebounds26.3% · 32.1%Free throws0.34 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Strasbourg   ■ Tofas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Strasbourg wins
3
Tofas wins
DateGameScore
31/01/24Tofas v Strasbourg93-71
22/11/22Tofas v Strasbourg75-79
12/10/22Strasbourg v Tofas94-89 OT
10/11/21Tofas v Strasbourg85-75
26/10/21Strasbourg v Tofas74-76
Strasbourglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/03/24HMonaco93-89
16/03/24HNancy102-88
13/03/24HCholet96-84
10/03/24ANancy75-79
05/03/24AUnicaja62-91
02/03/24HRoanne97-82
13/02/24HCholet87-77
10/02/24HCholet79-76
06/02/24HUnicaja70-79
03/02/24ALe Portel77-96
Tofaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/24ATurk Telekom83-87
13/03/24HUnicaja76-80
10/03/24HAnadolu Efes93-95
06/03/24ACholet74-77
03/03/24AFenerbahce77-109
11/02/24HPetkim Spor84-71
07/02/24HCholet84-71
04/02/24AManisa89-91
31/01/24HStrasbourg93-71
28/01/24HMerkezefendi98-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Strasbourg
Champions League 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW57%
HomeWWWLW88%
AwayLLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %57%88%17%
Points / game80.282.077.8
Allowed / game81.675.489.8
Point differential-1.4+6.6-12.0
Avg total161.8157.4167.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%38%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %14%0%33%
Tofas
Champions League 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL43%
HomeLLWWL43%
AwayLWWLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %43%43%43%
Points / game85.484.985.9
Allowed / game82.979.086.9
Point differential+2.4+5.9-1.0
Avg total168.3163.9172.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%43%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %21%14%29%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Murcia119282%86.174.2+11.9
2 Unicaja119282%83.272.2+11.0
3 Obradoiro CAB32167%80.768.0+12.7
4 Hapoel Jerusalem128467%83.276.6+6.6
5 Tenerife128467%84.279.5+4.8
6 Brindisi32167%74.772.3+2.3
7 Norrkoping32167%77.776.3+1.3
8 Bonn117464%82.978.0+4.9
9 Tortona85362%82.481.2+1.1
10 Promitheas138562%83.978.9+5.0
11 Cholet1710759%82.483.4-1.0
12 Ludwigsburg148657%82.878.8+4.0
13 Hapoel Holon148657%78.077.8+0.2
14 Peristeri148657%80.681.4-0.8
15 Strasbourg148657%80.281.6-1.4
16 Dijon116555%81.777.7+4.0
17 Galatasaray137654%86.185.5+0.5
18 Nes Ziona21150%83.067.5+15.5
19 Bakken Bears21150%85.578.5+7.0
20 Rytas84450%85.181.0+4.1
21 Legia21150%68.066.5+1.5
22 Den Bosch21150%79.581.0-1.5
23 Fribourg Olympic21150%58.060.5-2.5
24 Varese21150%80.583.5-3.0
25 Bursaspor63350%73.278.8-5.7
26 AEK Larnaca21150%66.576.5-10.0
27 Karsiyaka157847%83.883.7+0.1
28 AEK Athens115645%86.583.3+3.2
29 Benfica94544%81.778.7+3.0
30 Breogan94544%78.178.6-0.4
31 Oostende94544%75.079.8-4.8
32 Darussafaka94544%78.683.7-5.1
33 PAOK94544%75.282.7-7.4
34 Tofas146843%85.482.9+2.4
35 Le Mans83538%77.979.0-1.1
36 Oldenburg62433%84.082.5+1.5
37 Sassari93633%85.689.2-3.7
38 Szczecin62433%78.882.7-3.8
39 VEF Riga62433%71.876.0-4.2
40 Szombathely62433%76.081.3-5.3
41 FMP Beograd1010%71.073.0-2.0
42 CSM Oradea1010%74.077.0-3.0
43 Antwerp Giants1010%72.076.0-4.0
44 BC Kalev/Cramo1010%78.082.0-4.0
45 Jonava1010%78.083.0-5.0
46 Caledonia Gladiators1010%51.057.0-6.0
47 Levice1010%66.074.0-8.0
48 Gottingen1010%84.096.0-12.0
49 Igokea6060%72.587.0-14.5
50 Peja1010%79.0103.0-24.0
51 Opava6060%72.0102.0-30.0
52 Mornar Bar1010%56.090.0-34.0
53 Karhu Basket1010%56.092.0-36.0
54 TSU1010%62.0122.0-60.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 54 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Strasbourg3021121578
Tofas1616181565
← all games of the day
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