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Tofas vs Merkezefendi Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 88-93
24-21 23-27 18-17 23-28
Position#9
Record10-12
FormWLLWL
Points / game84.6
Allowed / game84.5
vs
Position#10
Record8-14
FormWLLLL
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game86.9
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 23· Tofas Spor Salonu
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Tofas v Merkezefendi
21 Mar 2026
TOF88
MER93
12 Jan 2025
TOF91
MER80
28 Jan 2024
TOF98
MER77
12 Dec 2022
TOF90
MER79
01 Dec 2021
TOF97
MER77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tofas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Merkezefendi winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Tofas
4.2out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Below their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 84.7
93.0▲ 8.3
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 85.6
95.8▲ 10.2
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 59%
65%▲ 5%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 21.4
22.6▲ 1.2
🔥 Form · Merkezefendi
Needs player box scores: 6 games per player in the last year.
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 81.8
75.8▼ 6.0
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 86.5
88.4▲ 1.9
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 57%
57%▲ 0%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 18.4
16.6▼ 1.8
TofasTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AS Karditsas
#32
W
93-79
93
79
+14
A27/01
Champions League
Turk Telekom
#5
L
78-95
78
95
-17
A31/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
AEK Athens
#1
L
90-93 OT
90
93
-3
H03/02
Champions League
Mersin SK
#13
L
83-88
83
88
-5
H07/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Alba Berlin
#11
L
60-69
60
69
-9
A10/02
Champions League
Buyukcekmece
#16
W
91-81
91
81
+10
A14/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Esenler Erokspor
#8
L
81-91
81
91
-10
H08/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
AEK Athens
#1
L
88-96
88
96
-8
A11/03
Champions League
Bursaspor
#12
W
115-113 OT
115
113
+2
A15/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
AS Karditsas
#32
L
90-98
90
98
-8
H18/03
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-22
30-24
26-16
18-17
23-26
27-16
15-27
13-26
20-27
24-15
14-12
19-23
20-32
24-21
20-14
19-21
18-11
15-22
14-18
13-18
19-7
22-21
21-33
29-20
19-24
23-20
21-28
18-19
18-19
33-30
17-23
20-24
26-26
29-24
21-28
27-25
26-19
21-30
14-30
29-19
177.2Avg total
86.9Scored
90.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)84.684.5169.0+0.145%
Season at home (10)84.078.4162.4+5.670%
Season away (12)85.189.5174.6-4.425%
Last 10 (10)86.990.3177.2-3.430%
Last 5 (5)93.095.8188.8-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)80.885.3166.1-4.529%
vs Similar ◀ (9)81.285.4166.7-4.222%
vs Weaker (7)93.789.1182.9+4.671%
This opponent (Merkezefendi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MerkezefendiTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mersin SK
#13
L
92-110
92
110
-18
A27/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#16
W
104-97
104
97
+7
H04/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Esenler Erokspor
#8
L
76-82
76
82
-6
A10/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#12
W
107-103 OT
107
103
+4
A16/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#15
W
83-81
83
81
+2
H26/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#4
W
87-80
87
80
+7
H01/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Trabzonspor
#6
L
76-91
76
91
-15
A07/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manisa
#11
L
77-93
77
93
-16
H13/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#2
L
74-99
74
99
-25
A06/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
L
65-79
65
79
-14
H13/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-33
18-33
22-18
29-26
23-27
29-17
31-23
21-30
22-22
18-20
20-15
16-25
21-22
28-13
18-20
23-35
33-15
18-24
18-20
14-22
21-17
27-23
14-23
25-17
17-23
21-17
20-22
18-29
20-24
30-24
15-22
12-23
18-20
20-26
24-34
12-19
21-15
17-23
8-22
19-19
175.6Avg total
84.1Scored
91.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)80.286.9167.1-6.736%
Season at home (11)80.383.4163.6-3.155%
Season away (11)80.290.5170.6-10.318%
Last 10 (10)84.191.5175.6-7.440%
Last 5 (5)75.888.4164.2-12.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)79.187.3166.4-8.229%
vs Similar ◀ (12)83.083.6166.6-0.658%
vs Weaker (1)104.097.0201.0+7.0100%
This opponent (Tofas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -4.6-4.6Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -5.6-5.6
TofasMerkezefendi
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TofasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AS Karditsas
#32
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A27/01
Champions League
Turk Telekom
#5
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A31/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
AEK Athens
#1
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H03/02
Champions League
Mersin SK
#13
L
44-53
44
53
-9
H07/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Alba Berlin
#11
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A10/02
Champions League
Buyukcekmece
#16
W
41-28
41
28
+13
A14/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Esenler Erokspor
#8
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H08/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
AEK Athens
#1
W
51-49
51
49
+2
A11/03
Champions League
Bursaspor
#12
W
55-50
55
50
+5
A15/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
AS Karditsas
#32
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H18/03
Champions League
89.2Avg total
45.6Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.142.383.3-1.243%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.242.682.9-2.436%-
Last 30 away (16)41.841.983.8-0.150%-
Last 10 (10)45.643.689.2+2.060%-
Last 5 (5)47.244.091.2+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)40.441.081.4-0.650%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)37.943.681.4-5.70%-
vs Weaker (7)46.443.189.6+3.386%-
This opponent (Merkezefendi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MerkezefendiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mersin SK
#13
L
41-66
41
66
-25
A27/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#16
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H04/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Esenler Erokspor
#8
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A10/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#12
W
49-35
49
35
+14
A16/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#15
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H26/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#4
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H01/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Trabzonspor
#6
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A07/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manisa
#11
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H13/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#2
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A06/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H13/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
88.3Avg total
44.5Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.443.686.0-1.247%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.941.786.5+3.260%-
Last 30 away (15)39.945.585.4-5.533%-
Last 10 (10)44.543.888.3+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)42.442.484.8+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)41.445.386.6-3.924%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)43.141.184.2+2.075%-
vs Weaker (1)52.044.096.0+8.0100%-
This opponent (Tofas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tofastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tofas: 86.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.321.1
58.1%
54.0%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.08.5
34.0%
35.6%25.5
🏀 Free throws24.519.0
77.6%
76.0%19.0
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Merkezefenditheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Merkezefendi: 82.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.919.1
53.2%
54.0%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.510.1
38.1%
35.6%30.3
🏀 Free throws16.813.6
81.0%
76.0%13.6
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tofas
LWLLWLLLLW
Merkezefendi
LLLLWWWLWL
#9
League position
#10
-4.2
Net rating
-9.7
100.5
Offensive rating
100.4
104.7
Defensive rating
110.1
55.2%
Effective FG%
54.9%
54.1%
Opp. effective FG%
55.6%
13.8%
Turnover %
16.4%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.27
34.0%
3-point %
38.1%
70.9%
Assist %
66.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence100.5 · 100.4Defence104.7 · 110.1Shooting55.2% · 54.9%3-point %34.0% · 38.1%Ball care13.8% · 16.4%Off. rebounds- · 30.5%Free throws0.40 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Tofas   ■ Merkezefendi
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Tofas wins
1
Merkezefendi wins
DateGameScore
16/11/25Merkezefendi v Tofas78-72
11/05/25Merkezefendi v Tofas92-94
12/01/25Tofas v Merkezefendi91-80
28/01/24Tofas v Merkezefendi98-77
13/10/23Merkezefendi v Tofas93-97
16/04/23Merkezefendi v Tofas88-95 OT
12/12/22Tofas v Merkezefendi90-79
26/03/22Merkezefendi v Tofas66-98
01/12/21Tofas v Merkezefendi97-77
Tofaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/03/26HAS Karditsas90-98
15/03/26ABursaspor115-113 OT
11/03/26AAEK Athens88-96
08/03/26HEsenler Erokspor81-91
14/02/26ABuyukcekmece91-81
10/02/26AAlba Berlin60-69
07/02/26HMersin SK83-88
03/02/26HAEK Athens90-93 OT
31/01/26ATurk Telekom78-95
27/01/26AAS Karditsas93-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/26HBahcesehir Kol.65-79
06/03/26ABesiktas74-99
13/02/26HManisa77-93
07/02/26ATrabzonspor76-91
01/02/26HAnadolu Efes87-80
26/01/26HKarsiyaka83-81
16/01/26ABursaspor107-103 OT
10/01/26AEsenler Erokspor76-82
04/01/26HBuyukcekmece104-97
27/12/25AMersin SK92-110

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tofas
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW45%
HomeWWLLL70%
AwayWLLWW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221012
Win %45%70%25%
Points / game84.684.085.1
Allowed / game84.578.489.5
Point differential+0.1+5.6-4.4
Avg total169.0162.4174.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%50%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)50% (2)20% (5)
Overtime %9%0%17%
Merkezefendi
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL36%
HomeWWWLL55%
AwayLLWLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %36%55%18%
Points / game80.280.380.2
Allowed / game86.983.490.5
Point differential-6.7-3.1-10.3
Avg total167.1163.6170.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%9%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %9%9%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce2220291%89.078.6+10.5
2 Besiktas2218482%85.976.1+9.8
3 Bahcesehir Kol.2216673%82.076.1+5.9
4 Trabzonspor2216673%87.682.2+5.5
5 Anadolu Efes2214864%88.081.5+6.4
6 Turk Telekom2214864%85.680.2+5.4
7 Esenler Erokspor2213959%81.478.0+3.4
8 Galatasaray23131057%86.384.4+1.9
9 Tofas22101245%84.684.5+0.1
10 Mersin SK2291341%85.086.4-1.3
11 Merkezefendi2281436%80.286.9-6.7
12 Manisa2271532%79.584.0-4.4
13 Petkim Spor2261627%80.188.0-7.9
14 Bursaspor2261627%80.389.5-9.2
15 Karsiyaka2241818%79.089.0-10.0
16 Buyukcekmece2332013%80.489.3-8.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tofas2423182388
Merkezefendi2127172893
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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