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Tofas vs Trento Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 12 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#6
Record4-1
FormWWLLW
Points / game90.4
Allowed / game83.0
vs
Position#22
Record2-3
FormLWLLW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game87.4
EuropeEurocupRound 14· Tofas Spor Salonu
European cup2026
Meetings · Tofas v Trento
12 Jan 2027
TOF v TRE
upcoming
13 Dec 2017
TOF79
TRE91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tofas win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Trento win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TofasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bordo Bandirma
#14
W
90-89
90
89
+1
H25/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Chemnitz
#5
W
82-69
82
69
+13
H29/09
Eurocup
Denizli Basket
#13
L
87-101
87
101
-14
A03/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
JL Bourg
#25
W
89-82
89
82
+7
A06/10
Eurocup
Esenler Erokspor
#4
L
79-87
79
87
-8
H10/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buducnost
#18
W
90-85
90
85
+5
H14/10
Eurocup
Korfez Basket
#9
W
71-69
71
69
+2
A17/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Basket Napoli
#3
L
101-105 OT
101
105
-4
A21/10
Eurocup
Petkim Spor
#7
L
72-74
72
74
-2
H25/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Slask Wroclaw
#29
W
90-74
90
74
+16
A28/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-16
21-31
27-21
15-21
22-15
24-15
14-23
22-16
22-30
14-20
25-25
26-26
18-21
31-19
18-24
22-18
17-29
17-19
25-11
20-28
22-25
30-19
19-20
19-21
19-20
7-15
15-19
30-15
20-29
22-24
24-20
27-20
21-14
19-24
19-14
13-22
22-24
33-14
15-22
20-14
168.6Avg total
85.1Scored
83.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)90.483.0173.4+7.480%
Season at home (2)86.077.0163.0+9.0100%
Season away (3)93.387.0180.3+6.367%
Last 10 (10)85.183.5168.6+1.660%
Last 5 (5)84.881.4166.2+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)79.987.6167.5-7.70%
vs Similar (11)84.489.7174.1-5.427%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)90.984.6175.4+6.389%
This opponent (Trento) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrentoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#11
W
83-78
83
78
+5
A26/09
Lega A
Neptunas
#28
W
76-73
76
73
+3
A29/09
Eurocup
Treviso
#3
L
90-93
90
93
-3
H03/10
Lega A
Slask Wroclaw
#29
L
81-94
81
94
-13
H06/10
Eurocup
Udine
#12
W
74-66
74
66
+8
A10/10
Lega A
Chemnitz
#5
L
80-88
80
88
-8
H13/10
Eurocup
Varese
#9
W
87-85
87
85
+2
H18/10
Lega A
JL Bourg
#25
L
79-90
79
90
-11
A21/10
Eurocup
Scafati
#15
L
81-87
81
87
-6
A24/10
Lega A
Buducnost
#18
W
94-92
94
92
+2
H27/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-18
20-25
16-18
21-17
21-15
15-21
23-15
17-22
16-22
20-28
28-20
26-23
22-28
13-22
26-19
20-25
23-21
15-12
16-17
20-16
17-19
17-18
24-18
22-33
23-17
26-24
23-21
15-23
24-19
21-34
15-22
19-15
26-22
19-16
19-24
17-25
23-16
24-34
20-17
27-25
167.1Avg total
82.5Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)82.087.4169.4-5.440%
Season at home (3)85.091.3176.3-6.333%
Season away (2)77.581.5159.0-4.050%
Last 10 (10)82.584.6167.1-2.150%
Last 5 (5)84.288.4172.6-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)85.688.7174.2-3.144%
vs Similar (16)81.983.5165.4-1.650%
vs Weaker (5)85.091.2176.2-6.220%
This opponent (Tofas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -2.0-2.0
TofasTrento
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TofasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bordo Bandirma
#14
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H25/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Chemnitz
#5
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H29/09
Eurocup
Denizli Basket
#13
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A03/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
JL Bourg
#25
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A06/10
Eurocup
Esenler Erokspor
#4
L
34-48
34
48
-14
H10/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buducnost
#18
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H14/10
Eurocup
Korfez Basket
#9
L
26-35
26
35
-9
A17/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Basket Napoli
#3
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A21/10
Eurocup
Petkim Spor
#7
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H25/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Slask Wroclaw
#29
W
55-38
55
38
+17
A28/10
Eurocup
85.1Avg total
42.8Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.644.386.9-1.747%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.845.387.1-3.644%-
Last 30 away (14)43.643.186.8+0.550%-
Last 10 (10)42.842.385.1+0.560%-
Last 5 (5)43.041.684.6+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)41.142.883.9-1.750%-
vs Similar (11)39.846.686.5-6.818%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)47.843.190.9+4.778%-
This opponent (Trento) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#11
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A26/09
Lega A
Neptunas
#28
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A29/09
Eurocup
Treviso
#3
L
36-50
36
50
-14
H03/10
Lega A
Slask Wroclaw
#29
L
35-50
35
50
-15
H06/10
Eurocup
Udine
#12
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A10/10
Lega A
Chemnitz
#5
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H13/10
Eurocup
Varese
#9
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H18/10
Lega A
JL Bourg
#25
L
45-53
45
53
-8
A21/10
Eurocup
Scafati
#15
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A24/10
Lega A
Buducnost
#18
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H27/10
Eurocup
84.2Avg total
41.1Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.144.285.4-3.137%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.044.184.1-4.138%-
Last 30 away (17)42.044.486.4-2.435%-
Last 10 (10)41.143.184.2-2.040%-
Last 5 (5)44.043.887.8+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)42.345.988.2-3.622%-
vs Similar (16)40.442.582.9-2.144%-
vs Weaker (5)41.446.888.2-5.440%-
This opponent (Tofas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tofastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tofas: 81.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.7 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.222.8
59.7%
54.0%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.56.5
26.5%
34.0%19.5
🏀 Free throws20.816.1
77.4%
75.6%16.1
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Trentotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trento: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.7 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.817.0
48.9%
54.0%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.310.8
34.5%
34.0%32.4
🏀 Free throws21.216.0
75.5%
75.6%16.0
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tofas
WLLWWLWLWW
Trento
WLLWLWLLWW
#6
League position
#22
-0.3
Net rating
-2.0
92.3
Offensive rating
89.9
92.6
Defensive rating
91.9
51.9%
Effective FG%
50.2%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
50.3%
17.4%
Turnover %
17.9%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.32
26.5%
3-point %
34.5%
58.0%
Assist %
66.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence92.3 · 89.9Defence92.6 · 91.9Shooting51.9% · 50.2%3-point %26.5% · 34.5%Ball care17.4% · 17.9%Free throws0.33 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Tofas   ■ Trento
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Tofas wins
1
Trento wins
DateGameScore
13/12/17Tofas v Trento79-91
25/10/17Trento v Tofas88-91
Tofaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/26ASlask Wroclaw90-74
25/10/26HPetkim Spor72-74
21/10/26ABasket Napoli101-105 OT
17/10/26AKorfez Basket71-69
14/10/26HBuducnost90-85
10/10/26HEsenler Erokspor79-87
06/10/26AJL Bourg89-82
03/10/26ADenizli Basket87-101
29/09/26HChemnitz82-69
25/09/26HBordo Bandirma90-89
Trentolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/26HBuducnost94-92
24/10/26AScafati81-87
21/10/26AJL Bourg79-90
18/10/26HVarese87-85
13/10/26HChemnitz80-88
10/10/26AUdine74-66
06/10/26HSlask Wroclaw81-94
03/10/26HTreviso90-93
29/09/26ANeptunas76-73
26/09/26AReggiana83-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tofas
Eurocup 2026
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW80%
HomeWW100%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %80%100%67%
Points / game90.486.093.3
Allowed / game83.077.087.0
Point differential+7.4+9.0+6.3
Avg total173.4163.0180.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %20%0%33%
Trento
Eurocup 2026
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW40%
HomeLLW33%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%33%50%
Points / game82.085.077.5
Allowed / game87.491.381.5
Point differential-5.4-6.3-4.0
Avg total169.4176.3159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Aris550100%91.274.8+16.4
2 Hapoel Jerusalem550100%88.873.6+15.2
3 Basket Napoli550100%92.483.8+8.6
4 Bahcesehir Kol.54180%90.678.6+12.0
5 Chemnitz54180%88.278.0+10.2
6 Tofas54180%90.483.0+7.4
7 Tenerife54180%88.281.8+6.4
8 London Lions53260%80.873.0+7.8
9 Ulm53260%90.686.6+4.0
10 Manresa53260%90.287.0+3.2
11 PAOK53260%84.481.4+3.0
12 Tortona53260%83.283.8-0.6
13 Lietkabelis53260%77.878.6-0.8
14 Siauliai53260%82.484.0-1.6
15 Frankfurt53260%87.890.4-2.6
16 Rigas Zelli53260%80.884.2-3.4
17 Venezia52340%86.081.4+4.6
18 Buducnost52340%91.088.2+2.8
19 Le Mans52340%81.280.4+0.8
20 Maxima Roma52340%84.084.0+0.0
21 KK Bosna52340%81.681.8-0.2
22 Trento52340%82.087.4-5.4
23 BC Roma52340%83.088.6-5.6
24 Cluj-Napoca52340%83.091.6-8.6
25 JL Bourg51420%82.888.2-5.4
26 San Pablo Burgos51420%79.885.4-5.6
27 Turk Telekom51420%75.481.4-6.0
28 Neptunas51420%84.891.2-6.4
29 Slask Wroclaw51420%78.490.2-11.8
30 Rostock51420%78.491.6-13.2
31 Cedevita Olimpija5050%72.682.2-9.6
32 Balkan5050%67.683.2-15.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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