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Toledo vs East Carolina Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 22 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 75-86
33-32 42-54
Position#18
Record3-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game90.2
Allowed / game82.0
vs
Position#220
Record3-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game71.0
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toledo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
East Carolina winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ToledoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (Ohio)
#240
W
88-73
88
73
+15
H26/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#109
W
92-76
92
76
+16
A02/03
NCAA
Bowling Green
#256
W
96-56
96
56
+40
H04/03
NCAA
Central Michigan
#341
W
72-71
72
71
+1
H10/03
NCAA
Akron
#57
L
62-70
62
70
-8
H11/03
NCAA
Dayton
#9
L
55-74
55
74
-19
H16/03
NIT
Valparaiso
#306
W
85-70
85
70
+15
H08/11
NCAA
UAB
#44
W
93-85
93
85
+8
H11/11
NCAA
Oakland
#270
W
112-90
112
90
+22
H17/11
NCAA
UMKC
#305
L
71-83
71
83
-12
A21/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
40-39
0-0
48-34
0-0
46-32
0-0
46-44
0-0
47-28
0-0
49-28
0-0
30-32
0-0
42-39
0-0
28-38
0-0
34-32
0-0
23-34
0-0
32-40
0-0
52-26
0-0
33-44
0-0
39-46
0-0
54-39
0-0
57-37
0-0
55-53
0-0
38-33
0-0
33-50
157.4Avg total
82.6Scored
74.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)90.282.0172.2+8.275%
Season at home (3)96.781.7178.3+15.0100%
Season away (1)71.083.0154.0-12.00%
Last 10 (10)82.674.8157.4+7.870%
Last 5 (5)83.280.4163.6+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)93.085.0178.0+8.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)82.269.6151.8+12.679%
This opponent (East Carolina) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
East CarolinaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Florida
#332
W
65-57
65
57
+8
A18/02
NCAA
UCF Knights
#127
L
66-69
66
69
-3
A20/02
NCAA
South Florida
#332
W
64-60
64
60
+4
H24/02
NCAA
Tulsa
#292
W
64-59
64
59
+5
H26/02
NCAA
Wichita State
#179
L
62-70
62
70
-8
A05/03
NCAA
Cincinnati
#174
L
63-74
63
74
-11
A10/03
NCAA
Mercer
#261
W
77-75
77
75
+2
H09/11
NCAA
Presbyterian
#363
W
77-57
77
57
+20
H12/11
NCAA
Hampton
#350
W
82-73
82
73
+9
H17/11
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
L
75-79
75
79
-4
A21/11
NCAA
1H
2H
29-28
36-29
30-32
36-37
35-34
29-26
34-36
30-23
29-34
33-36
41-40
22-34
30-39
47-36
26-32
51-25
33-39
49-34
38-43
37-36
136.8Avg total
69.5Scored
67.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)77.871.0148.8+6.875%
Season at home (3)78.768.3147.0+10.3100%
Season away (1)75.079.0154.0-4.00%
Last 10 (10)69.567.3136.8+2.260%
Last 5 (5)74.871.6146.4+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)62.672.1134.7-9.517%
vs Similar (12)72.972.8145.8+0.158%
vs Weaker (6)71.063.7134.7+7.3100%
This opponent (Toledo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +5.5+5.51st half: -3.2-3.22nd half2nd half: +2.3+2.32nd half: +5.4+5.4
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +5.5+5.51st half: -3.2-3.22nd half2nd half: +2.3+2.32nd half: +5.4+5.4
ToledoEast Carolina
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ToledoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (Ohio)
#240
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H26/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#109
W
46-32
46
32
+14
A02/03
NCAA
Bowling Green
#256
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H04/03
NCAA
Central Michigan
#341
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H10/03
NCAA
Akron
#57
L
28-38
28
38
-10
H11/03
NCAA
Dayton
#9
L
23-34
23
34
-11
H16/03
NIT
Valparaiso
#306
W
52-26
52
26
+26
H08/11
NCAA
UAB
#44
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H11/11
NCAA
Oakland
#270
W
57-37
57
37
+20
H17/11
NCAA
UMKC
#305
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A21/11
NCAA
74.5Avg total
40.0Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.734.174.8+6.670%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.133.472.6+5.761%-
Last 30 away (12)43.035.178.1+7.983%-
Last 10 (10)40.034.574.5+5.560%-
Last 5 (5)41.835.277.0+6.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)39.046.085.0-7.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)41.433.775.0+7.775%-
This opponent (East Carolina) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
East CarolinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Florida
#332
W
29-28
29
28
+1
A18/02
NCAA
UCF Knights
#127
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A20/02
NCAA
South Florida
#332
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H24/02
NCAA
Tulsa
#292
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H26/02
NCAA
Wichita State
#179
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A05/03
NCAA
Cincinnati
#174
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A10/03
NCAA
Mercer
#261
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H09/11
NCAA
Presbyterian
#363
L
26-32
26
32
-6
H12/11
NCAA
Hampton
#350
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H17/11
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A21/11
NCAA
68.2Avg total
32.5Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.334.767.0-2.440%-
Last 30 at home (18)33.333.366.6+0.144%-
Last 30 away (12)30.736.867.5-6.233%-
Last 10 (10)32.535.768.2-3.230%-
Last 5 (5)33.638.672.2-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)30.336.767.0-6.325%-
vs Similar (12)34.633.868.4+0.850%-
vs Weaker (6)31.532.564.0-1.050%-
This opponent (Toledo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Toledo wins
0
East Carolina wins
No previous meetings.
Toledolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/11/22AUMKC71-83
17/11/22HOakland112-90
11/11/22HUAB93-85
08/11/22HValparaiso85-70
16/03/22HDayton55-74
11/03/22HAkron62-70
10/03/22HCentral Michigan72-71
04/03/22HBowling Green96-56
02/03/22ABuffalo92-76
26/02/22HMiami (Ohio)88-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/11/22AIndiana State75-79
17/11/22HHampton82-73
12/11/22HPresbyterian77-57
09/11/22HMercer77-75
10/03/22ACincinnati63-74
05/03/22AWichita State62-70
26/02/22HTulsa64-59
24/02/22HSouth Florida64-60
20/02/22AUCF Knights66-69
18/02/22ASouth Florida65-57

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toledo
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWL75%
HomeWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%100%0%
Points / game90.296.771.0
Allowed / game82.081.783.0
Point differential+8.2+15.0-12.0
Avg total172.2178.3154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
East Carolina
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWL75%
HomeWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%100%0%
Points / game77.878.775.0
Allowed / game71.068.379.0
Point differential+6.8+10.3-4.0
Avg total148.8147.0154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kent State550100%82.860.8+22.0
2 Akron440100%72.861.5+11.2
3 UMass54180%69.264.0+5.2
4 Ball State43175%84.263.8+20.5
5 Toledo43175%90.282.0+8.2
6 Bowling Green42250%72.075.2-3.2
7 Western Michigan62433%76.574.5+2.0
8 Buffalo62433%71.280.8-9.7
9 Ohio41325%72.574.5-2.0
10 Northern Illinois41325%68.071.8-3.8
11 Central Michigan41325%69.073.2-4.2
12 Eastern Michigan41325%77.283.8-6.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
American Conference conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Charlotte54180%67.654.6+13.0
2 Florida Atlantic54180%77.065.8+11.2
3 UAB43175%92.072.2+19.8
4 Tulane43175%82.269.8+12.5
5 Wichita State43175%61.854.2+7.5
6 East Carolina43175%77.871.0+6.8
7 UTSA Roadrunners43175%64.059.2+4.8
8 Memphis32167%74.068.0+6.0
9 Rice64267%76.376.8-0.5
10 North Texas32167%49.054.0-5.0
11 Tulsa52340%73.072.6+0.4
12 Temple52340%74.474.6-0.2
13 South Florida5050%62.468.2-5.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Toledo334275
East Carolina325486
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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