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Toledo vs Miami (FL) Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 15 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 89-71
47-31 42-40
Position#18
Record19-6
FormWWWWW
Points / game84.3
Allowed / game76.8
Toledo 🏆
USA
vs
Miami (FL)
USA
Position#122
Record29-22
FormWWLWW
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game72.7
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Toledo v Miami (FL)
09 Mar 2023
TOLE91
MIAM75
14 Feb 2023
TOLE89
MIAM71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toledo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami (FL) winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ToledoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kent State
#17
L
63-75
63
75
-12
A11/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#271
W
84-67
84
67
+17
A14/01
NCAA
Ohio
#133
W
90-75
90
75
+15
H18/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#231
W
86-77
86
77
+9
A21/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#347
W
84-79
84
79
+5
H25/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#296
W
91-77
91
77
+14
H28/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
W
81-78
81
78
+3
A01/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#324
W
84-59
84
59
+25
H05/02
NCAA
Akron
#59
W
84-74
84
74
+10
A08/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#347
W
70-63
70
63
+7
A12/02
NCAA
1H
2H
35-32
28-43
41-23
43-44
52-31
38-44
46-39
40-38
36-35
48-44
41-31
50-46
40-35
41-43
49-21
35-38
37-28
47-46
34-31
36-32
154.1Avg total
81.7Scored
72.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)84.376.8161.1+7.476%
Season at home (13)89.377.5166.8+11.885%
Season away (12)78.876.1154.9+2.867%
Last 10 (10)81.772.4154.1+9.390%
Last 5 (5)82.070.2152.2+11.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)83.280.2163.3+3.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)83.073.9156.9+9.277%
This opponent (Miami (FL)) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami (FL)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pittsburgh
#72
L
68-71
68
71
-3
A28/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#138
W
92-83
92
83
+9
H01/02
NCAA
Toledo
#18
L
78-81
78
81
-3
H01/02
NCAA
Ohio
#133
L
68-78
68
78
-10
A04/02
NCAA
Clemson
#60
W
78-74
78
74
+4
A04/02
NCAA
Duke
#39
W
81-59
81
59
+22
H07/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#345
W
85-78
85
78
+7
H08/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#324
L
60-66
60
66
-6
H11/02
NCAA
Louisville
#367
W
93-85
93
85
+8
H12/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#117
W
80-72
80
72
+8
A14/02
NCAA
1H
2H
33-28
35-43
45-44
47-39
35-40
43-41
29-33
39-45
35-35
43-39
40-26
41-33
43-40
42-38
30-25
30-41
42-41
51-44
35-34
45-38
153.0Avg total
78.3Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (51)76.572.7149.2+3.757%
Season at home (31)79.572.4151.9+7.068%
Season away (20)71.973.2145.2-1.340%
Last 10 (10)78.374.7153.0+3.660%
Last 5 (5)79.872.0151.8+7.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)71.870.0141.8+1.820%
vs Similar (11)77.076.9153.9+0.155%
vs Weaker (14)77.571.8149.3+5.757%
This opponent (Toledo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-13-7+0+7+131st half1st half: +10.5+10.51st half: +2.1+2.12nd half2nd half: -1.2-1.22nd half: +1.5+1.5
-13-7+0+7+131st half1st half: +10.5+10.51st half: +2.1+2.12nd half2nd half: -1.2-1.22nd half: +1.5+1.5
ToledoMiami (FL)
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ToledoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kent State
#17
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A11/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#271
W
41-23
41
23
+18
A14/01
NCAA
Ohio
#133
W
52-31
52
31
+21
H18/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#231
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A21/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#347
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H25/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#296
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H28/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A01/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#324
W
49-21
49
21
+28
H05/02
NCAA
Akron
#59
W
37-28
37
28
+9
A08/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#347
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A12/02
NCAA
71.7Avg total
41.1Scored
30.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.232.572.7+7.777%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.432.472.8+7.971%-
Last 30 away (13)40.032.772.7+7.385%-
Last 10 (10)41.130.671.7+10.5100%-
Last 5 (5)40.229.269.4+11.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)41.535.076.5+6.567%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)40.331.772.0+8.682%-
This opponent (Miami (FL)) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami (FL)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pittsburgh
#72
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A28/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#138
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H01/02
NCAA
Toledo
#18
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H01/02
NCAA
Ohio
#133
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A04/02
NCAA
Clemson
#60
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A04/02
NCAA
Duke
#39
W
40-26
40
26
+14
H07/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#345
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H08/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#324
W
30-25
30
25
+5
H11/02
NCAA
Louisville
#367
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H12/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#117
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A14/02
NCAA
71.3Avg total
36.7Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.735.071.7+1.750%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.434.572.9+3.962%-
Last 30 away (14)34.835.670.4-0.836%-
Last 10 (10)36.734.671.3+2.170%-
Last 5 (5)38.033.271.2+4.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)35.434.469.8+1.020%-
vs Similar (11)34.436.270.5-1.845%-
vs Weaker (14)39.034.373.3+4.764%-
This opponent (Toledo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Toledo wins
0
Miami (FL) wins
DateGameScore
01/02/23Miami (FL) v Toledo78-81
Toledolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/23AEastern Michigan70-63
08/02/23AAkron84-74
05/02/23HCentral Michigan84-59
01/02/23AMiami (FL)81-78
28/01/23HBowling Green91-77
25/01/23HEastern Michigan84-79
21/01/23ABuffalo86-77
18/01/23HOhio90-75
14/01/23ANorthern Illinois84-67
11/01/23AKent State63-75
Miami (FL)last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/23ANorth Carolina80-72
12/02/23HLouisville93-85
11/02/23HCentral Michigan60-66
08/02/23HWestern Michigan85-78
07/02/23HDuke81-59
04/02/23AClemson78-74
04/02/23AOhio68-78
01/02/23HToledo78-81
01/02/23HVirginia Tech92-83
28/01/23APittsburgh68-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toledo
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW76%
HomeWWWWW85%
AwayWWWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %76%85%67%
Points / game84.389.378.8
Allowed / game76.877.576.1
Point differential+7.4+11.8+2.8
Avg total161.1166.8154.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%62%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Miami (FL)
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW57%
HomeWWWLW68%
AwayWLLWW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games513120
Win %57%68%40%
Points / game76.579.571.9
Allowed / game72.772.473.2
Point differential+3.7+7.0-1.4
Avg total149.2151.9145.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%42%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (15)38% (8)43% (7)
Overtime %2%0%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kent State2520580%75.064.2+10.8
2 Toledo2519676%84.376.8+7.4
3 Akron2518772%73.263.9+9.3
4 Ball State2518772%76.269.1+7.1
5 Ohio25141156%78.673.9+4.6
6 UMass25131252%71.672.6-1.0
7 Buffalo25121348%79.677.6+2.0
8 Northern Illinois25111444%71.774.6-2.8
9 Bowling Green25101540%76.678.1-1.5
10 Central Michigan2591636%66.371.4-5.2
11 Western Michigan2561924%70.674.2-3.7
12 Eastern Michigan2561924%74.481.8-7.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virginia2319483%70.060.4+9.5
2 NC State2620677%78.969.0+9.9
3 Pittsburgh2518772%74.967.8+7.1
4 Clemson2518772%73.768.0+5.6
5 Duke2517868%71.564.3+7.2
6 Wake Forest2617965%77.773.1+4.6
7 North Carolina26161062%78.272.5+5.7
8 Virginia Tech25151060%74.768.8+5.9
9 Syracuse25151060%74.670.3+4.3
10 Miami (FL)51292257%76.572.7+3.7
11 Boston College26121446%66.370.5-4.2
12 Stanford25111444%69.266.9+2.3
13 Notre Dame25101540%71.072.7-1.7
14 Georgia Tech2591636%67.371.0-3.7
15 SMU Mustangs2691735%70.274.7-4.6
16 Florida State2681831%70.275.6-5.4
17 California2532212%59.268.7-9.5
18 Louisville2532212%64.076.1-12.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Toledo474289
Miami (FL)314071
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