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Buffalo vs Toledo Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 77-86
39-46 38-40
Position#231
Record9-9
FormWWLLW
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game77.1
vs
Toledo 🏆
USA
Position#18
Record12-6
FormLWLWW
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game78.6
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Buffalo v Toledo
23 Jan 2027
BUFF v TOLE
upcoming
01 Mar 2025
BUFF87
TOLE74
02 Mar 2024
BUFF79
TOLE85
20 Jan 2023
BUFF77
TOLE86
01 Mar 2022
BUFF76
TOLE92
19 Feb 2021
BUFF70
TOLE80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Buffalo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toledo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BuffaloUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. John's (N.Y.)
#185
W
91-53
91
53
+38
H06/12
NCAA
Tulane
#89
L
63-88
63
88
-25
H10/12
NCAA
West Virginia
#157
L
78-96
78
96
-18
A18/12
NCAA
SUNY-Canton
#680
W
129-62
129
62
+67
H21/12
NCAA
Michigan State
#108
L
68-89
68
89
-21
A30/12
NCAA
Ohio
#133
W
75-72
75
72
+3
H04/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#271
W
80-62
80
62
+18
H07/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
L
80-91
80
91
-11
A11/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#324
L
78-87 OT
78
87
-9
A14/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#296
W
100-71
100
71
+29
H18/01
NCAA
1H
2H
51-26
40-27
29-46
34-42
39-47
39-49
66-30
63-32
30-41
38-48
39-32
36-40
45-28
35-34
34-37
46-54
30-40
40-30
48-33
52-38
161.3Avg total
84.2Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)79.977.1157.0+2.850%
Season at home (10)85.772.4158.1+13.380%
Season away (8)72.683.0155.6-10.412%
Last 10 (10)84.277.1161.3+7.150%
Last 5 (5)82.676.6159.2+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)73.686.9160.4-13.329%
vs Similar (12)77.171.9149.0+5.250%
vs Weaker (10)85.171.8156.9+13.390%
This opponent (Toledo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToledoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Iowa
#248
W
83-75
83
75
+8
A07/12
NCAA
Canisius
#310
W
69-68
69
68
+1
H10/12
NCAA
Marshall
#38
L
85-100
85
100
-15
A17/12
NCAA
Vermont
#68
W
84-72
84
72
+12
A20/12
NCAA
Lourdes
#397
W
103-88
103
88
+15
H29/12
NCAA
Ball State
#103
L
83-90
83
90
-7
H04/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#345
W
102-74
102
74
+28
H06/01
NCAA
Kent State
#17
L
63-75
63
75
-12
A11/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#271
W
84-67
84
67
+17
A14/01
NCAA
Ohio
#133
W
90-75
90
75
+15
H18/01
NCAA
1H
2H
40-31
43-44
32-29
37-39
44-45
41-55
42-28
42-44
48-35
55-53
37-40
46-50
42-23
60-51
35-32
28-43
41-23
43-44
52-31
38-44
163.0Avg total
84.6Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)84.878.6163.4+6.367%
Season at home (10)90.279.3169.5+10.980%
Season away (8)78.177.6155.8+0.550%
Last 10 (10)84.678.4163.0+6.270%
Last 5 (5)84.476.2160.6+8.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)83.081.4164.4+1.660%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)82.573.0155.6+9.570%
This opponent (Buffalo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +5.1+5.11st half: +9.6+9.62nd half2nd half: +2.9+2.92nd half: -3.4-3.4
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +5.1+5.11st half: +9.6+9.62nd half2nd half: +2.9+2.92nd half: -3.4-3.4
BuffaloToledo
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
BuffaloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. John's (N.Y.)
#185
W
51-26
51
26
+25
H06/12
NCAA
Tulane
#89
L
29-46
29
46
-17
H10/12
NCAA
West Virginia
#157
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A18/12
NCAA
SUNY-Canton
#680
W
66-30
66
30
+36
H21/12
NCAA
Michigan State
#108
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A30/12
NCAA
Ohio
#133
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H04/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#271
W
45-28
45
28
+17
H07/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A11/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#324
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A14/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#296
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H18/01
NCAA
77.1Avg total
41.1Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.935.072.8+2.960%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.334.574.9+5.867%-
Last 30 away (15)35.435.470.8+0.053%-
Last 10 (10)41.136.077.1+5.150%-
Last 5 (5)39.234.073.2+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)34.340.474.7-6.129%-
vs Similar (12)36.532.669.1+3.958%-
vs Weaker (10)39.234.573.7+4.780%-
This opponent (Toledo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToledoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Iowa
#248
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A07/12
NCAA
Canisius
#310
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H10/12
NCAA
Marshall
#38
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A17/12
NCAA
Vermont
#68
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A20/12
NCAA
Lourdes
#397
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H29/12
NCAA
Ball State
#103
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H04/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#345
W
42-23
42
23
+19
H06/01
NCAA
Kent State
#17
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A11/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#271
W
41-23
41
23
+18
A14/01
NCAA
Ohio
#133
W
52-31
52
31
+21
H18/01
NCAA
73.0Avg total
41.3Scored
31.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.633.773.3+5.967%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.233.271.3+5.061%-
Last 30 away (12)41.834.576.3+7.375%-
Last 10 (10)41.331.773.0+9.680%-
Last 5 (5)41.429.871.2+11.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)42.436.478.8+6.060%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)39.433.072.4+6.370%-
This opponent (Buffalo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Buffalo wins
3
Toledo wins
DateGameScore
02/03/22Buffalo v Toledo76-92
26/01/22Toledo v Buffalo86-75
20/02/21Buffalo v Toledo70-80
14/02/20Toledo v Buffalo67-83
Buffalolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/23HBowling Green100-71
14/01/23ACentral Michigan78-87 OT
11/01/23AMiami (FL)80-91
07/01/23HNorthern Illinois80-62
04/01/23HOhio75-72
30/12/22AMichigan State68-89
21/12/22HSUNY-Canton129-62
18/12/22AWest Virginia78-96
10/12/22HTulane63-88
06/12/22HSt. John's (N.Y.)91-53
Toledolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/23HOhio90-75
14/01/23ANorthern Illinois84-67
11/01/23AKent State63-75
06/01/23HWestern Michigan102-74
04/01/23HBall State83-90
29/12/22HLourdes103-88
20/12/22AVermont84-72
17/12/22AMarshall85-100
10/12/22HCanisius69-68
07/12/22ANorthern Iowa83-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Buffalo
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW50%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayWLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %50%80%12%
Points / game79.985.772.6
Allowed / game77.172.483.0
Point differential+2.8+13.3-10.4
Avg total157.0158.1155.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %6%0%12%
Toledo
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW67%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayWLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %67%80%50%
Points / game84.890.278.1
Allowed / game78.679.377.6
Point differential+6.3+10.9+0.5
Avg total163.4169.5155.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%60%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kent State1916384%75.262.4+12.8
2 Akron1813572%72.661.3+11.3
3 Ball State1913668%75.668.2+7.4
4 Toledo1812667%84.878.6+6.3
5 UMass1811761%70.869.9+0.8
6 Ohio189950%76.372.6+3.8
7 Buffalo189950%79.977.1+2.8
8 Bowling Green1881044%77.777.4+0.3
9 Central Michigan1871139%67.469.3-1.9
10 Western Michigan1861233%72.172.8-0.7
11 Northern Illinois1861233%68.675.7-7.1
12 Eastern Michigan1841422%72.281.3-9.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Buffalo393877
Toledo464086
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