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Miami (FL) vs Duke Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 07 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 81-59
40-26 41-33
Position#122
Record25-21
FormLWLLW
Points / game76.1
Allowed / game72.8
Miami (FL) 🏆
USA
vs
Duke
USA
Position#39
Record17-6
FormWLWWW
Points / game72.5
Allowed / game63.4
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Miami (FL) v Duke
25 Feb 2025
MIAM60
DUKE97
21 Feb 2024
MIAM55
DUKE84
10 Mar 2023
MIAM78
DUKE85
06 Feb 2023
MIAM81
DUKE59
01 Feb 2021
MIAM77
DUKE75
04 Jan 2020
MIAM62
DUKE95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami (FL) winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Duke winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami (FL)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Duke
#39
L
66-68
66
68
-2
A21/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#296
L
73-83
73
83
-10
A21/01
NCAA
Akron
#59
L
68-73
68
73
-5
A25/01
NCAA
Florida State
#342
W
86-63
86
63
+23
A25/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#347
L
69-74
69
74
-5
H28/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#72
L
68-71
68
71
-3
A28/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#138
W
92-83
92
83
+9
H01/02
NCAA
Toledo
#18
L
78-81
78
81
-3
H01/02
NCAA
Ohio
#133
L
68-78
68
78
-10
A04/02
NCAA
Clemson
#60
W
78-74
78
74
+4
A04/02
NCAA
1H
2H
38-38
28-30
36-46
37-37
33-36
35-37
54-28
32-35
38-40
31-34
33-28
35-43
45-44
47-39
35-40
43-41
29-33
39-45
35-35
43-39
149.4Avg total
74.6Scored
74.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (46)76.172.8149.0+3.354%
Season at home (27)79.472.5151.9+6.967%
Season away (19)71.573.3144.8-1.837%
Last 10 (10)74.674.8149.4-0.230%
Last 5 (5)76.877.4154.2-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)70.878.8149.6-8.00%
vs Similar (12)79.579.3158.8+0.258%
vs Weaker (13)77.867.5145.4+10.362%
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DukeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida State
#342
W
86-67
86
67
+19
H31/12
NCAA
NC State
#66
L
60-84
60
84
-24
A05/01
NCAA
Boston College
#221
W
65-64
65
64
+1
A07/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#72
W
77-69
77
69
+8
H12/01
NCAA
Clemson
#60
L
64-72
64
72
-8
A14/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
W
68-66
68
66
+2
H21/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#138
L
75-78
75
78
-3
A24/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#241
W
86-43
86
43
+43
A28/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#142
W
75-73
75
73
+2
H01/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#117
W
63-57
63
57
+6
H04/02
NCAA
1H
2H
42-25
44-42
22-44
38-40
37-33
28-31
32-43
45-26
34-30
30-42
38-38
30-28
38-45
37-33
43-25
43-18
41-34
34-39
33-32
30-25
139.2Avg total
71.9Scored
67.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)72.563.4135.9+9.174%
Season at home (13)77.159.8136.8+17.3100%
Season away (10)66.568.1134.6-1.640%
Last 10 (10)71.967.3139.2+4.670%
Last 5 (5)73.463.4136.8+10.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)68.270.3138.5-2.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)76.463.6140.1+12.885%
This opponent (Miami (FL)) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +0.8+0.81st half: +1.1+1.12nd half2nd half: -1.0-1.02nd half: +3.5+3.5
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +0.8+0.81st half: +1.1+1.12nd half2nd half: -1.0-1.02nd half: +3.5+3.5
Miami (FL)Duke
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Miami (FL)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Duke
#39
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A21/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#296
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A21/01
NCAA
Akron
#59
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A25/01
NCAA
Florida State
#342
W
54-28
54
28
+26
A25/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#347
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H28/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#72
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A28/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#138
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H01/02
NCAA
Toledo
#18
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H01/02
NCAA
Ohio
#133
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A04/02
NCAA
Clemson
#60
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A04/02
NCAA
74.4Avg total
37.6Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.835.873.6+1.943%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.435.976.3+4.553%-
Last 30 away (15)35.135.870.9-0.733%-
Last 10 (10)37.636.874.4+0.830%-
Last 5 (5)35.436.071.4-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)34.039.273.2-5.20%-
vs Similar (12)36.938.275.2-1.342%-
vs Weaker (13)40.032.372.3+7.762%-
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DukeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida State
#342
W
42-25
42
25
+17
H31/12
NCAA
NC State
#66
L
22-44
22
44
-22
A05/01
NCAA
Boston College
#221
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A07/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#72
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H12/01
NCAA
Clemson
#60
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A14/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H21/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#138
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A24/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#241
W
43-25
43
25
+18
A28/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#142
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H01/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#117
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H04/02
NCAA
70.9Avg total
36.0Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.832.869.6+3.967%-
Last 30 at home (20)38.331.469.8+6.875%-
Last 30 away (10)33.735.669.3-1.950%-
Last 10 (10)36.034.970.9+1.160%-
Last 5 (5)38.634.873.4+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)32.937.170.0-4.240%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)38.730.769.4+8.080%-
This opponent (Miami (FL)) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Miami (FL) wins
4
Duke wins
DateGameScore
21/01/23Duke v Miami (FL)68-66
12/03/22Duke v Miami (FL)80-76
09/01/22Duke v Miami (FL)74-76
02/02/21Miami (FL) v Duke77-75
22/01/20Duke v Miami (FL)89-59
05/01/20Miami (FL) v Duke62-95
Miami (FL)last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/23AClemson78-74
04/02/23AOhio68-78
01/02/23HToledo78-81
01/02/23HVirginia Tech92-83
28/01/23APittsburgh68-71
28/01/23HEastern Michigan69-74
25/01/23AFlorida State86-63
25/01/23AAkron68-73
21/01/23ABowling Green73-83
21/01/23ADuke66-68
Dukelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/23HNorth Carolina63-57
01/02/23HWake Forest75-73
28/01/23AGeorgia Tech86-43
24/01/23AVirginia Tech75-78
21/01/23HMiami (FL)68-66
14/01/23AClemson64-72
12/01/23HPittsburgh77-69
07/01/23ABoston College65-64
05/01/23ANC State60-84
31/12/22HFlorida State86-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami (FL)
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW54%
HomeWLLLW67%
AwayLWLLW37%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games462719
Win %54%67%37%
Points / game76.179.471.5
Allowed / game72.872.573.3
Point differential+3.3+6.9-1.8
Avg total149.0151.9144.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%44%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (15)38% (8)43% (7)
Overtime %2%0%5%
Duke
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW74%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231310
Win %74%100%40%
Points / game72.577.166.5
Allowed / game63.459.868.1
Point differential+9.1+17.3-1.6
Avg total135.9136.8134.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%62%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virginia2117481%70.360.9+9.5
2 NC State2419579%79.669.5+10.0
3 Clemson2418675%73.867.1+6.7
4 Duke2317674%72.563.4+9.1
5 Pittsburgh2316770%73.968.0+5.9
6 North Carolina2315865%77.671.3+6.3
7 Wake Forest2415962%77.472.7+4.7
8 Virginia Tech2314961%73.967.5+6.4
9 Syracuse24141058%74.570.5+4.1
10 Miami (FL)46252154%76.172.8+3.3
11 Boston College24111346%65.869.4-3.6
12 Stanford23101343%68.666.3+2.3
13 Notre Dame23101343%70.472.0-1.5
14 Georgia Tech2381535%67.171.2-4.1
15 SMU Mustangs2481633%69.374.2-4.9
16 Florida State2481633%70.175.3-5.2
17 California2332013%59.068.0-9.0
18 Louisville2332013%63.474.7-11.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Miami (FL)404181
Duke263359
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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