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Toledo vs Ohio Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 14 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 101-85
52-50 49-35
Position#156
Record9-7
FormWWWLW
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game77.3
vs
Position#241
Record10-7
FormWWWWW
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game75.8
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Toledo v Ohio
13 Jan 2026
TOLE101
OHIO85
13 Mar 2025
TOLE90
OHIO85
07 Mar 2025
TOLE96
OHIO82
16 Feb 2024
TOLE85
OHIO83
10 Mar 2023
TOLE82
OHIO75
17 Jan 2023
TOLE90
OHIO75
08 Feb 2022
TOLE77
OHIO62
12 Mar 2021
TOLE80
OHIO87
08 Jan 2021
TOLE95
OHIO78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toledo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ohio winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ToledoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Clavijo
#10
L
75-78
75
78
-3
A14/12
Segunda FEB
Michigan State
#29
L
69-92
69
92
-23
A16/12
NCAA
Lourdes
#488
W
100-67
100
67
+33
H20/12
NCAA
Cordoba
#5
W
76-74
76
74
+2
H21/12
Segunda FEB
Western Michigan
#325
W
84-79
84
79
+5
H30/12
NCAA
Caceres
#13
W
96-95 OT
96
95
+1
A03/01
Segunda FEB
Central Michigan
#323
W
78-75
78
75
+3
A03/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#342
W
75-61
75
61
+14
A07/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
73-87
73
87
-14
H09/01
NCAA
CBC Valladolid
#7
W
87-73
87
73
+14
H11/01
Segunda FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-24
21-16
14-21
20-17
0-0
28-58
0-0
41-34
0-0
49-28
0-0
51-39
18-22
17-16
14-19
27-17
0-0
32-41
0-0
52-38
24-22
15-18
21-25
26-21
0-0
31-41
0-0
47-34
0-0
37-25
0-0
38-36
0-0
36-56
0-0
37-31
23-22
23-13
25-22
16-16
159.4Avg total
81.3Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)81.677.3158.9+4.256%
Season at home (8)86.076.2162.2+9.862%
Season away (8)77.178.4155.5-1.250%
Last 10 (10)81.378.1159.4+3.270%
Last 5 (5)81.878.2160.0+3.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)71.388.7160.0-17.30%
vs Similar (16)80.080.1160.1-0.138%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)88.971.4160.3+17.5100%
This opponent (Ohio) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OhioUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maine Black Bears
#355
W
79-57
79
57
+22
H04/12
NCAA
Marshall
#124
W
88-81
88
81
+7
H06/12
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#207
W
88-83 OT
88
83
+5
H13/12
NCAA
Ohio Wesleyan
#571
W
89-56
89
56
+33
H17/12
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
L
58-68
58
68
-10
H20/12
NCAA
Miami-Hamilton
#570
W
102-59
102
59
+43
H22/12
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
W
80-64
80
64
+16
A30/12
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
W
68-67
68
67
+1
A03/01
NCAA
UMass
#189
W
86-83
86
83
+3
H06/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
W
91-80
91
80
+11
H10/01
NCAA
1H
2H
38-23
41-34
40-34
48-47
34-32
36-38
43-31
46-25
29-42
29-26
52-34
50-25
31-29
49-35
15-32
53-35
48-41
38-42
44-47
47-33
152.7Avg total
82.9Scored
69.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)78.175.8153.9+2.259%
Season at home (13)79.874.0153.8+5.862%
Season away (4)72.281.8154.0-9.550%
Last 10 (10)82.969.8152.7+13.190%
Last 5 (5)85.470.6156.0+14.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)72.679.9152.4-7.333%
vs Similar (12)78.076.2154.2+1.867%
vs Weaker (8)83.077.4160.4+5.638%
This opponent (Toledo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: -2.8-2.81st half: +2.9+2.92nd half2nd half: +5.9+5.92nd half: +9.7+9.7
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: -2.8-2.81st half: +2.9+2.92nd half2nd half: +5.9+5.92nd half: +9.7+9.7
ToledoOhio
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ToledoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Clavijo
#10
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A14/12
Segunda FEB
Michigan State
#29
L
28-58
28
58
-30
A16/12
NCAA
Lourdes
#488
W
49-28
49
28
+21
H20/12
NCAA
Cordoba
#5
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H21/12
Segunda FEB
Western Michigan
#325
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H30/12
NCAA
Caceres
#13
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A03/01
Segunda FEB
Central Michigan
#323
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A03/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#342
W
37-25
37
25
+12
A07/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
36-56
36
56
-20
H09/01
NCAA
CBC Valladolid
#7
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H11/01
Segunda FEB
77.6Avg total
37.4Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.137.476.5+1.653%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.735.677.3+6.167%-
Last 30 away (15)36.539.375.7-2.840%-
Last 10 (10)37.440.277.6-2.840%-
Last 5 (5)37.839.477.2-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)32.350.082.3-17.70%-
vs Similar (16)37.838.376.1-0.644%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)42.233.275.4+9.080%-
This opponent (Ohio) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OhioLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maine Black Bears
#355
W
38-23
38
23
+15
H04/12
NCAA
Marshall
#124
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H06/12
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#207
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H13/12
NCAA
Ohio Wesleyan
#571
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H17/12
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
L
29-42
29
42
-13
H20/12
NCAA
Miami-Hamilton
#570
W
52-34
52
34
+18
H22/12
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A30/12
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
L
15-32
15
32
-17
A03/01
NCAA
UMass
#189
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H06/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H10/01
NCAA
71.9Avg total
37.4Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.536.973.4-0.443%-
Last 30 at home (20)38.635.474.0+3.260%-
Last 30 away (10)32.440.072.4-7.610%-
Last 10 (10)37.434.571.9+2.970%-
Last 5 (5)38.036.674.6+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)34.739.874.4-5.133%-
vs Similar (12)34.835.870.6-1.150%-
vs Weaker (8)39.435.675.0+3.838%-
This opponent (Toledo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Toledo wins
1
Ohio wins
DateGameScore
13/03/25Toledo v Ohio90-85 OT
08/03/25Toledo v Ohio96-82
29/01/25Ohio v Toledo83-86
17/02/24Toledo v Ohio85-83
03/01/24Ohio v Toledo77-86
10/03/23Toledo v Ohio82-75
18/01/23Toledo v Ohio90-75
09/02/22Toledo v Ohio77-62
21/01/22Ohio v Toledo69-87
12/03/21Toledo v Ohio80-87
Toledolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/26HCBC Valladolid87-73
09/01/26HMiami (Ohio)73-87
07/01/26ANorthern Illinois75-61
03/01/26ACentral Michigan78-75
03/01/26ACaceres96-95 OT
30/12/25HWestern Michigan84-79
21/12/25HCordoba76-74
20/12/25HLourdes100-67
16/12/25AMichigan State69-92
14/12/25AClavijo75-78
Ohiolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/26HBuffalo91-80
06/01/26HUMass86-83
03/01/26AEastern Michigan68-67
30/12/25ACentral Michigan80-64
22/12/25HMiami-Hamilton102-59
20/12/25HBowling Green58-68
17/12/25HOhio Wesleyan89-56
13/12/25HSt. Bonaventure88-83 OT
06/12/25HMarshall88-81
04/12/25HMaine Black Bears79-57

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toledo
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL56%
HomeWWWWL62%
AwayLLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %56%62%50%
Points / game81.686.077.1
Allowed / game77.376.278.4
Point differential+4.2+9.8-1.2
Avg total158.9162.2155.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%38%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ohio
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW59%
HomeWLWWW62%
AwayLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17134
Win %59%62%50%
Points / game78.179.872.2
Allowed / game75.874.081.8
Point differential+2.2+5.8-9.5
Avg total153.9153.8154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%31%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)60% (5)100% (1)
Overtime %6%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Miami (Ohio)17170100%92.972.3+20.6
2 Buffalo1713476%79.972.7+7.2
3 Akron1612475%93.475.7+17.7
4 Kent State1712571%90.082.2+7.8
5 Bowling Green1711665%88.070.8+17.2
6 UMass1710759%80.573.9+6.6
7 Ohio1710759%78.175.8+2.2
8 Toledo169756%81.677.3+4.2
9 Eastern Michigan189950%71.570.8+0.7
10 Western Michigan167944%76.178.2-2.2
11 Northern Illinois1651131%74.178.1-4.0
12 Central Michigan1751229%72.878.7-5.9
13 Ball State1641225%67.469.8-2.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Toledo5249101
Ohio503585
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