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Toledo vs South Alabama Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 04 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 74-76
26-39 48-37
Position#156
Record-
FormLWWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Toledo
USA
vs
South Alabama 🏆
USA
Position#120
Record-
FormWLWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toledo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
South Alabama winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ToledoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buffalo
#333
L
74-87
74
87
-13
A01/03
NCAA
Akron
#21
L
87-96
87
96
-9
H05/03
NCAA
Ohio
#205
W
96-82
96
82
+14
H08/03
NCAA
Ohio
#205
W
90-85 OT
90
85
+5
H13/03
NCAA
Akron
#21
L
90-100
90
100
-10
A14/03
NCAA
CBC Valladolid
#7
L
71-83
71
83
-12
A04/10
Segunda FEB
Valle de Egues
#28
W
98-67
98
67
+31
H11/10
Segunda FEB
Leonesa
#19
W
90-73
90
73
+17
A19/10
Segunda FEB
Ponferrada
#14
L
82-85
82
85
-3
H26/10
Segunda FEB
Caja 87
#4
L
62-70
62
70
-8
A02/11
Segunda FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
32-32
0-0
42-55
0-0
24-45
0-0
63-51
0-0
47-41
0-0
49-41
0-0
39-35
0-0
37-41
0-0
41-52
0-0
49-48
20-20
12-22
22-14
17-27
32-17
18-18
23-14
25-18
26-19
16-14
27-18
21-22
20-18
20-22
19-22
23-23
12-26
16-16
17-11
17-17
166.8Avg total
84.0Scored
82.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)84.082.8166.8+1.240%
Last 5 (5)80.675.6156.2+5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)76.985.8162.7-8.936%
vs Similar ◀ (10)76.675.6152.2+1.050%
vs Weaker (6)91.572.5164.0+19.083%
This opponent (South Alabama) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South AlabamaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
W
62-58 OT
62
58
+4
A02/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#326
W
84-59
84
59
+25
A06/02
NCAA
Akron
#21
L
65-80
65
80
-15
A08/02
NCAA
Marshall
#124
W
91-82 OT
91
82
+9
H14/02
NCAA
Texas State
#207
W
70-65 OT
70
65
+5
H15/02
NCAA
Arkansas State
#54
W
60-56
60
56
+4
A20/02
NCAA
Texas State
#207
L
92-93 OT
92
93
-1
A22/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#324
W
88-82
88
82
+6
A27/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
W
65-42
65
42
+23
H01/03
NCAA
Arkansas State
#54
L
71-74
71
74
-3
H09/03
NCAA
1H
2H
18-31
38-25
43-20
41-39
30-36
35-44
42-36
35-41
32-29
28-31
25-21
35-35
36-36
46-46
46-36
42-46
31-20
34-22
34-37
37-37
143.9Avg total
74.8Scored
69.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)74.869.1143.9+5.770%
Last 5 (5)75.269.4144.6+5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (8)65.167.2132.4-2.150%
vs Weaker (20)73.564.4137.9+9.170%
This opponent (Toledo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -2.2-2.21st half: +3.5+3.52nd half2nd half: +2.9+2.92nd half: +0.5+0.5
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -2.2-2.21st half: +3.5+3.52nd half2nd half: +2.9+2.92nd half: +0.5+0.5
ToledoSouth Alabama
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ToledoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buffalo
#333
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A01/03
NCAA
Akron
#21
L
24-45
24
45
-21
H05/03
NCAA
Ohio
#205
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H08/03
NCAA
Ohio
#205
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H13/03
NCAA
Akron
#21
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A14/03
NCAA
CBC Valladolid
#7
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A04/10
Segunda FEB
Valle de Egues
#28
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H11/10
Segunda FEB
Leonesa
#19
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A19/10
Segunda FEB
Ponferrada
#14
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H26/10
Segunda FEB
Caja 87
#4
L
28-42
28
42
-14
A02/11
Segunda FEB
77.2Avg total
37.5Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.638.576.1-0.947%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.036.476.4+3.657%-
Last 30 away (16)35.540.375.8-4.838%-
Last 10 (10)37.539.777.2-2.240%-
Last 5 (5)38.438.476.8+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)35.141.376.4-6.236%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)36.638.775.3-2.140%-
vs Weaker (6)45.231.776.8+13.583%-
This opponent (South Alabama) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South AlabamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
L
18-31
18
31
-13
A02/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#326
W
43-20
43
20
+23
A06/02
NCAA
Akron
#21
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A08/02
NCAA
Marshall
#124
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H14/02
NCAA
Texas State
#207
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H15/02
NCAA
Arkansas State
#54
W
25-21
25
21
+4
A20/02
NCAA
Texas State
#207
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A22/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#324
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A27/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
W
31-20
31
20
+11
H01/03
NCAA
Arkansas State
#54
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H09/03
NCAA
63.9Avg total
33.7Scored
30.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.130.265.4+4.963%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.630.167.8+7.576%-
Last 30 away (13)31.830.462.2+1.546%-
Last 10 (10)33.730.263.9+3.560%-
Last 5 (5)34.430.064.4+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (8)32.930.963.8+2.050%-
vs Weaker (20)34.430.765.1+3.765%-
This opponent (Toledo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Toledo wins
0
South Alabama wins
No previous meetings.
Toledolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/25ACaja 8762-70
26/10/25HPonferrada82-85
19/10/25ALeonesa90-73
11/10/25HValle de Egues98-67
04/10/25ACBC Valladolid71-83
14/03/25AAkron90-100
13/03/25HOhio90-85 OT
08/03/25HOhio96-82
05/03/25HAkron87-96
01/03/25ABuffalo74-87
South Alabamalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/25HArkansas State71-74
01/03/25HLouisiana Lafayette65-42
27/02/25ASouthern Miss88-82
22/02/25ATexas State92-93 OT
20/02/25AArkansas State60-56
15/02/25HTexas State70-65 OT
14/02/25HMarshall91-82 OT
08/02/25AAkron65-80
06/02/25ACoastal Carolina84-59
02/02/25ALouisiana Lafayette62-58 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toledo
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
South Alabama
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 VMI110100%122.058.0+64.0
2 East Texas A&M110100%119.060.0+59.0
3 Stonehill110100%100.048.0+52.0
4 Prairie View A&M110100%95.048.0+47.0
5 Lamar110100%93.053.0+40.0
6 Drexel110100%93.059.0+34.0
7 St. John's (N.Y.)110100%108.074.0+34.0
8 Stephen F. Austin110100%103.076.0+27.0
9 High Point110100%97.071.0+26.0
10 Eastern Michigan110100%71.049.0+22.0
11 Maryland110100%83.061.0+22.0
12 Georgetown110100%87.070.0+17.0
13 Ohio State110100%118.0102.0+16.0
14 Murray State110100%85.077.0+8.0
15 Stony Brook110100%66.059.0+7.0
16 Winthrop110100%81.074.0+7.0
17 Buffalo110100%85.079.0+6.0
18 Drake110100%77.071.0+6.0
19 St. Bonaventure110100%69.063.0+6.0
20 Bradley1010%63.069.0-6.0
21 Northern Arizona1010%71.077.0-6.0
22 Southern Miss1010%79.085.0-6.0
23 Farmingdale1010%59.066.0-7.0
24 Queens Royals1010%74.081.0-7.0
25 Nebraska O.1010%77.085.0-8.0
26 IU Indy1010%102.0118.0-16.0
27 Morgan State1010%70.087.0-17.0
28 Coppin State1010%61.083.0-22.0
29 Georgia State1010%49.071.0-22.0
30 Furman1010%71.097.0-26.0
31 Millsaps1010%76.0103.0-27.0
32 Quinnipiac1010%74.0108.0-34.0
33 Widener1010%59.093.0-34.0
34 Texas A&M SA Jaguars1010%53.093.0-40.0
35 CBS Ambassadors1010%48.095.0-47.0
36 Thomas College1010%48.0100.0-52.0
37 Arlington Baptist Patriots1010%60.0119.0-59.0
38 Johnson & Wales (RI)1010%58.0122.0-64.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 38 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Toledo264874
South Alabama393776
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