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Toronto Raptors vs Charlotte Hornets Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 86-111
24-18 18-35 28-25 16-33
Position#11
Record15-8
FormWLLWL
Points / game117.8
Allowed / game113.6
vs
Position#14
Record6-16
FormLWWLL
Points / game114.7
Allowed / game119.9
USANBA· Scotiabank Arena
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Toronto Raptors v Charlotte Hornets
07 Feb 2027
TOR v CHA
upcoming
05 Dec 2025
TOR86
CHA111
17 Nov 2025
TOR110
CHA108
09 Apr 2025
TOR126
CHA96
28 Mar 2025
TOR108
CHA97
03 Mar 2024
TOR111
CHA106
18 Dec 2023
TOR114
CHA99
12 Jan 2023
TOR124
CHA114
10 Jan 2023
TOR132
CHA120
25 Jan 2022
TOR125
CHA113
16 Jan 2021
TOR116
CHA113
14 Jan 2021
TOR111
CHA108
28 Feb 2020
TOR96
CHA99
18 Nov 2019
TOR132
CHA96
24 Mar 2019
TOR114
CHA115
22 Oct 2018
TOR127
CHA106
04 Mar 2018
TOR103
CHA98
29 Nov 2017
TOR126
CHA113
29 Mar 2017
TOR106
CHA110
15 Feb 2017
TOR90
CHA85
05 Apr 2016
TOR96
CHA90
01 Jan 2016
TOR104
CHA94
15 Apr 2015
TOR92
CHA87
08 Jan 2015
TOR95
CHA103
18 Dec 2013
TOR102
CHA104
15 Mar 2013
TOR92
CHA78
11 Jan 2013
TOR99
CHA78
03 Apr 2012
TOR92
CHA87
17 Feb 2012
TOR91
CHA98
13 Mar 2011
TOR90
CHA95
10 Nov 2010
TOR96
CHA101
30 Dec 2009
TOR107
CHA103
20 Mar 2009
TOR89
CHA102
26 Nov 2008
TOR93
CHA86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toronto Raptors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Charlotte Hornets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Toronto RaptorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRaptors
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#14
W
110-108
110
108
+2
103avg 106
H18/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
W
121-112
121
112
+9
117avg 106
A20/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
140-110
140
110
+30
147avg 106
H22/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
119-109
119
109
+10
112avg 106
H23/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
110-99
110
99
+11
107avg 106
H25/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
97-95
97
95
+2
83avg 106
H27/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
L
111-118 OT
111
118
-7
108avg 106
A29/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
94-116
94
116
-22
83avg 106
A30/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
121-118
121
118
+3
119avg 106
H03/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
L
120-123
120
123
-3
122avg 106
H05/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-24
29-28
28-31
25-25
33-28
20-28
44-26
24-30
31-20
26-27
48-30
35-33
34-28
31-30
22-24
32-27
29-32
28-22
31-22
22-23
21-25
29-24
26-21
21-25
34-21
24-31
29-28
17-24
22-41
30-18
25-34
17-23
37-39
28-20
32-23
24-36
26-31
32-36
40-33
22-23
225.1Avg total
114.3Scored
110.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)117.8113.6231.4+4.365%
Season at home (11)118.1111.5229.6+6.573%
Season away (12)117.6115.4233.0+2.258%
Last 10 (10)114.3110.8225.1+3.570%
Last 5 (5)108.6114.0222.6-5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)100.7118.0218.7-17.30%
vs Similar ◀ (17)116.5116.6233.1-0.253%
vs Weaker (10)122.0109.5231.5+12.580%
This opponent (Charlotte Hornets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Charlotte HornetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHornets
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
96-109
96
109
-13
80avg 99
H16/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
108-110
108
110
-2
97avg 99
A18/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
L
118-127
118
127
-9
103avg 99
A20/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
116-131
116
131
-15
108avg 99
H22/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
110-113
110
113
-3
104avg 99
A23/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
101-129
101
129
-28
81avg 99
H27/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
123-116
123
116
+7
114avg 99
H29/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
W
118-111 OT
118
111
+7
104avg 99
H29/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
103-116
103
116
-13
97avg 99
A02/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
104-119
104
119
-15
90avg 99
A04/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-30
22-25
18-32
26-22
24-28
28-29
31-28
25-25
33-38
21-32
30-34
34-23
30-38
27-24
25-34
34-35
25-28
30-25
33-39
22-21
31-37
16-35
28-26
26-31
32-29
35-33
26-32
30-22
21-34
31-24
28-29
24-17
27-26
32-33
23-29
21-28
12-27
35-26
28-37
29-29
227.8Avg total
109.7Scored
118.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)114.7119.9234.6-5.227%
Season at home (11)113.6116.5230.2-2.945%
Season away (11)115.8123.3239.1-7.59%
Last 10 (10)109.7118.1227.8-8.420%
Last 5 (5)109.8118.2228.0-8.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)99.5119.6219.1-20.10%
vs Similar ◀ (12)109.6121.2230.8-11.717%
vs Weaker (10)122.3118.0240.3+4.350%
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -5.0-5.0Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +5.3+5.3Q3: -5.0-5.0Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: +1.8+1.8
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -5.0-5.0Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +5.3+5.3Q3: -5.0-5.0Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: +1.8+1.8
Toronto RaptorsCharlotte Hornets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Toronto RaptorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#14
W
57-52
57
52
+5
H18/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
L
53-56
53
56
-3
A20/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
57-47
57
47
+10
H22/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
65-58
65
58
+7
H23/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
57-54
57
54
+3
H25/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H27/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
W
58-52
58
52
+6
A29/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
52-59
52
59
-7
A30/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
65-59
65
59
+6
H03/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
L
58-67
58
67
-9
H05/12
NBA
112.5Avg total
57.2Scored
55.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.656.1113.7+1.567%-
Last 30 at home (14)57.954.7112.6+3.179%-
Last 30 away (16)57.457.4114.8+0.056%-
Last 10 (10)57.255.3112.5+1.970%-
Last 5 (5)56.657.2113.8-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)52.364.3116.7-12.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)57.557.1114.6+0.559%-
vs Weaker (10)59.352.1111.4+7.2100%-
This opponent (Charlotte Hornets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Charlotte HornetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
52-55
52
55
-3
H16/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
52-57
52
57
-5
A18/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
L
54-70
54
70
-16
A20/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
57-62
57
62
-5
H22/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
55-53
55
53
+2
A23/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
47-72
47
72
-25
H27/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
67-62
67
62
+5
H29/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
52-58
52
58
-6
H29/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
D
59-59
59
59
+0
A02/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
47-53
47
53
-6
A04/12
NBA
114.3Avg total
54.2Scored
60.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.060.2116.2-4.227%-
Last 30 at home (15)57.460.4117.8-3.040%-
Last 30 away (15)54.659.9114.5-5.313%-
Last 10 (10)54.260.1114.3-5.920%-
Last 5 (5)54.460.8115.2-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)48.259.4107.6-11.10%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)55.861.3117.2-5.525%-
vs Weaker (10)62.459.4121.8+3.050%-
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Toronto Raptorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toronto Raptors: 114.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.831.7
54.8%
54.8%63.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.711.1
36.2%
35.8%33.3
🏀 Free throws22.917.6
76.9%
78.1%17.6
They take 88.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Charlotte Hornetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Charlotte Hornets: 109.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.326.4
52.5%
54.8%52.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.812.7
31.1%
35.8%38.1
🏀 Free throws22.118.8
85.1%
78.1%18.8
They take 91.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 40.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Toronto Raptors
LWLLWWWWWW
Charlotte Hornets
LLWWLLLLLL
#11
League position
#14
+3.4
Net rating
-8.3
112.6
Offensive rating
108.5
109.1
Defensive rating
116.8
54.6%
Effective FG%
49.9%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
56.4%
14.5%
Turnover %
12.9%
27.1%
Off. rebound %
26.7%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.24
36.2%
3-point %
31.1%
70.8%
Assist %
59.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence112.6 · 108.5Defence109.1 · 116.8Shooting54.6% · 49.9%3-point %36.2% · 31.1%Ball care14.5% · 12.9%Off. rebounds27.1% · 26.7%Free throws0.26 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)70% · 20%
■ Toronto Raptors   ■ Charlotte Hornets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
05/12/25HLos Angeles Lakers120-123
03/12/25HPortland Trail Blazers121-118
30/11/25ANew York Knicks94-116
29/11/25ACharlotte Hornets111-118 OT
27/11/25HIndiana Pacers97-95
25/11/25HCleveland Cavaliers110-99
23/11/25HBrooklyn Nets119-109
22/11/25HWashington Wizards140-110
20/11/25APhiladelphia 76ers121-112
18/11/25HCharlotte Hornets110-108
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/25ANew York Knicks104-119
02/12/25ABrooklyn Nets103-116
29/11/25HToronto Raptors118-111 OT
29/11/25HChicago Bulls123-116
27/11/25HNew York Knicks101-129
23/11/25AAtlanta Hawks110-113
22/11/25HLos Angeles Clippers116-131
20/11/25AIndiana Pacers118-127
18/11/25AToronto Raptors108-110
16/11/25HOklahoma City Thunder96-109

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toronto Raptors
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL65%
HomeWWWWL73%
AwayWWWLL58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %65%73%58%
Points / game117.8118.1117.6
Allowed / game113.6111.5115.4
Point differential+4.3+6.5+2.2
Avg total231.4229.6233.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%45%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)75% (4)-
Overtime %4%0%8%
Charlotte Hornets
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL27%
HomeLLLWW45%
AwayLLLLL9%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %27%45%9%
Points / game114.7113.6115.8
Allowed / game119.9116.5123.3
Point differential-5.2-2.9-7.5
Avg total234.6230.2239.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%27%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)-0% (4)
Overtime %9%9%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder2221195%122.3107.0+15.3
2 Detroit Pistons2217577%118.3113.2+5.1
3 Houston Rockets1914574%121.7110.3+11.4
4 Los Angeles Lakers2216673%118.6116.5+2.1
5 Denver Nuggets2115671%125.1116.0+9.0
6 San Antonio Spurs2115671%119.0113.8+5.2
7 New York Knicks2114767%120.2113.0+7.2
8 Toronto Raptors2315865%117.8113.6+4.3
9 Minnesota Timberwolves2214864%120.8115.5+5.3
10 Boston Celtics2314961%117.1110.5+6.6
11 Miami Heat2314961%122.8117.9+4.9
12 Orlando Magic2314961%118.6113.9+4.7
13 Phoenix Suns2213959%117.0113.7+3.4
14 Philadelphia 76ers2112957%117.4117.0+0.3
15 Cleveland Cavaliers23131057%119.1116.0+3.1
16 Atlanta Hawks23131057%116.8115.7+1.1
17 Golden State Warriors23111248%113.7113.4+0.3
18 Milwaukee Bucks23101343%115.8117.8-2.0
19 Chicago Bulls2191243%119.1122.7-3.5
20 Portland Trail Blazers2291341%118.4120.6-2.2
21 Memphis Grizzlies2291341%113.6117.0-3.3
22 Utah Jazz2181338%118.7124.6-6.0
23 Dallas Mavericks2381535%111.4115.7-4.3
24 Los Angeles Clippers2261627%112.5117.5-5.1
25 Charlotte Hornets2261627%114.7119.9-5.2
26 Brooklyn Nets2251723%109.0118.0-9.0
27 Sacramento Kings2251723%111.0122.8-11.8
28 Indiana Pacers2241818%110.6120.1-9.5
29 Washington Wizards2131814%112.2128.1-15.9
30 New Orleans Pelicans2332013%112.7123.4-10.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Toronto Raptors2418281686
Charlotte Hornets18352533111
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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