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Toronto Raptors vs Charlotte Hornets Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 05 Apr 2016
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 96-90
26-16 30-26 19-17 21-31
Position#5
Record51-25
FormWLWWL
Points / game102.8
Allowed / game98.5
vs
Position#7
Record44-32
FormLWWWL
Points / game103.1
Allowed / game100.6
USANBA
NBA2015-16
Meetings · Toronto Raptors v Charlotte Hornets
07 Feb 2027
TOR v CHA
upcoming
05 Dec 2025
TOR86
CHA111
17 Nov 2025
TOR110
CHA108
09 Apr 2025
TOR126
CHA96
28 Mar 2025
TOR108
CHA97
03 Mar 2024
TOR111
CHA106
18 Dec 2023
TOR114
CHA99
12 Jan 2023
TOR124
CHA114
10 Jan 2023
TOR132
CHA120
25 Jan 2022
TOR125
CHA113
16 Jan 2021
TOR116
CHA113
14 Jan 2021
TOR111
CHA108
28 Feb 2020
TOR96
CHA99
18 Nov 2019
TOR132
CHA96
24 Mar 2019
TOR114
CHA115
22 Oct 2018
TOR127
CHA106
04 Mar 2018
TOR103
CHA98
29 Nov 2017
TOR126
CHA113
29 Mar 2017
TOR106
CHA110
15 Feb 2017
TOR90
CHA85
05 Apr 2016
TOR96
CHA90
01 Jan 2016
TOR104
CHA94
15 Apr 2015
TOR92
CHA87
08 Jan 2015
TOR95
CHA103
18 Dec 2013
TOR102
CHA104
15 Mar 2013
TOR92
CHA78
11 Jan 2013
TOR99
CHA78
03 Apr 2012
TOR92
CHA87
17 Feb 2012
TOR91
CHA98
13 Mar 2011
TOR90
CHA95
10 Nov 2010
TOR96
CHA101
30 Dec 2009
TOR107
CHA103
20 Mar 2009
TOR89
CHA102
26 Nov 2008
TOR93
CHA86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toronto Raptors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Charlotte Hornets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Toronto RaptorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRaptors
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#11
W
101-94 OT
101
94
+7
85avg 92
A17/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#9
W
105-91
105
91
+14
96avg 92
H18/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
105-100
105
100
+5
91avg 92
H20/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#9
L
79-91
79
91
-12
61avg 92
A23/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
L
109-112
109
112
-3
94avg 92
A26/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
W
115-91
115
91
+24
119avg 92
A26/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
L
100-119
100
119
-19
81avg 92
H28/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
105-97
105
97
+8
101avg 92
H30/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
W
99-95
99
95
+4
92avg 92
A02/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
95-102
95
102
-7
83avg 92
A03/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-25
16-21
20-14
22-25
30-14
25-27
24-33
26-17
30-25
23-30
27-27
25-18
25-25
21-21
16-23
17-22
21-29
37-25
20-25
31-33
20-15
28-21
37-25
30-30
21-27
27-34
26-36
26-22
25-20
29-21
35-26
16-30
27-23
18-30
29-19
25-23
18-26
28-29
20-16
29-31
200.5Avg total
101.3Scored
99.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (76)102.898.5201.3+4.267%
Season at home (38)104.698.6203.2+5.976%
Season away (38)100.998.4199.3+2.658%
Last 10 (10)101.399.2200.5+2.160%
Last 5 (5)102.8100.8203.6+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)97.5110.5208.0-13.00%
vs Similar ◀ (15)104.5101.1205.6+3.373%
vs Weaker (13)106.6100.8207.4+5.869%
This opponent (Charlotte Hornets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Charlotte HornetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHornets
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#20
W
107-99
107
99
+8
97avg 93
H16/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#8
W
109-106
109
106
+3
96avg 93
A17/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#22
L
93-101
93
101
-8
81avg 93
H19/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
91-88
91
88
+3
77avg 93
H21/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
105-100
105
100
+5
94avg 93
A22/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
L
105-112
105
112
-7
90avg 93
A25/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#23
W
115-91
115
91
+24
116avg 93
A27/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
W
100-85
100
85
+15
104avg 93
A29/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
W
100-91
100
91
+9
97avg 93
H01/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
L
103-112
103
112
-9
97avg 93
A03/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-30
35-13
31-28
15-28
26-29
28-23
28-21
27-33
22-28
18-29
22-21
31-23
7-28
29-23
31-21
24-16
25-14
21-22
21-28
38-36
24-36
32-36
20-26
29-14
29-17
26-21
35-26
25-27
23-19
29-17
25-26
23-23
25-25
34-25
22-16
19-25
19-29
23-29
29-28
32-26
201.3Avg total
102.8Scored
98.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (76)103.1100.6203.7+2.558%
Season at home (39)105.099.0204.0+6.072%
Season away (37)101.1102.4203.5-1.243%
Last 10 (10)102.898.5201.3+4.370%
Last 5 (5)104.698.2202.8+6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)100.8102.8203.5-2.050%
vs Similar ◀ (14)104.2101.1205.4+3.164%
vs Weaker (12)107.695.7203.2+11.992%
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +1.2+1.2
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +1.2+1.2
Toronto RaptorsCharlotte Hornets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Toronto RaptorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#11
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A17/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#9
W
55-41
55
41
+14
H18/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
53-55
53
55
-2
H20/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#9
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A23/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
W
58-54
58
54
+4
A26/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A26/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
L
48-61
48
61
-13
H28/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
54-41
54
41
+13
H30/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
L
45-53
45
53
-8
A02/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
46-55
46
55
-9
A03/04
NBA
98.4Avg total
49.6Scored
48.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.349.9102.2+2.463%-
Last 30 at home (15)52.550.5102.9+2.067%-
Last 30 away (15)52.149.3101.5+2.860%-
Last 10 (10)49.648.898.4+0.840%-
Last 5 (5)48.249.297.4-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)47.058.0105.0-11.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)52.847.7100.5+5.173%-
vs Weaker (13)52.551.2103.7+1.462%-
This opponent (Charlotte Hornets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Charlotte HornetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#20
W
61-43
61
43
+18
H16/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#8
W
54-52
54
52
+2
A17/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#22
L
40-57
40
57
-17
H19/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
36-51
36
51
-15
H21/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A22/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
L
56-72
56
72
-16
A25/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#23
W
55-38
55
38
+17
A27/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
W
52-36
52
36
+16
A29/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
W
59-50
59
50
+9
H01/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
L
42-58
42
58
-16
A03/04
NBA
99.4Avg total
50.1Scored
49.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.450.2102.6+2.257%-
Last 30 at home (15)53.551.3104.7+2.253%-
Last 30 away (15)51.349.1100.5+2.260%-
Last 10 (10)50.149.399.4+0.860%-
Last 5 (5)52.850.8103.6+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)44.857.5102.2-12.80%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)52.351.1103.4+1.257%-
vs Weaker (12)55.146.8101.8+8.375%-
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Toronto Raptorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toronto Raptors: 101.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.126.3
45.3%
49.0%52.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.59.4
38.4%
35.3%28.2
🏀 Free throws27.220.5
75.4%
75.5%20.5
They take 82.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Charlotte Hornetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Charlotte Hornets: 102.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.327.1
47.3%
49.0%54.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.910.4
37.3%
35.3%31.2
🏀 Free throws21.717.4
80.2%
75.5%17.4
They take 85.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Apr 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Toronto Raptors
LWWLWLLWWW
Charlotte Hornets
LWWWLWWLWW
#5
League position
#7
+2.2
Net rating
+4.4
105.9
Offensive rating
106.3
103.7
Defensive rating
101.8
48.9%
Effective FG%
50.1%
49.8%
Opp. effective FG%
49.2%
12.6%
Turnover %
10.9%
24.7%
Off. rebound %
18.9%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.25
38.4%
3-point %
37.3%
52.1%
Assist %
61.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence105.9 · 106.3Defence103.7 · 101.8Shooting48.9% · 50.1%3-point %38.4% · 37.3%Ball care12.6% · 10.9%Off. rebounds24.7% · 18.9%Free throws0.33 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Toronto Raptors   ■ Charlotte Hornets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
03/04/16ASan Antonio Spurs95-102
02/04/16AMemphis Grizzlies99-95
30/03/16HAtlanta Hawks105-97
28/03/16HOklahoma City Thunder100-119
26/03/16ANew Orleans Pelicans115-91
26/03/16AHouston Rockets109-112
23/03/16ABoston Celtics79-91
20/03/16HOrlando Magic105-100
18/03/16HBoston Celtics105-91
17/03/16AIndiana Pacers101-94 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/04/16ACleveland Cavaliers103-112
01/04/16HPhiladelphia 76ers100-91
29/03/16APhiladelphia 76ers100-85
27/03/16AMilwaukee Bucks115-91
25/03/16ADetroit Pistons105-112
22/03/16ABrooklyn Nets105-100
21/03/16HSan Antonio Spurs91-88
19/03/16HDenver Nuggets93-101
17/03/16AMiami Heat109-106
16/03/16HOrlando Magic107-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toronto Raptors
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL67%
HomeLWWLW76%
AwayLLWWL58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games763838
Win %67%76%58%
Points / game102.8104.6100.9
Allowed / game98.598.698.4
Point differential+4.2+5.9+2.6
Avg total201.3203.2199.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%32%37%
Close games (≤5 pts) won54% (24)60% (15)44% (9)
Overtime %5%3%8%
Charlotte Hornets
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL58%
HomeLWLWW72%
AwayWLWWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games763937
Win %58%72%43%
Points / game103.1105.0101.1
Allowed / game100.699.0102.4
Point differential+2.5+6.0-1.2
Avg total203.7204.0203.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%36%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won61% (23)62% (13)60% (10)
Overtime %7%8%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors7769890%115.3104.2+11.0
2 San Antonio Spurs76641284%104.292.6+11.6
3 Cleveland Cavaliers77552271%104.198.0+6.1
4 Oklahoma City Thunder77532469%110.1102.9+7.2
5 Toronto Raptors76512567%102.898.5+4.2
6 Los Angeles Clippers76482863%104.7100.9+3.8
7 Atlanta Hawks77453258%102.999.2+3.8
8 Boston Celtics77453258%105.7102.3+3.3
9 Charlotte Hornets76443258%103.1100.6+2.5
10 Miami Heat76443258%99.798.5+1.2
11 Indiana Pacers77413653%101.7100.4+1.3
12 Detroit Pistons77413653%101.9101.2+0.7
13 Memphis Grizzlies77413653%99.2101.0-1.8
14 Portland Trail Blazers78413753%104.8104.2+0.6
15 Utah Jazz77393851%97.995.9+1.9
16 Dallas Mavericks77393851%102.8103.2-0.4
17 Chicago Bulls77393851%101.4102.8-1.5
18 Houston Rockets77383949%106.0106.7-0.7
19 Washington Wizards77374048%103.5104.6-1.1
20 Orlando Magic77334443%101.9103.3-1.4
21 Milwaukee Bucks77324542%99.1102.9-3.7
22 Denver Nuggets78324641%102.2104.9-2.7
23 Sacramento Kings77314640%107.0109.0-2.1
24 New York Knicks78314740%98.5101.0-2.6
25 New Orleans Pelicans77294838%102.5105.7-3.3
26 Minnesota Timberwolves77255232%101.5105.6-4.1
27 Brooklyn Nets77215627%98.4105.3-6.9
28 Phoenix Suns77205726%100.3107.6-7.4
29 Los Angeles Lakers76166021%97.7106.9-9.2
30 Philadelphia 76ers78106813%97.1107.3-10.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Toronto Raptors2630192196
Charlotte Hornets1626173190
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