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Toros de Aragua vs Llaneros Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 21 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 94-100 (OT)
18-27 21-22 28-18 20-20 7-13
Position#20
Record1-14
FormLLLLL
Points / game71.7
Allowed / game82.6
vs
Position#14
Record4-9
FormLWWLL
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game83.0
VenezuelaSuperliga· Gimnasio Rafael Romero Bolívar (El Limón)
Other2023
Meetings · Toros de Aragua v Llaneros
30 Apr 2025
TORO93
LLAN95
30 Mar 2025
TORO77
LLAN66
02 May 2024
TORO72
LLAN76
21 Apr 2023
TORO94
LLAN100
09 Apr 2023
TORO80
LLAN85
24 Aug 2022
TORO69
LLAN85
27 Jul 2022
TORO63
LLAN60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toros de Aragua winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Llaneros winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Toros de AraguaVenezuelaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAragua
Date
Competition
Trotamundos
#4
L
63-82
63
82
-19
46avg 57
H01/04
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
L
73-77
73
77
-4
58avg 57
A03/04
Superliga
Brillantes
#6
L
64-84
64
84
-20
50avg 57
A04/04
Superliga
Broncos
#5
L
78-90
78
90
-12
58avg 57
H08/04
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
L
80-85
80
85
-5
70avg 57
H09/04
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
L
59-79
59
79
-20
29avg 57
A11/04
Superliga
Frontinos
#19
L
87-91
87
91
-4
72avg 57
A13/04
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
L
80-88
80
88
-8
68avg 57
H15/04
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
L
57-68
57
68
-11
35avg 57
A17/04
Superliga
Broncos
#5
L
78-98
78
98
-20
72avg 57
A19/04
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-15
15-29
15-20
20-18
22-21
21-18
15-24
15-14
16-27
10-13
25-20
13-24
19-24
12-23
19-27
28-16
20-17
27-26
13-22
20-20
17-22
12-26
13-16
17-15
26-28
21-20
20-19
20-24
13-23
21-20
16-25
30-20
12-6
12-19
10-25
23-18
19-32
19-26
26-22
14-18
156.1Avg total
71.9Scored
84.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)71.782.6154.3-10.97%
Season at home (7)75.785.0160.7-9.314%
Season away (8)68.280.5148.8-12.20%
Last 10 (10)71.984.2156.1-12.30%
Last 5 (5)72.284.8157.0-12.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)70.683.1153.7-12.64%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (3)78.081.3159.3-3.333%
This opponent (Llaneros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LlanerosVenezuelaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLlaneros
Date
Competition
Guaros de Lara
#3
L
72-86
72
86
-14
64avg 68
A25/03
Superliga
Frontinos
#19
L
80-85
80
85
-5
66avg 68
H28/03
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
L
69-82
69
82
-13
56avg 68
H31/03
Superliga
Broncos
#5
L
64-85
64
85
-21
61avg 68
A02/04
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
W
90-82
90
82
+8
91avg 68
A05/04
Superliga
Frontinos
#19
L
97-102 OT
97
102
-5
no box
H08/04
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#20
W
85-80
85
80
+5
77avg 68
A09/04
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#20
W
79-59
79
59
+20
79avg 68
H11/04
Superliga
Brillantes
#6
L
82-87
82
87
-5
60avg 68
H15/04
Superliga
Broncos
#5
L
69-101
69
101
-32
62avg 68
H16/04
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-26
23-21
14-18
24-21
24-23
17-14
28-16
11-32
11-17
23-29
12-19
23-17
20-19
14-19
12-27
18-20
19-18
29-17
24-20
18-27
28-29
23-19
20-23
20-20
17-20
26-27
22-13
20-20
22-17
26-12
16-13
15-17
27-21
15-25
18-18
22-23
14-27
13-18
27-36
15-20
163.6Avg total
78.7Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)77.883.0160.8-5.231%
Season at home (8)79.085.2164.2-6.212%
Season away (5)75.879.4155.2-3.660%
Last 10 (10)78.784.9163.6-6.230%
Last 5 (5)82.485.8168.2-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)75.083.8158.8-8.815%
vs Similar (9)84.086.2170.2-2.244%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)80.472.0152.4+8.462%
This opponent (Toros de Aragua) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: -5.0-5.0Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -4.8-4.8Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -3.1-3.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: -5.0-5.0Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -4.8-4.8Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -3.1-3.1
Toros de AraguaLlaneros
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Toros de AraguaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trotamundos
#4
L
28-44
28
44
-16
H01/04
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A03/04
Superliga
Brillantes
#6
L
26-40
26
40
-14
A04/04
Superliga
Broncos
#5
L
31-47
31
47
-16
H08/04
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H09/04
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
L
29-48
29
48
-19
A11/04
Superliga
Frontinos
#19
L
47-48
47
48
-1
A13/04
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H15/04
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
L
24-25
24
25
-1
A17/04
Superliga
Broncos
#5
L
38-58
38
58
-20
A19/04
Superliga
78.2Avg total
34.7Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.741.976.6-7.117%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.542.578.0-7.113%-
Last 30 away (15)34.041.275.2-7.220%-
Last 10 (10)34.743.578.2-8.820%-
Last 5 (5)34.444.478.8-10.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)34.442.476.9-8.011%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (3)37.736.774.3+1.067%-
This opponent (Llaneros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LlanerosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Guaros de Lara
#3
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A25/03
Superliga
Frontinos
#19
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H28/03
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
L
34-46
34
46
-12
H31/03
Superliga
Broncos
#5
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A02/04
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A05/04
Superliga
Frontinos
#19
W
51-48
51
48
+3
H08/04
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#20
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A09/04
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#20
W
48-29
48
29
+19
H11/04
Superliga
Brillantes
#6
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H15/04
Superliga
Broncos
#5
L
27-45
27
45
-18
H16/04
Superliga
82.0Avg total
40.2Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.838.175.9-0.340%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.140.181.1+1.053%-
Last 30 away (15)34.536.170.6-1.527%-
Last 10 (10)40.241.882.0-1.640%-
Last 5 (5)42.243.085.2-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)35.238.073.2-2.831%-
vs Similar (9)39.141.080.1-1.922%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)40.634.975.5+5.875%-
This opponent (Toros de Aragua) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Toros de Araguatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toros de Aragua: 71.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.9 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.1 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
54%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.321.6
43.8%
50.8%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.86.3
27.6%
31.3%18.9
🏀 Free throws16.39.1
55.8%
65.6%9.1
They take 72.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Llanerostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Llaneros: 75.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
54%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.019.9
51.0%
50.8%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.67.3
30.9%
31.3%21.9
🏀 Free throws23.113.4
58.0%
65.6%13.4
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Apr 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Toros de Aragua
LLLLLLLLLL
Llaneros
LLWWLWLLLL
#20
League position
#14
-14.7
Net rating
-6.9
85.8
Offensive rating
93.6
100.5
Defensive rating
100.4
43.1%
Effective FG%
49.3%
50.3%
Opp. effective FG%
48.7%
22.8%
Turnover %
21.9%
32.5%
Off. rebound %
25.2%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.37
27.6%
3-point %
30.9%
43.4%
Assist %
59.2%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence85.8 · 93.6Defence100.5 · 100.4Shooting43.1% · 49.3%3-point %27.6% · 30.9%Ball care22.8% · 21.9%Off. rebounds32.5% · 25.2%Free throws0.23 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)0% · 30%
■ Toros de Aragua   ■ Llaneros
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Toros de Aragua wins
5
Llaneros wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/04/23ABroncos78-98
17/04/23ATrotamundos57-68
15/04/23HGaiteros del Zulia80-88
13/04/23AFrontinos87-91
11/04/23ALlaneros59-79
09/04/23HLlaneros80-85
08/04/23HBroncos78-90
04/04/23ABrillantes64-84
03/04/23AGaiteros del Zulia73-77
01/04/23HTrotamundos63-82
Llaneroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/04/23HBroncos69-101
15/04/23HBrillantes82-87
11/04/23HToros de Aragua79-59
09/04/23AToros de Aragua85-80
08/04/23HFrontinos97-102 OT
05/04/23ATrotamundos90-82
02/04/23ABroncos64-85
31/03/23HGaiteros del Zulia69-82
28/03/23HFrontinos80-85
25/03/23AGuaros de Lara72-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toros de Aragua
Superliga 2023
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL7%
HomeLLLLL14%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %7%14%0%
Points / game71.775.768.2
Allowed / game82.685.080.5
Point differential-10.9-9.3-12.2
Avg total154.3160.7148.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Llaneros
Superliga 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL31%
HomeLLWLL12%
AwayWLLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1385
Win %31%12%60%
Points / game77.879.075.8
Allowed / game83.085.279.4
Point differential-5.2-6.2-3.6
Avg total160.8164.2155.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)0% (5)100% (2)
Overtime %8%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Gladiadores1513287%84.273.5+10.7
2 Cocodrilos1411379%76.168.9+7.2
3 Broncos1511473%89.975.5+14.4
4 Piratas de La Guaira118373%79.771.9+7.8
5 Brillantes1510567%82.076.9+5.1
6 Guaros de Lara1510567%82.678.7+3.9
7 Trotamundos1510567%79.877.8+2.0
8 Guaiqueries138562%86.080.4+5.6
9 Heroes de Falcon148657%83.680.4+3.2
10 Gaiteros del Zulia148657%77.279.6-2.4
11 Panteras158753%76.975.3+1.6
12 Centauros146843%74.077.2-3.2
13 Spartans125742%74.475.6-1.2
14 Gigantes124833%76.182.0-5.9
15 Llaneros134931%77.883.0-5.2
16 Frontinos1441029%80.588.8-8.3
17 Marinos123925%78.488.4-10.0
18 Cangrejeros1221017%76.886.8-9.9
19 Diablos1221017%77.187.1-10.0
20 Toros de Aragua151147%71.782.6-10.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Toros de Aragua18212820794
Llaneros2722182013100
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