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Broncos vs Toros de Aragua Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 19 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 98-78
32-19 26-19 22-26 18-14
Position#5
Record10-4
FormWLWWL
Points / game89.4
Allowed / game75.4
Broncos 🏆
Venezuela
vs
Position#20
Record1-13
FormLLLLL
Points / game71.3
Allowed / game81.5
VenezuelaSuperliga· Gimnasio José Joaquín Papá Carrillo (Caracas)
Other2023
Meetings · Broncos v Toros de Aragua
04 Jul 2024
BRON93
TORO77
25 May 2024
BRON96
TORO90
12 May 2023
BRON102
TORO82
19 Apr 2023
BRON98
TORO78
02 Sep 2022
BRON73
TORO62
21 Jul 2022
BRON71
TORO56
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Broncos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toros de Aragua winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BroncosVenezuelaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBroncos
Date
Competition
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
L
66-67
66
67
-1
48avg 81
A27/03
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#10
W
92-80
92
80
+12
80avg 81
A29/03
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
W
85-64
85
64
+21
88avg 81
H02/04
Superliga
Frontinos
#19
W
90-73
90
73
+17
86avg 81
A04/04
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#20
W
90-78
90
78
+12
76avg 81
A08/04
Superliga
Frontinos
#19
W
103-95 OT
103
95
+8
no box
H10/04
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
L
89-97 OT
89
97
-8
no box
H12/04
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
W
93-57
93
57
+36
94avg 81
H14/04
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
W
101-69
101
69
+32
99avg 81
A16/04
Superliga
Brillantes
#6
L
62-77
62
77
-15
49avg 81
H17/04
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-15
25-22
14-16
18-14
20-29
24-17
22-20
26-14
19-20
19-14
27-12
20-18
24-17
23-12
24-20
19-24
24-19
23-12
27-19
16-28
25-21
17-25
22-23
25-20
19-21
15-22
22-19
26-20
23-21
27-14
21-9
22-13
27-14
18-13
36-27
20-15
17-16
14-28
13-15
18-18
162.8Avg total
87.1Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)89.475.4164.7+14.071%
Season at home (8)90.574.8165.2+15.875%
Season away (6)87.876.2164.0+11.767%
Last 10 (10)87.175.7162.8+11.470%
Last 5 (5)89.679.0168.6+10.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)75.478.8154.2-3.527%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)86.974.6161.5+12.474%
This opponent (Toros de Aragua) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toros de AraguaVenezuelaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAragua
Date
Competition
Frontinos
#19
L
72-83
72
83
-11
59avg 56
A30/03
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
L
63-82
63
82
-19
46avg 56
H01/04
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
L
73-77
73
77
-4
58avg 56
A03/04
Superliga
Brillantes
#6
L
64-84
64
84
-20
50avg 56
A04/04
Superliga
Broncos
#5
L
78-90
78
90
-12
58avg 56
H08/04
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
L
80-85
80
85
-5
70avg 56
H09/04
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
L
59-79
59
79
-20
29avg 56
A11/04
Superliga
Frontinos
#19
L
87-91
87
91
-4
72avg 56
A13/04
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
L
80-88
80
88
-8
68avg 56
H15/04
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
L
57-68
57
68
-11
35avg 56
A17/04
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-14
12-19
13-21
23-29
13-15
15-29
15-20
20-18
22-21
21-18
15-24
15-14
16-27
10-13
25-20
13-24
19-24
12-23
19-27
28-16
20-17
27-26
13-22
20-20
17-22
12-26
13-16
17-15
26-28
21-20
20-19
20-24
13-23
21-20
16-25
30-20
12-6
12-19
10-25
23-18
154.0Avg total
71.3Scored
82.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)71.381.5152.8-10.27%
Season at home (7)75.785.0160.7-9.314%
Season away (7)66.978.0144.9-11.10%
Last 10 (10)71.382.7154.0-11.40%
Last 5 (5)72.682.2154.8-9.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)69.882.4152.2-12.64%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (3)78.081.3159.3-3.333%
This opponent (Broncos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: -5.0-5.0Q3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q3: -6.0-6.0Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: +1.1+1.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: -5.0-5.0Q3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q3: -6.0-6.0Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: +1.1+1.1
BroncosToros de Aragua
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BroncosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A27/03
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#10
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A29/03
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H02/04
Superliga
Frontinos
#19
W
47-29
47
29
+18
A04/04
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#20
W
47-31
47
31
+16
A08/04
Superliga
Frontinos
#19
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H10/04
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H12/04
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H14/04
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
W
45-27
45
27
+18
A16/04
Superliga
Brillantes
#6
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H17/04
Superliga
78.4Avg total
41.2Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.436.475.8+3.053%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.436.676.0+2.856%-
Last 30 away (14)39.536.175.6+3.450%-
Last 10 (10)41.237.278.4+4.050%-
Last 5 (5)40.439.079.4+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)36.535.571.9+1.055%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)41.236.978.1+4.253%-
This opponent (Toros de Aragua) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toros de AraguaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Frontinos
#19
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A30/03
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
L
28-44
28
44
-16
H01/04
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A03/04
Superliga
Brillantes
#6
L
26-40
26
40
-14
A04/04
Superliga
Broncos
#5
L
31-47
31
47
-16
H08/04
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H09/04
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
L
29-48
29
48
-19
A11/04
Superliga
Frontinos
#19
L
47-48
47
48
-1
A13/04
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H15/04
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
L
24-25
24
25
-1
A17/04
Superliga
75.5Avg total
34.5Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.341.475.7-7.117%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.542.578.0-7.113%-
Last 30 away (15)33.140.373.5-7.220%-
Last 10 (10)34.541.075.5-6.530%-
Last 5 (5)36.241.477.6-5.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)33.942.075.9-8.011%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (3)37.736.774.3+1.067%-
This opponent (Broncos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Broncostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Broncos: 85.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
54%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.520.5
54.7%
50.8%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.08.9
30.7%
31.3%26.7
🏀 Free throws24.618.2
74.0%
65.6%18.2
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Toros de Araguatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toros de Aragua: 70.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.0 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
54%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.220.9
43.4%
50.8%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.26.6
28.4%
31.3%19.8
🏀 Free throws16.69.0
54.2%
65.6%9.0
They take 71.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Apr 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Broncos
LWWLWWWWWL
Toros de Aragua
LLLLLLLLLL
#5
League position
#20
+18.5
Net rating
-13.7
107.2
Offensive rating
85.3
88.8
Defensive rating
99.0
50.9%
Effective FG%
43.1%
44.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.1%
17.5%
Turnover %
22.8%
27.9%
Off. rebound %
31.8%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.23
30.7%
3-point %
28.4%
62.6%
Assist %
42.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence107.2 · 85.3Defence88.8 · 99.0Shooting50.9% · 43.1%3-point %30.7% · 28.4%Ball care17.5% · 22.8%Off. rebounds27.9% · 31.8%Free throws0.37 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)70% · 0%
■ Broncos   ■ Toros de Aragua
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Broncos wins
0
Toros de Aragua wins
Broncoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/04/23HBrillantes62-77
16/04/23ALlaneros101-69
14/04/23HGaiteros del Zulia93-57
12/04/23HTrotamundos89-97 OT
10/04/23HFrontinos103-95 OT
08/04/23AToros de Aragua90-78
04/04/23AFrontinos90-73
02/04/23HLlaneros85-64
29/03/23AHeroes de Falcon92-80
27/03/23AGaiteros del Zulia66-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/04/23ATrotamundos57-68
15/04/23HGaiteros del Zulia80-88
13/04/23AFrontinos87-91
11/04/23ALlaneros59-79
09/04/23HLlaneros80-85
08/04/23HBroncos78-90
04/04/23ABrillantes64-84
03/04/23AGaiteros del Zulia73-77
01/04/23HTrotamundos63-82
30/03/23AFrontinos72-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Broncos
Superliga 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL71%
HomeWWLWL75%
AwayLWWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %71%75%67%
Points / game89.490.587.8
Allowed / game75.474.876.2
Point differential+14.0+15.8+11.7
Avg total164.7165.2164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%50%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %14%25%0%
Toros de Aragua
Superliga 2023
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL7%
HomeLLLLL14%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %7%14%0%
Points / game71.375.766.9
Allowed / game81.585.078.0
Point differential-10.2-9.3-11.1
Avg total152.8160.7144.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Gladiadores1412286%83.173.4+9.6
2 Cocodrilos1310377%75.869.5+6.2
3 Piratas de La Guaira118373%79.771.9+7.8
4 Broncos1410471%89.475.4+14.0
5 Guaros de Lara1410471%82.778.0+4.7
6 Trotamundos1410471%79.677.0+2.6
7 Brillantes149564%81.576.6+4.9
8 Guaiqueries138562%86.080.4+5.6
9 Heroes de Falcon148657%83.680.4+3.2
10 Panteras148657%78.074.9+3.1
11 Gaiteros del Zulia148657%77.279.6-2.4
12 Spartans125742%74.475.6-1.2
13 Centauros135838%72.876.8-3.9
14 Llaneros134931%77.883.0-5.2
15 Frontinos1441029%80.588.8-8.3
16 Gigantes113827%75.883.2-7.4
17 Marinos113827%79.389.3-10.0
18 Cangrejeros112918%77.085.5-8.5
19 Diablos1221017%77.187.1-10.0
20 Toros de Aragua141137%71.381.5-10.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Broncos3226221898
Toros de Aragua1919261478
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