PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Tortona vs Sassari Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 14 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 118-113 (OT)
27-15 20-17 22-27 19-29 30-25
Position#6
Record6-4
FormWLWLL
Points / game88.3
Allowed / game88.9
Tortona 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#16
Record3-7
FormWLLWL
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game86.5
ItalyLega ARound 11· PalaFerraris
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Tortona v Sassari
14 Dec 2025
TOR118
SAS113
03 Nov 2024
TOR71
SAS68
10 Feb 2024
TOR79
SAS62
10 Dec 2022
TOR79
SAS82
28 Sep 2022
TOR83
SAS84
14 Nov 2021
TOR95
SAS89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tortona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sassari winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TortonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTortona
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
74-71
74
71
+3
64avg 79
A05/10
Lega A
Treviso
#14
W
107-95
107
95
+12
104avg 79
H12/10
Lega A
Trento
#9
L
75-89
75
89
-14
70avg 79
A19/10
Lega A
Trapani
#3
W
108-100
108
100
+8
104avg 79
H25/10
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#11
W
87-76
87
76
+11
80avg 79
H02/11
Lega A
Varese
#8
W
90-87
90
87
+3
79avg 79
H09/11
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
81-91
81
91
-10
67avg 79
A12/11
Lega A
Udine
#13
W
94-90
94
90
+4
88avg 79
A15/11
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
90-98
90
98
-8
78avg 79
H23/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
77-92
77
92
-15
70avg 79
A08/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-25
24-19
16-8
13-19
24-29
33-18
28-26
22-22
18-25
20-19
17-25
20-20
19-19
34-27
19-28
36-26
23-19
20-22
22-14
22-21
23-23
17-25
31-24
19-15
29-15
14-26
18-23
20-27
23-15
25-21
24-26
22-28
22-22
25-30
17-22
26-24
20-20
15-28
22-32
20-12
177.2Avg total
88.3Scored
88.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)88.388.9177.2-0.660%
Season at home (5)96.491.2187.6+5.280%
Season away (5)80.286.6166.8-6.440%
Last 10 (10)88.388.9177.2-0.660%
Last 5 (5)86.491.6178.0-5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)77.287.8165.0-10.525%
vs Similar (9)87.190.1177.2-3.033%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)91.482.2173.6+9.283%
This opponent (Sassari) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SassariItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSassari
Date
Competition
Udine
#13
L
70-88
70
88
-18
58avg 74
H01/11
Lega A
Sporting CP
#24
W
89-72
89
72
+17
92avg 74
H04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Cantu
#15
W
100-84
100
84
+16
97avg 74
H06/11
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
76-89
76
89
-13
73avg 74
A09/11
Lega A
Valcea
#38
W
97-65
97
65
+32
101avg 74
A12/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Trento
#9
W
89-88
89
88
+1
84avg 74
H16/11
Lega A
Vechta
#8
L
73-77
73
77
-4
65avg 74
A19/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Basket Napoli
#11
L
75-86
75
86
-11
70avg 74
A23/11
Lega A
Trieste
#10
W
85-80
85
80
+5
75avg 74
H06/12
Lega A
Petkim Spor
#11
L
72-76
72
76
-4
66avg 74
H10/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-25
21-16
13-27
19-20
24-20
31-21
17-21
17-10
27-20
28-17
18-23
27-24
15-12
20-25
24-31
17-21
24-17
19-18
25-13
29-17
28-21
21-29
23-22
17-16
15-23
19-19
15-20
24-15
21-24
18-24
18-15
18-23
30-17
14-20
25-21
16-22
10-19
25-15
14-15
23-27
163.1Avg total
82.6Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)81.586.5168.0-5.030%
Season at home (6)86.386.8173.2-0.550%
Season away (4)74.286.0160.2-11.80%
Last 10 (10)82.680.5163.1+2.150%
Last 5 (5)78.881.4160.2-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)77.286.1163.2-8.915%
vs Similar (13)85.283.5168.7+1.654%
vs Weaker (4)90.272.5162.8+17.875%
This opponent (Tortona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +1.2+1.2
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +1.2+1.2
TortonaSassari
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TortonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A05/10
Lega A
Treviso
#14
W
57-47
57
47
+10
H12/10
Lega A
Trento
#9
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A19/10
Lega A
Trapani
#3
W
53-46
53
46
+7
H25/10
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#11
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H02/11
Lega A
Varese
#8
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H09/11
Lega A
Trieste
#10
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A12/11
Lega A
Udine
#13
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A15/11
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
47-52
47
52
-5
H23/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A08/12
Lega A
89.6Avg total
44.9Scored
44.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.642.184.6+0.557%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.842.487.2+2.467%-
Last 30 away (15)40.341.782.1-1.447%-
Last 10 (10)44.944.789.6+0.260%-
Last 5 (5)42.645.087.6-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)40.044.184.1-4.138%-
vs Similar (9)42.944.487.3-1.644%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)44.838.983.8+5.983%-
This opponent (Sassari) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SassariLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Udine
#13
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H01/11
Lega A
Sporting CP
#24
W
55-41
55
41
+14
H04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Cantu
#15
W
55-37
55
37
+18
H06/11
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A09/11
Lega A
Valcea
#38
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A12/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Trento
#9
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H16/11
Lega A
Vechta
#8
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A19/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Basket Napoli
#11
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A23/11
Lega A
Trieste
#10
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H06/12
Lega A
Petkim Spor
#11
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H10/12
FIBA Europe Cup
82.9Avg total
42.7Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.542.282.7-1.733%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.342.685.9+0.635%-
Last 30 away (13)36.841.578.4-4.731%-
Last 10 (10)42.740.282.9+2.550%-
Last 5 (5)40.242.282.4-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)39.742.882.5-3.223%-
vs Similar (13)41.542.283.7-0.638%-
vs Weaker (4)39.840.079.8-0.250%-
This opponent (Tortona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tortonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tortona: 87.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.321.4
54.5%
54.1%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.59.7
35.3%
34.6%29.1
🏀 Free throws20.815.6
75.0%
76.1%15.6
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sassaritheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sassari: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.818.7
53.7%
54.1%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.98.8
34.0%
34.6%26.4
🏀 Free throws23.518.6
79.1%
76.1%18.6
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tortona
LLWLWWWLWW
Sassari
LWLLWWLWWL
#6
League position
#16
-0.5
Net rating
+4.2
116.7
Offensive rating
110.7
117.3
Defensive rating
106.6
53.8%
Effective FG%
52.6%
55.1%
Opp. effective FG%
49.3%
14.2%
Turnover %
17.7%
31.3%
Off. rebound %
30.4%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.39
35.3%
3-point %
34.0%
61.4%
Assist %
62.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence116.7 · 110.7Defence117.3 · 106.6Shooting53.8% · 52.6%3-point %35.3% · 34.0%Ball care14.2% · 17.7%Off. rebounds31.3% · 30.4%Free throws0.31 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Tortona   ■ Sassari
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Tortona wins
4
Sassari wins
DateGameScore
13/04/25Sassari v Tortona87-82
03/11/24Tortona v Sassari71-68
10/02/24Tortona v Sassari79-62
28/10/23Sassari v Tortona74-94
26/03/23Sassari v Tortona84-72
10/12/22Tortona v Sassari79-82
28/09/22Tortona v Sassari83-84
13/03/22Sassari v Tortona83-87
14/11/21Tortona v Sassari95-89
Tortonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/25AVirtus Bologna77-92
23/11/25HVenezia90-98
15/11/25AUdine94-90
12/11/25ATrieste81-91
09/11/25HVarese90-87
02/11/25HBasket Napoli87-76
25/10/25HTrapani108-100
19/10/25ATrento75-89
12/10/25HTreviso107-95
05/10/25AOlimpia Milano74-71
Sassarilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/25HPetkim Spor72-76
06/12/25HTrieste85-80
23/11/25ABasket Napoli75-86
19/11/25AVechta73-77
16/11/25HTrento89-88
12/11/25AValcea97-65
09/11/25AVenezia76-89
06/11/25HCantu100-84
04/11/25HSporting CP89-72
01/11/25HUdine70-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tortona
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL60%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayWLLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %60%80%40%
Points / game88.396.480.2
Allowed / game88.991.286.6
Point differential-0.6+5.2-6.4
Avg total177.2187.6166.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sassari
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW30%
HomeLLWWW50%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %30%50%0%
Points / game81.586.374.2
Allowed / game86.586.886.0
Point differential-5.0-0.5-11.8
Avg total168.0173.2160.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trapani1110191%91.484.1+7.3
2 Virtus Bologna109190%89.379.6+9.7
3 Brescia109190%89.180.4+8.7
4 Venezia118373%92.886.3+6.5
5 Olimpia Milano106460%87.077.9+9.1
6 Tortona106460%88.388.9-0.6
7 Trieste116555%86.790.7-4.0
8 Cremona105550%86.583.9+2.6
9 Trento115645%86.783.5+3.3
10 Basket Napoli104640%83.686.4-2.8
11 Sassari103730%81.586.5-5.0
12 Varese103730%79.587.0-7.5
13 Cantu103730%82.892.1-9.3
14 Udine113827%79.581.8-2.3
15 Reggiana112918%81.386.5-5.3
16 Treviso101910%83.494.4-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Tortona2720221930118
Sassari1517272925113
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.