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Tortona vs Treviso Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 107-95
24-29 33-18 28-26 22-22
Position#6
Record1-0
FormLLLWW
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game71.0
Tortona 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#14
Record0-1
FormWWWLL
Points / game100.0
Allowed / game102.0
ItalyLega ARound 2· PalaFerraris
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Tortona v Treviso
08 Nov 2026
TOR v TRV
upcoming
12 Oct 2025
TOR107
TRV95
07 Dec 2024
TOR90
TRV95
23 Dec 2023
TOR68
TRV82
26 Dec 2022
TOR90
TRV95
26 Sep 2021
TOR77
TRV92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tortona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Treviso winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TortonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTortona
Date
Competition
Venezia
#8
L
82-94
82
94
-12
76avg 77
A30/03
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
91-101
91
101
-10
84avg 77
H05/04
Lega A
Tenerife
#2
L
89-93 OT
89
93
-4
80avg 77
A09/04
Champions League
Sassari
#10
L
82-87
82
87
-5
73avg 77
A13/04
Lega A
Tenerife
#2
L
64-77
64
77
-13
54avg 77
H16/04
Champions League
Treviso
#11
L
91-92
91
92
-1
83avg 77
A19/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
68-85
68
85
-17
60avg 77
H27/04
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
L
82-89
82
89
-7
72avg 77
H04/05
Lega A
Cremona
#13
W
99-94
99
94
+5
96avg 77
A11/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
74-71
74
71
+3
64avg 77
A05/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-22
16-22
23-27
21-23
17-23
37-28
16-29
21-21
10-23
26-17
19-19
25-21
16-20
20-16
21-21
25-30
19-24
19-11
16-24
10-18
20-25
22-33
17-19
32-15
16-22
20-19
11-23
21-21
22-27
13-19
14-20
33-23
26-22
26-24
19-21
28-27
21-25
24-19
16-8
13-19
170.5Avg total
82.2Scored
88.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)74.071.0145.0+3.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)74.071.0145.0+3.0100%
Last 10 (10)82.288.3170.5-6.120%
Last 5 (5)82.886.2169.0-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)82.087.2169.2-5.244%
vs Similar (7)80.486.1166.6-5.714%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)86.877.9164.7+8.877%
This opponent (Treviso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrevisoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTreviso
Date
Competition
Sassari
#10
L
70-76
70
76
-6
60avg 76
H16/03
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
88-86
88
86
+2
81avg 76
H23/03
Lega A
Cremona
#13
L
77-94
77
94
-17
59avg 76
A30/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
74-80
74
80
-6
60avg 76
H07/04
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
82-95
82
95
-13
79avg 76
A13/04
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
92-91
92
91
+1
87avg 76
H19/04
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
92-87
92
87
+5
90avg 76
A27/04
Lega A
Venezia
#8
W
83-72
83
72
+11
74avg 76
H04/05
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
91-114
91
114
-23
83avg 76
A11/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
100-102 OT
100
102
-2
83avg 76
H05/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-17
13-23
12-17
22-19
19-19
26-23
22-23
21-21
19-29
22-26
15-22
21-17
17-17
17-19
17-24
23-20
17-14
25-29
13-28
27-24
25-20
33-22
19-17
15-32
19-24
23-26
22-16
28-21
12-22
26-16
13-16
32-18
30-22
19-28
26-26
16-38
30-28
18-23
24-10
12-23
174.6Avg total
84.9Scored
89.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)100.0102.0202.0-2.00%
Season at home (1)100.0102.0202.0-2.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)84.989.7174.6-4.840%
Last 5 (5)91.693.2184.8-1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)82.991.8174.7-8.812%
vs Similar (8)84.686.2170.9-1.650%
vs Weaker (6)92.385.3177.7+7.083%
This opponent (Tortona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -1.6-1.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -1.6-1.6
TortonaTreviso
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TortonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#8
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A30/03
Lega A
Trapani
#3
W
54-51
54
51
+3
H05/04
Lega A
Tenerife
#2
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A09/04
Champions League
Sassari
#10
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A13/04
Lega A
Tenerife
#2
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H16/04
Champions League
Treviso
#11
L
42-58
42
58
-16
A19/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H27/04
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H04/05
Lega A
Cremona
#13
W
52-46
52
46
+6
A11/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A05/10
Lega A
85.3Avg total
41.2Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.540.881.3-0.347%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.940.582.4+1.457%-
Last 30 away (16)39.341.180.4-1.838%-
Last 10 (10)41.244.185.3-2.940%-
Last 5 (5)42.047.089.0-5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)41.344.285.6-2.944%-
vs Similar (7)38.942.681.4-3.729%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)41.437.578.8+3.962%-
This opponent (Treviso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrevisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#10
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H16/03
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H23/03
Lega A
Cremona
#13
L
41-55
41
55
-14
A30/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H07/04
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A13/04
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
58-42
58
42
+16
H19/04
Lega A
Scafati
#15
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A27/04
Lega A
Venezia
#8
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H04/05
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
49-50
49
50
-1
A11/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H05/10
Lega A
88.0Avg total
43.3Scored
44.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.544.588.0-1.040%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.642.985.5-0.244%-
Last 30 away (14)44.646.490.9-1.836%-
Last 10 (10)43.344.788.0-1.420%-
Last 5 (5)47.046.293.2+0.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)43.843.887.6+0.044%-
vs Similar (8)44.644.188.8+0.538%-
vs Weaker (6)41.346.888.2-5.533%-
This opponent (Tortona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tortonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tortona: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.917.8
49.6%
54.1%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.110.0
34.4%
34.6%30.0
🏀 Free throws17.315.4
89.0%
76.1%15.4
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Trevisotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Treviso: 84.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.120.8
49.4%
54.1%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.88.8
34.1%
34.6%26.4
🏀 Free throws21.716.1
74.2%
76.1%16.1
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tortona
WWLLLLLLLL
Treviso
LLWWWLLLWL
#6
League position
#14
-8.8
Net rating
-5.9
109.9
Offensive rating
107.7
118.8
Defensive rating
113.6
50.5%
Effective FG%
50.1%
55.2%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
16.6%
Turnover %
16.5%
31.1%
Off. rebound %
32.0%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.32
34.4%
3-point %
34.1%
60.1%
Assist %
56.8%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence109.9 · 107.7Defence118.8 · 113.6Shooting50.5% · 50.1%3-point %34.4% · 34.1%Ball care16.6% · 16.5%Off. rebounds31.1% · 32.0%Free throws0.27 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Tortona   ■ Treviso
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Tortona wins
7
Treviso wins
DateGameScore
19/04/25Treviso v Tortona92-91
07/12/24Tortona v Treviso90-95
05/05/24Treviso v Tortona87-74
23/12/23Tortona v Treviso68-82
29/01/23Treviso v Tortona79-87
26/12/22Tortona v Treviso90-95
05/02/22Treviso v Tortona72-70
26/09/21Tortona v Treviso77-92
Tortonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/10/25AOlimpia Milano74-71
11/05/25ACremona99-94
04/05/25HBasket Napoli82-89
27/04/25HOlimpia Milano68-85
19/04/25ATreviso91-92
16/04/25HTenerife64-77
13/04/25ASassari82-87
09/04/25ATenerife89-93 OT
05/04/25HTrapani91-101
30/03/25AVenezia82-94
Trevisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/10/25HBrescia100-102 OT
11/05/25ABrescia91-114
04/05/25HVenezia83-72
27/04/25AScafati92-87
19/04/25HTortona92-91
13/04/25ATrapani82-95
07/04/25HVirtus Bologna74-80
30/03/25ACremona77-94
23/03/25HVarese88-86
16/03/25HSassari70-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tortona
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game74.0-74.0
Allowed / game71.0-71.0
Point differential+3.0-+3.0
Avg total145.0-145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
Treviso
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game100.0100.0-
Allowed / game102.0102.0-
Point differential-2.0-2.0-
Avg total202.0202.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %100%100%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna220100%93.584.0+9.5
2 Brescia220100%87.081.5+5.5
3 Trapani220100%100.094.5+5.5
4 Tortona110100%74.071.0+3.0
5 Trento21150%86.070.5+15.5
6 Olimpia Milano21150%82.567.5+15.0
7 Trieste21150%85.585.0+0.5
8 Reggiana21150%77.077.0+0.0
9 Venezia21150%92.092.0+0.0
10 Cremona21150%77.078.5-1.5
11 Varese21150%83.098.0-15.0
12 Cantu21150%76.093.5-17.5
13 Treviso1010%100.0102.0-2.0
14 Sassari2020%88.592.0-3.5
15 Udine2020%75.579.0-3.5
16 Basket Napoli2020%83.594.5-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tortona24332822107
Treviso2918262295
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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