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Tortona vs Venezia Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 21 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position#14
Record2-5
FormLWLLW
Points / game83.7
Allowed / game91.0
vs
Form · last 5 games
3.8/10
Below normal
4.5/10
Below normal
Position#9
Record4-3
FormLLWWL
Points / game87.9
Allowed / game88.6
ItalyLega ARound 23· Cittadella dello Sport
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Tortona v Venezia
21 Mar 2027
TOR v VEN
upcoming
24 May 2026
TOR89
VEN71
22 May 2026
TOR82
VEN71
23 Nov 2025
TOR90
VEN98
14 Dec 2024
TOR89
VEN82
21 Jan 2024
TOR75
VEN69
30 Oct 2022
TOR77
VEN61
17 May 2022
TOR70
VEN58
15 May 2022
TOR66
VEN77
18 Dec 2021
TOR77
VEN65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tortona win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Venezia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TortonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTortona
Date
Competition
Le Mans
#12
W
89-83
89
83
+6
86avg 75
H07/10
Eurocup
Reggiana
#13
L
86-93
86
93
-7
77avg 75
A11/10
Lega A
Aris
#6
L
68-88
68
88
-20
54avg 75
A14/10
Eurocup
Maxima Roma
#4
L
75-89
75
89
-14
69avg 75
H18/10
Lega A
San Pablo Burgos
#30
W
89-79
89
79
+10
75avg 75
H21/10
Eurocup
Basket Napoli
#2
L
90-92
90
92
-2
82avg 75
H25/10
Lega A
Rostock
#28
W
86-83
86
83
+3
83avg 75
H28/10
Eurocup
Udine
#7
L
77-86
77
86
-9
68avg 75
A01/11
Lega A
Cedevita Olimpija
#25
L
71-73 OT
71
73
-2
no box
A04/11
Eurocup
Treviso
#5
W
87-76
87
76
+11
no box
H08/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-20
24-24
20-22
23-17
25-25
23-22
19-22
19-24
21-31
23-14
11-17
13-26
20-22
18-25
24-25
13-17
18-25
18-20
22-17
31-17
26-19
21-22
17-26
26-25
23-24
16-20
18-26
29-13
14-19
19-21
20-17
24-29
20-16
16-11
14-17
15-21
22-20
22-19
27-21
16-16
166.0Avg total
81.8Scored
84.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)83.791.0174.7-7.329%
Season at home (4)88.287.5175.8+0.850%
Season away (3)77.795.7173.3-18.00%
Last 10 (10)81.884.2166.0-2.440%
Last 5 (5)82.282.0164.2+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)80.388.8169.1-8.422%
vs Similar (12)82.881.3164.1+1.450%
vs Weaker (9)89.484.7174.1+4.867%
This opponent (Venezia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VeneziaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVenezia
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
86-93
86
93
-7
76avg 78
H11/10
Lega A
Turk Telekom
#21
W
75-65
75
65
+10
66avg 78
H14/10
Eurocup
BC Roma
#12
W
104-98
104
98
+6
98avg 78
A17/10
Lega A
Maxima Roma
#14
L
79-90
79
90
-11
72avg 78
A21/10
Eurocup
Treviso
#5
L
89-97 OT
89
97
-8
77avg 78
H25/10
Lega A
Tenerife
#5
L
80-82
80
82
-2
75avg 78
A28/10
Eurocup
Basket Napoli
#2
L
81-99
81
99
-18
68avg 78
A01/11
Lega A
Siauliai
#18
W
98-77
98
77
+21
no box
H04/11
Eurocup
Reggiana
#13
W
83-78
83
78
+5
no box
A07/11
Lega A
London Lions
#10
L
76-80
76
80
-4
no box
A10/11
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-20
22-25
21-24
14-24
20-16
19-13
18-22
18-14
24-29
22-26
24-13
34-30
18-23
27-22
12-19
22-26
21-31
22-13
17-21
20-15
25-24
16-24
25-17
14-17
16-19
22-25
20-30
23-25
25-21
27-18
22-20
24-18
18-26
21-20
20-18
24-14
19-19
16-19
20-21
21-21
171.0Avg total
85.1Scored
85.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)87.988.6176.4-0.757%
Season at home (3)86.787.7174.3-1.033%
Season away (4)88.889.2178.0-0.575%
Last 10 (10)85.185.9171.0-0.840%
Last 5 (5)83.683.2166.8+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)85.290.0175.2-4.838%
vs Similar (10)83.484.2167.6-0.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)92.080.4172.4+11.671%
This opponent (Tortona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +1.0+1.0
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +1.0+1.0
TortonaVenezia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TortonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Le Mans
#12
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H07/10
Eurocup
Reggiana
#13
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A11/10
Lega A
Aris
#6
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A14/10
Eurocup
Maxima Roma
#4
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H18/10
Lega A
San Pablo Burgos
#30
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H21/10
Eurocup
Basket Napoli
#2
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H25/10
Lega A
Rostock
#28
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H28/10
Eurocup
Udine
#7
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A01/11
Lega A
Cedevita Olimpija
#25
W
36-27
36
27
+9
A04/11
Eurocup
Treviso
#5
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H08/11
Lega A
83.0Avg total
41.1Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.942.083.9-0.153%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.440.482.8+2.062%-
Last 30 away (14)41.443.985.3-2.443%-
Last 10 (10)41.141.983.0-0.850%-
Last 5 (5)39.838.278.0+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)41.743.985.6-2.244%-
vs Similar (12)41.140.481.5+0.758%-
vs Weaker (9)43.342.285.6+1.156%-
This opponent (Venezia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VeneziaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H11/10
Lega A
Turk Telekom
#21
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H14/10
Eurocup
BC Roma
#12
L
46-55
46
55
-9
A17/10
Lega A
Maxima Roma
#14
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A21/10
Eurocup
Treviso
#5
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H25/10
Lega A
Tenerife
#5
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A28/10
Eurocup
Basket Napoli
#2
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A01/11
Lega A
Siauliai
#18
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H04/11
Eurocup
Reggiana
#13
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A07/11
Lega A
London Lions
#10
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A10/11
Eurocup
86.2Avg total
42.9Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.444.586.9-2.130%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.841.385.1+2.547%-
Last 30 away (15)41.147.788.8-6.713%-
Last 10 (10)42.943.386.2-0.430%-
Last 5 (5)41.043.084.0-2.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)41.449.090.4-7.68%-
vs Similar (10)40.242.782.9-2.520%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)47.638.786.3+8.986%-
This opponent (Tortona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tortonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tortona: 81.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.2 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.519.8
51.4%
54.3%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.37.9
31.2%
34.3%23.7
🏀 Free throws23.618.1
76.7%
74.6%18.1
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Veneziatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Venezia: 87.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.2 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.521.3
53.9%
54.3%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.49.7
35.4%
34.3%29.1
🏀 Free throws20.116.0
79.6%
74.6%16.0
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tortona
WLLWLWLLLW
Venezia
LWWLLLLWWL
#14
League position
#9
-8.6
Net rating
+0.1
95.7
Offensive rating
100.0
104.3
Defensive rating
99.9
49.6%
Effective FG%
53.6%
55.7%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
14.0%
Turnover %
14.0%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.30
31.2%
3-point %
35.4%
52.0%
Assist %
54.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence95.7 · 100.0Defence104.3 · 99.9Shooting49.6% · 53.6%3-point %31.2% · 35.4%Ball care14.0% · 14.0%Free throws0.37 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Tortona   ■ Venezia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Tortona wins
5
Venezia wins
DateGameScore
26/05/26Venezia v Tortona89-83
24/05/26Tortona v Venezia89-71
22/05/26Tortona v Venezia82-71
19/05/26Venezia v Tortona87-75
17/05/26Venezia v Tortona89-82
10/05/26Venezia v Tortona75-78
23/11/25Tortona v Venezia90-98
30/03/25Venezia v Tortona94-82
14/12/24Tortona v Venezia89-82
21/01/24Tortona v Venezia75-69
Tortonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26HTreviso87-76
04/11/26ACedevita Olimpija71-73 OT
01/11/26AUdine77-86
28/10/26HRostock86-83
25/10/26HBasket Napoli90-92
21/10/26HSan Pablo Burgos89-79
18/10/26HMaxima Roma75-89
14/10/26AAris68-88
11/10/26AReggiana86-93
07/10/26HLe Mans89-83
Venezialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/26ALondon Lions76-80
07/11/26AReggiana83-78
04/11/26HSiauliai98-77
01/11/26ABasket Napoli81-99
28/10/26ATenerife80-82
25/10/26HTreviso89-97 OT
21/10/26AMaxima Roma79-90
17/10/26ABC Roma104-98
14/10/26HTurk Telekom75-65
11/10/26HVirtus Bologna86-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tortona
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW29%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %29%50%0%
Points / game83.788.277.7
Allowed / game91.087.595.7
Point differential-7.3+0.8-18.0
Avg total174.7175.8173.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Venezia
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW57%
HomeWLL33%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %57%33%75%
Points / game87.986.788.8
Allowed / game88.687.789.2
Point differential-0.7-1.0-0.5
Avg total176.4174.3178.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %14%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna76186%96.486.0+10.4
2 Basket Napoli76186%93.786.6+7.1
3 Olimpia Milano75271%90.982.7+8.1
4 Maxima Roma75271%88.183.7+4.4
5 Treviso75271%90.788.6+2.1
6 Trieste74357%94.488.4+6.0
7 Udine74357%81.380.3+1.0
8 Varese74357%87.787.6+0.1
9 Venezia74357%87.988.6-0.7
10 Verona73443%88.491.1-2.7
11 Trento73443%80.483.6-3.1
12 BC Roma72529%100.199.3+0.9
13 Reggiana72529%81.783.7-2.0
14 Tortona72529%83.791.0-7.3
15 Scafati71614%81.692.0-10.4
16 Cantu7070%76.990.9-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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