Townsville vs Melbourne United Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 14 Jan 2011

Tip-off: 09:30

Final 94-78

18-22 27-24 19-11 30-21

Position#2

Record9-7

FormLLWWW

Points / game80.1

Allowed / game79.9

Townsville 🏆

Melbourne United

Position#7

Record5-9

FormLLWWW

Points / game79.4

Allowed / game84.8

NBLRound 14

Other2010-11

Meetings · Townsville v Melbourne United

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Townsville winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Melbourne United winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Townsville Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Adelaide

77-73

H21/11

NBL

Melbourne United

94-66

+28

H26/11

NBL

Adelaide

79-92

-13

A03/12

NBL

Perth

64-90

-26

A05/12

NBL

Gold Coast

91-86

H11/12

NBL

Gold Coast

81-93

-12

A17/12

NBL

Cairns

51-56

-5

A18/12

NBL

Adelaide

99-97 OT

A23/12

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

96-79

+17

H31/12

NBL

Sydney

80-73

A08/01

NBL

22-22

29-16

13-19

13-16

28-16

21-16

29-19

16-15

17-20

21-29

18-21

23-22

15-23

9-22

19-19

21-26

24-18

22-22

19-28

26-18

26-32

18-21

25-12

12-28

17-16

18-13

11-13

5-14

15-20

23-23

24-22

26-23

31-22

21-13

25-16

19-28

21-23

27-13

14-17

18-20

161.7Avg total

81.2Scored

80.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	80.1	79.9	160.0	+0.1	56%
Season at home (7)	86.1	79.1	165.3	+7.0	86%
Season away (9)	75.3	80.6	155.9	-5.2	33%
Last 10 (10)	81.2	80.5	161.7	+0.7	60%
Last 5 (5)	81.4	79.6	161.0	+1.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	75.0	95.5	170.5	-20.5	0%
vs Similar (17)	81.8	80.1	161.8	+1.7	47%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	84.8	79.6	164.5	+5.2	82%

This opponent (Melbourne United) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Melbourne United Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Illawarra Hawks

82-93

-11

A14/11

NBL

Perth

84-93

-9

H19/11

NBL

Gold Coast

85-82

A21/11

NBL

Townsville

66-94

-28

A26/11

NBL

Gold Coast

82-78

H04/12

NBL

Perth

76-87

-11

A12/12

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

80-90

-10

H18/12

NBL

Sydney

82-73

A23/12

NBL

Adelaide

87-66

+21

H02/01

NBL

Perth

93-86

A07/01

NBL

20-29

21-23

25-20

16-21

24-32

20-20

25-17

15-24

21-13

25-13

15-28

24-28

16-28

16-21

19-29

15-16

25-28

17-15

22-27

18-8

20-23

16-29

26-20

14-15

29-22

18-22

17-20

16-26

23-13

26-28

14-10

19-22

25-16

19-14

20-14

23-22

27-21

20-15

25-19

21-31

165.9Avg total

81.7Scored

84.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (14)	79.4	84.8	164.2	-5.4	36%
Season at home (7)	78.4	84.0	162.4	-5.6	29%
Season away (7)	80.4	85.6	166.0	-5.1	43%
Last 10 (10)	81.7	84.2	165.9	-2.5	50%
Last 5 (5)	83.6	80.4	164.0	+3.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	80.3	88.2	168.5	-7.9	20%
vs Similar (15)	82.5	81.4	163.9	+1.1	60%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Townsville) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

TownsvilleMelbourne United

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	21.7	42.9	-0.5	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.4	20.1	43.5	+3.2	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.2	23.1	42.3	-3.8	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	21.2	42.8	+0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	22.6	44.6	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	17.5	21.5	39.0	-4.0	0%	-
vs Similar (17)	21.1	21.6	42.8	-0.5	41%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	21.9	21.8	43.7	+0.1	36%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	20.8	41.9	+0.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.6	21.0	43.6	+1.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.4	20.6	40.0	-1.1	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.0	22.5	45.5	+0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.8	19.0	43.8	+5.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	20.7	22.3	43.0	-1.5	40%	-
vs Similar (15)	21.5	19.3	40.8	+2.1	47%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	19.7	40.8	+1.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.8	19.2	41.0	+2.6	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.5	20.2	40.7	+0.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	18.8	39.7	+2.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	16.6	38.0	+4.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	16.5	26.0	42.5	-9.5	0%	-
vs Similar (17)	20.8	20.5	41.2	+0.3	47%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	22.5	17.5	39.9	+5.0	73%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	21.2	41.9	-0.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.6	20.5	41.1	+0.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.8	22.0	42.8	-1.2	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	20.0	39.8	-0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	21.6	41.4	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	20.4	21.9	42.3	-1.5	20%	-
vs Similar (15)	21.0	20.5	41.5	+0.5	60%	-
vs Weaker	no games

TownsvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Adelaide

51-38

+13

H21/11

NBL

Melbourne United

49-32

+17

H26/11

NBL

Adelaide

38-49

-11

A03/12

NBL

Perth

24-45

-21

A05/12

NBL

Gold Coast

46-40

H11/12

NBL

Gold Coast

44-53

-9

A17/12

NBL

Cairns

35-29

A18/12

NBL

Adelaide

38-43

-5

A23/12

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

52-35

+17

H31/12

NBL

Sydney

48-36

+12

A08/01

NBL

82.5Avg total

42.5Scored

40.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.3	41.4	83.7	+0.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	45.1	39.4	84.5	+5.8	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.8	43.2	83.0	-3.5	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.5	40.0	82.5	+2.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.4	39.2	82.6	+4.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	34.0	47.5	81.5	-13.5	0%	-
vs Similar (17)	41.9	42.1	84.0	-0.2	53%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	44.4	39.3	83.6	+5.1	64%	-

This opponent (Melbourne United) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Melbourne UnitedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Illawarra Hawks

41-52

-11

A14/11

NBL

Perth

44-52

-8

H19/11

NBL

Gold Coast

46-26

+20

A21/11

NBL

Townsville

32-49

-17

A26/11

NBL

Gold Coast

42-43

-1

H04/12

NBL

Perth

36-52

-16

A12/12

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

47-44

H18/12

NBL

Sydney

49-41

A23/12

NBL

Adelaide

44-30

+14

H02/01

NBL

Perth

47-36

+11

A07/01

NBL

85.3Avg total

42.8Scored

42.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.8	42.0	83.8	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.2	41.5	84.7	+1.7	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.2	42.6	82.8	-2.4	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.8	42.5	85.3	+0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.6	40.6	85.2	+4.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	41.1	44.2	85.3	-3.1	33%	-
vs Similar (15)	42.5	39.8	82.3	+2.7	47%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Townsville) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	18.7	38.1	+0.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.6	19.0	39.6	+1.6	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.3	18.5	36.8	-0.2	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	18.6	38.3	+1.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	16.0	35.8	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	18.5	18.5	37.0	+0.0	0%	-
vs Similar (17)	19.7	18.6	38.4	+1.1	59%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	19.1	18.9	38.0	+0.2	45%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	21.1	40.8	-1.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.2	20.1	39.3	-0.8	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.2	22.2	42.4	-2.0	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	20.4	41.2	+0.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	16.6	37.0	+3.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	21.1	21.9	43.0	-0.7	60%	-
vs Similar (15)	18.3	20.3	38.5	-2.0	47%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	19.6	39.4	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.2	19.0	40.2	+2.2	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.6	20.1	38.7	-1.4	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	21.0	38.9	-3.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	22.6	38.6	-6.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	22.5	29.5	52.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar (17)	19.6	18.5	38.1	+1.1	53%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	19.7	19.5	39.2	+0.3	55%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	20.9	40.5	-1.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.2	19.8	39.0	-0.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.0	22.1	42.1	-2.1	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	21.3	39.4	-3.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	23.2	41.8	-4.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	17.6	21.3	38.9	-3.7	20%	-
vs Similar (15)	21.5	20.5	42.1	+1.0	53%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.2	38.3	77.5	+0.9	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.9	38.0	79.9	+3.9	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.9	38.6	75.5	-1.6	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.6	39.6	77.2	-2.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.8	38.6	74.4	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	41.0	48.0	89.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar (17)	39.3	37.1	76.4	+2.2	53%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	38.8	38.4	77.2	+0.5	45%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.3	42.0	81.2	-2.7	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	38.4	39.9	78.3	-1.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.2	44.4	84.6	-4.1	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.9	41.7	80.6	-2.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.0	39.8	78.8	-0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	38.7	43.1	81.9	-4.4	20%	-
vs Similar (15)	39.8	40.8	80.6	-1.0	53%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Townsville wins

Melbourne United wins

Date	Game	Score
26/11/10	Townsville v Melbourne United	94-66
12/12/09	Townsville v Melbourne United	89-79
14/11/09	Melbourne United v Townsville	91-98
30/10/09	Townsville v Melbourne United	94-87
10/10/09	Melbourne United v Townsville	68-103

Townsvillelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/01/11	A	Sydney	80-73
31/12/10	H	New Zealand Breakers	96-79
23/12/10	A	Adelaide	99-97 OT
18/12/10	A	Cairns	51-56
17/12/10	A	Gold Coast	81-93
11/12/10	H	Gold Coast	91-86
05/12/10	A	Perth	64-90
03/12/10	A	Adelaide	79-92
26/11/10	H	Melbourne United	94-66
21/11/10	H	Adelaide	77-73

Melbourne Unitedlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/01/11	A	Perth	93-86
02/01/11	H	Adelaide	87-66
23/12/10	A	Sydney	82-73
18/12/10	H	New Zealand Breakers	80-90
12/12/10	A	Perth	76-87
04/12/10	H	Gold Coast	82-78
26/11/10	A	Townsville	66-94
21/11/10	A	Gold Coast	85-82
19/11/10	H	Perth	84-93
14/11/10	A	Illawarra Hawks	82-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Townsville

NBL 2010-11

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWW	56%
Home	LWWWW	86%
Away	LLLWW	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	7	9
Win %	56%	86%	33%
Points / game	80.1	86.1	75.3
Allowed / game	79.9	79.1	80.6
Point differential	+0.1	+7.0	-5.2
Avg total	160.0	165.3	155.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	12%	29%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	62% (8)	100% (3)	40% (5)
Overtime %	12%	0%	22%

Melbourne United

NBL 2010-11

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWW	36%
Home	LLWLW	29%
Away	WLLWW	43%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	14	7	7
Win %	36%	29%	43%
Points / game	79.4	78.4	80.4
Allowed / game	84.8	84.0	85.6
Point differential	-5.4	-5.6	-5.1
Avg total	164.2	162.4	166.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	7%	14%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (4)	50% (2)	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	New Zealand Breakers	15	12	3	80%	86.7	84.1	+2.7
2	Cairns	13	9	4	69%	78.9	73.5	+5.5
3	Perth	15	10	5	67%	87.9	80.7	+7.3
4	Illawarra Hawks	15	9	6	60%	82.5	79.6	+2.9
5	Townsville	16	9	7	56%	80.1	79.9	+0.1
6	Gold Coast	15	6	9	40%	83.8	86.1	-2.3
7	Adelaide	14	5	9	36%	81.2	83.4	-2.1
8	Melbourne United	14	5	9	36%	79.4	84.8	-5.4
9	Sydney	15	1	14	7%	73.3	81.7	-8.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Townsville	18	27	19	30	94
Melbourne United	22	24	11	21	78

← all games of the day

Townsville vs Melbourne United Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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