Illawarra Hawks vs Townsville Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 26 Oct 2013

Tip-off: 08:30

Final 85-81

24-20 19-21 19-18 23-22

Position#4

Record0-2

FormWLLLL

Points / game82.0

Allowed / game94.5

Illawarra Hawks 🏆

Townsville

Position#8

Record1-1

FormWLLLW

Points / game93.0

Allowed / game93.5

NBLRound 3

Other2013-14

Meetings · Illawarra Hawks v Townsville

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illawarra Hawks winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Townsville winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Illawarra Hawks Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Townsville

86-62

+24

H17/02

NBL

Adelaide

90-91 OT

-1

H22/02

NBL

Melbourne United

88-82

A02/03

NBL

Townsville

64-69

-5

A09/03

NBL

Sydney

81-74

H15/03

NBL

Adelaide

74-64

+10

H23/03

NBL

Perth

65-93

-28

A28/03

NBL

Perth

81-85 OT

-4

H31/03

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

73-92

-19

A10/10

NBL

Adelaide

91-97

-6

A19/10

NBL

27-21

22-14

18-17

19-10

19-15

18-22

25-24

22-23

23-23

18-24

29-14

18-21

17-15

15-15

11-21

21-18

18-20

24-15

27-14

12-25

20-14

18-16

24-12

12-22

18-21

13-24

21-21

13-27

21-14

17-22

13-19

23-19

28-26

16-25

15-23

14-18

31-25

22-24

16-28

22-20

160.2Avg total

79.3Scored

80.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (2)	82.0	94.5	176.5	-12.5	0%
Season at home	no games
Season away (2)	82.0	94.5	176.5	-12.5	0%
Last 10 (10)	79.3	80.9	160.2	-1.6	40%
Last 5 (5)	76.8	86.2	163.0	-9.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	76.4	82.7	159.1	-6.4	18%
vs Similar ◀ (12)	77.0	76.8	153.8	+0.2	50%
vs Weaker (7)	71.9	69.7	141.6	+2.1	43%

This opponent (Townsville) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Townsville Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Perth

52-80

-28

A15/02

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

62-86

-24

A17/02

NBL

Cairns

75-78

-3

A22/02

NBL

Sydney

67-83

-16

A03/03

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

69-64

H09/03

NBL

Melbourne United

75-73

H17/03

NBL

Sydney

74-81

-7

A22/03

NBL

Melbourne United

70-78

-8

A24/03

NBL

Cairns

92-103

103

-11

H12/10

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

94-84

+10

H18/10

NBL

12-17

12-26

18-24

10-13

21-27

14-22

17-18

10-19

21-16

24-15

12-27

18-20

15-21

19-25

7-20

26-17

15-17

15-15

21-11

18-21

17-18

14-15

26-19

21-17

12-23

20-20

21-21

10-28

19-10

19-12

22-28

26-33

20-22

23-25

23-23

22-21

25-28

21-13

26-22

154.0Avg total

73.0Scored

81.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (2)	93.0	93.5	186.5	-0.5	50%
Season at home (2)	93.0	93.5	186.5	-0.5	50%
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	73.0	81.0	154.0	-8.0	30%
Last 5 (5)	81.0	83.8	164.8	-2.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	70.8	80.7	151.5	-9.9	19%
vs Similar ◀ (14)	79.7	81.3	161.0	-1.6	57%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Illawarra HawksTownsville

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	19.9	39.2	-0.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.2	18.6	38.9	+1.6	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.6	20.9	39.6	-2.3	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	19.4	41.6	+2.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	20.0	43.6	+3.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	19.9	20.1	40.0	-0.2	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	18.8	20.0	38.8	-1.2	58%	-
vs Weaker (7)	19.4	19.3	38.7	+0.1	43%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	20.8	40.2	-1.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.3	20.8	41.1	-0.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.4	20.8	39.1	-2.4	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	21.8	39.9	-3.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	24.0	43.4	-4.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	19.1	20.5	39.6	-1.4	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	19.8	21.1	40.9	-1.3	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	18.5	37.0	+0.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.9	18.6	38.5	+1.4	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.2	18.4	35.6	-1.1	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	20.1	38.4	-1.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	22.2	39.4	-5.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	19.1	20.5	39.6	-1.5	45%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	18.7	18.2	36.9	+0.4	58%	-
vs Weaker (7)	17.3	15.6	32.9	+1.7	43%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.7	20.4	38.1	-2.7	27%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.7	19.5	38.2	-0.8	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.5	21.4	37.9	-4.9	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.7	20.4	38.1	-2.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	20.2	38.8	-1.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	17.4	19.8	37.1	-2.4	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	18.0	21.1	39.1	-3.1	14%	-
vs Weaker	no games

Illawarra HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Townsville

49-35

+14

H17/02

NBL

Adelaide

37-37

H22/02

NBL

Melbourne United

41-47

-6

A02/03

NBL

Townsville

32-30

A09/03

NBL

Sydney

42-35

H15/03

NBL

Adelaide

38-30

H23/03

NBL

Perth

31-45

-14

A28/03

NBL

Perth

38-36

H31/03

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

44-51

-7

A10/10

NBL

Adelaide

53-49

A19/10

NBL

80.0Avg total

40.5Scored

39.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.9	38.3	76.2	-0.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.1	37.2	77.4	+2.9	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	35.9	39.3	75.2	-3.4	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.5	39.5	80.0	+1.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	42.2	83.0	-1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	39.0	40.6	79.6	-1.6	45%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	37.5	38.2	75.8	-0.8	42%	-
vs Weaker (7)	36.7	34.9	71.6	+1.9	57%	-

This opponent (Townsville) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

TownsvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Perth

24-43

-19

A15/02

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

35-49

-14

A17/02

NBL

Cairns

45-31

+14

A22/02

NBL

Sydney

34-46

-12

A03/03

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

30-32

-2

H09/03

NBL

Melbourne United

35-39

-4

H17/03

NBL

Sydney

33-40

-7

A22/03

NBL

Melbourne United

29-38

-9

A24/03

NBL

Cairns

46-55

-9

H12/10

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

47-49

-2

H18/10

NBL

78.0Avg total

35.8Scored

42.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.1	41.2	78.2	-4.1	23%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.0	40.2	79.2	-1.2	19%	-
Last 30 away (14)	34.9	42.2	77.1	-7.4	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.8	42.2	78.0	-6.4	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.0	44.2	82.2	-6.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	36.4	40.2	76.7	-3.8	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	37.8	42.2	80.0	-4.4	7%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	18.3	36.8	+0.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.0	16.2	36.2	+3.8	86%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.2	20.1	37.2	-2.9	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	19.3	39.2	+0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	20.6	38.4	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	18.8	19.9	38.7	-1.1	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	19.0	17.8	36.8	+1.2	67%	-
vs Weaker (7)	17.1	16.6	33.7	+0.6	57%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.0	19.1	36.1	-2.2	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.3	18.9	37.2	-0.6	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	15.4	19.4	34.9	-4.0	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.2	18.5	35.7	-1.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	17.0	36.4	+2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	15.8	20.4	36.2	-4.6	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	18.3	17.6	35.9	+0.6	36%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	18.7	37.0	-0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.4	19.1	37.5	-0.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.2	18.3	36.5	-0.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.6	20.3	37.9	-2.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	21.2	38.0	-4.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	17.9	21.2	39.1	-3.3	55%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	19.3	17.8	37.2	+1.5	33%	-
vs Weaker (7)	17.0	16.3	33.3	+0.7	71%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	19.3	39.2	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.8	20.9	42.7	+0.9	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.7	17.6	35.3	+0.1	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	20.3	40.3	-0.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	22.6	46.2	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	16.6	17.5	34.1	-0.9	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	23.6	21.4	45.1	+2.2	64%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.8	37.0	73.7	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.4	35.4	73.7	+3.0	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	35.4	38.4	73.8	-3.0	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.5	39.6	77.1	-2.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.6	41.8	76.4	-7.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	36.7	41.1	77.8	-4.4	27%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	38.3	35.6	73.9	+2.8	42%	-
vs Weaker (7)	34.1	32.9	67.0	+1.3	57%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.9	38.5	75.3	-1.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.1	39.8	79.9	+0.4	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	33.1	37.0	70.1	-3.9	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.2	38.8	76.0	-1.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.0	39.6	82.6	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	32.4	37.9	70.4	-5.5	31%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	41.9	39.1	81.0	+2.9	57%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Illawarra Hawks wins

Townsville wins

Date	Game	Score
09/03/13	Townsville v Illawarra Hawks	69-64
17/02/13	Illawarra Hawks v Townsville	86-62
19/01/13	Townsville v Illawarra Hawks	82-74
21/10/12	Illawarra Hawks v Townsville	84-66
21/01/12	Townsville v Illawarra Hawks	65-63
07/01/12	Illawarra Hawks v Townsville	57-72
03/12/11	Townsville v Illawarra Hawks	82-81
05/03/11	Illawarra Hawks v Townsville	87-77
18/02/11	Townsville v Illawarra Hawks	75-56
22/10/10	Illawarra Hawks v Townsville	71-70

Illawarra Hawkslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
19/10/13	A	Adelaide	91-97
10/10/13	A	New Zealand Breakers	73-92
31/03/13	H	Perth	81-85 OT
28/03/13	A	Perth	65-93
23/03/13	H	Adelaide	74-64
15/03/13	H	Sydney	81-74
09/03/13	A	Townsville	64-69
02/03/13	A	Melbourne United	88-82
22/02/13	H	Adelaide	90-91 OT
17/02/13	H	Townsville	86-62

Townsvillelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
18/10/13	H	New Zealand Breakers	94-84
12/10/13	H	Cairns	92-103
24/03/13	A	Melbourne United	70-78
22/03/13	A	Sydney	74-81
17/03/13	H	Melbourne United	75-73
09/03/13	H	Illawarra Hawks	69-64
03/03/13	A	Sydney	67-83
22/02/13	A	Cairns	75-78
17/02/13	A	Illawarra Hawks	62-86
15/02/13	A	Perth	52-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illawarra Hawks

NBL 2013-14

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LL	0%
Home	-	-
Away	LL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	2	-	2
Win %	0%	-	0%
Points / game	82.0	-	82.0
Allowed / game	94.5	-	94.5
Point differential	-12.5	-	-12.5
Avg total	176.5	-	176.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	-	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	-	0%

Townsville

NBL 2013-14

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LW	50%
Home	LW	50%
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	2	2	-
Win %	50%	50%	-
Points / game	93.0	93.0	-
Allowed / game	93.5	93.5	-
Point differential	-0.5	-0.5	-
Avg total	186.5	186.5	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	50%	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	-

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Perth	4	4	0	100%	83.8	77.2	+6.5
2	Cairns	3	2	1	67%	91.0	88.0	+3.0
3	Adelaide	3	2	1	67%	88.0	86.0	+2.0
4	Townsville	2	1	1	50%	93.0	93.5	-0.5
5	Sydney	2	1	1	50%	71.0	75.0	-4.0
6	New Zealand Breakers	4	1	3	25%	87.5	87.2	+0.2
7	Melbourne United	2	0	2	0%	70.0	74.0	-4.0
8	Illawarra Hawks	2	0	2	0%	82.0	94.5	-12.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Illawarra Hawks	24	19	19	23	85
Townsville	20	21	18	22	81

← all games of the day

Illawarra Hawks vs Townsville Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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