Illawarra Hawks vs Sydney Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 18 Dec 2015

Tip-off: 08:30

Final 102-83

29-31 29-20 25-17 19-15

Position#3

Record8-7

FormWWWWL

Points / game92.1

Allowed / game88.4

Illawarra Hawks 🏆

Sydney

Position#8

Record4-12

FormLLLLW

Points / game84.7

Allowed / game88.6

NBL

Other2015-16

Meetings · Illawarra Hawks v Sydney

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illawarra Hawks winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Sydney winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Illawarra Hawks Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Townsville

96-88

A28/10

NBL

Perth

62-91

-29

A31/10

NBL

Cairns

96-88

H06/11

NBL

Perth

96-99

-3

H11/11

NBL

Adelaide

77-89

-12

A21/11

NBL

Sydney

96-90

H25/11

NBL

Townsville

108-70

108

+38

H28/11

NBL

Melbourne United

102-87

102

+15

H03/12

NBL

Cairns

97-82

+15

H09/12

NBL

Cairns

101-103 OT

101

103

-2

A11/12

NBL

30-17

27-28

18-22

21-21

12-22

24-18

8-25

18-26

22-22

20-26

40-15

14-25

26-28

33-23

20-17

17-31

24-33

22-21

8-15

23-20

24-22

26-25

20-22

26-21

34-14

27-16

20-20

27-20

30-28

29-18

23-22

20-19

27-18

23-25

24-19

23-20

20-23

20-30

13-17

27-10

181.8Avg total

93.1Scored

88.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (15)	92.1	88.4	180.5	+3.7	53%
Season at home (8)	98.8	87.1	185.9	+11.6	75%
Season away (7)	84.4	89.9	174.3	-5.4	29%
Last 10 (10)	93.1	88.7	181.8	+4.4	60%
Last 5 (5)	100.8	86.4	187.2	+14.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	80.3	85.5	165.7	-5.2	27%
vs Similar (6)	89.3	91.8	181.2	-2.5	33%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	93.9	86.1	180.0	+7.8	67%

This opponent (Sydney) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Sydney

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Melbourne United

82-96

-14

A01/11

NBL

Melbourne United

94-105

105

-11

H05/11

NBL

Adelaide

98-99

-1

A07/11

NBL

Adelaide

106-84

106

+22

H12/11

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

74-86

-12

H19/11

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

90-96

-6

A25/11

NBL

Cairns

83-101

101

-18

A04/12

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

84-96

-12

A11/12

NBL

Perth

69-87

-18

H13/12

NBL

Melbourne United

96-81

+15

A16/12

NBL

17-34

20-16

20-26

25-20

16-22

25-24

26-34

27-25

39-21

25-24

21-22

13-32

22-23

33-17

17-23

34-21

17-19

23-18

14-20

20-29

22-24

25-26

22-20

21-26

21-33

23-18

19-21

20-29

21-14

24-23

14-26

25-33

20-15

15-22

24-21

10-29

32-15

20-39

24-18

20-9

180.7Avg total

87.6Scored

93.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	84.7	88.6	173.2	-3.9	25%
Season at home (9)	84.4	86.0	170.4	-1.6	33%
Season away (7)	85.0	91.9	176.9	-6.9	14%
Last 10 (10)	87.6	93.1	180.7	-5.5	20%
Last 5 (5)	84.4	92.2	176.6	-7.8	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	83.6	89.7	173.4	-6.1	18%
vs Similar (12)	84.7	88.7	173.3	-4.0	25%
vs Weaker (1)	73.0	75.0	148.0	-2.0	0%

This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Illawarra HawksSydney

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.7	22.9	45.6	-0.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	25.1	23.4	48.5	+1.6	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.1	22.2	42.3	-2.1	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.9	22.7	47.6	+2.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.0	21.0	48.0	+6.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	20.5	22.1	42.7	-1.6	40%	-
vs Similar (6)	25.0	25.0	50.0	+0.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	24.9	22.7	47.6	+2.2	44%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.1	22.5	44.6	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.1	21.9	44.0	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.1	23.1	45.2	-1.1	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.7	22.0	44.7	+0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	20.2	43.4	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	21.6	21.7	43.3	-0.1	41%	-
vs Similar (12)	23.2	23.8	47.0	-0.5	42%	-
vs Weaker (1)	17.0	20.0	37.0	-3.0	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	20.5	42.3	+1.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.1	21.5	44.6	+1.6	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.3	19.4	39.7	+0.9	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.1	23.0	48.1	+2.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.0	22.8	47.8	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	18.8	18.7	37.5	+0.1	47%	-
vs Similar (6)	26.7	21.5	48.2	+5.2	83%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	23.6	23.0	46.6	+0.6	56%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.6	22.0	44.6	+0.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.8	21.7	43.5	+0.1	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	23.4	22.4	45.8	+1.1	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.3	22.7	46.0	+0.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	25.6	47.0	-4.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	22.4	22.6	45.0	-0.3	47%	-
vs Similar (12)	23.6	21.8	45.3	+1.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	14.0	14.0	28.0	+0.0	0%	-

Illawarra HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Townsville

57-45

+12

A28/10

NBL

Perth

36-40

-4

A31/10

NBL

Cairns

42-48

-6

H06/11

NBL

Perth

59-51

H11/11

NBL

Adelaide

46-54

-8

A21/11

NBL

Sydney

50-47

H25/11

NBL

Townsville

61-30

+31

H28/11

NBL

Melbourne United

59-46

+13

H03/12

NBL

Cairns

50-43

H09/12

NBL

Cairns

40-53

-13

A11/12

NBL

95.7Avg total

50.0Scored

45.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.5	43.4	87.9	+1.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	48.2	44.9	93.1	+3.2	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.4	41.6	82.0	-1.3	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	50.0	45.7	95.7	+4.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	52.0	43.8	95.8	+8.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	39.3	40.8	80.1	-1.5	33%	-
vs Similar (6)	51.7	46.5	98.2	+5.2	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	48.4	45.7	94.1	+2.8	44%	-

This opponent (Sydney) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

SydneyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Melbourne United

37-50

-13

A01/11

NBL

Melbourne United

41-46

-5

H05/11

NBL

Adelaide

64-45

+19

A07/11

NBL

Adelaide

55-40

+15

H12/11

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

40-37

H19/11

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

47-50

-3

A25/11

NBL

Cairns

44-51

-7

A04/12

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

45-37

A11/12

NBL

Perth

35-37

-2

H13/12

NBL

Melbourne United

52-54

-2

A16/12

NBL

90.7Avg total

46.0Scored

44.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.7	44.5	89.1	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.9	43.6	87.5	+0.4	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	45.5	45.5	91.0	+0.0	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.0	44.7	90.7	+1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.6	45.8	90.4	-1.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	43.9	44.4	88.3	-0.4	35%	-
vs Similar (12)	46.8	45.5	92.3	+1.3	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	31.0	34.0	65.0	-3.0	0%	-

This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	19.4	38.8	-0.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.0	19.4	41.4	+2.6	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.4	19.4	35.9	-3.0	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	19.4	38.8	+0.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	20.0	40.0	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	19.2	20.1	39.3	-0.9	33%	-
vs Similar (6)	19.0	20.0	39.0	-1.0	83%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	20.0	18.0	38.0	+2.0	33%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	22.3	41.3	-3.3	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.8	22.6	41.3	-3.8	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.3	22.0	41.3	-2.7	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	23.1	43.2	-3.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	21.2	41.8	-0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	19.2	22.2	41.4	-3.0	29%	-
vs Similar (12)	18.3	22.9	41.2	-4.6	25%	-
vs Weaker (1)	24.0	17.0	41.0	+7.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	22.2	43.1	-1.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.0	23.6	45.6	-1.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.5	20.6	40.1	-1.1	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	21.3	42.9	+0.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.6	18.0	42.6	+6.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	20.3	22.4	42.7	-2.1	40%	-
vs Similar (6)	18.7	25.3	44.0	-6.7	17%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	23.1	19.9	43.0	+3.2	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	22.0	42.1	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.2	22.2	42.5	-2.0	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.8	21.8	41.6	-2.0	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	25.3	46.8	-3.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	25.2	44.4	-6.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	20.5	23.2	43.7	-2.6	41%	-
vs Similar (12)	19.5	20.2	39.8	-0.8	42%	-
vs Weaker (1)	18.0	24.0	42.0	-6.0	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.2	41.7	81.9	-1.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	44.0	43.1	87.1	+0.9	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	35.9	40.1	76.0	-4.1	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.0	40.7	81.7	+0.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.6	38.0	82.6	+6.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	39.5	42.5	82.0	-2.9	40%	-
vs Similar (6)	37.7	45.3	83.0	-7.7	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	43.1	37.9	81.0	+5.2	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.0	44.3	83.4	-5.3	27%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.0	44.8	83.8	-5.8	25%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.1	43.8	82.9	-4.7	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.6	48.4	90.0	-6.8	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.8	46.4	86.2	-6.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	39.7	45.4	85.1	-5.6	29%	-
vs Similar (12)	37.8	43.2	81.0	-5.3	17%	-
vs Weaker (1)	42.0	41.0	83.0	+1.0	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Illawarra Hawks wins

Sydney wins

Date	Game	Score
25/11/15	Illawarra Hawks v Sydney	96-90
17/10/15	Sydney v Illawarra Hawks	86-100
15/02/15	Sydney v Illawarra Hawks	73-75
13/12/14	Illawarra Hawks v Sydney	82-77
07/11/14	Illawarra Hawks v Sydney	53-82
11/10/14	Sydney v Illawarra Hawks	86-83
21/03/14	Illawarra Hawks v Sydney	100-87
15/02/14	Sydney v Illawarra Hawks	84-102
14/12/13	Sydney v Illawarra Hawks	63-69
07/12/13	Illawarra Hawks v Sydney	73-69

Illawarra Hawkslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/12/15	A	Cairns	101-103 OT
09/12/15	H	Cairns	97-82
03/12/15	H	Melbourne United	102-87
28/11/15	H	Townsville	108-70
25/11/15	H	Sydney	96-90
21/11/15	A	Adelaide	77-89
11/11/15	H	Perth	96-99
06/11/15	H	Cairns	96-88
31/10/15	A	Perth	62-91
28/10/15	A	Townsville	96-88

Sydneylast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
16/12/15	A	Melbourne United	96-81
13/12/15	H	Perth	69-87
11/12/15	A	New Zealand Breakers	84-96
04/12/15	A	Cairns	83-101
25/11/15	A	Illawarra Hawks	90-96
19/11/15	H	New Zealand Breakers	74-86
12/11/15	H	Adelaide	106-84
07/11/15	A	Adelaide	98-99
05/11/15	H	Melbourne United	94-105
01/11/15	A	Melbourne United	82-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illawarra Hawks

NBL 2015-16

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	53%
Home	LWWWW	75%
Away	WWLLL	29%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	15	8	7
Win %	53%	75%	29%
Points / game	92.1	98.8	84.4
Allowed / game	88.4	87.1	89.9
Point differential	+3.7	+11.6	-5.4
Avg total	180.5	185.9	174.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	33%	50%	14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (3)	0% (1)	0% (2)
Overtime %	7%	0%	14%

Sydney

NBL 2015-16

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLW	25%
Home	WLWLL	33%
Away	LLLLW	14%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	9	7
Win %	25%	33%	14%
Points / game	84.7	84.4	85.0
Allowed / game	88.6	86.0	91.9
Point differential	-3.9	-1.6	-6.9
Avg total	173.2	170.4	176.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	19%	22%	14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (2)	0% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Perth	18	13	5	72%	86.0	80.5	+5.5
2	New Zealand Breakers	15	10	5	67%	85.2	80.0	+5.2
3	Melbourne United	17	11	6	65%	84.9	83.6	+1.4
4	Illawarra Hawks	15	8	7	53%	92.1	88.4	+3.7
5	Adelaide	17	8	9	47%	86.5	86.1	+0.4
6	Cairns	16	6	10	38%	82.9	87.0	-4.1
7	Townsville	18	6	12	33%	77.3	84.7	-7.4
8	Sydney	16	4	12	25%	84.7	88.6	-3.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Illawarra Hawks	29	29	25	19	102
Sydney	31	20	17	15	83

← all games of the day

Illawarra Hawks vs Sydney Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature