Illawarra Hawks vs Townsville Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Feb 2016

Tip-off: 08:30

Final 104-97 (OT)

25-22 29-31 21-18 14-18 15-8

Position#3

Record15-11

FormWLWLL

Points / game93.3

Allowed / game88.2

Illawarra Hawks 🏆

Townsville

Position#7

Record9-16

FormLLWWL

Points / game78.5

Allowed / game83.8

NBL

Other2015-16

Meetings · Illawarra Hawks v Townsville

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illawarra Hawks winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Townsville winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Illawarra Hawks Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

New Zealand Breakers

107-83

107

+24

A20/12

NBL

Townsville

98-74

+24

A31/12

NBL

Melbourne United

96-97

-1

A07/01

NBL

Sydney

114-90

114

+24

A09/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

87-69

+18

H14/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

103-96 OT

103

A17/01

NBL

Perth

72-95

-23

A21/01

NBL

Adelaide

104-97

104

H28/01

NBL

Adelaide

90-104

104

-14

A30/01

NBL

Melbourne United

73-80

-7

H04/02

NBL

34-21

25-26

29-22

19-14

32-14

19-19

23-19

24-22

23-19

23-24

23-36

27-18

34-20

23-25

32-21

25-24

21-20

26-9

25-19

15-21

24-32

24-21

17-18

15-9

22-22

22-26

13-24

15-23

26-16

18-27

29-27

31-27

22-26

32-28

21-20

15-30

16-19

20-22

19-17

18-22

182.9Avg total

94.4Scored

88.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (26)	93.3	88.2	181.6	+5.1	58%
Season at home (12)	96.3	85.5	181.8	+10.8	75%
Season away (14)	90.8	90.6	181.4	+0.2	43%
Last 10 (10)	94.4	88.5	182.9	+5.9	60%
Last 5 (5)	88.4	94.4	182.8	-6.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	77.0	84.0	161.0	-7.0	50%
vs Similar (12)	89.5	89.2	178.8	+0.2	42%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	96.6	87.4	184.0	+9.3	71%

This opponent (Townsville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Townsville Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

New Zealand Breakers

75-86

-11

H05/12

NBL

Adelaide

101-100

101

100

H10/12

NBL

Adelaide

66-76

-10

A12/12

NBL

Perth

75-58

+17

H19/12

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

74-98

-24

H31/12

NBL

Cairns

61-75

-14

A08/01

NBL

Adelaide

103-108

103

108

-5

H16/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

89-66

+23

H21/01

NBL

Sydney

96-88

H27/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

74-77

-3

A29/01

NBL

15-28

19-13

25-18

16-27

26-27

24-28

24-26

27-19

21-14

15-27

15-15

15-20

8-15

17-15

29-14

21-14

14-32

19-19

19-23

22-24

16-25

8-15

16-21

21-14

33-26

31-30

14-27

25-25

29-18

21-16

19-14

20-18

25-26

21-22

26-22

24-18

22-22

14-16

16-14

22-25

164.6Avg total

81.4Scored

83.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (25)	78.5	83.8	162.3	-5.3	36%
Season at home (12)	85.6	84.8	170.4	+0.8	50%
Season away (13)	72.0	82.8	154.8	-10.8	23%
Last 10 (10)	81.4	83.2	164.6	-1.8	40%
Last 5 (5)	84.6	82.8	167.4	+1.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	78.1	84.8	162.9	-6.7	32%
vs Similar (10)	81.1	78.7	159.8	+2.4	50%
vs Weaker (1)	82.0	66.0	148.0	+16.0	100%

This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Illawarra HawksTownsville

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.1	22.7	46.9	+1.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	25.3	22.5	47.8	+2.8	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	23.2	22.9	46.1	+0.4	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.4	20.9	46.3	+4.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	23.0	45.0	-1.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	16.8	22.0	38.8	-5.2	25%	-
vs Similar (12)	24.2	23.6	47.8	+0.6	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	26.2	22.2	48.4	+4.0	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	23.3	42.8	-3.9	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.5	22.8	44.3	-1.3	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.4	23.9	41.3	-6.5	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	23.3	44.2	-2.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.0	23.4	48.4	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	18.9	24.9	43.8	-5.9	26%	-
vs Similar (10)	20.4	21.2	41.6	-0.8	30%	-
vs Weaker (1)	20.0	15.0	35.0	+5.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.4	21.5	44.9	+2.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	24.9	21.7	46.6	+3.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	22.3	21.3	43.6	+1.0	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.2	22.7	45.9	+0.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	24.8	48.0	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	17.5	15.2	32.8	+2.2	50%	-
vs Similar (12)	25.0	21.4	46.4	+3.6	58%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	23.8	23.3	47.1	+0.5	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	19.0	38.8	+0.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.6	19.3	40.9	+2.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.9	18.8	36.7	-0.9	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	20.1	39.0	-1.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	19.8	38.8	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	20.1	19.9	40.0	+0.1	58%	-
vs Similar (10)	19.7	17.6	37.3	+2.1	60%	-
vs Weaker (1)	14.0	16.0	30.0	-2.0	0%	-

Illawarra HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

New Zealand Breakers

59-47

+12

A20/12

NBL

Townsville

51-33

+18

A31/12

NBL

Melbourne United

46-43

A07/01

NBL

Sydney

57-45

+12

A09/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

47-29

+18

H14/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

48-53

-5

A17/01

NBL

Perth

44-48

-4

A21/01

NBL

Adelaide

44-43

H28/01

NBL

Adelaide

54-54

A30/01

NBL

Melbourne United

36-41

-5

H04/02

NBL

92.2Avg total

48.6Scored

43.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	47.6	44.2	91.8	+3.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	50.2	44.2	94.5	+6.0	77%	-
Last 30 away (17)	45.5	44.2	89.7	+1.4	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	48.6	43.6	92.2	+5.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.2	47.8	93.0	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	34.2	37.2	71.5	-3.0	50%	-
vs Similar (12)	49.2	45.0	94.2	+4.2	58%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	50.0	45.5	95.5	+4.5	57%	-

This opponent (Townsville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

TownsvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

New Zealand Breakers

34-41

-7

H05/12

NBL

Adelaide

50-55

-5

H10/12

NBL

Adelaide

36-41

-5

A12/12

NBL

Perth

25-30

-5

H19/12

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

33-51

-18

H31/12

NBL

Cairns

24-40

-16

A08/01

NBL

Adelaide

64-56

H16/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

50-34

+16

H21/01

NBL

Sydney

46-48

-2

H27/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

36-38

-2

A29/01

NBL

83.2Avg total

39.8Scored

43.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.2	42.4	81.6	-3.2	23%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.1	42.1	85.2	+1.1	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.3	42.7	77.9	-7.4	7%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.8	43.4	83.2	-3.6	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.0	43.2	87.2	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	39.0	44.8	83.8	-5.8	16%	-
vs Similar (10)	40.1	38.8	78.9	+1.3	30%	-
vs Weaker (1)	34.0	31.0	65.0	+3.0	100%	-

This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	20.3	41.5	+0.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	24.5	19.6	44.1	+4.8	85%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.7	20.8	39.5	-2.1	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.1	22.3	45.4	+0.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	21.2	41.0	-1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	21.5	21.8	43.2	-0.2	50%	-
vs Similar (12)	20.0	21.3	41.3	-1.3	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	22.1	19.0	41.1	+3.1	57%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	18.8	38.1	+0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	18.5	39.4	+2.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.6	19.1	36.7	-1.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	19.4	39.7	+0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	19.6	37.8	-1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	18.3	18.9	37.2	-0.6	42%	-
vs Similar (10)	20.8	19.0	39.8	+1.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	21.0	16.0	37.0	+5.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	21.9	42.8	-0.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.8	23.2	43.9	-2.4	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	21.1	20.9	41.9	+0.2	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	21.0	41.4	-0.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	22.2	41.0	-3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	21.2	25.0	46.2	-3.8	25%	-
vs Similar (12)	18.4	21.6	40.0	-3.2	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	23.0	21.2	44.2	+1.8	71%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	21.0	41.8	-0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.2	20.9	43.1	+1.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.4	21.0	40.4	-1.6	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	20.4	41.7	+0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	20.0	42.4	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	20.8	21.1	41.9	-0.3	47%	-
vs Similar (10)	20.2	20.9	41.1	-0.7	40%	-
vs Weaker (1)	27.0	19.0	46.0	+8.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.1	42.2	84.3	-0.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	45.2	42.8	88.0	+2.5	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	39.8	41.7	81.5	-1.9	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.5	43.3	86.8	+0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	43.4	82.0	-4.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	42.8	46.8	89.5	-4.0	25%	-
vs Similar (12)	38.4	42.9	81.3	-4.5	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	45.1	40.2	85.4	+4.9	71%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.0	39.8	79.8	+0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.1	39.5	82.5	+3.6	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.0	40.1	77.1	-3.1	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.6	39.8	81.4	+1.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	39.6	80.2	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	39.1	40.0	79.1	-0.9	42%	-
vs Similar (10)	41.0	39.9	80.9	+1.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	48.0	35.0	83.0	+13.0	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Illawarra Hawks wins

Townsville wins

Date	Game	Score
31/12/15	Townsville v Illawarra Hawks	74-98
28/11/15	Illawarra Hawks v Townsville	108-70
28/10/15	Townsville v Illawarra Hawks	88-96
20/02/15	Townsville v Illawarra Hawks	82-66
28/11/14	Illawarra Hawks v Townsville	90-76
23/11/14	Townsville v Illawarra Hawks	107-75
10/10/14	Illawarra Hawks v Townsville	92-83
14/03/14	Townsville v Illawarra Hawks	85-94
14/02/14	Illawarra Hawks v Townsville	90-75
31/01/14	Townsville v Illawarra Hawks	80-67

Illawarra Hawkslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
04/02/16	H	Melbourne United	73-80
30/01/16	A	Adelaide	90-104
28/01/16	H	Adelaide	104-97
21/01/16	A	Perth	72-95
17/01/16	A	New Zealand Breakers	103-96 OT
14/01/16	H	New Zealand Breakers	87-69
09/01/16	A	Sydney	114-90
07/01/16	A	Melbourne United	96-97
31/12/15	A	Townsville	98-74
20/12/15	A	New Zealand Breakers	107-83

Townsvillelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
29/01/16	A	New Zealand Breakers	74-77
27/01/16	H	Sydney	96-88
21/01/16	H	New Zealand Breakers	89-66
16/01/16	H	Adelaide	103-108
08/01/16	A	Cairns	61-75
31/12/15	H	Illawarra Hawks	74-98
19/12/15	H	Perth	75-58
12/12/15	A	Adelaide	66-76
10/12/15	H	Adelaide	101-100
05/12/15	H	New Zealand Breakers	75-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illawarra Hawks

NBL 2015-16

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLL	58%
Home	WWWWL	75%
Away	LWWLL	43%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	26	12	14
Win %	58%	75%	43%
Points / game	93.3	96.3	90.8
Allowed / game	88.2	85.5	90.6
Point differential	+5.1	+10.8	+0.2
Avg total	181.6	181.8	181.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	38%	50%	29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (4)	0% (1)	0% (3)
Overtime %	8%	0%	14%

Townsville

NBL 2015-16

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWL	36%
Home	WLLWW	50%
Away	WLLLL	23%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	25	12	13
Win %	36%	50%	23%
Points / game	78.5	85.6	72.0
Allowed / game	83.8	84.8	82.8
Point differential	-5.3	+0.8	-10.8
Avg total	162.3	170.4	154.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	16%	33%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	57% (7)	33% (3)	75% (4)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Melbourne United	26	18	8	69%	86.4	83.3	+3.1
2	Perth	26	17	9	65%	84.9	79.7	+5.2
3	Illawarra Hawks	26	15	11	58%	93.3	88.2	+5.1
4	Adelaide	26	14	12	54%	89.1	88.2	+0.8
5	New Zealand Breakers	25	13	12	52%	84.1	83.1	+1.0
6	Cairns	26	12	14	46%	80.6	84.0	-3.4
7	Townsville	25	9	16	36%	78.5	83.8	-5.3
8	Sydney	26	5	21	19%	84.2	91.0	-6.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final
Illawarra Hawks	25	29	21	14	15	104
Townsville	22	31	18	18	8	97

← all games of the day

Illawarra Hawks vs Townsville Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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