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Toyama vs Chiba Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 07 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 10:00
Scheduled
Position#11
Record9-8
FormWLLWL
Points / game82.6
Allowed / game88.4
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.2/10
Around normal
4.6/10
Around normal
Position#14
Record9-9
FormWWWWW
Points / game92.2
Allowed / game95.1
JapanB League· Toyama City Gymnasium
Other2026-27
Meetings · Toyama v Chiba
07 Apr 2027
TOYA v CHIB
upcoming
28 Jan 2024
TOYA73
CHIB91
27 Jan 2024
TOYA92
CHIB93
27 Nov 2022
TOYA61
CHIB87
26 Nov 2022
TOYA55
CHIB82
06 Apr 2022
TOYA v CHIB
upcoming
07 Mar 2021
TOYA88
CHIB90
06 Mar 2021
TOYA96
CHIB80
08 Dec 2019
TOYA72
CHIB73
07 Dec 2019
TOYA67
CHIB77
27 Jan 2019
TOYA68
CHIB86
26 Jan 2019
TOYA82
CHIB89
11 Feb 2018
TOYA65
CHIB88
10 Feb 2018
TOYA90
CHIB96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toyama win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Chiba win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ToyamaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormToyama
Date
Competition
SeaHorses Mikawa
#3
L
56-99
56
99
-43
39avg 79
H18/10
B League
Levanga Hokkaido
#9
W
105-87
105
87
+18
103avg 79
A21/10
B League
Shimane
#15
W
82-79
82
79
+3
72avg 79
H24/10
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#12
L
61-83
61
83
-22
47avg 79
H26/10
B League
Chiba
#14
W
100-93
100
93
+7
95avg 79
A31/10
B League
Chiba
#14
W
83-78
83
78
+5
84avg 79
A01/11
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#1
L
80-93
80
93
-13
no box
H07/11
B League
Shimane
#15
L
75-108
75
108
-33
no box
A09/11
B League
Osaka
#26
W
91-77
91
77
+14
no box
H12/11
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#3
L
70-111
70
111
-41
no box
A14/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-24
14-19
16-36
8-20
17-17
22-23
36-24
30-23
20-17
29-20
14-16
19-26
19-18
17-25
9-25
16-15
27-34
30-19
24-11
19-29
20-19
26-10
19-23
18-26
15-22
20-23
27-26
18-22
13-20
20-32
23-26
19-30
18-29
21-10
26-13
26-25
16-34
17-29
27-22
10-26
171.1Avg total
80.3Scored
90.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)82.688.4171.0-5.853%
Season at home (8)75.184.8159.9-9.638%
Season away (9)89.291.7180.9-2.467%
Last 10 (10)80.390.8171.1-10.550%
Last 5 (5)79.893.4173.2-13.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)79.289.0168.2-9.837%
vs Similar ◀ (8)90.085.1175.1+4.975%
vs Weaker (3)89.075.3164.3+13.7100%
This opponent (Chiba) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChibaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChiba
Date
Competition
Tokyo Sunrockers
#8
L
64-107
64
107
-43
51avg 81
H19/10
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
79-102
79
102
-23
68avg 81
H21/10
B League
Osaka
#26
W
87-65
87
65
+22
87avg 81
A25/10
B League
Toyama
#11
L
93-100
93
100
-7
87avg 81
H31/10
B League
Toyama
#11
L
78-83
78
83
-5
67avg 81
H01/11
B League
Altiri Chiba
#19
W
89-87 OT
89
87
+2
no box
H06/11
B League
Saga
#25
W
111-103
111
103
+8
no box
A08/11
B League
Osaka
#26
W
106-94 OT
106
94
+12
no box
H10/11
B League
Shiga
#16
W
90-87
90
87
+3
no box
A12/11
B League
Nagasaki
#21
W
86-80
86
80
+6
no box
H14/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-26
11-22
12-32
16-27
21-26
19-28
24-28
15-20
23-20
29-15
20-14
15-16
34-27
19-30
11-24
29-19
19-20
10-26
23-19
26-18
20-19
24-19
23-15
10-24
34-20
24-21
25-26
28-36
24-23
23-15
19-25
27-30
11-23
30-20
21-26
28-18
24-16
23-21
22-21
17-22
179.1Avg total
88.3Scored
90.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)92.295.1187.3-2.950%
Season at home (10)89.496.5185.9-7.140%
Season away (8)95.693.4189.0+2.262%
Last 10 (10)88.390.8179.1-2.560%
Last 5 (5)96.490.2186.6+6.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)89.499.5188.9-10.130%
vs Similar ◀ (9)85.286.6171.8-1.356%
vs Weaker (11)94.984.5179.4+10.582%
This opponent (Toyama) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.1-5.1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: -5.9-5.9Q4: -1.9-1.9
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.1-5.1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: -5.9-5.9Q4: -1.9-1.9
ToyamaChiba
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ToyamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SeaHorses Mikawa
#3
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H18/10
B League
Levanga Hokkaido
#9
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A21/10
B League
Shimane
#15
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H24/10
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#12
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H26/10
B League
Chiba
#14
W
57-53
57
53
+4
A31/10
B League
Chiba
#14
W
46-29
46
29
+17
A01/11
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#1
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H07/11
B League
Shimane
#15
L
33-52
33
52
-19
A09/11
B League
Osaka
#26
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H12/11
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#3
L
33-63
33
63
-30
A14/11
B League
84.3Avg total
39.9Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.843.885.6-2.043%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.141.381.4-1.133%-
Last 30 away (15)43.446.389.7-2.953%-
Last 10 (10)39.944.484.3-4.530%-
Last 5 (5)37.245.682.8-8.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)39.745.184.7-5.437%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)47.042.489.4+4.662%-
vs Weaker (3)41.039.780.7+1.333%-
This opponent (Chiba) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChibaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tokyo Sunrockers
#8
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H19/10
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
40-54
40
54
-14
H21/10
B League
Osaka
#26
W
52-35
52
35
+17
A25/10
B League
Toyama
#11
L
53-57
53
57
-4
H31/10
B League
Toyama
#11
L
29-46
29
46
-17
H01/11
B League
Altiri Chiba
#19
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H06/11
B League
Saga
#25
W
58-41
58
41
+17
A08/11
B League
Osaka
#26
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H10/11
B League
Shiga
#16
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A12/11
B League
Nagasaki
#21
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H14/11
B League
88.4Avg total
44.7Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.343.690.9+3.757%-
Last 30 at home (18)45.142.787.8+2.456%-
Last 30 away (12)50.644.995.5+5.758%-
Last 10 (10)44.743.788.4+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)47.439.486.8+8.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)46.448.995.3-2.530%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)41.944.186.0-2.233%-
vs Weaker (11)52.538.390.8+14.3100%-
This opponent (Toyama) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Toyamatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toyama: 83.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.8 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.319.8
47.9%
53.6%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.67.9
28.6%
32.9%23.7
🏀 Free throws25.719.8
77.0%
73.8%19.8
They take 68.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Chibatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chiba: 86.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.419.8
50.3%
53.6%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.110.3
33.1%
32.9%30.9
🏀 Free throws21.416.3
76.2%
73.8%16.3
They take 70.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Toyama
LWLLWWLWWL
Chiba
WWWWWLLWLL
#11
League position
#14
-2.9
Net rating
-7.1
90.8
Offensive rating
90.5
93.7
Defensive rating
97.6
45.9%
Effective FG%
50.0%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
13.0%
Turnover %
14.7%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.30
28.6%
3-point %
33.1%
71.8%
Assist %
68.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence90.8 · 90.5Defence93.7 · 97.6Shooting45.9% · 50.0%3-point %28.6% · 33.1%Ball care13.0% · 14.7%Free throws0.37 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Toyama   ■ Chiba
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Toyama wins
8
Chiba wins
DateGameScore
01/11/26Chiba v Toyama78-83
31/10/26Chiba v Toyama93-100
04/01/26Chiba v Toyama88-73
03/01/26Chiba v Toyama79-72
28/01/24Toyama v Chiba73-91
27/01/24Toyama v Chiba92-93
27/11/22Toyama v Chiba61-87
26/11/22Toyama v Chiba55-82
29/12/21Chiba v Toyama105-64
07/03/21Toyama v Chiba88-90
Toyamalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ASeaHorses Mikawa70-111
12/11/26HOsaka91-77
09/11/26AShimane75-108
07/11/26HDiamond Dolphins80-93
01/11/26AChiba83-78
31/10/26AChiba100-93
26/10/26HIbaraki Robots61-83
24/10/26HShimane82-79
21/10/26ALevanga Hokkaido105-87
18/10/26HSeaHorses Mikawa56-99
Chibalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HNagasaki86-80
12/11/26AShiga90-87
10/11/26HOsaka106-94 OT
08/11/26ASaga111-103
06/11/26HAltiri Chiba89-87 OT
01/11/26HToyama78-83
31/10/26HToyama93-100
25/10/26AOsaka87-65
21/10/26HKyoto79-102
19/10/26HTokyo Sunrockers64-107

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toyama
B League 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL53%
HomeLWLLW38%
AwayWWWLL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %53%38%67%
Points / game82.675.189.2
Allowed / game88.484.891.7
Point differential-5.8-9.6-2.4
Avg total171.0159.9180.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %6%0%11%
Chiba
B League 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW50%
HomeLLWWW40%
AwayWLWWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %50%40%62%
Points / game92.289.495.6
Allowed / game95.196.593.4
Point differential-2.9-7.1+2.2
Avg total187.3185.9189.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%20%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %22%30%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Diamond Dolphins1412286%91.278.7+12.5
2 Hiroshima D.1613381%89.982.1+7.9
3 SeaHorses Mikawa1411379%91.979.9+11.9
4 Alvark1814478%92.982.3+10.6
5 Sendai1814478%88.680.2+8.4
6 Gunma1612475%82.873.8+9.1
7 NeoPhoenix129375%87.481.6+5.8
8 Tokyo Sunrockers1812667%90.879.9+10.9
9 Levanga Hokkaido1711665%97.393.2+4.1
10 Kyoto169756%84.379.2+5.1
11 Toyama179853%82.688.4-5.8
12 Ibaraki Robots189950%83.779.8+3.9
13 Ryukyu168850%83.481.6+1.8
14 Chiba189950%92.295.1-2.9
15 Shimane167944%83.581.1+2.4
16 Shiga167944%86.488.8-2.4
17 Utsunomiya Brex167944%81.183.6-2.4
18 Yokohama1771041%78.383.8-5.5
19 Altiri Chiba1871139%79.884.7-4.8
20 Shinshu1761135%83.986.8-2.9
21 Nagasaki1861233%77.382.2-4.9
22 Brave Thunders1751229%79.283.9-4.8
23 Akita1851328%83.390.7-7.4
24 Kobe1641225%79.987.3-7.4
25 Saga161156%77.395.6-18.3
26 Osaka171166%70.490.4-20.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.
← all games of the day
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