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Trento vs Capo d'Orlando Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 31 Mar 2018
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 107-59
27-9 20-15 34-15 26-20
Position#5
Record12-11
FormWWWLW
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game77.0
Trento 🏆
Italy
vs
Capo d'Orlando
Italy
Position#16
Record5-18
FormLLLLL
Points / game70.5
Allowed / game83.4
ItalyLega ARound 24
Domestic2017-18
Meetings · Trento v Capo d'Orlando
31 Mar 2018
TRE107
KDO59
23 Oct 2016
TRE85
KDO76
23 Dec 2015
TRE74
KDO63
03 Jan 2015
TRE90
KDO73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trento winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Capo d'Orlando winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TrentoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#10
L
105-106 OT
105
106
-1
H24/01
Eurocup
Venezia
#2
L
79-83
79
83
-4
H28/01
Lega A
Cedevita
#18
W
81-77
81
77
+4
A31/01
Eurocup
Brescia
#3
W
78-70
78
70
+8
A04/02
Lega A
Lokomotiv Kuban
#1
L
71-74
71
74
-3
H07/02
Eurocup
Cantu
#9
W
87-76
87
76
+11
H10/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
W
82-68
82
68
+14
A03/03
Lega A
Varese
#8
W
82-74
82
74
+8
H10/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
80-88
80
88
-8
A17/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
77-62
77
62
+15
A25/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-20
19-26
23-11
18-25
22-23
18-21
19-20
20-19
28-23
14-11
24-16
15-27
20-22
11-12
20-9
27-27
14-19
13-17
18-21
26-17
16-22
22-20
26-17
23-17
27-11
15-19
23-26
17-12
17-20
24-11
19-21
22-22
20-18
16-20
25-23
19-27
15-17
28-10
17-14
17-21
160.0Avg total
82.2Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)78.177.0155.1+1.152%
Season at home (11)79.275.5154.6+3.764%
Season away (12)77.278.4155.6-1.242%
Last 10 (10)82.277.8160.0+4.460%
Last 5 (5)81.673.6155.2+8.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)68.482.4150.8-14.00%
vs Similar (17)82.280.4162.6+1.859%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)82.673.2155.9+9.488%
This opponent (Capo d'Orlando) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Capo d'OrlandoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#21
L
62-99
62
99
-37
A23/01
Champions League
Virtus Bologna
#7
L
69-86
69
86
-17
H28/01
Lega A
Ventspils
#34
L
68-79
68
79
-11
H30/01
Champions League
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
54-91
54
91
-37
A04/02
Lega A
Ludwigsburg
#4
L
61-86
61
86
-25
A06/02
Champions League
Reggiana
#11
L
70-81
70
81
-11
H11/02
Lega A
Torino
#12
L
89-92
89
92
-3
A04/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
81-84 OT
81
84
-3
A11/03
Lega A
Sassari
#6
L
89-103
89
103
-14
H18/03
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
78-88
78
88
-10
H24/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-35
11-31
20-14
12-19
13-26
24-21
14-17
18-22
16-17
16-16
22-21
14-25
8-22
13-24
12-26
21-19
12-17
18-29
12-20
19-20
24-23
19-14
16-19
11-25
18-35
32-16
21-18
18-23
16-18
29-13
17-24
8-15
24-32
18-24
20-21
27-26
26-17
21-28
14-17
17-26
161.0Avg total
72.1Scored
88.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)70.583.4153.9-12.922%
Season at home (12)71.880.0151.8-8.225%
Season away (11)69.287.1156.3-17.918%
Last 10 (10)72.188.9161.0-16.80%
Last 5 (5)81.489.6171.0-8.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)68.684.6153.2-16.017%
vs Similar (1)83.057.0140.0+26.0100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Trento) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -6.6-6.6Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -5.5-5.5
TrentoCapo d'Orlando
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TrentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#10
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H24/01
Eurocup
Venezia
#2
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H28/01
Lega A
Cedevita
#18
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A31/01
Eurocup
Brescia
#3
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A04/02
Lega A
Lokomotiv Kuban
#1
L
27-36
27
36
-9
H07/02
Eurocup
Cantu
#9
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H10/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A03/03
Lega A
Varese
#8
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H10/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A17/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
43-27
43
27
+16
A25/03
Lega A
74.3Avg total
38.1Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.438.077.4+1.550%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.536.678.1+4.957%-
Last 30 away (16)37.639.276.8-1.644%-
Last 10 (10)38.136.274.3+1.940%-
Last 5 (5)40.033.673.6+6.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)33.038.871.8-5.80%-
vs Similar (17)38.839.478.2-0.647%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)44.934.479.2+10.588%-
This opponent (Capo d'Orlando) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Capo d'OrlandoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#21
L
30-66
30
66
-36
A23/01
Champions League
Virtus Bologna
#7
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H28/01
Lega A
Ventspils
#34
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H30/01
Champions League
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
21-46
21
46
-25
A04/02
Lega A
Ludwigsburg
#4
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A06/02
Champions League
Reggiana
#11
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H11/02
Lega A
Torino
#12
L
50-51
50
51
-1
A04/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
45-31
45
31
+14
A11/03
Lega A
Sassari
#6
L
42-56
42
56
-14
H18/03
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H24/03
Lega A
83.5Avg total
37.7Scored
45.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.541.877.3-6.433%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.539.476.9-1.944%-
Last 30 away (14)33.144.677.7-11.421%-
Last 10 (10)37.745.883.5-8.130%-
Last 5 (5)45.444.089.4+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)35.142.677.6-7.531%-
vs Similar (1)47.021.068.0+26.0100%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Trento) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Trentotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trento: 77.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.421.9
49.3%
51.6%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.56.6
32.2%
34.9%19.8
🏀 Free throws20.514.2
69.3%
73.0%14.2
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Capo d'Orlandotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Capo d'Orlando: 73.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.418.6
48.4%
51.6%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.68.2
33.3%
34.9%24.6
🏀 Free throws16.511.2
67.9%
73.0%11.2
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Mar 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trento
WLWWWLWWLL
Capo d'Orlando
LLLLLLLLLL
#5
League position
#16
+1.2
Net rating
-24.8
105.9
Offensive rating
101.2
104.7
Defensive rating
126.1
49.0%
Effective FG%
49.0%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
59.4%
16.4%
Turnover %
17.6%
34.0%
Off. rebound %
28.6%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.26
32.2%
3-point %
33.3%
43.2%
Assist %
61.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence105.9 · 101.2Defence104.7 · 126.1Shooting49.0% · 49.0%3-point %32.2% · 33.3%Ball care16.4% · 17.6%Off. rebounds34.0% · 28.6%Free throws0.32 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)60% · 0%
■ Trento   ■ Capo d'Orlando
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Trento wins
1
Capo d'Orlando wins
DateGameScore
02/12/17Capo d'Orlando v Trento82-80
12/02/17Capo d'Orlando v Trento63-71
23/10/16Trento v Capo d'Orlando85-76
17/04/16Capo d'Orlando v Trento81-82
23/12/15Trento v Capo d'Orlando74-63
03/05/15Capo d'Orlando v Trento67-68
03/01/15Trento v Capo d'Orlando90-73
Trentolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/03/18APesaro77-62
17/03/18AOlimpia Milano80-88
10/03/18HVarese82-74
03/03/18AReggiana82-68
10/02/18HCantu87-76
07/02/18HLokomotiv Kuban71-74
04/02/18ABrescia78-70
31/01/18ACedevita81-77
28/01/18HVenezia79-83
24/01/18HBuducnost105-106 OT
Capo d'Orlandolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/18HBrescia78-88
18/03/18HSassari89-103
11/03/18APesaro81-84 OT
04/03/18ATorino89-92
11/02/18HReggiana70-81
06/02/18ALudwigsburg61-86
04/02/18AOlimpia Milano54-91
30/01/18HVentspils68-79
28/01/18HVirtus Bologna69-86
23/01/18ANeptunas62-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trento
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW52%
HomeWLLWW64%
AwayLWWLW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %52%64%42%
Points / game78.179.277.2
Allowed / game77.075.578.4
Point differential+1.1+3.7-1.2
Avg total155.1154.6155.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%45%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Capo d'Orlando
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL22%
HomeLLLLL25%
AwayLLLLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %22%25%18%
Points / game70.571.869.2
Allowed / game83.480.087.1
Point differential-12.9-8.2-17.9
Avg total153.9151.8156.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%8%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)67% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %4%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2318578%80.072.6+7.5
2 Venezia2317674%82.079.2+2.8
3 Brescia2215768%79.074.5+4.5
4 Avellino2315865%83.877.4+6.4
5 Virtus Bologna23131057%79.175.7+3.3
6 Sassari23121152%85.982.9+3.0
7 Trento23121152%78.177.0+1.1
8 Cantu23121152%87.788.3-0.5
9 Cremona22111150%83.381.5+1.8
10 Torino24121250%80.582.3-1.8
11 Reggiana21101148%75.776.4-0.7
12 Varese23101343%78.376.2+2.1
13 Pistoia2491538%76.381.0-4.7
14 Brindisi2371630%77.181.1-4.0
15 Pesaro2351822%76.884.2-7.4
16 Capo d'Orlando2351822%70.583.4-12.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Trento27203426107
Capo d'Orlando915152059
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