PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Pesaro vs Capo d'Orlando Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 Mar 2018
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 84-81 (OT)
18-16 13-29 24-17 15-8 14-11
Position#15
Record4-16
FormLLLLL
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game84.3
Pesaro 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#16
Record5-15
FormLLLLL
Points / game68.7
Allowed / game82.2
ItalyLega ARound 21
Domestic2017-18
Meetings · Pesaro v Capo d'Orlando
11 Mar 2018
PES84
KDO81
08 Jan 2017
PES70
KDO68
10 Apr 2016
PES70
KDO65
23 Nov 2014
PES62
KDO60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pesaro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Capo d'Orlando winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Avellino
#4
L
78-83
78
83
-5
H17/12
Lega A
Cantu
#9
L
73-92
73
92
-19
A26/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
64-78
64
78
-14
H02/01
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
71-72
71
72
-1
A07/01
Lega A
Sassari
#6
W
88-85
88
85
+3
H13/01
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
70-88
70
88
-18
A21/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
L
96-104
96
104
-8
H27/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#7
L
67-85
67
85
-18
A03/02
Lega A
Torino
#12
L
90-95
90
95
-5
H11/02
Lega A
Cremona
#10
L
79-92
79
92
-13
A04/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
8-29
25-14
27-20
18-20
17-17
15-21
13-23
28-31
13-20
18-17
20-15
13-26
15-23
19-17
18-22
19-10
26-23
21-18
18-23
23-21
20-21
20-16
13-27
17-24
22-22
23-26
20-25
31-31
12-30
20-21
15-15
20-19
24-25
19-24
24-26
23-20
26-33
15-21
18-20
20-18
165.0Avg total
77.6Scored
87.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)76.884.3161.1-7.520%
Season at home (10)78.382.4160.7-4.130%
Season away (10)75.486.2161.6-10.810%
Last 10 (10)77.687.4165.0-9.810%
Last 5 (5)80.492.8173.2-12.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)79.086.3165.3-7.222%
vs Similar (6)79.282.0161.2-2.833%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)56.073.0129.0-17.00%
This opponent (Capo d'Orlando) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Capo d'OrlandoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cremona
#10
L
85-95
85
95
-10
H14/01
Lega A
Tenerife
#3
L
59-106
59
106
-47
H16/01
Champions League
Pistoia
#13
L
69-91
69
91
-22
A21/01
Lega A
Neptunas
#21
L
62-99
62
99
-37
A23/01
Champions League
Virtus Bologna
#7
L
69-86
69
86
-17
H28/01
Lega A
Ventspils
#34
L
68-79
68
79
-11
H30/01
Champions League
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
54-91
54
91
-37
A04/02
Lega A
Ludwigsburg
#4
L
61-86
61
86
-25
A06/02
Champions League
Reggiana
#11
L
70-81
70
81
-11
H11/02
Lega A
Torino
#12
L
89-92
89
92
-3
A04/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-21
23-25
14-21
21-28
9-21
16-29
20-27
14-29
17-27
17-19
19-29
16-16
19-35
11-31
20-14
12-19
13-26
24-21
14-17
18-22
16-17
16-16
22-21
14-25
8-22
13-24
12-26
21-19
12-17
18-29
12-20
19-20
24-23
19-14
16-19
11-25
18-35
32-16
21-18
18-23
159.2Avg total
68.6Scored
90.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)68.782.2150.9-13.525%
Season at home (10)69.476.9146.3-7.530%
Season away (10)68.087.4155.4-19.420%
Last 10 (10)68.690.6159.2-22.00%
Last 5 (5)68.485.8154.2-17.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)66.682.0148.5-15.421%
vs Similar (1)83.057.0140.0+26.0100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pesaro) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -6.0-6.0Q1: -8.1-8.1Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: -4.2-4.2Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -6.2-6.2
PesaroCapo d'Orlando
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Avellino
#4
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H17/12
Lega A
Cantu
#9
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A26/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H02/01
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A07/01
Lega A
Sassari
#6
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H13/01
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A21/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H27/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#7
L
32-51
32
51
-19
A03/02
Lega A
Torino
#12
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H11/02
Lega A
Cremona
#10
L
41-54
41
54
-13
A04/03
Lega A
81.6Avg total
37.8Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.942.382.3-2.437%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.039.978.9-0.943%-
Last 30 away (16)40.844.485.2-3.731%-
Last 10 (10)37.843.881.6-6.020%-
Last 5 (5)40.247.888.0-7.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)39.543.182.7-3.630%-
vs Similar (6)43.340.383.7+3.067%-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)29.036.065.0-7.00%-
This opponent (Capo d'Orlando) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Capo d'OrlandoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cremona
#10
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H14/01
Lega A
Tenerife
#3
L
25-50
25
50
-25
H16/01
Champions League
Pistoia
#13
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A21/01
Lega A
Neptunas
#21
L
30-66
30
66
-36
A23/01
Champions League
Virtus Bologna
#7
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H28/01
Lega A
Ventspils
#34
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H30/01
Champions League
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
21-46
21
46
-25
A04/02
Lega A
Ludwigsburg
#4
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A06/02
Champions League
Reggiana
#11
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H11/02
Lega A
Torino
#12
L
50-51
50
51
-1
A04/03
Lega A
82.0Avg total
35.2Scored
46.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.841.174.9-7.327%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.337.572.8-2.140%-
Last 30 away (15)32.344.776.9-12.413%-
Last 10 (10)35.246.882.0-11.620%-
Last 5 (5)35.242.677.8-7.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)33.341.875.1-8.424%-
vs Similar (1)47.021.068.0+26.0100%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pesaro) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 76.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.2 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.722.5
51.5%
51.6%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.96.4
30.6%
34.9%19.2
🏀 Free throws17.312.4
71.7%
73.0%12.4
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Capo d'Orlandotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Capo d'Orlando: 69.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.518.6
49.6%
51.6%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.97.6
31.8%
34.9%22.8
🏀 Free throws15.09.7
64.7%
73.0%9.7
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Mar 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pesaro
LLLLLWLLLL
Capo d'Orlando
LLLLLLLLLL
#15
League position
#16
-13.4
Net rating
-25.8
102.5
Offensive rating
96.8
115.9
Defensive rating
122.6
49.7%
Effective FG%
48.9%
57.6%
Opp. effective FG%
58.2%
17.4%
Turnover %
18.2%
28.3%
Off. rebound %
25.2%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.24
30.6%
3-point %
31.8%
41.5%
Assist %
59.9%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence102.5 · 96.8Defence115.9 · 122.6Shooting49.7% · 48.9%3-point %30.6% · 31.8%Ball care17.4% · 18.2%Off. rebounds28.3% · 25.2%Free throws0.27 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)10% · 0%
■ Pesaro   ■ Capo d'Orlando
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Pesaro wins
2
Capo d'Orlando wins
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/18ACremona79-92
11/02/18HTorino90-95
03/02/18AVirtus Bologna67-85
27/01/18HReggiana96-104
21/01/18ABrescia70-88
13/01/18HSassari88-85
07/01/18AVenezia71-72
02/01/18HOlimpia Milano64-78
26/12/17ACantu73-92
17/12/17HAvellino78-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/18ATorino89-92
11/02/18HReggiana70-81
06/02/18ALudwigsburg61-86
04/02/18AOlimpia Milano54-91
30/01/18HVentspils68-79
28/01/18HVirtus Bologna69-86
23/01/18ANeptunas62-99
21/01/18APistoia69-91
16/01/18HTenerife59-106
14/01/18HCremona85-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pesaro
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL20%
HomeLLWLL30%
AwayLLLLL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %20%30%10%
Points / game76.878.375.4
Allowed / game84.382.486.2
Point differential-7.5-4.1-10.8
Avg total161.2160.7161.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)50% (6)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Capo d'Orlando
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL25%
HomeWLLLL30%
AwayLLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %25%30%20%
Points / game68.769.468.0
Allowed / game82.276.987.4
Point differential-13.4-7.5-19.4
Avg total150.8146.3155.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%10%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2116576%79.672.1+7.5
2 Venezia2116576%80.778.3+2.4
3 Avellino2115671%84.777.0+7.7
4 Brescia2014670%79.274.5+4.7
5 Torino2112957%80.781.2-0.5
6 Virtus Bologna21111052%78.875.8+3.0
7 Sassari21111052%85.082.2+2.8
8 Trento21111052%78.177.2+0.9
9 Cantu20101050%86.887.4-0.6
10 Cremona21101148%82.982.0+0.9
11 Reggiana2091145%75.576.5-0.9
12 Varese2181338%77.575.7+1.8
13 Pistoia2071335%74.880.0-5.2
14 Brindisi2161529%76.080.4-4.4
15 Capo d'Orlando2051525%68.782.2-13.4
16 Pesaro2041620%76.884.3-7.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Pesaro181324151484
Capo d'Orlando16291781181
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.