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Trento vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Mar 2018
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 82-74
17-20 24-11 19-21 22-22
Position#5
Record10-10
FormWWLWW
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game77.3
Trento 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#8
Record8-12
FormWWWWL
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game75.4
ItalyLega ARound 21
Domestic2017-18
Meetings · Trento v Varese
18 Oct 2026
TRE87
VAR85
08 Feb 2026
TRE84
VAR78
13 Oct 2024
TRE106
VAR100
04 Feb 2024
TRE90
VAR84
22 Jan 2023
TRE90
VAR80
28 Jan 2022
TRE84
VAR90
22 Nov 2020
TRE74
VAR77
19 Apr 2020
TRE v VAR
upcoming
02 Feb 2019
TRE74
VAR71
10 Mar 2018
TRE82
VAR74
18 Dec 2016
TRE84
VAR68
15 Nov 2015
TRE89
VAR63
02 Mar 2015
TRE78
VAR65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trento winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TrentoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrento
Date
Competition
Avellino
#4
L
83-94
83
94
-11
102avg 109
H13/01
Lega A
Buducnost
#10
L
66-79
66
79
-13
no box
A17/01
Eurocup
Virtus Bologna
#7
L
75-82
75
82
-7
98avg 109
A21/01
Lega A
Buducnost
#10
L
105-106 OT
105
106
-1
no box
H24/01
Eurocup
Venezia
#2
L
79-83
79
83
-4
178avg 109
H28/01
Lega A
Cedevita
#18
W
81-77
81
77
+4
no box
A31/01
Eurocup
Brescia
#3
W
78-70
78
70
+8
177avg 109
A04/02
Lega A
Lokomotiv Kuban
#1
L
71-74
71
74
-3
no box
H07/02
Eurocup
Cantu
#9
W
87-76
87
76
+11
115avg 109
H10/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
W
82-68
82
68
+14
114avg 109
A03/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-24
32-24
25-21
9-25
14-31
17-18
20-17
15-13
13-21
19-23
21-23
22-15
22-20
19-26
23-11
18-25
22-23
18-21
19-20
20-19
28-23
14-11
24-16
15-27
20-22
11-12
20-9
27-27
14-19
13-17
18-21
26-17
16-22
22-20
26-17
23-17
27-11
15-19
23-26
17-12
161.6Avg total
80.7Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)77.977.3155.2+0.650%
Season at home (10)78.975.6154.5+3.360%
Season away (10)76.979.1156.0-2.240%
Last 10 (10)80.780.9161.6-0.240%
Last 5 (5)79.873.0152.8+6.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)65.581.0146.5-15.50%
vs Similar ◀ (19)82.680.9163.6+1.753%
vs Weaker (7)83.474.9158.3+8.686%
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#11
L
66-76
66
76
-10
90avg 110
A16/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#7
L
85-90 OT
85
90
-5
no box
H26/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#14
L
90-95 OT
90
95
-5
no box
A02/01
Lega A
Cremona
#10
L
72-80
72
80
-8
98avg 110
A07/01
Lega A
Torino
#12
L
89-92
89
92
-3
120avg 110
H14/01
Lega A
Venezia
#2
W
75-63
75
63
+12
103avg 110
A21/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
76-72
76
72
+4
104avg 110
H29/01
Lega A
Cantu
#9
W
89-85
89
85
+4
124avg 110
A05/02
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
100-72
100
72
+28
137avg 110
H11/02
Lega A
Pistoia
#13
L
65-74
65
74
-9
96avg 110
A04/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-14
19-21
17-25
15-16
14-17
24-19
17-15
19-23
15-23
18-19
23-20
26-20
14-22
17-22
26-21
15-15
22-18
29-22
18-25
20-27
21-17
15-15
19-20
20-11
17-19
25-17
14-17
20-19
33-25
23-26
22-18
11-16
29-18
34-21
21-17
16-16
16-17
14-16
18-22
17-19
160.6Avg total
80.7Scored
79.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)77.775.4153.1+2.240%
Season at home (10)82.474.9157.3+7.560%
Season away (10)72.975.9148.8-3.020%
Last 10 (10)80.779.9160.6+0.840%
Last 5 (5)81.073.2154.2+7.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)79.077.6156.6+1.460%
vs Similar ◀ (19)78.375.4153.7+2.853%
vs Weaker (6)79.777.7157.3+2.033%
This opponent (Trento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -0.3-0.3
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -0.3-0.3
TrentoVarese
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TrentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Avellino
#4
W
49-48
49
48
+1
H13/01
Lega A
Buducnost
#10
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A17/01
Eurocup
Virtus Bologna
#7
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A21/01
Lega A
Buducnost
#10
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H24/01
Eurocup
Venezia
#2
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H28/01
Lega A
Cedevita
#18
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A31/01
Eurocup
Brescia
#3
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A04/02
Lega A
Lokomotiv Kuban
#1
L
27-36
27
36
-9
H07/02
Eurocup
Cantu
#9
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H10/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A03/03
Lega A
78.0Avg total
37.3Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.938.678.5+1.350%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.436.979.3+5.560%-
Last 30 away (15)37.540.377.7-2.840%-
Last 10 (10)37.340.778.0-3.430%-
Last 5 (5)36.035.271.2+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)32.239.071.2-6.80%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)39.639.779.3-0.147%-
vs Weaker (7)45.135.480.6+9.786%-
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#11
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A16/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#7
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H26/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#14
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A02/01
Lega A
Cremona
#10
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A07/01
Lega A
Torino
#12
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H14/01
Lega A
Venezia
#2
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A21/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H29/01
Lega A
Cantu
#9
W
56-51
56
51
+5
A05/02
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
63-39
63
39
+24
H11/02
Lega A
Pistoia
#13
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A04/03
Lega A
80.2Avg total
41.4Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.739.779.4+0.050%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.838.682.4+5.271%-
Last 30 away (16)36.240.776.9-4.531%-
Last 10 (10)41.438.880.2+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)45.438.283.6+7.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)39.844.284.0-4.420%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)40.439.379.6+1.158%-
vs Weaker (6)37.737.375.0+0.350%-
This opponent (Trento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Trentotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trento: 79.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.9 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.123.1
51.2%
51.6%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.36.3
32.6%
34.9%18.9
🏀 Free throws20.514.5
70.7%
73.0%14.5
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 77.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.819.2
49.5%
51.6%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.18.6
35.7%
34.9%25.8
🏀 Free throws17.013.7
80.6%
73.0%13.7
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Mar 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trento
WWLWWLLLLL
Varese
LWWWWLLLLL
#5
League position
#8
+3.8
Net rating
+5.4
107.9
Offensive rating
108.6
104.1
Defensive rating
103.2
50.5%
Effective FG%
51.0%
50.0%
Opp. effective FG%
49.3%
16.2%
Turnover %
18.1%
32.1%
Off. rebound %
34.1%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.27
32.6%
3-point %
35.7%
46.3%
Assist %
57.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence107.9 · 108.6Defence104.1 · 103.2Shooting50.5% · 51.0%3-point %32.6% · 35.7%Ball care16.2% · 18.1%Off. rebounds32.1% · 34.1%Free throws0.32 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Trento   ■ Varese
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Trento wins
3
Varese wins
DateGameScore
04/11/17Varese v Trento93-66
15/04/17Varese v Trento83-80
18/12/16Trento v Varese84-68
06/03/16Varese v Trento96-82
15/11/15Trento v Varese89-63
02/03/15Trento v Varese78-65
09/11/14Varese v Trento70-76
Trentolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/18AReggiana82-68
10/02/18HCantu87-76
07/02/18HLokomotiv Kuban71-74
04/02/18ABrescia78-70
31/01/18ACedevita81-77
28/01/18HVenezia79-83
24/01/18HBuducnost105-106 OT
21/01/18AVirtus Bologna75-82
17/01/18ABuducnost66-79
13/01/18HAvellino83-94
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/18APistoia65-74
11/02/18HBrescia100-72
05/02/18ACantu89-85
29/01/18HOlimpia Milano76-72
21/01/18AVenezia75-63
14/01/18HTorino89-92
07/01/18ACremona72-80
02/01/18ABrindisi90-95 OT
26/12/17HVirtus Bologna85-90 OT
16/12/17AReggiana66-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trento
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW50%
HomeWWLLW60%
AwayWLLWW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %50%60%40%
Points / game77.978.976.9
Allowed / game77.375.679.1
Point differential+0.6+3.3-2.2
Avg total155.2154.5156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%50%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Varese
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL40%
HomeWLLWW60%
AwayLLWWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %40%60%20%
Points / game77.782.472.9
Allowed / game75.474.975.9
Point differential+2.2+7.5-3.0
Avg total153.1157.3148.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%40%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)33% (3)20% (5)
Overtime %10%10%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2015575%79.972.3+7.5
2 Venezia2015575%80.278.2+2.1
3 Avellino2014670%84.577.3+7.2
4 Brescia2014670%79.274.5+4.7
5 Torino2012860%80.780.8-0.1
6 Virtus Bologna2011955%79.475.9+3.5
7 Sassari20101050%84.282.0+2.1
8 Cremona20101050%82.881.0+1.7
9 Trento20101050%77.977.3+0.6
10 Cantu20101050%86.887.4-0.6
11 Reggiana2091145%75.576.5-0.9
12 Varese2081240%77.775.4+2.2
13 Pistoia2071335%74.880.0-5.2
14 Brindisi2061430%76.280.0-3.8
15 Capo d'Orlando2051525%68.782.2-13.4
16 Pesaro2041620%76.884.3-7.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Trento1724192282
Varese2011212274
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