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Pesaro vs Trento Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 25 Mar 2018
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 62-77
17-15 10-28 14-17 21-17
Position#15
Record5-17
FormLLLWL
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game84.5
Pesaro
Italy
vs
Trento 🏆
Italy
Position#5
Record11-11
FormLWWWL
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game77.7
ItalyLega ARound 23
Domestic2017-18
Meetings · Pesaro v Trento
10 Dec 2023
PES74
TRE87
02 Apr 2023
PES70
TRE84
31 Oct 2021
PES75
TRE79
17 Oct 2020
PES57
TRE71
09 Nov 2019
PES95
TRE101
23 Dec 2018
PES65
TRE77
25 Mar 2018
PES62
TRE77
27 Nov 2016
PES73
TRE78
09 Mar 2016
PES79
TRE72
21 Dec 2014
PES57
TRE76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pesaro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Trento winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
64-78
64
78
-14
H02/01
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
71-72
71
72
-1
A07/01
Lega A
Sassari
#6
W
88-85
88
85
+3
H13/01
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
70-88
70
88
-18
A21/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
L
96-104
96
104
-8
H27/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#7
L
67-85
67
85
-18
A03/02
Lega A
Torino
#12
L
90-95
90
95
-5
H11/02
Lega A
Cremona
#10
L
79-92
79
92
-13
A04/03
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
84-81 OT
84
81
+3
H11/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#14
L
83-93
83
93
-10
A18/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-20
18-17
20-15
13-26
15-23
19-17
18-22
19-10
26-23
21-18
18-23
23-21
20-21
20-16
13-27
17-24
22-22
23-26
20-25
31-31
12-30
20-21
15-15
20-19
24-25
19-24
24-26
23-20
26-33
15-21
18-20
20-18
18-16
13-29
24-17
15-8
17-23
19-29
24-17
23-24
166.5Avg total
79.2Scored
87.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)77.584.5162.0-7.123%
Season at home (11)78.882.3161.1-3.536%
Season away (11)76.186.8162.9-10.79%
Last 10 (10)79.287.3166.5-8.120%
Last 5 (5)80.689.2169.8-8.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)79.986.3166.2-6.523%
vs Similar (6)80.082.0162.0-2.033%
vs Weaker (2)70.077.0147.0-7.050%
This opponent (Trento) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrentoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#7
L
75-82
75
82
-7
A21/01
Lega A
Buducnost
#10
L
105-106 OT
105
106
-1
H24/01
Eurocup
Venezia
#2
L
79-83
79
83
-4
H28/01
Lega A
Cedevita
#18
W
81-77
81
77
+4
A31/01
Eurocup
Brescia
#3
W
78-70
78
70
+8
A04/02
Lega A
Lokomotiv Kuban
#1
L
71-74
71
74
-3
H07/02
Eurocup
Cantu
#9
W
87-76
87
76
+11
H10/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
W
82-68
82
68
+14
A03/03
Lega A
Varese
#8
W
82-74
82
74
+8
H10/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
80-88
80
88
-8
A17/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-21
19-23
21-23
22-15
22-20
19-26
23-11
18-25
22-23
18-21
19-20
20-19
28-23
14-11
24-16
15-27
20-22
11-12
20-9
27-27
14-19
13-17
18-21
26-17
16-22
22-20
26-17
23-17
27-11
15-19
23-26
17-12
17-20
24-11
19-21
22-22
20-18
16-20
25-23
19-27
161.8Avg total
82.0Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)78.277.7155.9+0.550%
Season at home (11)79.275.5154.6+3.764%
Season away (11)77.279.9157.1-2.736%
Last 10 (10)82.079.8161.8+2.250%
Last 5 (5)80.476.0156.4+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)68.482.4150.8-14.00%
vs Similar (18)81.880.7162.5+1.256%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)83.474.9158.3+8.686%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.3-4.3Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +0.1+0.1
PesaroTrento
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H02/01
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A07/01
Lega A
Sassari
#6
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H13/01
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A21/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H27/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#7
L
32-51
32
51
-19
A03/02
Lega A
Torino
#12
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H11/02
Lega A
Cremona
#10
L
41-54
41
54
-13
A04/03
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#16
L
31-45
31
45
-14
H11/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#14
L
36-52
36
52
-16
A18/03
Lega A
83.4Avg total
38.0Scored
45.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.342.882.0-3.533%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.540.378.7-1.840%-
Last 30 away (15)40.145.385.3-5.227%-
Last 10 (10)38.045.483.4-7.420%-
Last 5 (5)36.650.286.8-13.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)39.743.282.9-3.532%-
vs Similar (6)40.842.082.8-1.250%-
vs Weaker (2)30.040.570.5-10.50%-
This opponent (Trento) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#7
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A21/01
Lega A
Buducnost
#10
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H24/01
Eurocup
Venezia
#2
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H28/01
Lega A
Cedevita
#18
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A31/01
Eurocup
Brescia
#3
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A04/02
Lega A
Lokomotiv Kuban
#1
L
27-36
27
36
-9
H07/02
Eurocup
Cantu
#9
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H10/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A03/03
Lega A
Varese
#8
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H10/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A17/03
Lega A
74.9Avg total
37.0Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.338.577.8+0.847%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.536.678.1+4.957%-
Last 30 away (16)37.440.177.5-2.838%-
Last 10 (10)37.037.974.9-0.930%-
Last 5 (5)36.835.472.2+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)33.038.871.8-5.80%-
vs Similar (18)38.839.678.3-0.844%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)45.135.480.6+9.786%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 76.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.2 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.322.0
52.0%
51.6%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.46.4
29.9%
34.9%19.2
🏀 Free throws18.613.7
73.7%
73.0%13.7
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Trentotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trento: 78.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.221.2
49.1%
51.6%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.76.9
33.3%
34.9%20.7
🏀 Free throws21.815.1
69.3%
73.0%15.1
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Mar 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pesaro
LWLLLLLWLL
Trento
LWWWLWWLLL
#15
League position
#5
-14.5
Net rating
+1.4
102.1
Offensive rating
106.3
116.6
Defensive rating
104.9
49.6%
Effective FG%
49.4%
56.6%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
17.9%
Turnover %
16.1%
27.8%
Off. rebound %
32.2%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.34
29.9%
3-point %
33.3%
41.5%
Assist %
48.0%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence102.1 · 106.3Defence116.6 · 104.9Shooting49.6% · 49.4%3-point %29.9% · 33.3%Ball care17.9% · 16.1%Off. rebounds27.8% · 32.2%Free throws0.29 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Pesaro   ■ Trento
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Pesaro wins
6
Trento wins
DateGameScore
19/11/17Trento v Pesaro91-74
26/03/17Trento v Pesaro97-91
27/11/16Pesaro v Trento73-78
09/03/16Pesaro v Trento79-72
08/11/15Trento v Pesaro81-74
11/04/15Trento v Pesaro77-65
21/12/14Pesaro v Trento57-76
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/03/18ABrindisi83-93
11/03/18HCapo d'Orlando84-81 OT
04/03/18ACremona79-92
11/02/18HTorino90-95
03/02/18AVirtus Bologna67-85
27/01/18HReggiana96-104
21/01/18ABrescia70-88
13/01/18HSassari88-85
07/01/18AVenezia71-72
02/01/18HOlimpia Milano64-78
Trentolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/03/18AOlimpia Milano80-88
10/03/18HVarese82-74
03/03/18AReggiana82-68
10/02/18HCantu87-76
07/02/18HLokomotiv Kuban71-74
04/02/18ABrescia78-70
31/01/18ACedevita81-77
28/01/18HVenezia79-83
24/01/18HBuducnost105-106 OT
21/01/18AVirtus Bologna75-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pesaro
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL23%
HomeLWLLW36%
AwayLLLLL9%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %23%36%9%
Points / game77.578.876.1
Allowed / game84.582.386.8
Point differential-7.1-3.5-10.7
Avg total162.0161.1162.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)57% (7)0% (2)
Overtime %5%9%0%
Trento
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL50%
HomeWLLWW64%
AwayLLWWL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %50%64%36%
Points / game78.279.277.2
Allowed / game77.775.579.9
Point differential+0.5+3.7-2.7
Avg total155.9154.6157.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%45%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2318578%80.072.6+7.5
2 Venezia2317674%82.079.2+2.8
3 Brescia2215768%79.074.5+4.5
4 Avellino2315865%83.877.4+6.4
5 Virtus Bologna23131057%79.175.7+3.3
6 Sassari23121152%85.982.9+3.0
7 Cantu23121152%87.788.3-0.5
8 Torino23121152%80.782.2-1.6
9 Cremona22111150%83.381.5+1.8
10 Trento22111150%78.277.7+0.5
11 Reggiana21101148%75.776.4-0.7
12 Varese23101343%78.376.2+2.1
13 Pistoia2381535%76.081.2-5.2
14 Brindisi2371630%77.181.1-4.0
15 Pesaro2251723%77.584.5-7.1
16 Capo d'Orlando2351822%70.583.4-12.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pesaro1710142162
Trento1528171777
← all games of the day
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