PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Trento vs Trieste Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 07 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position#11
Record3-4
FormWLLLL
Points / game80.4
Allowed / game83.6
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.9/10
Around normal
6.8/10
Above normal
Position#7
Record4-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game94.4
Allowed / game88.4
ItalyLega ARound 21· BLM Group Arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Trento v Trieste
07 Mar 2027
TRE v TRI
upcoming
04 Jan 2026
TRE89
TRI87
15 Feb 2025
TRE82
TRI79
09 Nov 2024
TRE76
TRI68
08 Apr 2023
TRE85
TRI68
27 Mar 2022
TRE75
TRI74
04 Sep 2021
TRE83
TRI94
14 Apr 2021
TRE81
TRI69
11 Sep 2020
TRE79
TRI61
26 Dec 2019
TRE80
TRI53
17 Mar 2019
TRE82
TRI75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trento win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Trieste win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TrentoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrento
Date
Competition
Udine
#8
W
74-66
74
66
+8
71avg 75
A10/10
Lega A
Chemnitz
#13
L
80-88
80
88
-8
75avg 75
H13/10
Eurocup
Varese
#6
W
87-85
87
85
+2
83avg 75
H18/10
Lega A
JL Bourg
#24
L
79-90
79
90
-11
70avg 75
A21/10
Eurocup
Scafati
#15
L
81-87
81
87
-6
69avg 75
A24/10
Lega A
Buducnost
#10
W
94-92
94
92
+2
88avg 75
H27/10
Eurocup
Maxima Roma
#4
L
62-88
62
88
-26
51avg 75
H01/11
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#2
L
79-90
79
90
-11
no box
A03/11
Eurocup
Olimpia Milano
#3
L
86-88
86
88
-2
no box
A08/11
Lega A
Tofas
#6
L
86-96
86
96
-10
no box
H10/11
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-21
15-12
16-17
20-16
17-19
17-18
24-18
22-33
23-17
26-24
23-21
15-23
24-19
21-34
15-22
19-15
26-22
19-16
19-24
17-25
23-16
24-34
20-17
27-25
10-13
16-15
17-22
19-38
21-24
18-13
15-28
25-25
28-26
20-30
22-19
16-13
24-21
20-23
22-23
20-29
167.8Avg total
80.8Scored
87.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)80.483.6164.0-3.143%
Season at home (3)79.788.7168.3-9.033%
Season away (4)81.079.8160.8+1.250%
Last 10 (10)80.887.0167.8-6.230%
Last 5 (5)81.490.8172.2-9.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)83.487.8171.1-4.438%
vs Similar (12)82.585.6168.1-3.142%
vs Weaker (2)88.593.0181.5-4.50%
This opponent (Trieste) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TriesteItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrieste
Date
Competition
Brescia
#4
L
80-84
80
84
-4
73avg 75
H21/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
W
83-77
83
77
+6
79avg 75
H23/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
75-90
75
90
-15
67avg 75
A25/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#3
L
79-83
79
83
-4
64avg 75
A27/09
Lega A
Venezia
#9
L
82-87
82
87
-5
57avg 75
H04/10
Lega A
Varese
#6
L
84-85
84
85
-1
75avg 75
A10/10
Lega A
Cantu
#16
W
92-72
92
72
+20
88avg 75
H18/10
Lega A
Verona
#10
W
108-99
108
99
+9
101avg 75
H25/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
100-93
100
93
+7
no box
A02/11
Lega A
BC Roma
#13
W
116-100
116
100
+16
no box
H08/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
21-22
15-17
26-23
17-16
18-22
28-18
20-21
16-27
23-20
12-20
24-23
19-17
22-21
23-19
15-26
15-21
27-18
20-20
20-28
15-19
23-21
20-21
26-24
20-18
24-20
23-15
25-19
23-27
28-26
28-24
29-22
25-24
21-31
31-17
23-21
28-32
30-24
34-26
24-18
176.9Avg total
89.9Scored
87.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)94.488.4182.9+6.057%
Season at home (4)99.589.5189.0+10.075%
Season away (3)87.787.0174.7+0.733%
Last 10 (10)89.987.0176.9+2.950%
Last 5 (5)100.089.8189.8+10.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)81.788.7170.3-7.027%
vs Similar (11)86.084.5170.5+1.545%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)99.589.5189.0+10.075%
This opponent (Trento) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: -4.2-4.2Q4: +0.7+0.7
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: -4.2-4.2Q4: +0.7+0.7
TrentoTrieste
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TrentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Udine
#8
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A10/10
Lega A
Chemnitz
#13
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H13/10
Eurocup
Varese
#6
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H18/10
Lega A
JL Bourg
#24
L
45-53
45
53
-8
A21/10
Eurocup
Scafati
#15
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A24/10
Lega A
Buducnost
#10
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H27/10
Eurocup
Maxima Roma
#4
L
26-28
26
28
-2
H01/11
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#2
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A03/11
Eurocup
Olimpia Milano
#3
L
48-56
48
56
-8
A08/11
Lega A
Tofas
#6
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H10/11
Eurocup
83.2Avg total
41.5Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.044.185.1-3.233%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.244.283.4-4.923%-
Last 30 away (17)42.344.186.4-1.841%-
Last 10 (10)41.541.783.2-0.240%-
Last 5 (5)40.843.083.8-2.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)41.343.985.2-2.631%-
vs Similar (12)40.344.384.7-4.033%-
vs Weaker (2)42.045.087.0-3.050%-
This opponent (Trieste) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TriesteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#4
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H21/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H23/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A25/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#3
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A27/09
Lega A
Venezia
#9
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H04/10
Lega A
Varese
#6
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A10/10
Lega A
Cantu
#16
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H18/10
Lega A
Verona
#10
L
51-53
51
53
-2
H25/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
46-55
46
55
-9
A02/11
Lega A
BC Roma
#13
W
58-56
58
56
+2
H08/11
Lega A
88.1Avg total
43.3Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.045.389.3-1.243%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.645.089.6-0.444%-
Last 30 away (14)43.445.689.0-2.143%-
Last 10 (10)43.344.888.1-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)47.448.495.8-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)41.945.987.8-4.127%-
vs Similar (11)45.343.989.2+1.455%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)48.846.595.2+2.275%-
This opponent (Trento) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Trentotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trento: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.2 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.317.0
48.2%
54.3%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.310.4
33.2%
34.3%31.2
🏀 Free throws20.215.1
74.8%
74.6%15.1
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Triestetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trieste: 85.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.2 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.418.3
54.8%
54.3%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.210.9
34.9%
34.3%32.7
🏀 Free throws21.816.4
75.2%
74.6%16.4
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trento
LLLLWLLWLW
Trieste
WWWWLLLLWL
#11
League position
#7
-5.3
Net rating
+0.2
87.9
Offensive rating
100.8
93.1
Defensive rating
100.6
48.9%
Effective FG%
53.6%
50.4%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
17.4%
Turnover %
12.9%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.34
33.2%
3-point %
34.9%
66.8%
Assist %
56.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence87.9 · 100.8Defence93.1 · 100.6Shooting48.9% · 53.6%3-point %33.2% · 34.9%Ball care17.4% · 12.9%Free throws0.30 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Trento   ■ Trieste
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Trento wins
4
Trieste wins
DateGameScore
14/03/26Trieste v Trento84-78
04/01/26Trento v Trieste89-87
19/04/25Trieste v Trento88-94
15/02/25Trento v Trieste82-79
09/11/24Trento v Trieste76-68
08/04/23Trento v Trieste85-68
26/12/22Trieste v Trento74-68
27/03/22Trento v Trieste75-74
05/12/21Trieste v Trento70-69
10/09/21Trieste v Trento83-82
Trentolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/26HTofas86-96
08/11/26AOlimpia Milano86-88
03/11/26ABasket Napoli79-90
01/11/26HMaxima Roma62-88
27/10/26HBuducnost94-92
24/10/26AScafati81-87
21/10/26AJL Bourg79-90
18/10/26HVarese87-85
13/10/26HChemnitz80-88
10/10/26AUdine74-66
Triestelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26HBC Roma116-100
02/11/26AVirtus Bologna100-93
25/10/26HVerona108-99
18/10/26HCantu92-72
10/10/26AVarese84-85
04/10/26HVenezia82-87
27/09/26AOlimpia Milano79-83
25/05/26ABrescia75-90
23/05/26HBrescia83-77
21/05/26HBrescia80-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trento
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL43%
HomeLWL33%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %43%33%50%
Points / game80.479.781.0
Allowed / game83.688.779.8
Point differential-3.1-9.0+1.2
Avg total164.0168.3160.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Trieste
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW57%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%75%33%
Points / game94.499.587.7
Allowed / game88.489.587.0
Point differential+6.0+10.0+0.7
Avg total182.9189.0174.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna76186%96.486.0+10.4
2 Basket Napoli76186%93.786.6+7.1
3 Olimpia Milano75271%90.982.7+8.1
4 Maxima Roma75271%88.183.7+4.4
5 Treviso75271%90.788.6+2.1
6 Varese85362%89.187.1+2.0
7 Trieste74357%94.488.4+6.0
8 Udine74357%81.380.3+1.0
9 Venezia74357%87.988.6-0.7
10 Verona84450%88.590.8-2.2
11 Trento73443%80.483.6-3.1
12 Tortona72529%83.791.0-7.3
13 BC Roma82625%98.698.0+0.6
14 Reggiana82625%82.085.6-3.6
15 Scafati71614%81.692.0-10.4
16 Cantu7070%76.990.9-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.