PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Trieste vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 29 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 66-74
22-25 17-19 13-11 14-19
Position#10
Record6-6
FormWLWLL
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game90.2
vs
Position#1
Record10-2
FormLWLWL
Points / game86.8
Allowed / game78.8
ItalyLega ARound 13· PalaTrieste
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Trieste v Virtus Bologna
14 Feb 2027
TRI v VIR
upcoming
29 Dec 2025
TRI66
VIR74
22 Mar 2025
TRI85
VIR78
02 Apr 2023
TRI80
VIR78
02 Apr 2022
TRI81
VIR92
13 Dec 2020
TRI60
VIR77
17 Nov 2019
TRI85
VIR89
07 Oct 2018
TRI88
VIR92
19 Jun 2017
TRI66
VIR72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trieste winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TriesteItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrieste
Date
Competition
Igokea
#39
W
115-90
115
90
+25
107avg 79
H04/11
Champions League
Brescia
#4
L
75-98
75
98
-23
60avg 79
A09/11
Lega A
Tortona
#6
W
91-81
91
81
+10
84avg 79
H12/11
Lega A
Cremona
#12
L
94-113
94
113
-19
85avg 79
A15/11
Lega A
Galatasaray
#8
W
80-79
80
79
+1
72avg 79
A18/11
Champions League
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
86-82
86
82
+4
81avg 79
H23/11
Lega A
Sassari
#16
L
80-85
80
85
-5
72avg 79
A06/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
W
92-82 OT
92
82
+10
86avg 79
H13/12
Lega A
Wurzburg
#15
L
77-90
77
90
-13
61avg 79
H17/12
Champions League
Varese
#8
L
69-84
69
84
-15
65avg 79
A21/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-16
33-28
21-18
38-28
26-32
18-21
16-18
15-27
15-29
26-14
23-18
27-20
22-27
24-23
23-35
25-28
18-18
21-21
18-22
23-18
30-21
14-20
26-24
16-17
17-30
20-14
21-25
22-16
16-24
21-19
20-19
18-13
16-24
21-17
12-27
28-22
11-13
26-19
11-28
21-24
174.3Avg total
85.9Scored
88.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)85.290.2175.4-4.950%
Season at home (5)89.684.2173.8+5.480%
Season away (7)82.194.4176.6-12.329%
Last 10 (10)85.988.4174.3-2.550%
Last 5 (5)80.884.6165.4-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)81.186.5167.6-5.545%
vs Similar (12)85.291.3176.6-6.133%
vs Weaker (7)94.682.0176.6+12.671%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Cantu
#15
W
89-77
89
77
+12
84avg 79
A23/11
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#4
L
64-66
64
66
-2
64avg 79
A25/11
Euroleague
Dubai
#11
W
79-78
79
78
+1
69avg 79
H05/12
Euroleague
Tortona
#6
W
92-77
92
77
+15
92avg 79
H08/12
Lega A
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
74-79
74
79
-5
73avg 79
H12/12
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
63-74
63
74
-11
51avg 79
A14/12
Lega A
Partizan
#15
W
86-68
86
68
+18
80avg 79
A17/12
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#9
L
89-90
89
90
-1
91avg 79
A19/12
Euroleague
Brescia
#4
W
86-76
86
76
+10
85avg 79
H22/12
Lega A
Olympiacos
#1
L
94-97
94
97
-3
85avg 79
H26/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-15
23-20
23-21
19-21
17-15
14-15
16-20
17-16
26-17
13-27
15-12
25-22
20-20
28-15
32-22
12-20
24-21
18-15
15-14
17-29
11-21
24-14
14-23
14-16
24-19
16-18
23-15
23-16
15-23
31-22
24-25
19-20
18-21
23-17
25-15
20-23
25-23
16-27
19-27
34-20
159.8Avg total
81.6Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)86.878.8165.7+8.083%
Season at home (6)87.079.3166.3+7.783%
Season away (6)86.778.3165.0+8.383%
Last 10 (10)81.678.2159.8+3.450%
Last 5 (5)83.681.0164.6+2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)80.382.1162.4-1.836%
vs Similar (9)83.182.4165.6+0.756%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)89.379.6168.9+9.790%
This opponent (Trieste) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -4.3-4.3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -0.3-0.3
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -4.3-4.3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -0.3-0.3
TriesteVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TriesteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Igokea
#39
W
56-44
56
44
+12
H04/11
Champions League
Brescia
#4
L
44-53
44
53
-9
A09/11
Lega A
Tortona
#6
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H12/11
Lega A
Cremona
#12
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A15/11
Lega A
Galatasaray
#8
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A18/11
Champions League
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H23/11
Lega A
Sassari
#16
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A06/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H13/12
Lega A
Wurzburg
#15
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H17/12
Champions League
Varese
#8
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A21/12
Lega A
84.8Avg total
41.8Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.843.286.0-0.440%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.242.385.5+0.943%-
Last 30 away (16)42.444.086.4-1.638%-
Last 10 (10)41.843.084.8-1.230%-
Last 5 (5)38.440.278.6-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)39.443.683.0-4.39%-
vs Similar (12)43.545.188.6-1.650%-
vs Weaker (7)47.039.386.3+7.771%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cantu
#15
W
47-35
47
35
+12
A23/11
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#4
W
31-30
31
30
+1
A25/11
Euroleague
Dubai
#11
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H05/12
Euroleague
Tortona
#6
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H08/12
Lega A
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H12/12
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#2
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A14/12
Lega A
Partizan
#15
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A17/12
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A19/12
Euroleague
Brescia
#4
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H22/12
Lega A
Olympiacos
#1
L
41-50
41
50
-9
H26/12
Euroleague
79.5Avg total
41.0Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.039.681.6+2.463%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.138.481.4+4.779%-
Last 30 away (16)41.140.681.7+0.450%-
Last 10 (10)41.038.579.5+2.570%-
Last 5 (5)40.641.081.6-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)40.440.580.8-0.155%-
vs Similar (9)41.342.083.3-0.744%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)44.436.480.8+8.090%-
This opponent (Trieste) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Triestetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trieste: 85.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.518.4
53.3%
54.1%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.210.4
34.4%
34.6%31.2
🏀 Free throws21.417.1
79.9%
76.1%17.1
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.417.8
51.7%
54.1%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.310.8
39.6%
34.6%32.4
🏀 Free throws17.012.8
75.3%
76.1%12.8
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trieste
LLWLWWLWLW
Virtus Bologna
LWLWLLWWLW
#10
League position
#1
-3.2
Net rating
+5.0
108.3
Offensive rating
111.9
111.5
Defensive rating
106.9
52.6%
Effective FG%
55.1%
53.7%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
18.8%
Turnover %
18.0%
28.9%
Off. rebound %
29.3%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.28
34.4%
3-point %
39.6%
55.9%
Assist %
70.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence108.3 · 111.9Defence111.5 · 106.9Shooting52.6% · 55.1%3-point %34.4% · 39.6%Ball care18.8% · 18.0%Off. rebounds28.9% · 29.3%Free throws0.33 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Trieste   ■ Virtus Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Trieste wins
7
Virtus Bologna wins
Triestelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/25AVarese69-84
17/12/25HWurzburg77-90
13/12/25HReggiana92-82 OT
06/12/25ASassari80-85
23/11/25HOlimpia Milano86-82
18/11/25AGalatasaray80-79
15/11/25ACremona94-113
12/11/25HTortona91-81
09/11/25ABrescia75-98
04/11/25HIgokea115-90
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/12/25HOlympiacos94-97
22/12/25HBrescia86-76
19/12/25ACrvena zvezda89-90
17/12/25APartizan86-68
14/12/25AOlimpia Milano63-74
12/12/25HHapoel Tel-Aviv74-79
08/12/25HTortona92-77
05/12/25HDubai79-78
25/11/25AFenerbahce64-66
23/11/25ACantu89-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trieste
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL50%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayWLLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %50%80%29%
Points / game85.289.682.1
Allowed / game90.284.294.4
Point differential-4.9+5.4-12.3
Avg total175.4173.8176.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %8%20%0%
Virtus Bologna
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW83%
HomeLWWWW83%
AwayWWWWL83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %83%83%83%
Points / game86.887.086.7
Allowed / game78.879.378.3
Point differential+8.0+7.7+8.3
Avg total165.7166.3165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%67%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %8%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brescia1311285%90.282.8+7.4
2 Virtus Bologna1210283%86.878.8+8.0
3 Trapani1310377%90.186.3+3.8
4 Olimpia Milano139469%86.877.3+9.5
5 Venezia139469%93.888.4+5.5
6 Tortona139469%89.187.7+1.4
7 Trieste126650%85.290.2-4.9
8 Basket Napoli136746%87.187.1+0.0
9 Trento135838%84.482.8+1.5
10 Udine135838%80.281.1-0.8
11 Cremona135838%83.585.2-1.7
12 Sassari135838%86.388.5-2.2
13 Varese135838%82.286.8-4.7
14 Reggiana1331023%79.884.7-4.8
15 Cantu1331023%83.492.2-8.8
16 Treviso1321115%83.792.5-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Trieste2217131466
Virtus Bologna2519111974
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.