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Treviglio vs Cividale Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 77-79
14-23 23-21 18-15 22-20
Position#16
Record11-12
FormLLWLL
Points / game80.4
Allowed / game80.7
vs
Position#11
Record8-15
FormWWLLW
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game77.2
ItalySerie A2Round 24· PalaFacchetti
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Treviglio winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cividale winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TreviglioItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTreviglio
Date
Competition
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
L
76-85
76
85
-9
66avg 76
A10/12
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
L
72-74
72
74
-2
62avg 76
H17/12
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
W
92-72
92
72
+20
98avg 76
H23/12
Serie A2
Monferrato
#24
W
86-67
86
67
+19
84avg 76
A30/12
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
L
68-90
68
90
-22
58avg 76
H06/01
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
L
69-93
69
93
-24
62avg 76
A13/01
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
L
80-87
80
87
-7
77avg 76
A20/01
Serie A2
Latina
#23
W
84-76 OT
84
76
+8
no box
H28/01
Serie A2
Luiss Roma
#22
L
61-67
61
67
-6
44avg 76
A04/02
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
67-68
67
68
-1
58avg 76
A12/02
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-23
20-12
15-30
24-20
17-19
20-23
18-12
17-20
23-21
21-11
23-19
25-21
27-11
26-22
21-20
12-14
13-26
15-21
24-18
16-25
17-18
16-24
21-26
15-25
32-20
11-18
21-32
16-17
22-19
15-19
18-25
17-9
24-29
12-9
7-11
18-18
20-17
10-23
24-11
13-17
153.4Avg total
75.5Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)80.480.7161.1-0.348%
Season at home (11)83.282.5165.6+0.755%
Season away (12)77.879.1156.9-1.242%
Last 10 (10)75.577.9153.4-2.430%
Last 5 (5)72.278.2150.4-6.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)78.587.7166.2-9.233%
vs Similar ◀ (13)81.179.1160.2+2.046%
vs Weaker (11)79.973.9153.8+6.064%
This opponent (Cividale) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CividaleItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCividale
Date
Competition
Chiusi
#18
W
69-51
69
51
+18
64avg 66
A10/12
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
L
62-85
62
85
-23
55avg 66
H16/12
Serie A2
Udine
#6
L
59-92
59
92
-33
48avg 66
H23/12
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
L
81-91
81
91
-10
68avg 66
A30/12
Serie A2
Forli
#2
W
86-77
86
77
+9
80avg 66
H06/01
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
W
69-67
69
67
+2
58avg 66
A13/01
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
W
81-66
81
66
+15
80avg 66
H19/01
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
77-90
77
90
-13
71avg 66
A28/01
Serie A2
Cento
#12
L
83-86
83
86
-3
79avg 66
H04/02
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
W
73-68
73
68
+5
68avg 66
H09/02
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-10
17-11
17-12
22-18
10-16
15-26
23-26
14-17
23-29
10-24
8-18
18-21
25-14
22-29
23-19
11-29
13-20
25-19
28-17
20-21
11-16
19-18
18-21
21-12
25-13
21-11
15-22
20-20
20-29
20-21
15-26
22-14
29-18
14-28
15-15
25-25
23-22
12-19
13-13
25-14
151.3Avg total
74.0Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)74.077.2151.2-3.335%
Season at home (12)73.875.3149.1-1.642%
Season away (11)74.279.3153.5-5.127%
Last 10 (10)74.077.3151.3-3.350%
Last 5 (5)76.675.4152.0+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)74.081.4155.4-7.429%
vs Similar ◀ (21)74.375.6149.9-1.343%
vs Weaker (2)78.085.0163.0-7.00%
This opponent (Treviglio) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +0.7+0.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +0.7+0.7
TreviglioCividale
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TreviglioLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A10/12
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H17/12
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H23/12
Serie A2
Monferrato
#24
W
53-33
53
33
+20
A30/12
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
L
28-47
28
47
-19
H06/01
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A13/01
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A20/01
Serie A2
Latina
#23
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H28/01
Serie A2
Luiss Roma
#22
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A04/02
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A12/02
Serie A2
76.3Avg total
37.8Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.940.481.3+0.550%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.241.982.1-1.636%-
Last 30 away (16)41.539.180.6+2.462%-
Last 10 (10)37.838.576.3-0.740%-
Last 5 (5)35.839.275.0-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)39.542.582.0-3.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)40.940.781.6+0.254%-
vs Weaker (11)41.638.980.5+2.745%-
This opponent (Cividale) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CividaleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chiusi
#18
W
30-21
30
21
+9
A10/12
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
L
25-42
25
42
-17
H16/12
Serie A2
Udine
#6
L
33-53
33
53
-20
H23/12
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A30/12
Serie A2
Forli
#2
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H06/01
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A13/01
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
W
46-24
46
24
+22
H19/01
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A28/01
Serie A2
Cento
#12
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H04/02
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H09/02
Serie A2
76.0Avg total
36.7Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.339.275.5-3.033%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.837.972.7-3.127%-
Last 30 away (15)37.740.678.3-2.940%-
Last 10 (10)36.739.376.0-2.630%-
Last 5 (5)38.839.077.8-0.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)34.643.377.9-8.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)36.337.674.0-1.343%-
vs Weaker (2)41.542.083.5-0.550%-
This opponent (Treviglio) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Trevigliotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Treviglio: 72.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.015.3
49.4%
50.3%30.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.49.0
31.7%
34.1%27.0
🏀 Free throws19.515.2
77.9%
74.2%15.2
They take 59.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cividaletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cividale: 72.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.016.8
50.9%
50.3%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.69.1
34.2%
34.1%27.3
🏀 Free throws15.211.5
75.7%
74.2%11.5
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Treviglio
LLWLLLWWLL
Cividale
WLLWWWLLLW
#16
League position
#11
-5.8
Net rating
-2.4
100.1
Offensive rating
104.0
105.9
Defensive rating
106.5
48.5%
Effective FG%
51.1%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.1%
15.6%
Turnover %
17.8%
17.5%
Off. rebound %
26.2%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.26
31.7%
3-point %
34.2%
67.1%
Assist %
59.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence100.1 · 104.0Defence105.9 · 106.5Shooting48.5% · 51.1%3-point %31.7% · 34.2%Ball care15.6% · 17.8%Off. rebounds17.5% · 26.2%Free throws0.33 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Treviglio   ■ Cividale
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Treviglio wins
0
Cividale wins
No previous meetings.
Trevigliolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/24AVerona67-68
04/02/24ALuiss Roma61-67
28/01/24HLatina84-76 OT
20/01/24AJuVi Cremona80-87
13/01/24ATrapani69-93
06/01/24HVigevano68-90
30/12/23AMonferrato86-67
23/12/23HAgrigento92-72
17/12/23HBasket Torino72-74
10/12/23ASebastiani Rieti76-85
Cividalelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/24HTrapani73-68
04/02/24HCento83-86
28/01/24AFortitudo Bologna77-90
19/01/24HTrieste81-66
13/01/24ARimini69-67
06/01/24HForli86-77
30/12/23ANardo81-91
23/12/23HUdine59-92
16/12/23HAssigeco Piacenza62-85
10/12/23AChiusi69-51

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Treviglio
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL48%
HomeLLWLW55%
AwayWLLLL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %48%55%42%
Points / game80.483.277.8
Allowed / game80.782.579.1
Point differential-0.3+0.7-1.2
Avg total161.1165.6156.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%18%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)50% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %9%18%0%
Cividale
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW35%
HomeLWWLW42%
AwayLWLWL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %35%42%27%
Points / game74.073.874.2
Allowed / game77.275.379.3
Point differential-3.3-1.6-5.1
Avg total151.2149.1153.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%17%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)33% (6)100% (2)
Overtime %9%8%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trapani2422292%90.277.0+13.2
2 Forli2319483%80.073.2+6.8
3 Fortitudo Bologna2318578%77.271.0+6.1
4 Cantu2317674%88.580.0+8.6
5 Udine2316770%79.270.0+9.3
6 Basket Torino2316770%85.381.7+3.6
7 Verona2416867%75.872.3+3.5
8 Trieste2314961%79.878.4+1.4
9 Sebastiani Rieti23131057%81.379.4+1.9
10 JuVi Cremona23121152%86.886.2+0.7
11 Urania Milano24121250%83.084.0-1.0
12 Treviglio23111248%80.480.7-0.3
13 Assigeco Piacenza23101343%75.975.1+0.8
14 Rimini23101343%76.976.1+0.8
15 Cento23101343%74.078.4-4.3
16 Nardo24101442%75.581.0-5.5
17 Luiss Roma2491538%79.085.1-6.1
18 Cividale2381535%74.077.2-3.3
19 Vigevano2381535%78.082.1-4.1
20 Orzinuovi2481633%74.176.8-2.7
21 Agrigento2361726%74.980.8-5.9
22 Monferrato2351822%79.385.0-5.7
23 Chiusi2351822%64.974.1-9.2
24 Latina2341917%78.487.0-8.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Treviglio1423182277
Cividale2321152079
← all games of the day
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