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Cividale vs Forli Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 86-77
13-20 25-19 28-17 20-21
Position#11
Record4-13
FormLWLLL
Points / game72.5
Allowed / game77.8
vs
Position#2
Record14-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game73.9
ItalySerie A2Round 18· PalaGesteco
Other2023-24
Meetings · Cividale v Forli
26 Sep 2026
CIVI68
FORL85
07 Mar 2026
CIVI80
FORL84
21 May 2025
CIVI78
FORL81
13 May 2025
CIVI82
FORL74
11 May 2025
CIVI90
FORL85
29 Sep 2024
CIVI77
FORL69
06 Jan 2024
CIVI86
FORL77
11 Feb 2023
CIVI73
FORL77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cividale winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Forli winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CividaleItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCividale
Date
Competition
Rimini
#10
W
82-77 OT
82
77
+5
no box
H04/11
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
L
79-86
79
86
-7
70avg 63
A12/11
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
65-69
65
69
-4
56avg 63
H18/11
Serie A2
Cento
#12
L
67-78
67
78
-11
56avg 63
A26/11
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
71-80
71
80
-9
59avg 63
A01/12
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#21
L
71-75
71
75
-4
66avg 63
H06/12
Serie A2
Chiusi
#18
W
69-51
69
51
+18
64avg 63
A10/12
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
L
62-85
62
85
-23
55avg 63
H16/12
Serie A2
Udine
#6
L
59-92
59
92
-33
48avg 63
H23/12
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
L
81-91
81
91
-10
68avg 63
A30/12
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-24
17-20
16-13
17-10
15-19
20-23
22-24
22-20
10-15
13-17
19-19
23-18
17-24
15-22
22-17
13-15
13-16
22-28
19-21
17-15
19-24
17-16
12-22
23-13
13-10
17-11
17-12
22-18
10-16
15-26
23-26
14-17
23-29
10-24
8-18
18-21
25-14
22-29
23-19
11-29
149.0Avg total
70.6Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)72.577.8150.2-5.324%
Season at home (8)70.275.9146.1-5.625%
Season away (9)74.479.4153.9-5.022%
Last 10 (10)70.678.4149.0-7.820%
Last 5 (5)68.478.8147.2-10.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)70.583.8154.2-13.20%
vs Similar (23)75.176.4151.5-1.339%
vs Weaker (3)79.785.0164.7-5.30%
This opponent (Forli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ForliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormForli
Date
Competition
Verona
#8
L
82-96
82
96
-14
68avg 69
A04/11
Serie A2
Chiusi
#18
W
71-62
71
62
+9
60avg 69
A12/11
Serie A2
Udine
#6
W
87-84 OT
87
84
+3
no box
H19/11
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
L
62-79
62
79
-17
44avg 69
A26/11
Serie A2
Cento
#12
W
82-62
82
62
+20
82avg 69
H02/12
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
W
114-107 OT
114
107
+7
no box
A06/12
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
W
77-74 OT
77
74
+3
no box
H10/12
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#21
W
72-71
72
71
+1
60avg 69
A17/12
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
W
80-68
80
68
+12
73avg 69
A23/12
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
W
63-58
63
58
+5
53avg 69
H30/12
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-30
24-18
15-23
25-25
21-13
11-11
22-19
17-19
17-22
18-19
18-19
23-16
12-19
23-16
14-14
13-30
24-15
25-14
22-18
11-15
27-21
23-16
22-23
19-31
12-12
21-18
16-16
14-17
22-21
18-22
11-15
21-13
23-26
17-24
19-8
21-10
14-10
15-11
18-21
16-16
155.1Avg total
79.0Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)79.873.9153.7+5.882%
Season at home (8)81.870.4152.1+11.4100%
Season away (9)78.077.1155.1+0.967%
Last 10 (10)79.076.1155.1+2.980%
Last 5 (5)81.275.6156.8+5.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (16)74.273.7147.9+0.562%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)82.469.4151.8+13.1100%
This opponent (Cividale) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -4.8-4.8Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -1.2-1.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -4.8-4.8Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -1.2-1.2
CividaleForli
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CividaleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rimini
#10
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H04/11
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A12/11
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
23-32
23
32
-9
H18/11
Serie A2
Cento
#12
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A26/11
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A01/12
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#21
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H06/12
Serie A2
Chiusi
#18
W
30-21
30
21
+9
A10/12
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
L
25-42
25
42
-17
H16/12
Serie A2
Udine
#6
L
33-53
33
53
-20
H23/12
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A30/12
Serie A2
73.7Avg total
33.0Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.640.477.0-3.937%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.238.973.1-4.629%-
Last 30 away (16)38.641.880.4-3.244%-
Last 10 (10)33.040.773.7-7.720%-
Last 5 (5)34.239.874.0-5.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)32.243.275.5-11.00%-
vs Similar (23)36.839.476.2-2.643%-
vs Weaker (3)40.344.785.0-4.333%-
This opponent (Forli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ForliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Verona
#8
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A04/11
Serie A2
Chiusi
#18
W
32-24
32
24
+8
A12/11
Serie A2
Udine
#6
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H19/11
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A26/11
Serie A2
Cento
#12
W
49-29
49
29
+20
H02/12
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
W
50-37
50
37
+13
A06/12
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H10/12
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#21
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A17/12
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A23/12
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
W
29-21
29
21
+8
H30/12
Serie A2
74.3Avg total
38.5Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.035.874.8+3.167%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.133.271.3+4.980%-
Last 30 away (15)39.938.578.3+1.453%-
Last 10 (10)38.535.874.3+2.750%-
Last 5 (5)38.436.274.6+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (16)36.237.874.0-1.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)42.133.675.7+8.486%-
This opponent (Cividale) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cividaletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cividale: 68.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.117.2
47.6%
50.3%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.97.2
27.8%
34.1%21.6
🏀 Free throws15.412.3
79.9%
74.2%12.3
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Forlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Forli: 72.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.917.6
47.7%
50.3%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.27.9
34.1%
34.1%23.7
🏀 Free throws19.113.8
72.3%
74.2%13.8
They take 60.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cividale
LLLWLLLLLW
Forli
WWWWWWLWWL
#11
League position
#2
-14.9
Net rating
+2.6
97.6
Offensive rating
104.7
112.5
Defensive rating
102.1
45.2%
Effective FG%
49.0%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
48.5%
17.1%
Turnover %
16.3%
28.2%
Off. rebound %
29.4%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.32
27.8%
3-point %
34.1%
59.4%
Assist %
45.1%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence97.6 · 104.7Defence112.5 · 102.1Shooting45.2% · 49.0%3-point %27.8% · 34.1%Ball care17.1% · 16.3%Off. rebounds28.2% · 29.4%Free throws0.25 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)20% · 80%
■ Cividale   ■ Forli
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Cividale wins
2
Forli wins
DateGameScore
01/11/23Forli v Cividale84-78 OT
11/02/23Cividale v Forli73-77
20/11/22Forli v Cividale53-56
Cividalelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/23ANardo81-91
23/12/23HUdine59-92
16/12/23HAssigeco Piacenza62-85
10/12/23AChiusi69-51
06/12/23HOrzinuovi71-75
01/12/23AVerona71-80
26/11/23ACento67-78
18/11/23HFortitudo Bologna65-69
12/11/23ATrieste79-86
04/11/23HRimini82-77 OT
Forlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/23HAssigeco Piacenza63-58
23/12/23ARimini80-68
17/12/23AOrzinuovi72-71
10/12/23HFortitudo Bologna77-74 OT
06/12/23ANardo114-107 OT
02/12/23HCento82-62
26/11/23ATrieste62-79
19/11/23HUdine87-84 OT
12/11/23AChiusi71-62
04/11/23AVerona82-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cividale
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL24%
HomeWLLLL25%
AwayLLLWL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %24%25%22%
Points / game72.570.274.4
Allowed / game77.875.979.4
Point differential-5.3-5.6-5.0
Avg total150.2146.1153.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%12%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)25% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %12%12%11%
Forli
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW82%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %82%100%67%
Points / game79.881.878.0
Allowed / game73.970.477.1
Point differential+5.8+11.4+0.9
Avg total153.7152.1155.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%38%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (5)100% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %29%50%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trapani1817194%92.376.6+15.7
2 Fortitudo Bologna1815383%77.971.8+6.1
3 Forli1714382%79.873.9+5.8
4 Trieste1612475%79.975.4+4.5
5 Udine1813572%79.668.1+11.5
6 Cantu1712571%88.281.5+6.7
7 Basket Torino1712571%85.181.2+3.9
8 Verona1711665%77.674.4+3.3
9 Urania Milano1711665%83.683.5+0.1
10 Sebastiani Rieti1710759%81.979.1+2.9
11 JuVi Cremona1810856%87.885.6+2.3
12 Treviglio1810856%82.781.4+1.3
13 Assigeco Piacenza179853%78.575.1+3.5
14 Nardo178947%78.783.9-5.2
15 Vigevano1871139%78.882.3-3.5
16 Cento1761135%72.478.0-5.6
17 Luiss Roma1861233%79.787.7-8.0
18 Rimini1751229%75.878.2-2.4
19 Agrigento1851328%76.181.0-4.9
20 Cividale1741324%72.577.8-5.3
21 Monferrato1841422%79.684.2-4.7
22 Orzinuovi1731418%70.977.1-6.1
23 Chiusi1621412%63.174.7-11.6
24 Latina1821611%77.388.2-10.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cividale1325282086
Forli2019172177
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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