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Cantu vs Pistoia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 23 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 68-70
15-19 28-20 17-12 8-19
Position#4
Record22-5
FormWWWWL
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game69.5
Cantu
Italy
vs
Pistoia 🏆
Italy
Position#5
Record20-9
FormLWLLL
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game67.0
ItalySerie A2Round 4
Other2022-23
Meetings · Cantu v Pistoia
06 Jun 2023
KAN67
PIS75
29 May 2023
KAN82
PIS68
27 May 2023
KAN74
PIS73
23 Apr 2023
KAN68
PIS70
16 Mar 2022
KAN75
PIS59
15 Mar 2020
KAN v PIS
upcoming
30 Dec 2018
KAN100
PIS79
11 Mar 2018
KAN106
PIS85
15 Apr 2017
KAN73
PIS71
29 Feb 2016
KAN82
PIS74
07 Dec 2014
KAN76
PIS80
13 Oct 2013
KAN87
PIS77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cantu winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pistoia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CantuItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Assigeco Piacenza
#15
L
79-89
79
89
-10
H29/01
Serie A2
Agrigento
#11
L
74-79
74
79
-5
A05/02
Serie A2
Monferrato
#22
W
86-66
86
66
+20
H12/02
Serie A2
Latina
#19
W
90-62
90
62
+28
H27/02
Serie A2
Stella Azzurra
#18
W
85-71
85
71
+14
A04/03
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
W
97-71
97
71
+26
H19/03
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#25
W
75-66
75
66
+9
A26/03
Serie A2
Pistoia
#5
W
65-60
65
60
+5
A02/04
Serie A2
Cento
#9
W
100-84
100
84
+16
H08/04
Serie A2
Forli
#2
L
60-67
60
67
-7
A16/04
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-20
21-21
18-21
24-27
16-17
21-14
14-30
23-18
17-17
24-21
23-16
22-12
20-18
34-18
19-11
17-15
19-19
27-12
19-28
20-12
35-22
23-24
21-6
18-19
18-15
21-12
15-19
21-20
23-19
11-20
16-12
15-9
28-21
27-24
25-18
20-21
12-20
16-9
15-19
17-19
152.6Avg total
81.1Scored
71.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)80.369.5149.8+10.881%
Season at home (13)83.669.2152.8+14.492%
Season away (14)77.269.8147.0+7.471%
Last 10 (10)81.171.5152.6+9.670%
Last 5 (5)79.469.6149.0+9.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)72.069.7141.7+2.367%
vs Similar ◀ (6)66.766.3133.0+0.350%
vs Weaker (21)84.270.4154.6+13.890%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Severo
#20
W
85-56
85
56
+29
A05/02
Serie A2
Udine
#8
W
92-74
92
74
+18
H12/02
Serie A2
Chiusi
#23
L
62-79
62
79
-17
A19/02
Serie A2
Chieti Basket
#26
W
76-59
76
59
+17
A05/03
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#16
W
86-78 OT
86
78
+8
H19/03
Serie A2
Cento
#9
L
58-68
58
68
-10
H22/03
Serie A2
Rimini
#13
W
77-74
77
74
+3
A26/03
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
60-65
60
65
-5
H02/04
Serie A2
Cremona
#3
L
80-85
80
85
-5
A08/04
Serie A2
Treviglio
#6
L
61-75
61
75
-14
H16/04
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-17
18-12
32-10
16-17
31-13
24-26
17-17
20-18
12-24
22-21
17-16
11-18
19-20
22-6
22-15
13-18
16-18
14-22
23-19
19-13
16-14
16-10
12-19
14-25
17-26
29-28
23-13
8-7
19-23
20-11
12-16
9-15
18-19
21-25
19-21
22-20
12-14
15-18
14-25
20-18
145.0Avg total
73.7Scored
71.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)75.667.0142.6+8.669%
Season at home (15)74.363.3137.5+11.080%
Season away (14)77.071.1148.1+5.957%
Last 10 (10)73.771.3145.0+2.450%
Last 5 (5)67.273.4140.6-6.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (8)65.872.5138.2-6.812%
vs Weaker (22)78.165.6143.7+12.586%
This opponent (Cantu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +5.0+5.0Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: -1.7-1.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +5.0+5.0Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: -1.7-1.7
CantuPistoia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CantuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Assigeco Piacenza
#15
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H29/01
Serie A2
Agrigento
#11
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A05/02
Serie A2
Monferrato
#22
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H12/02
Serie A2
Latina
#19
W
54-36
54
36
+18
H27/02
Serie A2
Stella Azzurra
#18
W
46-31
46
31
+15
A04/03
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
W
58-46
58
46
+12
H19/03
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#25
W
39-27
39
27
+12
A26/03
Serie A2
Pistoia
#5
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A02/04
Serie A2
Cento
#9
W
55-45
55
45
+10
H08/04
Serie A2
Forli
#2
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A16/04
Serie A2
79.2Avg total
42.9Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.835.175.9+5.777%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.435.478.8+8.087%-
Last 30 away (15)38.234.873.0+3.467%-
Last 10 (10)42.936.379.2+6.670%-
Last 5 (5)42.837.280.0+5.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)31.336.067.3-4.767%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)34.036.270.2-2.233%-
vs Weaker (21)44.134.778.8+9.490%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Severo
#20
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A05/02
Serie A2
Udine
#8
W
55-39
55
39
+16
H12/02
Serie A2
Chiusi
#23
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A19/02
Serie A2
Chieti Basket
#26
W
41-26
41
26
+15
A05/03
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#16
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H19/03
Serie A2
Cento
#9
W
32-24
32
24
+8
H22/03
Serie A2
Rimini
#13
L
46-54
46
54
-8
A26/03
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H02/04
Serie A2
Cremona
#3
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A08/04
Serie A2
Treviglio
#6
L
27-32
27
32
-5
H16/04
Serie A2
74.7Avg total
38.0Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.334.272.5+4.160%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.531.169.7+7.480%-
Last 30 away (15)38.037.375.3+0.740%-
Last 10 (10)38.036.774.7+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)36.637.674.2-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (8)33.234.968.1-1.638%-
vs Weaker (22)40.134.074.0+6.168%-
This opponent (Cantu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cantutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cantu: 76.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.117.5
48.5%
50.9%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.89.1
35.3%
34.6%27.3
🏀 Free throws17.914.5
81.0%
73.9%14.5
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 75.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.518.5
48.1%
50.9%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.67.2
28.1%
34.6%21.6
🏀 Free throws21.916.4
74.9%
73.9%16.4
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Apr 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cantu
LWWWWWWWLL
Pistoia
LLLWLWWLWW
#4
League position
#5
-2.6
Net rating
-9.3
104.1
Offensive rating
107.0
106.7
Defensive rating
116.3
50.3%
Effective FG%
45.7%
48.8%
Opp. effective FG%
55.9%
18.8%
Turnover %
15.6%
26.8%
Off. rebound %
34.7%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.34
35.3%
3-point %
28.1%
64.7%
Assist %
49.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence104.1 · 107.0Defence106.7 · 116.3Shooting50.3% · 45.7%3-point %35.3% · 28.1%Ball care18.8% · 15.6%Off. rebounds26.8% · 34.7%Free throws0.29 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Cantu   ■ Pistoia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Cantu wins
2
Pistoia wins
DateGameScore
02/04/23Pistoia v Cantu60-65
16/03/22Cantu v Pistoia75-59
10/10/21Pistoia v Cantu68-82
17/11/19Pistoia v Cantu77-69
27/04/19Pistoia v Cantu74-84
30/12/18Cantu v Pistoia100-79
11/03/18Cantu v Pistoia106-85
04/11/17Pistoia v Cantu82-93
15/04/17Cantu v Pistoia73-71
19/12/16Pistoia v Cantu94-87 OT
Cantulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/04/23AForli60-67
08/04/23HCento100-84
02/04/23APistoia65-60
26/03/23AJuVi Cremona75-66
19/03/23HBasket Torino97-71
04/03/23AStella Azzurra85-71
27/02/23HLatina90-62
12/02/23HMonferrato86-66
05/02/23AAgrigento74-79
29/01/23HAssigeco Piacenza79-89
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/04/23HTreviglio61-75
08/04/23ACremona80-85
02/04/23HCantu60-65
26/03/23ARimini77-74
22/03/23HCento58-68
19/03/23HFortitudo Bologna86-78 OT
05/03/23AChieti Basket76-59
19/02/23AChiusi62-79
12/02/23HUdine92-74
05/02/23ASan Severo85-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cantu
Serie A2 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL81%
HomeLWWWW92%
AwayLWWWL71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %81%92%71%
Points / game80.383.677.2
Allowed / game69.569.269.8
Point differential+10.8+14.4+7.4
Avg total149.8152.8147.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+59%69%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %7%8%7%
Pistoia
Serie A2 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL69%
HomeWWLLL80%
AwayWLWWL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %69%80%57%
Points / game75.674.377.0
Allowed / game67.063.371.1
Point differential+8.6+11.0+5.9
Avg total142.6137.5148.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%60%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)0% (1)40% (5)
Overtime %3%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Baltur Cento440100%72.564.2+8.2
2 Cantu2722581%80.369.5+10.8
3 Forli2923679%75.969.6+6.3
4 Cremona2721678%79.070.3+8.7
5 Treviglio2720774%78.971.9+6.9
6 Basket Torino2820871%83.480.2+3.1
7 Pistoia2920969%75.667.0+8.6
8 Cento25151060%77.173.0+4.2
9 Udine30181260%76.574.9+1.6
10 Agrigento27151256%81.578.1+3.4
11 Urania Milano27151256%78.180.0-1.9
12 Cividale29151452%71.871.2+0.6
13 Rimini30141647%75.676.6-1.0
14 Assigeco Piacenza28131546%79.877.9+1.8
15 Fortitudo Bologna29131645%77.376.3+1.0
16 Pallacanestro Nardo29131645%81.883.8-2.0
17 Latina28121643%74.976.9-2.0
18 San Severo30121840%71.076.8-5.8
19 Chiusi28111739%72.274.1-1.9
20 Mantova28111739%74.277.0-2.8
21 Ferrara2391439%76.081.5-5.5
22 Monferrato27101737%75.677.9-2.3
23 Trapani27101737%69.176.3-7.3
24 Ravenna30102033%74.279.1-4.9
25 Stella Azzurra2891932%76.280.9-4.7
26 Chieti Basket2992031%72.576.1-3.7
27 JuVi Cremona2882029%74.179.6-5.4
28 NPC Rieti2772026%67.374.1-6.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 28 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cantu152817868
Pistoia1920121970
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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