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Treviso vs Brescia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 86-84
26-13 24-21 21-28 15-22
Position#11
Record6-7
FormWWWLL
Points / game85.8
Allowed / game86.8
Treviso 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#2
Record11-2
FormLWWWL
Points / game90.4
Allowed / game85.4
ItalyLega ARound 14· PalaVerde
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Treviso v Brescia
05 Oct 2025
TRV100
BRE102
04 Jan 2025
TRV86
BRE84
07 Oct 2023
TRV71
BRE99
05 Nov 2022
TRV99
BRE92
27 Dec 2021
TRV69
BRE94
07 Sep 2021
TRV90
BRE86
11 Oct 2020
TRV87
BRE94
17 Nov 2019
TRV72
BRE68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Treviso winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brescia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TrevisoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTreviso
Date
Competition
Trento
#4
L
76-83
76
83
-7
56avg 74
H20/10
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
95-100
95
100
-5
84avg 74
H26/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
97-104
97
104
-7
90avg 74
A03/11
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
104-75
104
75
+29
99avg 74
H10/11
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
W
84-69
84
69
+15
78avg 74
A17/11
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
91-88
91
88
+3
81avg 74
H30/11
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
95-90
95
90
+5
90avg 74
A07/12
Lega A
Cremona
#13
W
87-84
87
84
+3
73avg 74
H15/12
Lega A
Sassari
#10
L
94-96
94
96
-2
89avg 74
A22/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
79-89
79
89
-10
60avg 74
H29/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-23
16-25
24-18
20-17
29-27
28-25
12-22
26-26
27-27
27-21
21-36
22-20
26-17
9-28
35-14
34-16
15-15
22-22
18-16
29-16
18-25
18-17
21-18
34-28
22-32
24-14
22-26
27-18
22-22
24-25
21-19
20-18
29-22
22-23
18-29
25-22
20-24
16-25
24-23
19-17
178.0Avg total
90.2Scored
87.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)85.886.8172.5-1.046%
Season at home (7)86.186.6172.7-0.443%
Season away (6)85.387.0172.3-1.750%
Last 10 (10)90.287.8178.0+2.450%
Last 5 (5)89.289.4178.6-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)77.888.9166.7-11.217%
vs Similar (16)86.885.5172.2+1.262%
vs Weaker (2)97.581.5179.0+16.0100%
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
Cremona
#13
W
100-89
100
89
+11
99avg 83
A10/11
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
85-78
85
78
+7
76avg 83
A17/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
98-97
98
97
+1
88avg 83
H01/12
Lega A
Bellarmine
#362
L
66-94
66
94
-28
no box
A07/12
NCAA
Trieste
#6
W
69-65
69
65
+4
56avg 83
A08/12
Lega A
Cleveland State
#95
L
37-103
37
103
-66
no box
A14/12
NCAA
Basket Napoli
#14
W
97-84
97
84
+13
95avg 83
H15/12
Lega A
Venezia
#8
W
90-89
90
89
+1
85avg 83
A22/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
90-83
90
83
+7
84avg 83
H29/12
Lega A
Austin Peay
#275
L
46-93
46
93
-47
no box
A29/12
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-21
29-20
31-26
15-22
29-23
20-22
15-21
21-12
27-19
19-32
18-21
34-25
0-0
29-36
0-0
37-58
14-17
21-9
18-8
16-31
0-0
26-51
0-0
11-52
31-21
19-23
29-24
18-16
24-14
19-31
20-12
27-32
29-14
22-27
24-24
15-18
0-0
21-39
0-0
25-54
165.3Avg total
77.8Scored
87.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)90.485.4175.8+5.085%
Season at home (6)95.290.0185.2+5.283%
Season away (7)86.381.4167.7+4.986%
Last 10 (10)77.887.5165.3-9.770%
Last 5 (5)72.090.4162.4-18.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)49.596.5146.0-47.00%
vs Similar (11)80.685.5166.1-4.836%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)92.182.0174.1+10.193%
This opponent (Treviso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-13-6+0+6+13Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +5.0+5.0Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: -6.5-6.5Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +5.8+5.8Q4: -10.1-10.1
-13-6+0+6+13Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +5.0+5.0Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: -6.5-6.5Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +5.8+5.8Q4: -10.1-10.1
TrevisoBrescia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TrevisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#4
L
32-48
32
48
-16
H20/10
Lega A
Trieste
#6
W
57-52
57
52
+5
H26/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
54-48
54
48
+6
A03/11
Lega A
Scafati
#15
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H10/11
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A17/11
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H30/11
Lega A
Tortona
#9
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A07/12
Lega A
Cremona
#13
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H15/12
Lega A
Sassari
#10
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A22/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H29/12
Lega A
88.9Avg total
43.0Scored
45.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.443.085.4-0.650%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.443.784.1-3.238%-
Last 30 away (14)44.642.286.8+2.464%-
Last 10 (10)43.045.988.9-2.930%-
Last 5 (5)43.045.888.8-2.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)40.843.684.3-2.858%-
vs Similar (16)44.442.586.9+1.950%-
vs Weaker (2)35.543.579.0-8.00%-
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cremona
#13
W
54-41
54
41
+13
A10/11
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A17/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
46-51
46
51
-5
H01/12
Lega A
Bellarmine
#362
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A07/12
NCAA
Trieste
#6
W
35-26
35
26
+9
A08/12
Lega A
Cleveland State
#95
L
26-51
26
51
-25
A14/12
NCAA
Basket Napoli
#14
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H15/12
Lega A
Venezia
#8
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A22/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H29/12
Lega A
Austin Peay
#275
L
21-39
21
39
-18
A29/12
NCAA
82.3Avg total
40.4Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.542.183.6-0.643%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.742.687.3+2.162%-
Last 30 away (17)39.041.780.7-2.729%-
Last 10 (10)40.441.982.3-1.550%-
Last 5 (5)38.244.082.2-5.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)24.843.568.2-18.80%-
vs Similar (11)40.244.384.5-4.118%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)46.940.187.0+6.773%-
This opponent (Treviso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Trevisotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Treviso: 89.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.022.1
53.9%
52.9%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.410.2
40.2%
35.8%30.6
🏀 Free throws19.714.6
74.1%
76.8%14.6
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 86.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.8 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.221.8
54.2%
52.9%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.28.1
36.5%
35.8%24.3
🏀 Free throws26.218.8
71.8%
76.8%18.8
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Treviso
LLWWWWWLLL
Brescia
LWWWLWLWWW
#11
League position
#2
+3.4
Net rating
+5.1
116.8
Offensive rating
115.4
113.4
Defensive rating
110.3
56.3%
Effective FG%
54.4%
57.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.7%
16.1%
Turnover %
16.6%
31.8%
Off. rebound %
34.1%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.42
40.2%
3-point %
36.5%
47.7%
Assist %
52.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence116.8 · 115.4Defence113.4 · 110.3Shooting56.3% · 54.4%3-point %40.2% · 36.5%Ball care16.1% · 16.6%Off. rebounds31.8% · 34.1%Free throws0.30 · 0.42Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Treviso   ■ Brescia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Treviso wins
5
Brescia wins
DateGameScore
14/01/24Brescia v Treviso88-67
07/10/23Treviso v Brescia71-99
22/01/23Brescia v Treviso80-81
05/11/22Treviso v Brescia99-92
13/03/22Brescia v Treviso101-78
27/12/21Treviso v Brescia69-94
07/09/21Treviso v Brescia90-86
05/09/21Brescia v Treviso78-84
31/01/21Brescia v Treviso91-94
11/10/20Treviso v Brescia87-94
Trevisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/24HOlimpia Milano79-89
22/12/24ASassari94-96
15/12/24HCremona87-84
07/12/24ATortona95-90
30/11/24HPistoia91-88
17/11/24ABasket Napoli84-69
10/11/24HScafati104-75
03/11/24AVirtus Bologna97-104
26/10/24HTrieste95-100
20/10/24HTrento76-83
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/24AAustin Peay46-93
29/12/24HPistoia90-83
22/12/24AVenezia90-89
15/12/24HBasket Napoli97-84
14/12/24ACleveland State37-103
08/12/24ATrieste69-65
07/12/24ABellarmine66-94
01/12/24HVirtus Bologna98-97
17/11/24ATortona85-78
10/11/24ACremona100-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Treviso
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL46%
HomeLWWWL43%
AwayLLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %46%43%50%
Points / game85.886.185.3
Allowed / game86.886.687.0
Point differential-1.0-0.4-1.7
Avg total172.5172.7172.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%14%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)67% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Brescia
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW85%
HomeWLWWW83%
AwayWWWWW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %85%83%86%
Points / game90.495.286.3
Allowed / game85.490.081.4
Point differential+5.0+5.2+4.9
Avg total175.8185.2167.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%33%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (1)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trento1311285%90.683.5+7.1
2 Brescia1311285%90.485.4+5.0
3 Trapani1310377%94.686.2+8.4
4 Virtus Bologna139469%86.782.1+4.6
5 Reggiana139469%80.577.2+3.4
6 Tortona138562%86.583.6+2.8
7 Olimpia Milano138562%86.384.5+1.8
8 Trieste137654%84.983.5+1.4
9 Sassari136746%83.384.2-0.8
10 Treviso136746%85.886.8-1.0
11 Venezia135838%76.576.9-0.5
12 Scafati134931%85.993.1-7.2
13 Varese134931%89.397.5-8.2
14 Pistoia1331023%82.186.5-4.4
15 Cremona1321115%76.581.2-4.6
16 Basket Napoli131128%81.889.5-7.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Treviso2624211586
Brescia1321282284
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