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Brescia vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 17:15
Final 98-97
27-19 19-32 18-21 34-25
Position#2
Record6-2
FormWLLWW
Points / game91.4
Allowed / game86.5
Brescia 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#1
Record7-1
FormLLWLL
Points / game87.8
Allowed / game82.5
ItalyLega ARound 9· PalaLeonessa
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Brescia v Virtus Bologna
09 Feb 2026
BRE79
VIR87
17 Jun 2025
BRE74
VIR96
01 Dec 2024
BRE98
VIR97
25 Mar 2024
BRE73
VIR87
18 Dec 2022
BRE77
VIR89
14 Nov 2021
BRE74
VIR103
04 Oct 2020
BRE80
VIR81
26 Oct 2019
BRE80
VIR82
24 Apr 2019
BRE77
VIR75
18 Mar 2018
BRE66
VIR70
16 Feb 2018
BRE97
VIR83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brescia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
86-96
86
96
-10
80avg 80
H30/05
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
118-94
118
94
+24
111avg 80
H29/09
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
95-93
95
93
+2
91avg 80
A06/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
85-88
85
88
-3
80avg 80
A13/10
Lega A
Sassari
#10
W
94-87
94
87
+7
94avg 80
H20/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
W
80-68
80
68
+12
71avg 80
A26/10
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
74-95
74
95
-21
69avg 80
H02/11
Lega A
Evansville
#319
L
49-96
49
96
-47
no box
A09/11
NCAA
Cremona
#13
W
100-89
100
89
+11
99avg 80
A10/11
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
85-78
85
78
+7
76avg 80
A17/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-32
18-24
25-21
22-19
29-24
28-28
36-23
25-19
21-24
14-20
33-23
27-26
24-27
21-20
18-25
22-16
17-21
28-13
27-16
22-37
19-20
22-9
19-19
20-20
17-32
19-22
22-23
16-18
0-0
23-48
0-0
26-48
25-21
29-20
31-26
15-22
29-23
20-22
15-21
21-12
175.0Avg total
86.6Scored
88.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)91.486.5177.9+4.975%
Season at home (3)95.392.0187.3+3.367%
Season away (5)89.083.2172.2+5.880%
Last 10 (10)86.688.4175.0-1.860%
Last 5 (5)77.685.2162.8-7.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)49.096.0145.0-47.00%
vs Similar ◀ (8)78.886.1164.9-7.412%
vs Weaker (20)93.082.2175.2+10.785%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
90-99
90
99
-9
87avg 79
A31/10
Euroleague
Treviso
#11
W
104-97
104
97
+7
105avg 79
H03/11
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
85-81
85
81
+4
88avg 79
H06/11
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
W
84-77
84
77
+7
80avg 79
H08/11
Euroleague
Varese
#12
L
95-104
95
104
-9
99avg 79
A10/11
Lega A
Real Madrid
#8
L
86-98
86
98
-12
76avg 79
A12/11
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#3
L
77-82
77
82
-5
67avg 79
H15/11
Euroleague
Sassari
#10
W
95-85
95
85
+10
97avg 79
H17/11
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#1
L
82-86
82
86
-4
75avg 79
H20/11
Euroleague
Paris
#9
L
78-81
78
81
-3
69avg 79
A28/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-21
21-23
32-22
23-33
27-27
21-27
36-21
20-22
12-18
32-22
25-18
16-23
25-17
20-22
15-16
24-22
22-24
22-27
30-25
21-28
25-28
24-25
18-27
19-18
18-19
25-27
15-14
19-22
21-18
16-23
37-23
21-21
22-23
16-14
23-19
21-30
24-21
14-23
23-25
17-12
176.6Avg total
87.6Scored
89.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)87.882.5170.2+5.288%
Season at home (4)92.082.8174.8+9.2100%
Season away (4)83.582.2165.8+1.275%
Last 10 (10)87.689.0176.6-1.440%
Last 5 (5)83.686.4170.0-2.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)77.984.7162.6-6.914%
vs Similar ◀ (11)81.383.9165.2-2.627%
vs Weaker (11)87.681.6169.3+6.082%
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: +4.4+4.4Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -3.0-3.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: +4.4+4.4Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -3.0-3.0
BresciaVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
39-56
39
56
-17
H30/05
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
57-52
57
52
+5
H29/09
Lega A
Scafati
#15
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A06/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A13/10
Lega A
Sassari
#10
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H20/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A26/10
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
36-54
36
54
-18
H02/11
Lega A
Evansville
#319
L
23-48
23
48
-25
A09/11
NCAA
Cremona
#13
W
54-41
54
41
+13
A10/11
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A17/11
Lega A
87.4Avg total
42.4Scored
45.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.341.786.0+2.647%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.340.985.1+3.457%-
Last 30 away (16)44.242.486.7+1.838%-
Last 10 (10)42.445.087.4-2.650%-
Last 5 (5)40.643.484.0-2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)23.048.071.0-25.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)39.845.685.4-5.912%-
vs Weaker (20)47.940.288.1+7.665%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A31/10
Euroleague
Treviso
#11
L
48-54
48
54
-6
H03/11
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H06/11
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H08/11
Euroleague
Varese
#12
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A10/11
Lega A
Real Madrid
#8
L
49-53
49
53
-4
A12/11
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#3
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H15/11
Euroleague
Sassari
#10
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H17/11
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#1
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H20/11
Euroleague
Paris
#9
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A28/11
Euroleague
87.0Avg total
42.1Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.440.883.3+1.650%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.638.579.1+2.157%-
Last 30 away (16)44.042.986.9+1.144%-
Last 10 (10)42.144.987.0-2.830%-
Last 5 (5)41.044.285.2-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)40.442.783.1-2.329%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)39.540.880.3-1.445%-
vs Weaker (11)45.840.386.1+5.564%-
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 87.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.820.7
54.8%
52.9%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.09.0
40.9%
35.8%27.0
🏀 Free throws24.618.7
76.0%
76.8%18.7
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 87.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.321.6
57.9%
52.9%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.98.9
38.9%
35.8%26.7
🏀 Free throws23.817.1
71.8%
76.8%17.1
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brescia
WWLLWWLWWL
Virtus Bologna
LLWLLLWWWL
#2
League position
#1
+2.2
Net rating
-1.3
118.2
Offensive rating
116.4
116.1
Defensive rating
117.8
57.2%
Effective FG%
58.1%
55.9%
Opp. effective FG%
57.0%
16.4%
Turnover %
16.5%
30.0%
Off. rebound %
25.9%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.40
40.9%
3-point %
38.9%
55.6%
Assist %
71.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence118.2 · 116.4Defence116.1 · 117.8Shooting57.2% · 58.1%3-point %40.9% · 38.9%Ball care16.4% · 16.5%Off. rebounds30.0% · 25.9%Free throws0.41 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Brescia   ■ Virtus Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Brescia wins
8
Virtus Bologna wins
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/11/24ATortona85-78
10/11/24ACremona100-89
09/11/24AEvansville49-96
02/11/24HTrapani74-95
26/10/24AReggiana80-68
20/10/24HSassari94-87
13/10/24AOlimpia Milano85-88
06/10/24AScafati95-93
29/09/24HVarese118-94
30/05/24HOlimpia Milano86-96
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/11/24AParis78-81
20/11/24HFenerbahce82-86
17/11/24HSassari95-85
15/11/24HPanathinaikos77-82
12/11/24AReal Madrid86-98
10/11/24AVarese95-104
08/11/24HMaccabi Tel Aviv84-77
06/11/24HTortona85-81
03/11/24HTreviso104-97
31/10/24AOlimpia Milano90-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brescia
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW75%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWLWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %75%67%80%
Points / game91.495.389.0
Allowed / game86.592.083.2
Point differential+4.9+3.3+5.8
Avg total177.9187.3172.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%33%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Virtus Bologna
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW88%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %88%100%75%
Points / game87.892.083.5
Allowed / game82.582.882.2
Point differential+5.2+9.2+1.2
Avg total170.2174.8165.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trento880100%88.277.0+11.2
2 Virtus Bologna87188%87.882.5+5.2
3 Trapani97278%92.284.0+8.2
4 Brescia86275%91.486.5+4.9
5 Olimpia Milano96367%84.883.8+1.0
6 Trieste85362%89.286.2+3.0
7 Reggiana85362%78.076.1+1.9
8 Tortona95456%84.682.7+1.9
9 Venezia94544%74.374.1+0.2
10 Treviso94544%84.485.4-1.0
11 Scafati83538%84.888.2-3.5
12 Pistoia93633%78.382.2-3.9
13 Sassari82625%81.686.5-4.9
14 Varese92722%93.1101.7-8.6
15 Cremona91811%76.181.9-5.8
16 Basket Napoli8080%79.888.8-9.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brescia2719183498
Virtus Bologna1932212597
← all games of the day
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