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Brescia vs Basket Napoli Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 97-84
31-21 19-23 29-24 18-16
Position#2
Record8-2
FormWWLWL
Points / game89.8
Allowed / game85.4
Brescia 🏆
Italy
vs
Basket Napoli
Italy
Position#14
Record0-10
FormLLLLL
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game88.4
ItalyLega ARound 11· PalaLeonessa
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Brescia v Basket Napoli
04 Apr 2026
BRE100
NAP85
15 Dec 2024
BRE97
NAP84
15 Feb 2024
BRE74
NAP80
15 Oct 2023
BRE80
NAP71
04 Dec 2022
BRE95
NAP72
17 Oct 2021
BRE98
NAP88
11 Sep 2021
BRE77
NAP87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brescia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Basket Napoli winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
Sassari
#10
W
94-87
94
87
+7
94avg 79
H20/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
W
80-68
80
68
+12
71avg 79
A26/10
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
74-95
74
95
-21
69avg 79
H02/11
Lega A
Evansville
#319
L
49-96
49
96
-47
no box
A09/11
NCAA
Cremona
#13
W
100-89
100
89
+11
99avg 79
A10/11
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
85-78
85
78
+7
76avg 79
A17/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
98-97
98
97
+1
88avg 79
H01/12
Lega A
Bellarmine
#362
L
66-94
66
94
-28
no box
A07/12
NCAA
Trieste
#6
W
69-65
69
65
+4
56avg 79
A08/12
Lega A
Cleveland State
#95
L
37-103
37
103
-66
no box
A14/12
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-21
28-13
27-16
22-37
19-20
22-9
19-19
20-20
17-32
19-22
22-23
16-18
0-0
23-48
0-0
26-48
25-21
29-20
31-26
15-22
29-23
20-22
15-21
21-12
27-19
19-32
18-21
34-25
0-0
29-36
0-0
37-58
14-17
21-9
18-8
16-31
0-0
26-51
0-0
11-52
162.4Avg total
75.2Scored
87.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)89.885.4175.2+4.480%
Season at home (4)96.093.2189.2+2.875%
Season away (6)85.780.2165.8+5.583%
Last 10 (10)75.287.2162.4-12.060%
Last 5 (5)71.087.4158.4-16.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)50.797.7148.3-47.00%
vs Similar (10)79.785.1164.8-5.430%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)91.783.8175.4+7.981%
This opponent (Basket Napoli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket NapoliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNapoli
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#16
L
82-88
82
88
-6
67avg 75
A29/09
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
83-92
83
92
-9
70avg 75
H06/10
Lega A
Sassari
#10
L
76-94
76
94
-18
62avg 75
A13/10
Lega A
Cremona
#13
L
81-87
81
87
-6
77avg 75
H19/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
82-89
82
89
-7
73avg 75
A26/10
Lega A
Venezia
#8
L
80-81
80
81
-1
72avg 75
H03/11
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
85-95
85
95
-10
85avg 75
A10/11
Lega A
Treviso
#11
L
69-84
69
84
-15
69avg 75
H17/11
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
83-90
83
90
-7
72avg 75
A01/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
76-84
76
84
-8
61avg 75
H08/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-29
19-27
20-10
19-22
24-20
22-22
21-29
16-21
16-28
22-22
7-27
31-17
21-24
23-19
21-14
16-30
13-20
22-19
26-27
21-23
26-21
20-15
19-15
15-30
22-24
23-31
20-8
20-32
15-15
22-22
16-18
16-29
14-22
19-16
26-23
24-29
17-18
11-23
23-17
25-26
168.1Avg total
79.7Scored
88.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)79.788.4168.1-8.70%
Season at home (5)77.885.6163.4-7.80%
Season away (5)81.691.2172.8-9.60%
Last 10 (10)79.788.4168.1-8.70%
Last 5 (5)78.686.8165.4-8.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)82.289.4171.6-7.210%
vs Similar (14)84.691.5176.1-6.929%
vs Weaker (4)85.579.5165.0+6.075%
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-13-7+0+7+13Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -10.5-10.5Q4: -5.6-5.6
-13-7+0+7+13Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -10.5-10.5Q4: -5.6-5.6
BresciaBasket Napoli
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#10
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H20/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A26/10
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
36-54
36
54
-18
H02/11
Lega A
Evansville
#319
L
23-48
23
48
-25
A09/11
NCAA
Cremona
#13
W
54-41
54
41
+13
A10/11
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A17/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
46-51
46
51
-5
H01/12
Lega A
Bellarmine
#362
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A07/12
NCAA
Trieste
#6
W
35-26
35
26
+9
A08/12
Lega A
Cleveland State
#95
L
26-51
26
51
-25
A14/12
NCAA
79.9Avg total
38.4Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.642.884.4-1.137%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.842.485.2+0.546%-
Last 30 away (17)40.743.183.8-2.429%-
Last 10 (10)38.441.579.9-3.150%-
Last 5 (5)37.041.878.8-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)26.045.071.0-19.00%-
vs Similar (10)39.944.284.1-4.320%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)46.442.088.4+4.456%-
This opponent (Basket Napoli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket NapoliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#16
L
43-56
43
56
-13
A29/09
Lega A
Trieste
#6
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H06/10
Lega A
Sassari
#10
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A13/10
Lega A
Cremona
#13
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H19/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A26/10
Lega A
Venezia
#8
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H03/11
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
45-55
45
55
-10
A10/11
Lega A
Treviso
#11
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H17/11
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A01/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
28-41
28
41
-13
H08/12
Lega A
83.2Avg total
39.5Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.544.384.8-3.830%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.543.885.3-2.350%-
Last 30 away (16)39.744.884.4-5.112%-
Last 10 (10)39.543.783.2-4.230%-
Last 5 (5)37.841.479.2-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)39.443.983.3-4.530%-
vs Similar (14)41.945.487.3-3.629%-
vs Weaker (4)42.043.085.0-1.025%-
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 88.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.1 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.422.0
53.1%
52.9%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.18.5
40.3%
35.8%25.5
🏀 Free throws25.219.1
75.8%
76.8%19.1
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Basket Napolitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basket Napoli: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.718.1
53.7%
52.9%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.29.3
31.8%
35.8%27.9
🏀 Free throws20.314.8
72.9%
76.8%14.8
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brescia
LWLWWWLLWW
Basket Napoli
LLLLLLLLLL
#2
League position
#14
+5.7
Net rating
-11.7
119.9
Offensive rating
105.7
114.2
Defensive rating
117.3
55.6%
Effective FG%
51.0%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
58.8%
15.4%
Turnover %
18.1%
34.8%
Off. rebound %
28.6%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.32
40.3%
3-point %
31.8%
52.5%
Assist %
59.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence119.9 · 105.7Defence114.2 · 117.3Shooting55.6% · 51.0%3-point %40.3% · 31.8%Ball care15.4% · 18.1%Off. rebounds34.8% · 28.6%Free throws0.40 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 0%
■ Brescia   ■ Basket Napoli
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Brescia wins
2
Basket Napoli wins
DateGameScore
15/02/24Brescia v Basket Napoli74-80
03/02/24Basket Napoli v Brescia83-104
15/10/23Brescia v Basket Napoli80-71
01/04/23Basket Napoli v Brescia69-72
04/12/22Brescia v Basket Napoli95-72
09/04/22Basket Napoli v Brescia68-70
17/10/21Brescia v Basket Napoli98-88
13/09/21Basket Napoli v Brescia74-81
11/09/21Brescia v Basket Napoli77-87
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/24ACleveland State37-103
08/12/24ATrieste69-65
07/12/24ABellarmine66-94
01/12/24HVirtus Bologna98-97
17/11/24ATortona85-78
10/11/24ACremona100-89
09/11/24AEvansville49-96
02/11/24HTrapani74-95
26/10/24AReggiana80-68
20/10/24HSassari94-87
Basket Napolilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/24HReggiana76-84
01/12/24ATrento83-90
17/11/24HTreviso69-84
10/11/24ATrapani85-95
03/11/24HVenezia80-81
26/10/24AOlimpia Milano82-89
19/10/24HCremona81-87
13/10/24ASassari76-94
06/10/24HTrieste83-92
29/09/24APistoia82-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brescia
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW80%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayLWWWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %80%75%83%
Points / game89.896.085.7
Allowed / game85.493.280.2
Point differential+4.4+2.8+5.5
Avg total175.2189.2165.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Basket Napoli
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game79.777.881.6
Allowed / game88.485.691.2
Point differential-8.7-7.8-9.6
Avg total168.1163.4172.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trento1110191%92.283.3+8.9
2 Trapani119282%93.785.7+8.0
3 Brescia108280%89.885.4+4.4
4 Reggiana118373%79.774.0+5.7
5 Virtus Bologna118373%86.582.6+3.8
6 Tortona116555%85.583.7+1.7
7 Trieste116555%85.784.3+1.5
8 Treviso116555%85.685.7-0.1
9 Olimpia Milano116555%84.484.5-0.2
10 Venezia114736%75.476.4-1.0
11 Sassari114736%82.585.0-2.5
12 Scafati114736%86.592.5-5.9
13 Pistoia113827%81.485.5-4.2
14 Varese113827%90.298.6-8.5
15 Cremona112918%77.080.4-3.4
16 Basket Napoli100100%79.788.4-8.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brescia3119291897
Basket Napoli2123241684
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