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Tortona vs Brescia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 17 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 78-85
23-29 22-20 21-15 12-21
Position#9
Record4-3
FormWWLLW
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game80.7
vs
Brescia 🏆
Italy
Position#2
Record5-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game92.3
Allowed / game87.7
ItalyLega ARound 8· PalaFerraris
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Tortona v Brescia
03 May 2026
TOR88
BRE80
17 Nov 2024
TOR78
BRE85
05 Nov 2023
TOR59
BRE87
16 Apr 2023
TOR77
BRE90
13 Apr 2022
TOR81
BRE74
23 May 2016
TOR76
BRE72
21 May 2016
TOR76
BRE72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tortona winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brescia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TortonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTortona
Date
Competition
Chemnitz
#41
W
87-81
87
81
+6
76avg 73
H02/10
Champions League
Varese
#12
W
105-95
105
95
+10
98avg 73
A06/10
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
82-85
82
85
-3
68avg 73
H12/10
Lega A
Manresa
#9
W
102-85
102
85
+17
95avg 73
H15/10
Champions League
Trapani
#3
W
84-78
84
78
+6
77avg 73
A26/10
Lega A
Benfica
#30
W
72-58
72
58
+14
70avg 73
A29/10
Champions League
Sassari
#10
W
71-68
71
68
+3
64avg 73
H03/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
81-85
81
85
-4
66avg 73
A06/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
82-86
82
86
-4
68avg 73
A09/11
Lega A
Benfica
#30
W
77-71
77
71
+6
70avg 73
H13/11
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-17
25-25
21-18
19-21
29-28
22-32
31-13
23-22
22-23
15-20
23-22
22-20
30-16
25-22
25-21
22-26
16-19
27-25
21-15
20-19
21-16
20-16
16-14
15-12
18-23
17-11
11-10
25-24
18-12
22-32
18-25
23-16
20-31
22-18
20-18
20-19
15-19
20-26
22-16
20-10
163.5Avg total
84.3Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)83.680.7164.3+2.957%
Season at home (3)77.773.7151.3+4.067%
Season away (4)88.086.0174.0+2.050%
Last 10 (10)84.379.2163.5+5.170%
Last 5 (5)76.673.6150.2+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)77.882.4160.2-4.733%
vs Similar (12)84.476.7161.1+7.867%
vs Weaker (9)84.878.2163.0+6.678%
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
66-77
66
77
-11
57avg 81
A27/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
86-96
86
96
-10
80avg 81
H30/05
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
118-94
118
94
+24
111avg 81
H29/09
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
95-93
95
93
+2
91avg 81
A06/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
85-88
85
88
-3
80avg 81
A13/10
Lega A
Sassari
#10
W
94-87
94
87
+7
94avg 81
H20/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
W
80-68
80
68
+12
71avg 81
A26/10
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
74-95
74
95
-21
69avg 81
H02/11
Lega A
Evansville
#319
L
49-96
49
96
-47
no box
A09/11
NCAA
Cremona
#13
W
100-89
100
89
+11
99avg 81
A10/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-22
15-11
20-25
17-19
21-32
18-24
25-21
22-19
29-24
28-28
36-23
25-19
21-24
14-20
33-23
27-26
24-27
21-20
18-25
22-16
17-21
28-13
27-16
22-37
19-20
22-9
19-19
20-20
17-32
19-22
22-23
16-18
0-0
23-48
0-0
26-48
25-21
29-20
31-26
15-22
173.0Avg total
84.7Scored
88.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)92.387.7180.0+4.671%
Season at home (3)95.392.0187.3+3.367%
Season away (4)90.084.5174.5+5.575%
Last 10 (10)84.788.3173.0-3.650%
Last 5 (5)79.487.0166.4-7.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)49.096.0145.0-47.00%
vs Similar (8)78.886.1164.9-7.412%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)93.181.7174.8+11.485%
This opponent (Tortona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -3.6-3.6Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -3.2-3.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -3.6-3.6Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -3.2-3.2
TortonaBrescia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TortonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chemnitz
#41
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H02/10
Champions League
Varese
#12
L
51-60
51
60
-9
A06/10
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H12/10
Lega A
Manresa
#9
W
55-38
55
38
+17
H15/10
Champions League
Trapani
#3
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A26/10
Lega A
Benfica
#30
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A29/10
Champions League
Sassari
#10
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H03/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A06/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A09/11
Lega A
Benfica
#30
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H13/11
Champions League
85.7Avg total
42.6Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.339.480.7+1.857%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.135.777.8+6.475%-
Last 30 away (14)40.443.784.1-3.436%-
Last 10 (10)42.643.185.7-0.540%-
Last 5 (5)38.640.879.4-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)39.739.479.1+0.244%-
vs Similar (12)41.937.179.0+4.867%-
vs Weaker (9)42.042.684.6-0.656%-
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A27/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
39-56
39
56
-17
H30/05
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
57-52
57
52
+5
H29/09
Lega A
Scafati
#15
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A06/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A13/10
Lega A
Sassari
#10
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H20/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A26/10
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
36-54
36
54
-18
H02/11
Lega A
Evansville
#319
L
23-48
23
48
-25
A09/11
NCAA
Cremona
#13
W
54-41
54
41
+13
A10/11
Lega A
84.2Avg total
40.4Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.841.585.4+2.343%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.740.884.5+2.953%-
Last 30 away (15)43.942.386.2+1.733%-
Last 10 (10)40.443.884.2-3.440%-
Last 5 (5)39.841.281.0-1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)23.048.071.0-25.00%-
vs Similar (8)39.845.685.4-5.912%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)47.240.087.2+7.260%-
This opponent (Tortona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tortonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tortona: 83.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.520.9
52.9%
52.9%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.69.3
31.4%
35.8%27.9
🏀 Free throws17.913.8
77.1%
76.8%13.8
They take 69.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 87.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.620.0
54.6%
52.9%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.09.3
40.4%
35.8%27.9
🏀 Free throws25.019.6
78.4%
76.8%19.6
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tortona
WLLWWWWLWW
Brescia
WLLWWLWWLL
#9
League position
#2
+6.5
Net rating
+0.4
110.5
Offensive rating
118.9
104.1
Defensive rating
118.5
50.4%
Effective FG%
57.0%
51.4%
Opp. effective FG%
56.5%
15.6%
Turnover %
16.0%
32.7%
Off. rebound %
28.7%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.42
31.4%
3-point %
40.4%
58.3%
Assist %
58.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence110.5 · 118.9Defence104.1 · 118.5Shooting50.4% · 57.0%3-point %31.4% · 40.4%Ball care15.6% · 16.0%Off. rebounds32.7% · 28.7%Free throws0.26 · 0.42Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Tortona   ■ Brescia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Tortona wins
6
Brescia wins
DateGameScore
06/04/24Brescia v Tortona72-65
05/11/23Tortona v Brescia59-87
23/09/23Brescia v Tortona86-63
16/04/23Tortona v Brescia77-90 OT
20/11/22Brescia v Tortona83-68
13/04/22Tortona v Brescia81-74
03/10/21Brescia v Tortona77-79
26/05/16Brescia v Tortona97-72
23/05/16Tortona v Brescia76-72
21/05/16Tortona v Brescia76-72
Tortonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/24HBenfica77-71
09/11/24AReggiana82-86
06/11/24AVirtus Bologna81-85
03/11/24HSassari71-68
29/10/24ABenfica72-58
26/10/24ATrapani84-78
15/10/24HManresa102-85
12/10/24HTrieste82-85
06/10/24AVarese105-95
02/10/24HChemnitz87-81
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/24ACremona100-89
09/11/24AEvansville49-96
02/11/24HTrapani74-95
26/10/24AReggiana80-68
20/10/24HSassari94-87
13/10/24AOlimpia Milano85-88
06/10/24AScafati95-93
29/09/24HVarese118-94
30/05/24HOlimpia Milano86-96
27/05/24AOlimpia Milano66-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tortona
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL57%
HomeWLW67%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %57%67%50%
Points / game83.677.788.0
Allowed / game80.773.786.0
Point differential+2.9+4.0+2.0
Avg total164.3151.3174.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%33%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Brescia
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW71%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %71%67%75%
Points / game92.395.390.0
Allowed / game87.792.084.5
Point differential+4.6+3.3+5.5
Avg total180.0187.3174.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trento880100%88.277.0+11.2
2 Virtus Bologna76186%86.782.1+4.6
3 Trapani86275%93.985.4+8.5
4 Brescia75271%92.387.7+4.6
5 Olimpia Milano75271%82.081.9+0.1
6 Trieste85362%89.286.2+3.0
7 Tortona74357%83.680.7+2.9
8 Reggiana74357%80.378.6+1.7
9 Venezia73443%74.975.4-0.6
10 Scafati83538%84.888.2-3.5
11 Pistoia83538%77.181.1-4.0
12 Treviso72529%83.687.4-3.9
13 Sassari72529%81.185.3-4.1
14 Varese82625%95.1103.6-8.5
15 Cremona71614%75.680.4-4.9
16 Basket Napoli7070%81.389.4-8.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tortona2322211278
Brescia2920152185
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