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Paris vs Bayern Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 06 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 82-86
19-22 23-31 26-11 14-22
Position#16
Record4-4
FormWWLLW
Points / game89.9
Allowed / game88.0
vs
Bayern 🏆
Position#14
Record4-4
FormLLWWW
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game83.0
EuropeEuroleagueRound 9· Adidas Arena
European cup2025
Meetings · Paris v Bayern
06 Nov 2025
PRS82
BAY86
27 Feb 2025
PRS93
BAY88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Paris winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ParisLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParis
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
90-79
90
79
+11
75avg 91
H09/10
Euroleague
Monaco
#1
L
94-99
94
99
-5
84avg 91
H12/10
LNB
Baskonia
#18
W
105-87
105
87
+18
96avg 91
H15/10
Euroleague
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
88-89
88
89
-1
74avg 91
H17/10
Euroleague
Dijon
#11
W
97-92
97
92
+5
94avg 91
H19/10
LNB
Partizan
#15
W
101-83
101
83
+18
106avg 91
A24/10
Euroleague
Chalon/Saone
#9
W
107-67
107
67
+40
114avg 91
A26/10
LNB
Anadolu Efes
#19
L
80-90
80
90
-10
72avg 91
H28/10
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#13
L
77-86
77
86
-9
65avg 91
A30/10
Euroleague
Boulazac
#12
W
94-73
94
73
+21
70avg 91
A02/11
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-24
25-16
23-20
18-19
15-24
30-31
27-22
22-22
30-21
21-26
28-24
26-16
25-26
19-19
26-21
18-23
22-20
18-29
35-23
22-20
26-26
22-20
23-14
30-23
27-12
31-15
29-23
20-17
21-17
18-29
21-23
20-21
15-23
12-24
26-20
24-19
26-28
23-17
25-20
20-8
177.8Avg total
93.3Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)89.988.0177.9+1.950%
Season at home (4)90.886.2177.0+4.550%
Season away (4)89.089.8178.8-0.850%
Last 10 (10)93.384.5177.8+8.860%
Last 5 (5)91.879.8171.6+12.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)80.096.0176.0-16.00%
vs Similar ◀ (14)88.386.6174.9+1.643%
vs Weaker (15)101.384.2185.5+17.180%
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
L
70-98
70
98
-28
60avg 80
H10/10
Euroleague
Bamberg
#2
W
96-81
96
81
+15
100avg 80
H12/10
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#13
W
64-53
64
53
+11
57avg 80
H14/10
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#4
L
73-88
73
88
-15
62avg 80
A16/10
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#24
W
99-64
99
64
+35
90avg 80
H20/10
German Cup
Olympiacos
#1
L
71-96
71
96
-25
64avg 80
H24/10
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#3
L
61-67
61
67
-6
56avg 80
A26/10
BBL
Real Madrid
#2
W
90-84
90
84
+6
85avg 80
H28/10
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
86-70
86
70
+16
84avg 80
H30/10
Euroleague
Heidelberg
#18
W
93-81
93
81
+12
86avg 80
H03/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-26
13-19
24-23
13-30
32-13
20-29
20-21
24-18
16-14
12-19
18-7
18-13
20-14
12-23
14-25
27-26
24-14
22-13
28-18
25-19
15-23
14-24
23-22
19-27
21-20
17-15
14-9
9-23
27-25
17-32
25-10
21-17
18-15
23-23
20-17
25-15
32-14
31-21
16-22
14-24
158.5Avg total
80.3Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)78.883.0161.8-4.250%
Season at home (6)79.781.5161.2-1.867%
Season away (2)76.087.5163.5-11.50%
Last 10 (10)80.378.2158.5+2.160%
Last 5 (5)80.279.6159.8+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)76.690.6167.2-14.020%
vs Similar ◀ (8)77.570.9148.4+6.675%
vs Weaker (16)87.276.1163.3+11.288%
This opponent (Paris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +4.7+4.7Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -3.7-3.7Q3Q3: +5.3+5.3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: -1.7-1.7
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +4.7+4.7Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -3.7-3.7Q3Q3: +5.3+5.3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: -1.7-1.7
ParisBayern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ParisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H09/10
Euroleague
Monaco
#1
L
45-55
45
55
-10
H12/10
LNB
Baskonia
#18
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H15/10
Euroleague
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H17/10
Euroleague
Dijon
#11
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H19/10
LNB
Partizan
#15
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A24/10
Euroleague
Chalon/Saone
#9
W
58-27
58
27
+31
A26/10
LNB
Anadolu Efes
#19
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H28/10
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#13
L
27-47
27
47
-20
A30/10
Euroleague
Boulazac
#12
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A02/11
LNB
89.7Avg total
45.0Scored
44.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.143.291.3+5.057%-
Last 30 at home (15)49.544.594.0+5.153%-
Last 30 away (15)46.741.988.6+4.960%-
Last 10 (10)45.044.789.7+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)44.242.286.4+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)54.040.094.0+14.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)43.943.287.1+0.757%-
vs Weaker (15)51.743.395.0+8.353%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H10/10
Euroleague
Bamberg
#2
W
52-42
52
42
+10
H12/10
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#13
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H14/10
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#4
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A16/10
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#24
W
46-27
46
27
+19
H20/10
German Cup
Olympiacos
#1
L
29-47
29
47
-18
H24/10
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#3
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A26/10
BBL
Real Madrid
#2
L
44-57
44
57
-13
H28/10
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H30/10
Euroleague
Heidelberg
#18
W
63-35
63
35
+28
H03/11
BBL
80.2Avg total
40.6Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.340.281.5+1.160%-
Last 30 at home (21)43.041.284.2+1.767%-
Last 30 away (9)37.437.775.1-0.244%-
Last 10 (10)40.639.680.2+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)43.042.485.4+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.846.682.4-10.80%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)39.438.477.8+1.062%-
vs Weaker (16)43.739.983.6+3.875%-
This opponent (Paris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Paristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paris: 93.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.919.5
52.8%
60.4%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.712.0
35.6%
35.9%36.0
🏀 Free throws22.518.1
80.4%
78.2%18.1
They take 70.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 79.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.517.9
51.9%
60.4%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.99.4
34.9%
35.9%28.2
🏀 Free throws20.115.9
79.1%
78.2%15.9
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Paris
WLLWWWLWLW
Bayern
WWWLLWLWWL
#16
League position
#14
+12.6
Net rating
+4.6
118.2
Offensive rating
110.3
105.6
Defensive rating
105.7
53.1%
Effective FG%
52.1%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
19.7%
Turnover %
16.9%
42.0%
Off. rebound %
29.4%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.33
35.6%
3-point %
34.9%
58.7%
Assist %
67.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence118.2 · 110.3Defence105.6 · 105.7Shooting53.1% · 52.1%3-point %35.6% · 34.9%Ball care19.7% · 16.9%Off. rebounds42.0% · 29.4%Free throws0.32 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Paris   ■ Bayern
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Paris wins
1
Bayern wins
DateGameScore
27/02/25Paris v Bayern93-88
17/10/24Bayern v Paris109-107
Parislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/25ABoulazac94-73
30/10/25AOlimpia Milano77-86
28/10/25HAnadolu Efes80-90
26/10/25AChalon/Saone107-67
24/10/25APartizan101-83
19/10/25HDijon97-92
17/10/25HHapoel Tel-Aviv88-89
15/10/25HBaskonia105-87
12/10/25HMonaco94-99
09/10/25HVirtus Bologna90-79
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/25HHeidelberg93-81
30/10/25HVirtus Bologna86-70
28/10/25HReal Madrid90-84
26/10/25AAlba Berlin61-67
24/10/25HOlympiacos71-96
20/10/25HBasketball Braunschweig99-64
16/10/25AFenerbahce73-88
14/10/25HOlimpia Milano64-53
12/10/25HBamberg96-81
10/10/25HZalgiris Kaunas70-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Paris
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL50%
HomeWWLL50%
AwayLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game89.990.889.0
Allowed / game88.086.289.8
Point differential+1.9+4.5-0.8
Avg total177.9177.0178.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bayern
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW50%
HomeLWLWW67%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games862
Win %50%67%0%
Points / game78.879.776.0
Allowed / game83.081.587.5
Point differential-4.2-1.8-11.5
Avg total161.8161.2163.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda97278%87.680.1+7.4
2 Hapoel Tel-Aviv97278%90.985.8+5.1
3 Zalgiris Kaunas86275%87.276.1+11.1
4 Olympiacos85362%85.481.1+4.2
5 Monaco85362%86.683.2+3.4
6 Valencia85362%92.490.8+1.6
7 Barcelona85362%86.686.4+0.2
8 Panathinaikos95456%86.887.4-0.7
9 Real Madrid84450%83.679.9+3.8
10 Paris84450%89.988.0+1.9
11 Bayern84450%78.883.0-4.2
12 Fenerbahce94544%79.180.8-1.7
13 Virtus Bologna94544%79.783.4-3.8
14 Olimpia Milano83538%81.180.0+1.1
15 Anadolu Efes83538%81.284.5-3.2
16 Partizan83538%83.687.8-4.1
17 Dubai93633%83.686.4-2.9
18 Baskonia93633%86.490.2-3.8
19 Maccabi Tel Aviv82625%88.694.0-5.4
20 Lyon-Villeurbanne92722%77.286.2-9.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Paris1923261482
Bayern2231112286
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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