PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Bayern vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 30 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 86-70
18-15 23-23 20-17 25-15
Position#14
Record3-4
FormLWLLW
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game84.9
Bayern 🏆
vs
Position#17
Record4-3
FormWLWWL
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game82.6
EuropeEuroleagueRound 8· SAP Garden
European cup2025
Meetings · Bayern v Virtus Bologna
08 Oct 2026
BAY87
VIR94
30 Oct 2025
BAY86
VIR70
17 Jan 2025
BAY72
VIR82
30 Nov 2023
BAY90
VIR76
27 Jan 2023
BAY91
VIR84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
97-88
97
88
+9
91avg 80
H02/10
Euroleague
Hamburg
#14
W
96-79
96
79
+17
90avg 80
H05/10
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
L
70-98
70
98
-28
60avg 80
H10/10
Euroleague
Bamberg
#2
W
96-81
96
81
+15
100avg 80
H12/10
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#13
W
64-53
64
53
+11
57avg 80
H14/10
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#4
L
73-88
73
88
-15
62avg 80
A16/10
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#24
W
99-64
99
64
+35
90avg 80
H20/10
German Cup
Olympiacos
#1
L
71-96
71
96
-25
64avg 80
H24/10
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#3
L
61-67
61
67
-6
56avg 80
A26/10
BBL
Real Madrid
#2
W
90-84
90
84
+6
85avg 80
H28/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-28
26-27
27-16
20-17
30-17
17-18
26-26
23-18
20-26
13-19
24-23
13-30
32-13
20-29
20-21
24-18
16-14
12-19
18-7
18-13
20-14
12-23
14-25
27-26
24-14
22-13
28-18
25-19
15-23
14-24
23-22
19-27
21-20
17-15
14-9
9-23
27-25
17-32
25-10
21-17
161.5Avg total
81.7Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)77.784.9162.6-7.143%
Season at home (5)78.483.8162.2-5.460%
Season away (2)76.087.5163.5-11.50%
Last 10 (10)81.779.8161.5+1.960%
Last 5 (5)78.879.8158.6-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)76.690.6167.2-14.020%
vs Similar ◀ (8)75.673.8149.4+1.962%
vs Weaker (16)85.875.6161.4+10.281%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Valencia
#3
L
94-103
94
103
-9
86avg 79
A03/10
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#11
W
105-88
105
88
+17
104avg 79
H06/10
Lega A
Paris
#16
L
79-90
79
90
-11
77avg 79
A09/10
Euroleague
Udine
#13
W
82-80 OT
82
80
+2
75avg 79
A11/10
Lega A
Monaco
#10
W
77-73
77
73
+4
72avg 79
H15/10
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
90-83
90
83
+7
86avg 79
A17/10
Euroleague
Cremona
#12
L
69-86
69
86
-17
62avg 79
H20/10
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#7
W
92-75
92
75
+17
89avg 79
H24/10
Euroleague
Sassari
#16
W
90-71
90
71
+19
94avg 79
H26/10
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
L
65-86
65
86
-21
57avg 79
A28/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-26
23-23
25-26
23-28
25-19
26-13
21-24
33-32
24-24
16-25
20-23
19-18
17-12
20-19
23-16
12-25
19-19
18-15
22-19
18-20
21-24
19-18
21-22
29-19
23-19
7-22
20-32
19-13
19-15
29-20
21-18
23-22
23-23
26-12
22-19
19-17
11-25
22-17
17-16
15-28
167.8Avg total
84.3Scored
83.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)81.682.6164.1-1.057%
Season at home (3)81.072.0153.0+9.0100%
Season away (4)82.090.5172.5-8.525%
Last 10 (10)84.383.5167.8+0.860%
Last 5 (5)81.280.2161.4+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)81.582.7164.2-1.250%
vs Similar ◀ (11)83.579.3162.7+4.282%
vs Weaker (12)87.879.8167.6+7.975%
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -4.9-4.9Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +4.2+4.2Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -1.2-1.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -4.9-4.9Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +4.2+4.2Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -1.2-1.2
BayernVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#9
L
50-55
50
55
-5
H02/10
Euroleague
Hamburg
#14
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H05/10
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H10/10
Euroleague
Bamberg
#2
W
52-42
52
42
+10
H12/10
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#13
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H14/10
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#4
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A16/10
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#24
W
46-27
46
27
+19
H20/10
German Cup
Olympiacos
#1
L
29-47
29
47
-18
H24/10
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#3
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A26/10
BBL
Real Madrid
#2
L
44-57
44
57
-13
H28/10
Euroleague
81.2Avg total
39.9Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.040.580.5-0.557%-
Last 30 at home (19)42.041.783.7+0.363%-
Last 30 away (11)36.538.374.8-1.745%-
Last 10 (10)39.941.381.2-1.440%-
Last 5 (5)37.840.678.4-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.846.682.4-10.80%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)38.440.178.5-1.850%-
vs Weaker (16)41.839.681.3+2.275%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valencia
#3
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A03/10
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#11
W
51-32
51
32
+19
H06/10
Lega A
Paris
#16
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A09/10
Euroleague
Udine
#13
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A11/10
Lega A
Monaco
#10
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H15/10
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A17/10
Euroleague
Cremona
#12
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H20/10
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#7
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H24/10
Euroleague
Sassari
#16
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H26/10
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A28/10
Euroleague
80.1Avg total
41.1Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.738.780.4+3.157%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.537.779.2+3.871%-
Last 30 away (13)42.039.981.9+2.138%-
Last 10 (10)41.139.080.1+2.150%-
Last 5 (5)40.039.079.0+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)40.040.080.0+0.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)40.840.281.0+0.636%-
vs Weaker (12)43.236.379.5+6.875%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.920.0
55.7%
60.4%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.89.3
34.7%
35.9%27.9
🏀 Free throws17.513.4
76.6%
78.2%13.4
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 83.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.619.9
57.5%
60.4%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.19.6
35.4%
35.9%28.8
🏀 Free throws18.515.1
81.6%
78.2%15.1
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayern
WLLWLWWLWW
Virtus Bologna
LWWLWWWLWL
#14
League position
#17
+4.0
Net rating
+1.9
112.2
Offensive rating
112.7
108.2
Defensive rating
110.8
54.1%
Effective FG%
55.6%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
16.6%
Turnover %
19.8%
30.2%
Off. rebound %
30.2%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.30
34.7%
3-point %
35.4%
62.5%
Assist %
68.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence112.2 · 112.7Defence108.2 · 110.8Shooting54.1% · 55.6%3-point %34.7% · 35.4%Ball care16.6% · 19.8%Off. rebounds30.2% · 30.2%Free throws0.28 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Bayern   ■ Virtus Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Bayern wins
3
Virtus Bologna wins
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/25HReal Madrid90-84
26/10/25AAlba Berlin61-67
24/10/25HOlympiacos71-96
20/10/25HBasketball Braunschweig99-64
16/10/25AFenerbahce73-88
14/10/25HOlimpia Milano64-53
12/10/25HBamberg96-81
10/10/25HZalgiris Kaunas70-98
05/10/25HHamburg96-79
02/10/25HCrvena zvezda97-88
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/25AZalgiris Kaunas65-86
26/10/25HSassari90-71
24/10/25HPanathinaikos92-75
20/10/25HCremona69-86
17/10/25ALyon-Villeurbanne90-83
15/10/25HMonaco77-73
11/10/25AUdine82-80 OT
09/10/25AParis79-90
06/10/25HBasket Napoli105-88
03/10/25AValencia94-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayern
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW43%
HomeWLWLW60%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games752
Win %43%60%0%
Points / game77.778.476.0
Allowed / game84.983.887.5
Point differential-7.1-5.4-11.5
Avg total162.6162.2163.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Virtus Bologna
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL57%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %57%100%25%
Points / game81.681.082.0
Allowed / game82.672.090.5
Point differential-1.0+9.0-8.5
Avg total164.1153.0172.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hapoel Tel-Aviv76186%93.087.6+5.4
2 Zalgiris Kaunas86275%87.276.1+11.1
3 Crvena zvezda86275%87.881.6+6.1
4 Panathinaikos75271%89.987.0+2.9
5 Olympiacos74357%88.784.4+4.3
6 Paris74357%91.788.3+3.4
7 Monaco74357%85.983.1+2.7
8 Valencia74357%94.192.6+1.6
9 Barcelona74357%87.987.9+0.0
10 Virtus Bologna74357%81.682.6-1.0
11 Real Madrid73443%83.683.0+0.6
12 Fenerbahce73443%81.982.3-0.4
13 Dubai73443%82.484.1-1.7
14 Anadolu Efes73443%82.184.3-2.1
15 Partizan73443%84.789.1-4.4
16 Bayern73443%77.784.9-7.1
17 Olimpia Milano72529%80.480.4+0.0
18 Maccabi Tel Aviv82625%88.694.0-5.4
19 Lyon-Villeurbanne82625%78.586.9-8.4
20 Baskonia71614%86.494.4-8.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bayern1823202586
Virtus Bologna1523171570
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.