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Trieste vs Fortitudo Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 20 Mar 2022
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 77-85
19-16 17-27 21-18 20-24
Position#7
Record10-11
FormLLLLL
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game81.0
Trieste
Italy
vs
Fortitudo Bologna 🏆
Italy
Position#15
Record6-15
FormLLLWL
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game84.6
ItalyLega ARound 23
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Trieste v Fortitudo Bologna
22 Oct 2023
TRI65
FBO84
20 Mar 2022
TRI77
FBO85
10 May 2021
TRI88
FBO82
29 Dec 2019
TRI89
FBO69
08 Jun 2017
TRI80
FBO60
31 May 2017
TRI91
FBO69
29 May 2017
TRI85
FBO75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trieste winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fortitudo Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TriesteItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrieste
Date
Competition
Cremona
#16
W
80-75
80
75
+5
72avg 71
A12/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#8
L
83-85 OT
83
85
-2
no box
H16/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#9
W
89-78
89
78
+11
96avg 71
H23/01
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#13
L
82-89
82
89
-7
74avg 71
A31/01
Lega A
Treviso
#11
W
94-88
94
88
+6
92avg 71
A03/02
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
76-87
76
87
-11
67avg 71
A12/02
Lega A
Tortona
#2
L
82-94
82
94
-12
no box
H17/02
Italian Cup
Venezia
#6
L
65-78
65
78
-13
56avg 71
H06/03
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
75-89
75
89
-14
66avg 71
H09/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
84-102
84
102
-18
78avg 71
A13/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-20
17-22
26-17
12-16
17-18
23-15
15-15
15-22
26-20
20-17
19-21
24-20
17-28
31-28
23-12
11-21
24-25
16-20
27-19
27-24
28-16
14-25
12-20
22-26
23-21
13-25
17-25
29-23
16-24
14-17
20-23
15-14
19-21
17-27
16-24
23-17
17-19
23-25
20-28
24-30
167.5Avg total
81.0Scored
86.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)77.581.0158.6-3.548%
Season at home (11)77.576.3153.7+1.264%
Season away (10)77.686.3163.9-8.730%
Last 10 (10)81.086.5167.5-5.530%
Last 5 (5)76.490.0166.4-13.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)74.384.7159.0-10.325%
vs Similar ◀ (17)79.180.2159.3-1.159%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Fortitudo Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fortitudo BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
70-76
70
76
-6
52avg 73
A19/12
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
101-94
101
94
+7
102avg 73
H09/01
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
84-103
84
103
-19
76avg 73
H12/01
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#13
W
89-86
89
86
+3
82avg 73
A16/01
Lega A
Tortona
#5
L
74-92
74
92
-18
no box
H23/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
64-74
64
74
-10
56avg 73
A30/01
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
86-93
86
93
-7
74avg 73
H06/02
Lega A
Brindisi
#10
L
67-73
67
73
-6
58avg 73
H13/02
Lega A
Treviso
#11
W
99-93 OT
99
93
+6
no box
A05/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
82-85
82
85
-3
75avg 73
H13/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-19
15-19
20-19
15-19
25-20
31-28
14-25
31-21
24-19
25-33
19-23
16-28
20-19
23-15
20-19
26-33
15-32
19-19
20-22
20-19
23-19
13-18
13-20
15-17
21-30
27-20
20-20
18-23
24-18
13-24
8-13
22-18
24-20
16-14
22-20
18-26
19-25
24-21
14-22
25-17
168.5Avg total
81.6Scored
86.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)81.384.6165.9-3.329%
Season at home (12)82.782.8165.5-0.233%
Season away (9)79.487.0166.4-7.622%
Last 10 (10)81.686.9168.5-5.330%
Last 5 (5)79.683.6163.2-4.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)74.086.8160.8-12.80%
vs Similar ◀ (18)81.882.2164.1-0.439%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Trieste) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -1.5-1.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -1.5-1.5
TriesteFortitudo Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TriesteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cremona
#16
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A12/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#8
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H16/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#9
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H23/01
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#13
L
48-56
48
56
-8
A31/01
Lega A
Treviso
#11
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A03/02
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A12/02
Lega A
Tortona
#2
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H17/02
Italian Cup
Venezia
#6
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H06/03
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H09/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A13/03
Lega A
83.3Avg total
40.0Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.341.479.7-3.133%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.639.376.9-1.744%-
Last 30 away (14)39.143.882.9-4.721%-
Last 10 (10)40.043.383.3-3.330%-
Last 5 (5)36.844.080.8-7.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)38.843.282.0-4.325%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)38.139.977.9-1.841%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Fortitudo Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fortitudo BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A19/12
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
56-48
56
48
+8
H09/01
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
49-52
49
52
-3
H12/01
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#13
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A16/01
Lega A
Tortona
#5
L
34-51
34
51
-17
H23/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A30/01
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
48-50
48
50
-2
H06/02
Lega A
Brindisi
#10
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H13/02
Lega A
Treviso
#11
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A05/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H13/03
Lega A
85.3Avg total
42.1Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.442.381.7-2.927%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.743.484.1-2.725%-
Last 30 away (14)38.041.179.1-3.129%-
Last 10 (10)42.143.285.3-1.130%-
Last 5 (5)40.841.882.6-1.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)37.244.281.5-7.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)40.941.081.9-0.144%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Trieste) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Triestetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trieste: 76.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.320.0
49.6%
51.1%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.77.9
34.8%
35.4%23.7
🏀 Free throws17.612.9
73.3%
74.7%12.9
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Fortitudo Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fortitudo Bologna: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.318.7
53.0%
51.1%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.09.0
36.0%
35.4%27.0
🏀 Free throws22.316.3
73.1%
74.7%16.3
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Mar 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trieste
LLLLLWLWLW
Fortitudo Bologna
LWLLLLWLWL
#7
League position
#15
-10.5
Net rating
-2.6
103.5
Offensive rating
109.4
114.0
Defensive rating
112.0
50.6%
Effective FG%
53.4%
53.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.7%
17.9%
Turnover %
13.7%
27.2%
Off. rebound %
21.9%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.37
34.8%
3-point %
36.0%
60.2%
Assist %
54.9%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence103.5 · 109.4Defence114.0 · 112.0Shooting50.6% · 53.4%3-point %34.8% · 36.0%Ball care17.9% · 13.7%Off. rebounds27.2% · 21.9%Free throws0.28 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Trieste   ■ Fortitudo Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Trieste wins
3
Fortitudo Bologna wins
DateGameScore
13/12/21Fortitudo Bologna v Trieste96-60
10/05/21Trieste v Fortitudo Bologna88-82
10/01/21Fortitudo Bologna v Trieste69-82
29/12/19Trieste v Fortitudo Bologna89-69
08/06/17Trieste v Fortitudo Bologna80-60
05/06/17Fortitudo Bologna v Trieste76-74
03/06/17Fortitudo Bologna v Trieste76-60
31/05/17Trieste v Fortitudo Bologna91-69
29/05/17Trieste v Fortitudo Bologna85-75
Triestelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/22AOlimpia Milano84-102
09/03/22HSassari75-89
06/03/22HVenezia65-78
17/02/22HTortona82-94
12/02/22ABrescia76-87
03/02/22ATreviso94-88
31/01/22ABasket Napoli82-89
23/01/22HPesaro89-78
16/01/22HReggiana83-85 OT
12/01/22ACremona80-75
Fortitudo Bolognalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/22HVirtus Bologna82-85
05/03/22ATreviso99-93 OT
13/02/22HBrindisi67-73
06/02/22HBrescia86-93
30/01/22AOlimpia Milano64-74
23/01/22HTortona74-92
16/01/22ABasket Napoli89-86
12/01/22HSassari84-103
09/01/22HVarese101-94
19/12/21AVirtus Bologna70-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trieste
Lega A 2021-22
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL48%
HomeWLWLL64%
AwayWLWLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %48%64%30%
Points / game77.577.577.6
Allowed / game81.076.386.3
Point differential-3.5+1.2-8.7
Avg total158.6153.7163.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%18%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)80% (5)100% (1)
Overtime %10%18%0%
Fortitudo Bologna
Lega A 2021-22
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL29%
HomeLLLLL33%
AwayLLWLW22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21129
Win %29%33%22%
Points / game81.382.779.4
Allowed / game84.682.887.0
Point differential-3.3-0.2-7.6
Avg total165.9165.5166.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %5%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2118386%83.270.3+13.0
2 Virtus Bologna2017385%88.879.1+9.7
3 Brescia2215768%84.578.5+6.1
4 Reggiana22121055%81.078.9+2.1
5 Tortona22121055%80.379.7+0.5
6 Brindisi22111150%81.381.6-0.3
7 Sassari21101148%82.982.7+0.2
8 Venezia21101148%78.378.4-0.1
9 Trieste21101148%77.581.0-3.5
10 Varese22101245%81.586.3-4.8
11 Treviso2191243%79.083.1-4.0
12 Trento2291341%77.279.7-2.5
13 Pesaro2291341%79.884.2-4.4
14 Basket Napoli2281436%81.884.3-2.5
15 Fortitudo Bologna2161529%81.384.6-3.3
16 Cremona2261627%79.784.7-5.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Trieste1917212077
Fortitudo Bologna1627182485
← all games of the day
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