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Trieste vs Fortitudo Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 22 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 65-84
8-21 15-27 21-19 21-17
Position#5
Record3-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game79.0
Trieste
Italy
vs
Fortitudo Bologna 🏆
Italy
Position#3
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game66.8
ItalySerie A2Round 5· Allianz Dome
Other2023-24
Meetings · Trieste v Fortitudo Bologna
22 Oct 2023
TRI65
FBO84
20 Mar 2022
TRI77
FBO85
10 May 2021
TRI88
FBO82
29 Dec 2019
TRI89
FBO69
08 Jun 2017
TRI80
FBO60
31 May 2017
TRI91
FBO69
29 May 2017
TRI85
FBO75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trieste winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fortitudo Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TriesteItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrieste
Date
Competition
Trento
#7
L
68-85
68
85
-17
56avg 70
A08/04
Lega A
Varese
#4
L
80-83
80
83
-3
74avg 70
H16/04
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
80-103
80
103
-23
78avg 70
A19/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
L
83-94
83
94
-11
74avg 70
A23/04
Lega A
Verona
#16
W
85-77
85
77
+8
83avg 70
H30/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
70-92
70
92
-22
53avg 70
A07/05
Lega A
Orzinuovi
#21
W
80-75
80
75
+5
75avg 70
H04/10
Serie A2
Chiusi
#18
W
76-65
76
65
+11
72avg 70
A08/10
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
W
96-82
96
82
+14
90avg 70
H11/10
Serie A2
Cento
#12
L
89-94 OT
89
94
-5
no box
A15/10
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-18
22-24
16-24
18-19
24-17
19-21
22-23
15-22
23-23
19-20
22-33
16-27
21-22
19-24
23-18
20-30
24-12
17-12
16-31
28-22
21-26
19-25
13-19
17-22
14-14
21-22
25-21
20-18
18-21
14-22
24-9
20-13
26-21
23-20
24-27
23-14
31-19
22-17
13-25
16-21
165.7Avg total
80.7Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)85.279.0164.2+6.275%
Season at home (2)88.078.5166.5+9.5100%
Season away (2)82.579.5162.0+3.050%
Last 10 (10)80.785.0165.7-4.340%
Last 5 (5)82.281.6163.8+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)75.783.0158.7-7.332%
vs Similar ◀ (7)87.782.0169.7+5.771%
vs Weaker (4)85.279.0164.2+6.275%
This opponent (Fortitudo Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fortitudo BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Cento
#9
W
90-71
90
71
+19
no box
H21/05
Serie A2
Cento
#9
W
69-68
69
68
+1
no box
H24/05
Serie A2
Cremona
#3
L
74-83
74
83
-9
no box
A28/05
Serie A2
Cremona
#3
L
75-87
75
87
-12
no box
A30/05
Serie A2
Cremona
#3
W
93-92 OT
93
92
+1
no box
H02/06
Serie A2
Cremona
#3
L
49-69
49
69
-20
no box
H04/06
Serie A2
Chiusi
#18
W
72-51
72
51
+21
62avg 77
H01/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
W
82-74
82
74
+8
74avg 77
A07/10
Serie A2
Forli
#2
W
73-63
73
63
+10
72avg 77
H11/10
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
W
97-79
97
79
+18
99avg 77
A15/10
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-17
26-15
22-14
23-25
20-24
20-25
20-8
9-11
23-20
19-21
15-21
17-21
16-18
20-27
23-20
16-22
17-17
19-26
26-14
18-23
14-19
12-17
8-16
15-17
17-15
14-14
23-10
18-12
29-20
17-18
15-18
21-18
18-20
20-16
19-7
16-20
18-20
26-15
23-18
30-26
151.1Avg total
77.4Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)81.066.8147.8+14.2100%
Season at home (2)72.557.0129.5+15.5100%
Season away (2)89.576.5166.0+13.0100%
Last 10 (10)77.473.7151.1+3.770%
Last 5 (5)74.667.2141.8+7.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)73.581.2154.7-7.733%
vs Similar ◀ (20)77.376.7154.0+0.745%
vs Weaker (4)83.870.2154.0+13.575%
This opponent (Trieste) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: +4.8+4.8Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: -1.2-1.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: +4.8+4.8Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: -1.2-1.2
TriesteFortitudo Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TriesteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#7
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A08/04
Lega A
Varese
#4
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H16/04
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A19/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A23/04
Lega A
Verona
#16
W
41-24
41
24
+17
H30/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
40-51
40
51
-11
A07/05
Lega A
Orzinuovi
#21
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H04/10
Serie A2
Chiusi
#18
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A08/10
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H11/10
Serie A2
Cento
#12
W
53-36
53
36
+17
A15/10
Serie A2
80.9Avg total
40.9Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.339.780.0+0.653%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.836.477.1+4.471%-
Last 30 away (16)39.942.682.6-2.738%-
Last 10 (10)40.940.080.9+0.940%-
Last 5 (5)41.841.483.2+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)38.740.679.3-1.847%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)43.637.781.3+5.971%-
vs Weaker (4)42.239.081.2+3.250%-
This opponent (Fortitudo Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fortitudo BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cento
#9
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H21/05
Serie A2
Cento
#9
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H24/05
Serie A2
Cremona
#3
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A28/05
Serie A2
Cremona
#3
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A30/05
Serie A2
Cremona
#3
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H02/06
Serie A2
Cremona
#3
L
26-36
26
36
-10
H04/06
Serie A2
Chiusi
#18
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H01/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A07/10
Serie A2
Forli
#2
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H11/10
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A15/10
Serie A2
76.8Avg total
38.4Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.438.477.8+1.053%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.237.375.5+0.953%-
Last 30 away (15)40.539.580.0+1.153%-
Last 10 (10)38.438.476.8+0.060%-
Last 5 (5)37.034.871.8+2.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)37.338.375.7-1.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)40.138.979.0+1.250%-
vs Weaker (4)38.836.074.8+2.875%-
This opponent (Trieste) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Triestetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trieste: 77.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.318.7
48.8%
50.3%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.09.0
36.0%
34.1%27.0
🏀 Free throws16.712.7
76.0%
74.2%12.7
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Fortitudo Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fortitudo Bologna: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.918.0
48.8%
50.3%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.39.0
35.6%
34.1%27.0
🏀 Free throws19.914.5
72.9%
74.2%14.5
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trieste
LWWWLWLLLL
Fortitudo Bologna
WWWWLWLLWW
#5
League position
#3
-8.8
Net rating
+2.7
105.6
Offensive rating
108.8
114.3
Defensive rating
106.1
50.9%
Effective FG%
50.6%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
19.0%
Turnover %
14.8%
32.4%
Off. rebound %
27.4%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.32
36.0%
3-point %
35.6%
60.3%
Assist %
60.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence105.6 · 108.8Defence114.3 · 106.1Shooting50.9% · 50.6%3-point %36.0% · 35.6%Ball care19.0% · 14.8%Off. rebounds32.4% · 27.4%Free throws0.26 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Trieste   ■ Fortitudo Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Trieste wins
4
Fortitudo Bologna wins
DateGameScore
20/03/22Trieste v Fortitudo Bologna77-85
13/12/21Fortitudo Bologna v Trieste96-60
10/05/21Trieste v Fortitudo Bologna88-82
10/01/21Fortitudo Bologna v Trieste69-82
29/12/19Trieste v Fortitudo Bologna89-69
08/06/17Trieste v Fortitudo Bologna80-60
05/06/17Fortitudo Bologna v Trieste76-74
03/06/17Fortitudo Bologna v Trieste76-60
31/05/17Trieste v Fortitudo Bologna91-69
29/05/17Trieste v Fortitudo Bologna85-75
Triestelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/10/23ACento89-94 OT
11/10/23HNardo96-82
08/10/23AChiusi76-65
04/10/23HOrzinuovi80-75
07/05/23ABrindisi70-92
30/04/23HVerona85-77
23/04/23APesaro83-94
19/04/23ASassari80-103
16/04/23HVarese80-83
08/04/23ATrento68-85
Fortitudo Bolognalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/10/23ANardo97-79
11/10/23HForli73-63
07/10/23ARimini82-74
01/10/23HChiusi72-51
04/06/23HCremona49-69
02/06/23HCremona93-92 OT
30/05/23ACremona75-87
28/05/23ACremona74-83
24/05/23HCento69-68
21/05/23HCento90-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trieste
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWL75%
HomeWW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game85.288.082.5
Allowed / game79.078.579.5
Point differential+6.2+9.5+3.0
Avg total164.2166.5162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %25%0%50%
Fortitudo Bologna
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game81.072.589.5
Allowed / game66.857.076.5
Point differential+14.2+15.5+13.0
Avg total147.8129.5166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fortitudo Bologna440100%81.066.8+14.2
2 Cantu54180%92.680.4+12.2
3 Basket Torino54180%82.273.2+9.0
4 Trapani54180%86.483.6+2.8
5 Forli43175%81.568.2+13.2
6 Trieste43175%85.279.0+6.2
7 Udine43175%80.574.5+6.0
8 Sebastiani Rieti53260%87.281.4+5.8
9 Urania Milano53260%87.683.4+4.2
10 Assigeco Piacenza53260%82.278.6+3.6
11 JuVi Cremona42250%88.584.5+4.0
12 Verona42250%74.272.0+2.2
13 Cividale42250%73.271.2+2.0
14 Cento42250%77.282.5-5.2
15 Treviglio42250%82.588.2-5.8
16 Monferrato52340%82.682.8-0.2
17 Luiss Roma52340%76.687.4-10.8
18 Agrigento41325%71.574.2-2.8
19 Rimini41325%73.878.2-4.5
20 Orzinuovi41325%71.577.2-5.8
21 Vigevano41325%78.086.5-8.5
22 Nardo51420%77.689.2-11.6
23 Latina5050%76.489.0-12.6
24 Chiusi4040%58.577.0-18.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Trieste815212165
Fortitudo Bologna2127191784
← all games of the day
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