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Trieste vs Fortitudo Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Dec 2019
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 89-69
16-16 19-23 32-18 22-12
Position#14
Record3-11
FormWLLLL
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game80.7
Trieste 🏆
Italy
vs
Fortitudo Bologna
Italy
Position#9
Record8-6
FormWWLWL
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game79.0
ItalyLega ARound 16
Domestic2019-20
Meetings · Trieste v Fortitudo Bologna
22 Oct 2023
TRI65
FBO84
20 Mar 2022
TRI77
FBO85
10 May 2021
TRI88
FBO82
29 Dec 2019
TRI89
FBO69
08 Jun 2017
TRI80
FBO60
31 May 2017
TRI91
FBO69
29 May 2017
TRI85
FBO75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trieste winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fortitudo Bologna winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TriesteItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#3
W
76-74
76
74
+2
H19/10
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
L
72-76
72
76
-4
A03/11
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
72-80
72
80
-8
H10/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
85-89 OT
85
89
-4
H17/11
Lega A
Cremona
#6
L
78-88
78
88
-10
A24/11
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
69-61
69
61
+8
H01/12
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
L
72-82
72
82
-10
A08/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
L
86-87
86
87
-1
A15/12
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
86-96
86
96
-10
H22/12
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
53-80
53
80
-27
A26/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-20
20-19
18-22
12-13
19-14
17-16
17-19
19-27
22-21
14-16
20-23
16-20
20-16
28-19
12-20
12-17
21-22
17-16
17-28
23-22
10-27
23-11
7-15
29-8
22-27
13-18
19-20
18-17
16-24
19-10
32-24
19-29
27-20
23-33
17-20
19-23
3-19
22-21
11-18
17-22
156.2Avg total
74.9Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)73.080.7153.7-7.721%
Season at home (6)75.082.0157.0-7.033%
Season away (8)71.579.8151.2-8.212%
Last 10 (10)74.981.3156.2-6.420%
Last 5 (5)73.281.2154.4-8.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)73.081.0154.0-8.025%
vs Similar ◀ (14)81.485.6167.0-4.329%
vs Weaker (8)91.880.5172.2+11.275%
This opponent (Fortitudo Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fortitudo BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Roma
#15
L
65-79
65
79
-14
A20/10
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
82-71
82
71
+11
H27/10
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
74-88
74
88
-14
H03/11
Lega A
Cremona
#6
L
73-80
73
80
-7
A10/11
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
85-80
85
80
+5
H17/11
Lega A
Cantu
#11
W
84-82 OT
84
82
+2
A24/11
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
93-68
93
68
+25
H07/12
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
80-86
80
86
-6
A15/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
78-72
78
72
+6
H22/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
62-94
62
94
-32
A25/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-21
20-20
9-20
20-18
22-17
17-22
16-15
27-17
20-20
16-20
20-24
18-24
19-24
19-24
22-19
13-13
22-16
23-15
16-20
24-29
16-21
16-25
20-10
22-18
30-13
20-19
24-19
19-17
25-19
18-21
15-27
22-19
20-14
20-18
21-22
17-18
11-22
14-23
21-20
16-29
157.6Avg total
77.6Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)77.379.0156.3-1.757%
Season at home (7)82.675.7158.3+6.986%
Season away (7)72.082.3154.3-10.329%
Last 10 (10)77.680.0157.6-2.450%
Last 5 (5)79.480.4159.8-1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)75.483.6159.0-8.143%
vs Similar ◀ (6)86.079.8165.8+6.267%
vs Weaker (17)84.477.8162.2+6.671%
This opponent (Trieste) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -0.4-0.4
TriesteFortitudo Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TriesteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#3
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H19/10
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A03/11
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H10/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H17/11
Lega A
Cremona
#6
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A24/11
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H01/12
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A08/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A15/12
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
50-53
50
53
-3
H22/12
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
25-40
25
40
-15
A26/12
Lega A
77.1Avg total
38.2Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.341.482.6-0.143%-
Last 30 at home (13)47.144.191.2+3.054%-
Last 30 away (17)36.839.376.1-2.535%-
Last 10 (10)38.238.977.1-0.740%-
Last 5 (5)35.642.077.6-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)35.239.074.2-3.838%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)41.445.186.5-3.621%-
vs Weaker (8)47.037.284.2+9.888%-
This opponent (Fortitudo Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fortitudo BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Roma
#15
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A20/10
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H27/10
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H03/11
Lega A
Cremona
#6
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A10/11
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H17/11
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A24/11
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
50-32
50
32
+18
H07/12
Lega A
Sassari
#2
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A15/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H22/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
25-45
25
45
-20
A25/12
Lega A
77.8Avg total
38.4Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.140.082.2+2.153%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.538.584.0+7.173%-
Last 30 away (15)38.741.680.3-2.933%-
Last 10 (10)38.439.477.8-1.040%-
Last 5 (5)38.039.077.0-1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)38.740.479.1-1.757%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)42.041.883.8+0.250%-
vs Weaker (17)43.639.282.8+4.453%-
This opponent (Trieste) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Triestetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trieste: 67.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.6 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.419.3
50.3%
52.0%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.46.6
30.8%
35.1%19.8
🏀 Free throws13.28.6
65.2%
73.6%8.6
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Fortitudo Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fortitudo Bologna: 76.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.820.2
54.9%
52.0%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.98.1
35.4%
35.1%24.3
🏀 Free throws16.011.4
71.2%
73.6%11.4
They take 59.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Dec 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trieste
LLLLWLLLLW
Fortitudo Bologna
LWLWWWLLWL
#14
League position
#9
-9.1
Net rating
-2.0
101.9
Offensive rating
108.7
111.0
Defensive rating
110.7
48.8%
Effective FG%
54.2%
51.4%
Opp. effective FG%
50.8%
17.5%
Turnover %
19.1%
30.0%
Off. rebound %
28.8%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.27
30.8%
3-point %
35.4%
51.4%
Assist %
55.8%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence101.9 · 108.7Defence111.0 · 110.7Shooting48.8% · 54.2%3-point %30.8% · 35.4%Ball care17.5% · 19.1%Off. rebounds30.0% · 28.8%Free throws0.22 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Trieste   ■ Fortitudo Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Trieste wins
2
Fortitudo Bologna wins
DateGameScore
08/06/17Trieste v Fortitudo Bologna80-60
05/06/17Fortitudo Bologna v Trieste76-74
03/06/17Fortitudo Bologna v Trieste76-60
31/05/17Trieste v Fortitudo Bologna91-69
29/05/17Trieste v Fortitudo Bologna85-75
Triestelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/12/19ATrento53-80
22/12/19HCantu86-96
15/12/19AReggiana86-87
08/12/19AVirtus Roma72-82
01/12/19HTreviso69-61
24/11/19ACremona78-88
17/11/19HVirtus Bologna85-89 OT
10/11/19HBrindisi72-80
03/11/19APistoia72-76
19/10/19HBrescia76-74
Fortitudo Bolognalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/12/19AVirtus Bologna62-94
22/12/19HBrindisi78-72
15/12/19ASassari80-86
07/12/19HTrento93-68
24/11/19ACantu84-82 OT
17/11/19HOlimpia Milano85-80
10/11/19ACremona73-80
03/11/19HBrescia74-88
27/10/19HPistoia82-71
20/10/19AVirtus Roma65-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trieste
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL21%
HomeWLLWL33%
AwayLLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %21%33%12%
Points / game73.075.071.5
Allowed / game80.782.079.8
Point differential-7.7-7.0-8.2
Avg total153.7157.0151.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)50% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %7%17%0%
Fortitudo Bologna
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL57%
HomeWLWWW86%
AwayLLWLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %57%86%29%
Points / game77.382.672.0
Allowed / game79.075.782.3
Point differential-1.7+6.9-10.3
Avg total156.3158.3154.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %7%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna1513287%84.075.7+8.3
2 Sassari1411379%83.772.9+10.9
3 Brescia1510567%83.974.3+9.6
4 Olimpia Milano1510567%80.173.7+6.4
5 Brindisi148657%83.080.0+3.0
6 Cremona148657%78.178.4-0.3
7 Fortitudo Bologna148657%77.379.0-1.7
8 Venezia147750%77.774.4+3.4
9 Varese157847%82.179.1+3.1
10 Trento157847%78.179.6-1.5
11 Cantu157847%75.177.5-2.4
12 Virtus Roma157847%75.981.8-5.9
13 Treviso146843%77.178.1-1.1
14 Reggiana146843%81.183.4-2.3
15 Pistoia1551033%74.483.2-8.8
16 Trieste1431121%73.080.7-7.7
17 Pesaro140140%77.691.1-13.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Trieste1619322289
Fortitudo Bologna1623181269
← all games of the day
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